AFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2022

We are back with another NFL betting preview! There is absolutely no way that this weekend can match the excitement of the Divisional Round. Every single one of the four games ended with a walk-off win.

But as a consolation to not being the best weekend of football, this is the most important weekend of the season, with the winners on Sunday headed to Super Bowl LVI. Check out our AFC and NFC Championship betting previews below!

AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Both of these quarterbacks need the week off. Joe Burrow, in his last-second win over the Titans, was sacked nine times. He needs a week in a hot tub before he plays the Chiefs.

For Patrick Mahomes, he needs the week to return his heart rate back to normal. In the final two minutes and overtime of his last-second win over the Bills, there were 31 points scored, four lead changes, and Mahomes himself threw for 177 yards after the two-minute warning.

So can the Bengals, who have scored a total of 47 points in their two playoff games, keep up with the Chiefs, who have scored a total of 84 points in their two playoff games?

Fortunately, we don’t have to wonder. These teams played one another less than four weeks ago, and the Bengals did keep pace with Kansas City, actually winning 34-31 on a final-play field goal. You might remember that Ja’Marr Chase was incredible, going for 266 yards, and he has gone over 100 yards in each round of the playoffs.

Yes, the Bengals can keep pace with the Chiefs, and with a large seven-point spread, they will cover.

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

This is another rematch from the regular season and another one where the visiting underdog was the winner the first time around. For the 49ers, it was actually two wins against the Rams this season, and if you want to go back even further, they’ve now won six-straight games against their Southern California rivals.

Because of that Week 18 win in Los Angeles that put San Francisco into the postseason, they have a longer winning streak. But heading into the NFC Championship, at least on the offensive side of the ball, they have the most question marks.

Jimmy Garoppolo did not play well against the Cowboys, and he did not play well against the Packers. Jimmy G has 303 yards passing, no touchdowns, and two interceptions in the playoffs, but amazingly the 49ers have been winning.

Matthew Stafford is playing great in L.A., with 568 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and the Rams offense is clicking in a way that will make it very tough for the 49ers on Sunday. Not only does L.A. win the game, but they also win it by at least a touchdown and cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogAFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 25, 2022

In a bit of a twist, because the PGA Tour doesn’t want to compete against the NFL, this weekend’s golf tournament at Torrey Pines tees off on Wednesday, with the final round scheduled for Saturday.

PGA Tour president Tyler Dennis thanked the Farmers Insurance Open for its “innovative thinking with this shift in competition days” and applauded the “action-packed weekend for sports fans” that it has helped to create.

Torrey Pines has traditionally been the start of the PGA Tour season on CBS (broadcast home of the AFC Championship Game), and it’s also produced some of the most exciting results anywhere on Tour.

Favorites to Win Farmers Insurance Open

  • Jon Rahm (+700)
  • Justin Rose (+1400)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1800)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2000)
  • Sam Burns (+2200)
  • Daniel Berger (+2200)
  • Dustin Johnson (+2500)
  • Tony Finau (+2500)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+2800)

The tournament is played on the two courses at Torrey Pines, the South and North course, with the South course measuring more than 7,700 yards. The South course is where the tournament will finish, and it’s not only a monster in length but narrow and with deep rough. Being great off the tee is imperative.

Jon Rahm is, of course, the favorite as the No. 1 golfer in the world. But four other members of the top-10 in the world are at Torrey Pines this week – Dustin Johnson (4th), Xander Schauffele (6th), Bryson DeChambeau (9th), and Hideki Matsuyama (10th).

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview

There are two challenges for golfers, in that you need to do well on the South course, and not surprisingly, 10 of the last 16 winners here ranked among the leaders in driving distance. But you also need to do well on the North course, because that’s where you can make up strokes on the competition.

Golfers to Watch

Will Zalatoris mania has its roots in how he’s done in the Majors, but he was also seventh at the Farmers a year ago. He is still in search of his first career win, and this might be the place where it happens. He’s paying +3000.

Bryson DeChambeau has the necessary length off the tee, and while he has missed in the cut in his previous two Farmers starts, he does typically do well in California. The native Californian had a strong 54 holes at Torrey Pines at last year’s U.S. Open before fading with a final round 77.

Another golfer who plays well in California is Tony Finau. Last year he was a runner-up at the Farmers, was fourth at The American Express, and runner-up at The Genesis Invitational in Pacific Palisades. He’s gone top-10 in four of his last five Torrey Pines starts.

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WagerHome BlogFarmers Insurance Open Betting Preview

Free NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2022

Perhaps 14 teams is too many. The seven seeds lost their two games by a combined 38 points, and the Patriots, one of the six seeds, lost by 37 points.

And none of those three games were even that close.

But this, the Divisional Round, now that the fat has been trimmed, is always the best weekend of the year.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans

What a way for the Divisional Round weekend to kick off. It’s Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense versus Derrick Henry’s return (fingers crossed), a top-10 defense, and the top seed in the AFC.

Sometimes it’s good to have a bye, and other times it’s good to keep rolling. The Bengals got both, resting their starters in Week 18 and now going into Tennessee on the momentum of winning their first playoff game in 31 years.

This will be a close game, decided by a field goal or less, and look for the Bengals to cover.

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-6)

Nick Bosa isn’t practicing, and we’re not sure he’s going to play. Jimmy Garoppolo has yet another injury he has to deal with. Meanwhile, the Packers are getting healthier, with both Za’Darius Smith and Jaire Alexander back at practice this week.

But even if they don’t play, this Packers team is chasing destiny. Look for the Packers to cover with the point spread at less than a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs defense seems to be getting healthy, but their offense took another hit when All-Pro tight tackle Tristan Wirfs went down on Sunday with an ankle injury. He hasn’t been ruled out, but we do know he won’t practice until at least Friday. We also saw that without Wirfs, that offensive line struggled.

Now comes Aaron Donald, who specializes in making offensive lines struggle. The Rams looked great, they are healthy, and Matthew Stafford and company are primed to pull off the Divisional Round upset.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

After Saturday night, it was apparent no one was going to beat Josh Allen and the Bills. He had 374 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

Sunday night, it was evident that no one would beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. He had 432 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

So what do we make of this Sunday’s game between the two?

It’s going to be a classic and likely come down to the end. But the game is at Arrowhead Stadium – advantage Chiefs – and Patrick Mahomes has a .777 winning percentage in the postseason, which is better than both Tom Brady and Joe Montana.

It’s going to be a great Divisional Round game, with Kansas City winning by three points in the end.

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WagerHome BlogFree NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

The American Express Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2022

The Hawaiian swing is over, and the PGA Tour is back on the mainland, making its annual stop in La Quinta.

We get three courses in the Palm Springs area, ending with the final round on the Stadium Course at PGA West. We’re also treated to extra golf this weekend, as each of the 156 golfers get 54 holes before the cut instead of just 36. And we should see low scores, as each of the last 14 winners at The American Express (formerly known as the Bob Hope Classic) has been at least 20 under par.

We’re also getting the celebrity pro-am portion of the tournament back after it was suspended last year because of COVID-19.

Favorites to Win The American Express

  • Jon Rahm (+600)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+800)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+1800)
  • Tony Finau (+2000)
  • Sung-jae Im (+2000)
  • Corey Conners (+2200)
  • Talor Gooch (+2500)
  • Abraham Ancer (+2500)
  • Matthew Wolff (+3000)

Of course, Jon Rahm is on top of the favorite’s board. He’s the world’s number one player, he won here in 2018, and he just finished in second at Kapalua, shooting what would have been a record -33, if not for the -34 recorded by Cameron Smith. So any bet on Rahm this weekend is a good bet.

Patrick Cantlay is just behind Rahm, and also for very good reason. He just finished fourth at Kapalua, and last year at this tournament, he finished ninth. That followed his runner-up status in 2019, and in that tournament, he recorded a final round 61 on the Stadium Course.

Other Golfers to Watch

Scottie Scheffler doesn’t have a PGA Tour win yet, but it’s only a matter of time. The 25-year-old finished fourth at Mayakoba in November and second at the Hero World Challenge in December. When he first teed off at The American Express in 2020, he finished third and recorded a 23-under par.

Sung-jae Im is only 23, but he’s making his fourth consecutive start at The American Express, and twice he’s finished in the top-10. Two weeks ago at Kapalua, he finished tied for eighth, following up on a strong finish to 2021, when he won the Shriners Children’s Open in October and was top-10 at the CJ Cup.

The American Express Betting Preview

At the bottom of the above board, paying +3000 is 22-year-old Matthew Wolff. He finished 2021 as a runner-up at the Shriners, tied for fifth at Mayakoba, and tied for 11th at the Houston Open. This is his first start at The American Express, but he ranks 11th on Tour in birdie average, meaning that he will get the kind of low score that is needed to win here on Sunday.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogThe American Express Betting Preview

NFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 13, 2022

NFL Wild card weekend is here, and the only thing as good as the football from Saturday through Monday night, is the betting.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

The Bengals haven’t won a playoff game in 31 years, losing eight straight playoff games since beating the Houston Oilers 41-14. That eight-game losing streak began with a 20-10 loss to the Raiders, and the streak will end with a win over the Raiders by at least a touchdown.

For the Raiders, this will be their third straight postseason loss.

New England Patriots (+4) at Buffalo Bills

For the third time in just over a month, the Patriots and Bills meet, and that kind of familiarity favors the experience of Bill Belichick.

The Bills offense has struggled since they played the Patriots in Week 16. Josh Allen threw three interceptions in Week 17 and completed just 53 percent of his passes in Week 18.

The Bills may still win, but the Patriots’ defense keeps it to within a field goal.

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Except for two games with the Panthers, the Bucs haven’t looked great this last month. There was the near-miss against the Jets, a shut out to the Saints, and a trainer’s room full of injuries.

NFL Opening Round Playoff PicksTom Brady is still Tom Brady, but the 109 yards given up on the ground to Josh Allen in Week 14 is a sign that the top rusher among NFL quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts, and the top-ranked rushing team, the Eagles, will keep this game close.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

A month ago, it was said that if the Cowboys re-discovered their offense, they were going to be really tough to beat in the postseason. Two 50-burgers in the last three weeks, and this offense, coupled with a defense that ranks seventh in points allowed, should roll at home.

The Niners earned their way into the playoffs, but they will be bounced by more than a touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)

In 19 playoff games, we have seen a point spread as high as 13 points. The favored team is 18-1 overall (the one loss was by the Rams to the Patriots in the Super Bowl), and against the spread, the favored team is 11-7-1.

The Steelers lost to Kansas City, 36-10, three weeks ago, and that was without Travis Kelce. He’s playing, and the Chiefs win this game easily.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4)

The Cardinals did get the win in Dallas in Week 17, but they’ve lost the other four of their final fives games and too bad teams in Detroit and Seattle. The Rams backed into the division championship with their own loss in Week 18 but have enough firepower to win this game by a touchdown.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

Sony Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 12, 2022

For the first time in 2022, we have a full field doing battle on the PGA Tour. It’s the Sony Open in Honolulu, and if recent history is our guide, it’s going to be an incredible final round. Last year Kevin Na was behind by three shots with six holes to play and won the tournament with a birdie on the 72nd hole.

He is back this year, trying to be the first repeat champion since 2015. Na will also be joined by 24 of the golfers who played last week on Maui at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, including the winner, Cameron Smith of Australia. He bested Jon Rahm by one stroke over the weekend by breaking the PGA Tour’s 72-hole record with a 34-under par.

Sony Open Betting Favorites

  • Cameron Smith (+800)
  • Webb Simpson (+1200)
  • Marc Leishman (+1600)
  • Sung-Jae Kim (+1600)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+1800)
  • Corey Conners (+1800)
  • Abraham Ancer (+2200)
  • Russell Henley (+2200)
  • Kevin Na (+2500)
  • Talor Gooch (+2500)

Smith recorded eight birdies in the final round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions, including four over the final six holes, and he is expected to keep playing championship-winning golf. He is your favorite heading into Thursday’s first round. He won here in 2020, so even without his Sentry win, he’d be one of the top golfers this week.

Last year’s champion, Kevin Na, is in the top-10 and paying +2500 as a potential winner.

Players to Watch

One of the players who was on Maui last weekend and playing on Oahu this weekend is Marc Leishman. He tied for 10th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, and it’s worth noting that seven of the top-10 at the Sony Open last year also played the week before on Maui.

Sony Open Betting PreviewOnly once since 2013 – Cameron Smith last year – has someone who didn’t play the week before won the Sony Open.

So along with Leishman, that bodes well for Talor Gooch at +2500. He shot consecutive 67s on Saturday and Sunday at the Sentry and comes into the Sony Open as a top-10 golfer in strokes gained tee-to-green.

Also think about Russell Henley, who is paying +2200. He did not play last week in Maui, but he did win this event in 2013. His most recent tournament at the Waialae Country Club was in 2018 when he finished 11th.

But as an X-factor to consider when placing your bets, Henley is a 2011 graduate of the University of Georgia, and he just watched his beloved bulldogs beat Alabama to win the National Championship.

Few golfers will be in a better mood when the tournament tees off on Thursday.

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WagerHome BlogSony Open Betting Preview

NFL Week 18 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 5, 2022

It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and one of the least impactful last weeks we’ve seen in a while. Considering how up in the air things were just a couple of weeks ago, the NFL playoff field is now largely set, except for a couple of spots and a little bit of jockeying for better seeds.

So when placing your bets for Week 18, which games have meaning and which teams have something to play for should be your primary focus.

 

Dallas Cowboys (-7) at Philadelphia Eagles

 

Both the Cowboys and Eagles are in the playoffs, but Dallas still has a chance to move up to second seed. They also don’t want to go into the postseason on a two-game losing streak.

NFL Week 18 Picks

With a win over the Eagles’ in the NFL’s Week 18, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys could earn the number two seed in the NFC.

The Eagles are either the sixth or seventh seed, and remaining healthy for the playoffs means more than having the slightly better seed. Look for the Eagles to rest players while the Cowboys go to work on getting their passing offense right, and that should mean that Dallas covers this spread and wins by 10 points.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (+10.5)

 

A win for Tennessee and they are the AFC’s top seed throughout the playoffs. And yes, they did demolish the Dolphins last week, but offensively it was a strange game. Ryan Tannehill finished with just 120 yards, and as a team, they only had 308 total yards of offense.

Too much is at stake to think the Titans won’t win, but their offense is struggling, and the Texans are playing good, hard football. Two weeks ago, they upset the Chargers, and last week they were in the game until late in the fourth quarter.

Houston has covered two of their last three-point spreads, and they will cover in this game to make it three of four.

 

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-7)

 

Last week was a get-right game for the Cardinals, and this week is about keeping hopes alive that the NFC West can still be won. If Arizona wins and the Rams lose, they are the division champs.

To make the first part of that equation happen, the Cardinals need to beat the Seahawks, who are playing out the string on the worst season ever for Pete Carroll in Seattle. Will Carroll be back? Will Russell Wilson? And if they want to trade Wilson, how badly has this season hurt his trade value?

Arizona won when they played at Seattle in November and covered the spread by 15 points. This week at home they will cover the touchdown spread and win by two scores.

 

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 18 Betting Picks

Sentry Tournament of Champions Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 5, 2022

Traditionally the golf season doesn’t really heat up until the first major of the year at the Masters. But at Kapalua, this weekend eight of the top-10 ranked players in the world, and 16 of the top 20, will give the first event of the 2022 calendar year the feel of a showcase event, Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Not unlike how NASCAR begins its year with the Daytona 500, the Sentry Tournament of Champions features the best golfers in the world playing on one of the most recognizable courses on tour. And all golfers will be competing from beginning to end because there is no cut this week. It’s 39 golfers playing 72 holes.

Sentry Tournament of Champions Odds

  • Jon Rahm (+600)
  • Justin Thomas (+850)
  • Collin Morikawa (+1000)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1200)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1200)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+1400)
  • Sam Burns (+1800)
  • Daniel Berger (+2000)
  • Hideki Matsuyama (+2200)
  • Sungjae Im (+2200)
  • Cameron Smith (+2200)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2200)

Not surprisingly the number one golfer in the world, Jon Rahm, is the odds on favorite. Sitting atop the favorite’s board is going to become a familiar position for him this coming year, although it is worth remembering that he finished last year with two missed cuts in his final three tournaments.

Following Rahm is Justin Thomas, a two-time winner at Kapalua. The defending British Open Champion Collin Morikawa, and the PGA Champion in 2020, is third on the list. He’s in the tournament for just the second time in his career, but his grandparents were born on Maui, and Morikawa first played the Plantation Course when he was just nine years old.

Sentry Tournament of Champions

Top Picks

Rahm, Thomas, and Morikawa will all be in the mix this weekend, and another golfer that should be in the hunt on Sunday is Xander Schauffele. His last three trips to Kapalua have netted a victory, a runner-up finish, and a top-five.

Another golfer to consider is Viktor Hovland. He finished 2021 with a November win at Mayakoba and a December win at the Hero World Challenge. Patrick Cantlay is also coming in with a strong finish to last year, having won three matches at the Ryder Cup, as well as winning the FedEx Cup.

Best Value Pick

A bet on Patrick Reed pays +2800, which is excellent value considering his experience and success on the Plantation Course. He was runner-up here in 2020, and has three other top-10 finishes, including a win in 2015.

Reed also had a strong end to 2021, finishing tied for second at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, and he tied for third at the Hero World Challenge in December.

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WagerHome BlogSentry Tournament of Champions Betting Preview