Best College Football Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 22, 2020

There were so many great storylines in college football bets last weekend, including South Carolina’s upset win over Auburn, Tennessee getting thumped by Kentucky, Notre Dame grounding out a win over Louisville, and Clemson putting up a basketball score at Georgia Tech.

And now this week, the college football season gets even better as we welcome in the Big Ten and its shortened eight-game season, including our first look at one of the best teams in the country in Ohio State.

Here are a few games we think you should take a look at making a bet on this weekend.

Nebraska at Ohio State (-26)

No slight to Nebraska, and normally a 26-point spread should be enough to scare bettors away, but with a late start to the season, Ohio State has extra motivation. Clemson already has five wins, and Notre Dame and Alabama each have four wins on their resumes, so the Buckeyes need to make an immediate impression with college football voters.

Quarterback Justin Fields and Ohio State will pour it on the Cornhuskers, cover the spread, and prove they belong in the national championship conversation.

Alabama (-21) at Tennessee

Tennessee was just in the top 20, which makes this look like a closer game on the surface. But a 34-7 loss to Kentucky a week after losing by 23 to Georgia has the Vols in a freefall. Ready to push them over the cliff is an Alabama offense averaging 49 points per game.

This will be a win by four touchdowns or more for Alabama, so take the favorites and lay the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (+10.5)

Notre Dame will probably win this game. But Pitt has the third-ranked defense in the country – 29 sacks, 57.5 rush yards allowed – and the Irish have a rather pedestrian offense. This will be a defensive showdown, and points will be hard to come by for both teams.

Take the points and the Panthers.

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-3.5)

After a bye in week 6, and an unexpected bye in week 7 because of Baylor’s positive COVID-19 tests, Oklahoma State is well-rested. Most importantly, quarterback Spencer Sanders‘ ankle is now healed, giving the Cowboys offense an added boost.

college football bets

Iowa State’s defense did play well against Texas Tech, but it was scored on by Oklahoma and TCU, and the same will happen this weekend. OSU covers the spread with a touchdown or bigger victory.

North Carolina State at North Carolina (-17)

The Tar Heels’ loss to Florida State notwithstanding, North Carolina deserved its Top 10 ranking from a week ago and will want to prove it against in-state rival North Carolina State. On the other hand, the Wolfpack just lost their starting quarterback to a broken leg, so in a game that should be a shootout, they are missing their biggest gun.

North Carolina’s offense rolls to a three-touchdown win and covers the spread.

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WagerHome BlogBest College Football Bets for Week 8

Best Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

by WagerHome Blog on October 13, 2020

Week 6 of the college football season featured one of the craziest Saturdays we’ve ever seen.

We had LSU getting beaten at Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas went to quadruple overtime, and Alabama and Ole Miss combined for 111 points – prompting Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin to say, “I thought they played defense in the SEC.”

So what’s in store for week 7, and more importantly, where should you put your money? Take a look at our best bets.

Louisville at Notre Dame (-14)

Louisville has a great offense led by Malik Cunningham, so it should score some points in this one. But the Cardinals also turn the ball over too much and play suspect defense.

Notre Dame struggled out of the gate with a lackluster win over Duke, but the Irish have been more than impressive ever since and are coming off a 16-point win over Florida State.

This will be a high-scoring affair for both teams, with Notre Dame winning by at least 17 points.

LSU (+11) at Florida

No question the defending national champions were gutted this offseason, losing 37 players from last year’s team. But is LSU really a below .500 team?

Their current 1-2 record says yes, and they will be 1-3 after this weekend’s game at Florida. But the Gators have some real problems on defense, and the Tigers will keep this close.

Quarterback Kyle Trask will lead Florida to victory, but LSU covers the double-digit spread.

Clemson at Georgia Tech (+26.5)

Clemson looks every bit the No. 1 team in the country so far, but other than a game against The Citadel, the Tigers haven’t covered a spread as big as this one. Georgia Tech is better than both Wake Forest and Virginia, and both of those teams kept it to within three touchdowns. That will happen again to Clemson this week.

The Tigers win easily but fail to cover the spread.

Coastal Carolina (+7) at Louisiana

The Ragin’ Cajuns were all the rage after beating Iowa State to start the year, and deservedly so. But two lackluster wins over Georgia State and Georgia Southern (by a combined five points) has taken the bloom off the rose.

Coastal Carolina has looked dominant since it also upset a Big 12 team to open the season and does not deserve to be touchdown underdogs. Take the Chanticleers and the points.

Georgia at Alabama (-5)

The game of the week is No. 3 Georgia at No. 2 Alabama. Both teams have been dominating opponents, with Georgia winning by an average of 23 points and Alabama winning by 21.

best bets

Expect this to be a close game throughout, but the superior Tide offense will pull away in the fourth quarter and win by at least a touchdown. Alabama covers the modest five-point spread at home.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

NCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 24, 2020

The college football season rolls into what is officially week 4, but for many teams, this will be our first chance to see them on the field.

The players and coaches aren’t sure what to expect after the long layoff, which adds an extra layer of intrigue as we pick the games and point spreads that provide the most value for your betting dollar.

Florida (-14.5) at Ole Miss

Continuity is the key, as Florida returns quarterback Kyle Trask. He gives the Gators a major leg up on Ole Miss, which has a new quarterback learning a new system from new head coach Lane Kiffin.

Ole Miss had the worst pass defense in the SEC a year ago, and it has done almost nothing to improve it. Florida will have its way with the Rebels on the offensive side of the ball and win this game going away. Give the points. Florida covers easily.

Missouri (+28.5) vs. Alabama

Alabama kicks off its campaign with a trip to Columbia, Mo., to face Missouri and its new head coach, Eli Drinkwitz. Missouri is missing almost its entire passing attack from a year ago, but it does still have running back Larry Roundtree, and Drinkwitz wants to run the ball.

Alabama will look every bit the No. 2 team in the nation on offense and will win by at least three touchdowns. But the Crimson Tide’s defense is young, Mizzou’s run game is solid, and the Tigers will manage to cover against Alabama’s backups in the fourth quarter. Go with Missouri and the points.

Louisville (+2.5) at Pittsburgh

In one of the best matchups of the weekend, Louisville looks to rebound from its loss to Miami with a trip to Pittsburgh. Pitt is the higher-ranked team (No. 21 to No. 24) and is 2-0, but those wins came against Austin Peay and Syracuse. And it’s worth noting that against Syracuse, the Panthers didn’t come close to covering the spread.

football

Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham tightens up the turnovers and leads the Cardinals to victory. Put your money on Louisville.

Kansas State (+27) at Oklahoma

No. 3 Oklahoma is a big favorite at home, as it should be after crushing Missouri State last week. But Kansas State is better than the team that lost at home to Arkansas State.

The Wildcats are being undersold here. Four times last season, Kansas State was a road underdog, and three times it ended up covering the spread.

Oklahoma will win this game easily, but the Wildcats will cover.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

Looking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

by WagerHome Blog on August 27, 2020

This is going to be a strange NCAA football season.

The NFL has been locked in on its opening night since the AFC playoff rematch between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs was first announced. But in the college football world, with some conferences opting out and other conferences going forward, it’s been a little harder to keep track of when exactly we can start betting on the NCAA.

The good news is, assuming the schedules go off as planned, there will be plenty of good college football to enjoy. The bad news – this was supposed to be the opening weekend of the season, and that’s no longer happening.

NCAA Football Season Kickoff

It’s not exactly the kickoff weekend that the television networks and college football bettors dreamed about, but the season will finally begin on Sept. 3 with two Conference USA out-of-conference games:

  • South Alabama at Southern Miss
  • Central Arkansas at UAB

UAB did win nine games last year and made the New Orleans Bowl. Southern Miss lost to Tulane in the Armed Forces Bowl last season.

On Sept. 5, there are seven games being played out of the original 51 games that were on the schedule. The best games are:

  • Arkansas State at Memphis
  • SMU at Texas State

Both of those games will have limited fans in attendance.

Top 25 Kickoff

For Top 25 action, we’re all going to have to wait a little longer. The first game involving a ranked team that hasn’t been canceled or postponed is Sept. 12. With seven such games that Saturday, that is when it will truly feel like the college football season is here.

  • No. 1 Clemson at Wake Forest
  • Missouri State at No. 5 Oklahoma
  • Duke at No. 10 Notre Dame
  • UTEP at No. 14 Texas
  • Tulsa at No. 15 Oklahoma State
  • Syracuse at No. 18 North Carolina
  • Louisiana at No. 23 Iowa State

Power 5 Conference Kickoffs

With the Big Ten and Pac-12 suspending play this fall, we only have three of the Power 5 conferences in play.

ncaa

The SEC is only playing in-conference this season and begins its season with a full slate of games on Sept. 26. Defending national champion LSU starts at home against Mississippi State, while Alabama kicks off its season at Missouri.

The Big 12 has everyone playing a single non-conference game the week of Sept. 12 before kicking off its conference schedule on Sept. 26.

The ACC is far less structured, with non-conference games going on all season, and wherever a matchup could be cobbled together. The first time all 14 regular members are playing is Sept. 19. Notre Dame is in the conference this season only, making it a total of 15 teams.

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WagerHome BlogLooking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

Four Reasons Why LSU Will Win the 2020 College Football Playoff

by WagerHome Blog on January 7, 2020

It is the College Football Playoff matchup we were all hoping to see: Last year’s freshman phenom, Trevor Lawrence, and the defending national champion Clemson Tigers vs. this season’s out-of-nowhere Heisman winner, Joe Burrow, and the offensive juggernaut that is the LSU Tigers.

It is entirely possible that the national championship game next Monday night will feature the top picks in the next two NFL drafts in Burrow and Lawrence. That’s how much star power and talent will be on the field. A quarterback rivalry born in 2020 may be a football storyline for the next 15 years.

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As for the game itself, we like LSU to win for the following reasons.

Heisman Joe

Burrow won’t be the only great quarterback on the field Monday night, but he is, without a doubt, the quarterback who is playing the best. In LSU’s semifinal win over Oklahoma, he set numerous records and finished the game with 493 yards, seven touchdowns, and an eye-popping efficiency rating of 239.77.

All were season highs, and as they say in football, it’s not how you start, it’s how you finish, and no one is finishing this season better than Burrow.

Clemson’s Defense

The Tigers did hold Ohio State to just 23 points and held them to a season-low third-down conversion rate of 38 percent. But they also gave up 516 yards, and that point total would have been much higher if not for a pair of costly interceptions thrown by Justin Fields.

Burrow will do a better job of protecting the football than Fields did, and with yardage totals like that, the points will come. The Clemson defense is very good, but even with two weeks to prepare for LSU, it won’t be able to slow the LSU offense down.

Coach O is a Stabilizer

Clemson has the experience. Playing for a national title is old hat for the Tigers, who have won two titles in the last three years.

college football playoff

For LSU, this is all new, and perhaps a little intimidating. But if anyone can keep this team grounded for 60 minutes of football, it’s head coach Ed Orgeron and his LSU staff.

This team will not get too high following its win over Oklahoma, or too nervous playing for the title. Coach O will make sure they stay focused and ready.

Receiving Corps

Burrow doesn’t have a great Heisman season without top weapons, which is exactly what he has in wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson. Chase has 1,559 yards and 18 TDs this season, but if you slow him down – like what happened against Oklahoma when he caught just two passes – Jefferson steps up.

Jefferson had 14 catches for 227 yards and four touchdowns against the Sooners. You might contain one or the other. There is no way you can stop them both.

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WagerHome BlogFour Reasons Why LSU Will Win the 2020 College Football Playoff

‘Tis The Season To Bet These Five College Football Bowl Games

by WagerHome Blog on December 24, 2019

As the Christmas carols say, it’s the most wonderful time of the year. The NFL is winding down, and the playoffs are gearing up. And if you love college football, we have non-stop bowl action nearly every day over the next two weeks.

It’s also the perfect time of year to try out pay per head software for your bookmaking business. WagerHome.com offers four free weeks to try it before any commitments are required.

On to the games, and the five college bowl games we like as best bets.

Michigan State Spartans -3.5 vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Wake Forest has a great offense when healthy. But with the bulk of the Demon Deacons’ wide receivers banged up, Michigan State should be able to slow them down.

The Spartans won their final two games of the season to become bowl-eligible, so they are the hot hand. They also come from the better conference that historically does well in the Pinstripe Bowl. The smart money is on Michigan State.

Penn State Nittany Lions -7 vs. Memphis Tigers

Another Big Ten team that is battle-tested because it hails from one of the most competitive conferences in the country. Memphis had a terrific season – in fact, the best season in school history – but its biggest wins were against SMU and Cincinnati, and it lost to Temple.

Penn State, on the other hand, played Ohio State tough and has too much defense for Memphis to handle. Penn State covers in the Cotton Bowl.

Virginia Tech Hokies -2.5 vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Defense is also the order of the day at the Belk Bowl, with both Virginia Tech and Kentucky boasting defenses in the top 20 nationally. Virginia Tech is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games, with the lone blemish coming against Virginia in the final game of the season.

On the other side, Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games. But the Wildcats feature a predominantly run-first offense, and the Hokies will keep it contained. Look for Virginia Tech to cover.

Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5 vs. Auburn Tigers

Auburn already won its most important game of the year by knocking off Alabama. Will it be able to get up for another big game a month later? We think that will be a tough ask, and especially against a very good Minnesota team.

The Gophers are 6-2 against the spread in the last eight games they’ve been the underdog, and we think that goes to 7-2 with a strong showing at the Outback Bowl.

Oregon Ducks +2.5 vs. Wisconsin Badgers

The Pac-12 champions in the Rose Bowl as underdogs? And this is a very good Pac-12 champion that wasn’t too far removed from making the College Football Playoff.

Wisconsin is also very good and ranks 10th in points allowed this season. But Oregon just put up points on a great defense in Utah, and the West Coast team will get things done in Pasadena. Take the Ducks and the points.

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WagerHome Blog‘Tis The Season To Bet These Five College Football Bowl Games

Three Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on December 7, 2019

After this weekend we will know which four college football teams still have a shot at the national championship, and which teams have had their dreams end. It is one of the best weekends on the NCAA football calendar, and if you currently run your bookmaking operation with a pay per head site, then you are expecting a big weekend of action. And if you haven’t yet signed up for a PPH site, WagerHome.com gives you four free weeks to try it out.

As for this weekend’s games, these are the top three favorites expected to win their conference championships and cover the point spreads.

LSU Tigers (-7) vs. Georgia Bulldogs

It wasn’t that long ago that LSU was sitting in the No. 1 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. But even though it didn’t falter, it dropped to No. 2. If the Tigers can impress enough against a top team like Georgia, they just might be able to climb back up to No. 1.

I expect the Tigers to have the motivation and incentive to come out strong, put the hammer down on offense, and never let up.

Georgia does have one of the best defenses in the country, but scoring points for them has been a little bit tougher to accomplish. The Bulldogs have plenty of motivation for this game, too, knowing that a win will get them into the Playoff. But LSU is the superior team and having the better season. It will win the SEC Championship and cover the spread.

Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5) vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ohio State got to the No. 1 position in the College Football Playoff because it is simply annihilating opponents. Consider that when they fell behind 6-0 last week to Michigan, it was the Buckeyes’ largest deficit of the season. They, of course, went on to beat Michigan by 29 points, the 11th time in 12 games they’ve won by at least 24 points.

They have nine wins now against the spread, and with all the incentive in the world to stay No. 1 in the playoff rankings, there will be no let-up against Wisconsin. The Badgers are good, and they earned their way into the Big Ten Championship Game. But don’t forget that they’ve already lost to Ohio State this year, 38-7.

Take the Buckeyes to win big.

Oklahoma Sooners (-9) vs. Baylor Bears

It was just three weeks ago that Oklahoma and Baylor played one of the best games of the year. Baylor jumped out to a huge 28-3 lead, only to watch Jalen Hurts lead a furious second-half comeback and take the win.

Baylor got its lead because of turnovers by the Sooners, and that is something that I expect to be cleaned up for the rematch. Also, there won’t be any looking past the Bears this go-round. An impressive win by Oklahoma keeps it in contention for a playoff berth, and that alone will keep this team motivated for the full 60 minutes.

Oklahoma will win another Big 12 Championship and cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogThree Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

Four Underdogs To Bet In Week 14 Of College Football

by WagerHome Blog on November 26, 2019

Thanksgiving week is upon us, and that means in a season already jam-packed with football, we actually get even more. Indeed it is something to be thankful for, as is the freedom to run your own bookmaking service through a Pay Per Head site run by WagerHome.com. You get four free weeks when you sign up, and just in time for the best time of the sports year – football playoffs.

With so many games on the menu this week, there are so many values to be had. And these are the four college football underdogs that are the best plays this week.

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+4)

The Big Ten West title is on the line in this one and with it a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game to play Ohio State next week. It’s a surprise to see Minnesota open as a home dog. They haven’t lost a game at home yet this season and have won four straight at home against the spread. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games, which includes losses at Illinois and Ohio State.

This will be a tight game between against two teams jockeying for a shot to play for the conference title, and I want Minnesota and the points.

Texas A&M Aggies (+16) at LSU Tigers

LSU is headed to the SEC Championship Game and a possible trip to the College Football Playoff. Other than getting the win, this game is meaningless. LSU no longer has to show its dominance. I think the Tigers let down a little, and, for the third straight week, they fail to cover the spread.

On the other side, the Aggies just covered on the road at Georgia, and their defense is playing great, holding opponents under 20 points in each of their last three games. I think Texas A&M covers again. Take the 16 points.

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+12)

At 9-2 against the spread this season, Oklahoma State has been one of the better plays all year long. Now it’s time for the annual tilt against arch-rival Oklahoma, and once again, I think the Cowboys keep this one close and cover the 12-point spread.

The Sooners, on the other hand, have been one of the worst teams to bet on this year, losing against the spread in four straight weeks and seven times overall. Three of their last four wins have been by a touchdown or less, and I think this game goes the same way. Take the Cowboys and the points.

Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats (+3)

Kansas State is another of those teams that have played above the spread almost all season long. They are 8-3 ATS and have won five of their last six ATS. Those wins include outright victories against Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Mississippi State, and a cover against Texas.

In each of its last three games in which Iowa State was the favorite, it failed to cover. And just last week as big 26-point favorites against Kansas, the Cyclones only won by 10. I was surprised to see Kansas State open as home dogs in this one, so my money is on the Wildcats and the points.

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WagerHome BlogFour Underdogs To Bet In Week 14 Of College Football

Top Five NCAA Football Teams To Bet In Week 13

by WagerHome Blog on November 18, 2019

If you run your own Pay Per Head bookmaking site, or if you just like to bet college football, this is vital information for you. This is the list of our top five college football plays for this week.

Michigan Wolverines (-8) at Indiana Hoosiers

It has the making of a trap game. Michigan just beat Michigan State and has Ohio State on the horizon. But even though this isn’t a rivalry game, the Wolverines will continue to dominate.

Their last three wins have been by 34, 31, and 31 points. Expect them to keep rolling in this one and win big over Indiana and improve to 7-4 against the spread.

UCLA Bruins (+13) at USC Trojans

UCLA was terrible to start the season, but it has now won three of four Pac-12 games, and Chip Kelly’s job appears to be safe. The Bruins were beaten up pretty badly by Utah, but I expect a bounce back in the battle of Los Angeles.

The Bruins beat USC outright last year, and getting 13 points for this season’s battle is too much to pass up. USC drops to 6-6 ATS after this week’s tight cross-town rivalry.

Oklahoma State Cowboys (-7.5) at West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia has been up and down all season when it comes to performing against the spread at 4-5-1. And at home, the Mountaineers have covered the spread just once.

On the other side, Oklahoma State continues to provide great value at 8-2 ATS, which includes a 4-1 mark on the road. For that reason alone, lay the points and take the Cowboys.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes (-18.5)

Ohio State’s offense is one of the surest bets in the country, having topped the 50-point mark five times so far this season. Penn State will be the highest-ranked team they’ve faced so far, but the Buckeyes haven’t had a margin of victory below 24 points yet this season.

At 8-2 against the spread and cruising to a possible spot in the College Football Playoff, Ohio State keeps its foot on that gas and wins this game by at least three touchdowns.

Texas A&M Aggies (+13.5) at Georgia Bulldogs

Even though it has lost a game this season, Georgia is also eyeing the possibility of making it into the College Football Playoff. The Bulldogs have clinched the SEC East and have already punched their ticket for the conference title game but are banged up on offense. They may be in line for a bit of a letdown as they try and get healthy for postseason play.

Meanwhile, since losing to Alabama in October, the Aggies have been rolling, with four straight wins and a 30-6 thumping of South Carolina, the team that gave Georgia its lone loss. I don’t think Texas A&M has enough to win this game, but I do think it has an excellent chance to cover the spread. Take the points.

These are the games I’m playing this week, and the teams your PPH clients are likely to play. And if you don’t yet have your own Pay Per Head site, remember that you can sign up for one at WagerHome.com and get four free weeks.

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WagerHome BlogTop Five NCAA Football Teams To Bet In Week 13

Top Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2019

Even if you haven’t made the decision yet to open your own Pay Per Head bookmaking service, it’s always better to be in the loop on who the hot teams are and what the best bets are. And, as the NCAA football season heats up for the stretch run to the College Football Playoff, this is where the action is.

Rivalries and trips to conference championship games hanging in the balance highlight our top bets this weekend.

Minnesota (+3) at Iowa

Much more is at stake this year than the Floyd of Rosedale pig trophy, awarded to the winner of this game since 1935. The Golden Gophers are in the top 10 and 9-0 for the first time in 115 years and hold out hope that they can get into the Big Ten Championship Game and into the College Football Playoff. And yet they come into this game as the underdog.

Iowa has struggled offensively against Top 25 teams, managing a total of 37 points in three games against ranked opponents. Meanwhile, the Gophers offense is rolling, with more than 37 points scored per game. There is simply too much at stake, and Minnesota is playing too well at the moment, to believe it won’t be ready for this one.

Take the hot team and the points.

Oklahoma (-9) at Baylor

It is true that Oklahoma has had some struggles on the road. They lost to Kansas State and were very slow starters at Kansas. And just a week ago, they squeaked past Iowa State by one point at home. But in all of those games, Oklahoma put up points, and that is something Baylor has struggled to do. Last week, the Bears managed just nine points in regulation against TCU.

Expect Jalen Hurts to come out and make a statement with his performance in Waco. But also remember that the closer we get to the playoff selection, the more teams want to record an impressive win. Oklahoma will not let up in this one as they try to make their case to the committee.

Oklahoma goes big over Baylor and covers the nine-point spread.

Navy (+7.5) at Notre Dame

If there’s one area where Notre Dame has struggled, it’s run defense. Michigan went for more than 300 on the ground against them. Louisville nearly hit 250. New Mexico also topped 200 yards. And what’s the one thing Navy does best? Run the football, to the tune of 6.08 yards per carry.

Navy is 6-2 against the spread this season, and there’s every reason to believe that will improve to 7-2 after this week. The Fighting Irish do have familiarity against the triple-option, but Navy will still control the clock and eat up yards at will, and it will keep this game close.

Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. Notre Dame. That trend continues. Take Navy and the points.

These are the hot games your PPH clients are likely to jump on this weekend, and the games we recommend you play yourself. And if you haven’t yet launched your own Pay Per Head site, check out the package offered by WagerHome.com and sign up today.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12