Top Three NFL Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 29, 2020

Week 7 in the NFL saw some amazing finishes, like the Arizona Cardinals coming back to beat Seattle in overtime, handing the Seahawks their first loss. And the Titans missing a late field goal against the unbeaten Steelers to suffer their first loss.

And how about a missed extra-point attempt at the end of the Browns-Bengals game that didn’t change the outcome on the field but most certainly changed things if you bet the three-point spread.

So what surprises does Week 8 have in store for the NFL fan? But more importantly, which games are the best NFL bets for Week 8 we can wager that have the fewest surprises?

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) at Baltimore Ravens

For the second straight week, the Steelers are involved in the game of the week. Last Sunday, they hung on to beat the Titans, and this Sunday, they have their first of two meetings with the Ravens.

With Ben Roethlisberger back, the Steelers (5-1 ATS) are back, and they sit as the NFL’s last remaining unbeaten team. The Ravens (3-3 ATS) are the defending AFC North champs and have taken a step back on offense this season, but only have a lone loss to Kansas City.

This is going to be a great game that comes down to the final possession, and no more than a field goal will separate the two at the end. Take Pittsburgh and the points.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns (Over 52.5)

Scoring around the NFL is up this season, and a big part of that is how these two teams play. Both of them love to score, and both of them hate playing defense.

For the Raiders, their point totals allowed this season are 30, 24, 36, 30, 32, and 45, with the average total points per game coming in at 63. Not once have they failed to break 52.

Cleveland has been just as bad (or good if you’re betting the over), giving up 38, 30, 20, 38, 23, 38, and 34. Their average total points per game is 61.

Two really bad defenses and two offenses that love to score. This over is ripe for the picking.

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at Denver Broncos

These two teams have identical 2-4 records, but when watching the Chargers, you see a team on the rise. When watching the Broncos, especially last week at home, you can see a team still trying to find itself.

nfl bets for week 8

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS, playing with confidence in their young quarterback and coming off a 10-point win. In Denver, Drew Lock continues to struggle, and the Broncos are coming off a 27-point loss.

Los Angeles wins this by a touchdown. Take the Chargers and lay the points.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NFL Bets for Week 8

Betting Odds to Win 2020 Masters

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2020

The disruption to the sports schedule in the spring cost us one of the very best events when the NCAA Tournament was canceled. And always on the heels of the Final Four is the very best of golf’s major championships, The Masters.

We missed it then, but instead of a cancellation, golf’s annual visit to Augusta, Ga., was simply postponed, and now we are just two weeks away. The ceremonial opening tee shot, lightning-fast greens, Amen Corner, the walk up 18, and, of course, the awarding of the green jacket, are six months later than normal, but they are coming.

As are the golfers who have set their sights on winning at Augusta National Golf Club.

Favorites to Win

The first tee shot will be struck on Nov. 12, and these are the current favorites to win the green jacket on Nov. 15.

  • Bryson Dechambeau (+800)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1100)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1200)
  • Jon Rahm (+1200)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2000)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2800)
  • Patrick Reed (+2800)
  • Webb Simpson (+2800)
  • Bubba Watson (+2800)
  • Tiger Woods (+2800)

For the very first time in his professional career, Bryson Dechambeau is a favorite to win a major championship. For the six-stroke winner of the U.S. Open in September, he is clearly deserving of his spot atop the favorites.

The next bunching of five players have all been playing well, and any one of them could get past Dechambeau to win their first-ever Masters championship. Dustin Johnson is perhaps the best-placed as a Masters runner-up last year and top-10 finishes in 2016 and 2018. He didn’t play in 2017.

It’s worth noting that of the golfers on the favorites list, only the final two – Bubba Watson and Tiger Woods – have won the tournament before. Watson has two wins – 2012 and 2014 – and Woods has five Masters titles, including last year.

masters

If Woods is to defend his title successfully, he will tie Jack Nicklaus for the most Masters victories all-time with six.

Collin Morikawa at +2800 is an interesting bet. He’s a first-time Masters participant, and only three first-timers have won at Augusta. But he did win the PGA Championship this summer, and despite a disappointing showing at the U.S. Open, he remains one of the hottest golfers since tour play resumed in June.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win 2020 Masters

Best College Football Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 22, 2020

There were so many great storylines in college football bets last weekend, including South Carolina’s upset win over Auburn, Tennessee getting thumped by Kentucky, Notre Dame grounding out a win over Louisville, and Clemson putting up a basketball score at Georgia Tech.

And now this week, the college football season gets even better as we welcome in the Big Ten and its shortened eight-game season, including our first look at one of the best teams in the country in Ohio State.

Here are a few games we think you should take a look at making a bet on this weekend.

Nebraska at Ohio State (-26)

No slight to Nebraska, and normally a 26-point spread should be enough to scare bettors away, but with a late start to the season, Ohio State has extra motivation. Clemson already has five wins, and Notre Dame and Alabama each have four wins on their resumes, so the Buckeyes need to make an immediate impression with college football voters.

Quarterback Justin Fields and Ohio State will pour it on the Cornhuskers, cover the spread, and prove they belong in the national championship conversation.

Alabama (-21) at Tennessee

Tennessee was just in the top 20, which makes this look like a closer game on the surface. But a 34-7 loss to Kentucky a week after losing by 23 to Georgia has the Vols in a freefall. Ready to push them over the cliff is an Alabama offense averaging 49 points per game.

This will be a win by four touchdowns or more for Alabama, so take the favorites and lay the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (+10.5)

Notre Dame will probably win this game. But Pitt has the third-ranked defense in the country – 29 sacks, 57.5 rush yards allowed – and the Irish have a rather pedestrian offense. This will be a defensive showdown, and points will be hard to come by for both teams.

Take the points and the Panthers.

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-3.5)

After a bye in week 6, and an unexpected bye in week 7 because of Baylor’s positive COVID-19 tests, Oklahoma State is well-rested. Most importantly, quarterback Spencer Sanders‘ ankle is now healed, giving the Cowboys offense an added boost.

college football bets

Iowa State’s defense did play well against Texas Tech, but it was scored on by Oklahoma and TCU, and the same will happen this weekend. OSU covers the spread with a touchdown or bigger victory.

North Carolina State at North Carolina (-17)

The Tar Heels’ loss to Florida State notwithstanding, North Carolina deserved its Top 10 ranking from a week ago and will want to prove it against in-state rival North Carolina State. On the other hand, the Wolfpack just lost their starting quarterback to a broken leg, so in a game that should be a shootout, they are missing their biggest gun.

North Carolina’s offense rolls to a three-touchdown win and covers the spread.

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WagerHome BlogBest College Football Bets for Week 8

Updated Super Bowl Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2020

We’re six weeks into the NFL season, which has brought about some changes to the Super Bowl betting odds.

The best game of the week, and perhaps the best game of the season, was Tennessee’s come-from-behind overtime victory over Houston and the dominant display of Derrick Henry on Sunday. With the 42-36 win, the Titans remained unbeaten, and with 264 total yards, Henry has to be in the MVP conversation.

But that 5-0 start does not mean that Tennessee has become one of the top favorites to win this season’s Super Bowl.

After six weeks of NFL play, this is how the Super Bowl betting odds board looks.

Kansas City Chiefs (+400)

A big win on Monday night in Buffalo keeps the defending champions as the favorite to win another Super Bowl. In the quest to get the top seed, the Chiefs now own tiebreakers against the Ravens and Bills, making Kansas City’s quest to repeat that much easier.

Baltimore Ravens (+550)

The Ravens have the defending MVP in Lamar Jackson, an explosive offense, and a great defense. They lost to Kansas City, but that’s the lone blemish on their record.

They remain a solid bet to make it to Tampa Bay and win. Two games still remain with Pittsburgh, which may have something to say about it.

Seattle Seahawks (+750)

Each time it looks like another NFC team is set to emerge as a rival to the Seahawks, they lose. The Buccaneers lost a tough game at Chicago, and then the previously unbeaten Packers got crushed at Tampa Bay. With Russell Wilson playing like the MVP frontrunner, a bet on Seattle is solid.

super bowl odds

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1100)

Pittsburgh is one of just two unbeaten teams in the AFC, but because it shares a division with the Ravens, it is paying a nice +1100 on a Super Bowl-winning bet. Ben Roethlisberger looks great, the offense has many great weapons at wide receiver, and the defense might be the best in the NFL.

Green Bay Packers (+1200)

The Packers were humbled on Sunday and no longer look like the best offense in football. But with Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams, it’s still pretty darn good, and +1200 on the Pack pays a lot of value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)

No team has ever played in a Super Bowl on its home field, but no team has ever had a 43-year-old six-time Super Bowl champion at quarterback. Tom Brady and his collection of wide receivers are fun to watch, but it’s the Buccaneers defense that might carry them to February.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated Super Bowl Betting Odds

NFL Best Bets for Week 6

by WagerHome Blog on October 15, 2020

Week 5 of the NFL season extended its way through Tuesday for just the second time in 70 years. We’re down to five unbeaten teams, while only three teams remain winless.

And we got one quarterback who heroically worked his way back to the field in Washington’s Alex Smith, while another in Dallas’ Dak Prescott is starting his journey on the same road to recovery after a Week 5 injury.

What does Week 6 have in store for NFL fans, and where should the smart bettor put their money? Let’s take a look at our NFL best bets.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

These are not your father’s Cleveland Browns, but they are your grandfather’s. For the first time since Bill Belichick was their head coach, the Browns are 4-1, and it’s a solid 4-1. They have legitimate playmakers on both sides of the ball and are right to be thinking playoffs.

They haven’t won in Pittsburgh since the stone age, and they may not win here – the Steelers are one of those remaining unbeatens. But look for Cleveland to keep the final margin to within a field goal.

Cincinnati Bengals (+8) at Indianapolis Colts

Rookie growing pains aside, Joe Burrow is showing himself to be a capable quarterback in Cincinnati. And while the record doesn’t show it, with just one win in five games, the competitiveness of each game does.

The Bengals lost by three, lost by five, tied, and won by eight. (We don’t count the big loss to Baltimore because the Ravens do that to everyone.)

Philip Rivers is good for a turnover, and the Colts have been too up and down to justify such a big spread. Look for the Bengals to keep this within a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

If not for a pair of games against the two winless teams from New Jersey, the 49ers would be winless themselves. Along with the other injuries they’ve suffered, suddenly they don’t have a reliable quarterback, with Jimmy Garoppolo getting benched in last week’s embarrassment against the Dolphins.

The Rams have scored 30 points in three of their last four games. They’ll do it again this week and will easily cover against their division rivals.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (Over 54.5)

A good backup quarterback can save a season, and it just might do that in Dallas. Prescott is done for the year, but Andy Dalton is very good when he has weapons, and he definitely has them in Dallas.

nfl best bets

The problem in Big D is the lack of any meaningful defense, which is giving up an average of 40 points per game in the last four weeks. The Cardinals will score, and score often, and score again.

Anything could happen with who wins this game, but offense is guaranteed. This game will go over 54.5 with plenty of room to spare.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Best Bets for Week 6

Best Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

by WagerHome Blog on October 13, 2020

Week 6 of the college football season featured one of the craziest Saturdays we’ve ever seen.

We had LSU getting beaten at Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas went to quadruple overtime, and Alabama and Ole Miss combined for 111 points – prompting Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin to say, “I thought they played defense in the SEC.”

So what’s in store for week 7, and more importantly, where should you put your money? Take a look at our best bets.

Louisville at Notre Dame (-14)

Louisville has a great offense led by Malik Cunningham, so it should score some points in this one. But the Cardinals also turn the ball over too much and play suspect defense.

Notre Dame struggled out of the gate with a lackluster win over Duke, but the Irish have been more than impressive ever since and are coming off a 16-point win over Florida State.

This will be a high-scoring affair for both teams, with Notre Dame winning by at least 17 points.

LSU (+11) at Florida

No question the defending national champions were gutted this offseason, losing 37 players from last year’s team. But is LSU really a below .500 team?

Their current 1-2 record says yes, and they will be 1-3 after this weekend’s game at Florida. But the Gators have some real problems on defense, and the Tigers will keep this close.

Quarterback Kyle Trask will lead Florida to victory, but LSU covers the double-digit spread.

Clemson at Georgia Tech (+26.5)

Clemson looks every bit the No. 1 team in the country so far, but other than a game against The Citadel, the Tigers haven’t covered a spread as big as this one. Georgia Tech is better than both Wake Forest and Virginia, and both of those teams kept it to within three touchdowns. That will happen again to Clemson this week.

The Tigers win easily but fail to cover the spread.

Coastal Carolina (+7) at Louisiana

The Ragin’ Cajuns were all the rage after beating Iowa State to start the year, and deservedly so. But two lackluster wins over Georgia State and Georgia Southern (by a combined five points) has taken the bloom off the rose.

Coastal Carolina has looked dominant since it also upset a Big 12 team to open the season and does not deserve to be touchdown underdogs. Take the Chanticleers and the points.

Georgia at Alabama (-5)

The game of the week is No. 3 Georgia at No. 2 Alabama. Both teams have been dominating opponents, with Georgia winning by an average of 23 points and Alabama winning by 21.

best bets

Expect this to be a close game throughout, but the superior Tide offense will pull away in the fourth quarter and win by at least a touchdown. Alabama covers the modest five-point spread at home.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

Top NFL Bets of Week 5

by WagerHome Blog on October 8, 2020

Just like the rest of the world, the NFL is now in a position of flux, with everything dependent on players and coaches staying COVID-19-free. Figuring out the top NFL bets isn’t easy. But as long as we keep our NFL betting strategies flexible, and the league remains flexible in terms of when they will play games, everyone can still be a winner.

So with flexibility in mind, here are the top NFL bets for Week 5 and their initial point spreads. Last week had the Chiefs -7 initially, but it finished at -12 after Cam Newton was removed for his positive COVID test.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) at Chicago Bears

It doesn’t seem to matter who the Bears start at quarterback, and especially this week when the Buccaneers’ signal-caller is looking so good. Tom Brady is unlikely to throw another five touchdown passes, but each week he’s getting more in sync with his wide receivers, and that offense becomes even more dangerous.

The Bucs win this by a touchdown and cover the spread.

Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Kansas City was lackluster against the Chargers in Week 2, then blew out the Ravens. The Chiefs sleepwalked through their game against New England, meaning they are due for another big performance.

Add in the fact that in his last four trips to Kansas City, Derek Carr has thrown as many touchdowns to the Chiefs (two pick-sixes) as he has to his own team, and this will be a blowout.

Chiefs win by 17, easily covering the spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6) at Houston Texans

It is incredible to think that a team with Deshaun Watson on it is one of the worst in the NFL. It’s also incredible to think that that team deserves to be six-point favorites over anybody.

Only the Jets and Giants are worse in point differential than the Texans, whereas Jacksonville has had opportunities to win two of its three losses.

Take the underdog Jaguars here. Romeo Crennel will have even less success than Bill O’Brien.

Los Angeles Chargers (+8) at New Orleans Saints

Michael Thomas may return for the Saints, and that will give their offense a boost. But their defense just gave up 29 to the Lions, and that is concerning.

top nfl bets

Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert has the Chargers trending in the right direction and has them playing very competitive football. Los Angeles’ three losses are by a combined 14 points, and this one will be another one-possession game at the end.

The Chargers will lose at New Orleans, but it will be by seven points or less.

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WagerHome BlogTop NFL Bets of Week 5

Betting The 2020 MLB Division Series

by WagerHome Blog on October 6, 2020

How impressive that seven teams from the AL Central and NL Central divisions made the MLB playoffs. Equally impressive is that not one of them could get past the Wild Card round and into the Division Series. Going 0-7 is no easy feat. Let’s hope that’s not where you put your money.

Sans the Central divisions, the postseason rolls on, where it’s now a best-of-five to decide who is moving on. And for the first time this season, baseball has bubbles, with the American League playing all of its games in San Diego and Los Angeles, and the National League playing in Houston and Arlington, Texas.

In a season that only saw teams play against opponents in their own division, each of these series features an intra-division matchup.

New York Yankees (-148) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (+120)

The Yankees lost the AL East to the Rays by seven games, and in the head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay won eight of 10. So how are the Rays the underdog in this division series?

It’s not as though the Yankees finished strong. They lost six of their final eight – a stretch without a single home run from Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres.

They did look good against Cleveland, but in a longer series, one big game has less impact. These teams don’t like each other, and it will be a great series, but the value rests in Tampa Bay playing as the dog.

Houston Astros (+100) vs. Oakland A’s (-121)

The A’s have been one of the best pitching staffs all season long, while the Astros have seen their offense struggle when compared to previous years. Oakland took the AL West from Houston, they won seven of 10 regular-season meetings, and they will win this series.

Houston’s “we don’t need trash cans” 2020 tour will come to a close in the next five games.

San Diego Padres (+175) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-223)

With so many exciting young players, the desire to see the Padres take this series the distance is strong. But the Dodgers remain the favorite to win the World Series, and it’s easy to see why.

division series

Walker Buehler and Clayton Kershaw are an incredible 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation, and just in case the pitching isn’t dominant, Los Angeles scored a baseball-best 349 runs.

One of these days, the Padres will get there. But not in this series.

Miami Marlins (+275) vs. Atlanta Braves (-358)

During the regular season, the Braves finished second in the National League in runs and home runs, but just shut out the Reds in 22 innings over a two-game sweep.

We know the Braves can crush the ball. But if they continue to pitch as they did in the Wild Card, they might be the team to beat Los Angeles, and they definitely won’t lose to the Marlins.

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WagerHome BlogBetting The 2020 MLB Division Series

NFL Week 4 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 1, 2020

The NFL is in full swing, so we’re taking a look at some of the Week 4 best bets for you to make.

Scoring is up around the league. We just had our first big showdown of the season when the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens played on Monday.

We’re getting MVP and record-breaking performances out of Russell Wilson each week. Josh Allen has been a revelation in Buffalo. The Chicago Bears are undefeated, as are the Pittsburgh Steelers with the return of Ben Roethlisberger.

So many great stories in this young NFL season. And so many great opportunities to cash in on wagers in Week 4.

Baltimore Ravens (-12.5) at Washington Football Team

The Ravens still fancy themselves the best team in the AFC, and they are going to be angry when they take the short trip to Washington. Lamar Jackson was completely bottled up by Kansas City, but that will not happen two weeks in a row.

Add in the fact that Dwayne Haskins is coming off a three-interception performance, and now he’ll face one of the best secondaries in football, and this has the makings of a blowout. Baltimore will win by more than two touchdowns, covering the spread.

Buffalo Bills (-3) at Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have struggled to stop anyone with their defense, and now the Bills come to town with Josh Allen playing like a quarterback reborn. The Raiders are giving up 30 points per game, and Allen and company will easily eclipse that number in Las Vegas.

The Raiders and Derek Carr simply don’t have enough to keep up. Buffalo pulls away in the end, winning by at least a touchdown and covering the three-point spread.

Cleveland Browns (+5.5) at Dallas Cowboys

Break up the Cleveland Browns, who are over .500 for the first time since 2014. And they are doing it with the best backfield in the entire NFL, with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Dallas defense is an absolute mess right now, even with the play of Aldon Smith.

week 4 best bets

The Cowboys will score plenty in his game, but Cleveland will keep pace. In the end, only a field goal will separate these two teams, and the Browns will cover.

Miami Dolphins (+6.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson is playing out of his mind through three weeks, and the Seahawks are a good bet to once again hit the 35-point mark. This season they’ve scored 38, 35, and 38 points. But as good as their offense has been, their defense has been equally bad, giving up 25, 30, and 31 points.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing great, and after a near-miss against Buffalo, he helped Miami score 31 in a win over Jacksonville. The Dolphins have had a few extra days of preparation for this one, which will help them keep the margin under a touchdown and cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 4 Best Bets