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Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 24, 2023

After taking the week off in the points race, the NASCAR Cup Series gets back to full action this Memorial Day Weekend at the Coca-Cola 600, the third of the four races in NASCAR that make up the Grand Slam.

However, even though no points were at stake, don’t ignore last week’s results. It was another Kyle Larson win at the All-Star Race, a win that didn’t net him any points, but it did result in a $1 million winner’s check. It also points to his return to his 2021 form, when he won the Cup Series and the Coca-Cola 600.

Not surprisingly, for this weekend’s race in Charlotte, he is the Coca-Cola 600 favorite.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Kyle Larson (+450)
William Byron (+550)
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Chase Elliott (+900)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Christopher Bell (+1100)
Tyler Reddick (+1600)
Kevin Harvick (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Kyle Larson has three wins this season after crossing the finish line first just three times in all of 2022. He finished seventh in the standings last year and is only 10th at the moment. But his racing of late points to a surging second half for Larson and a possible return to the top. A win this week would go a long way to making that happen.

William Byron is fifth in the Cup Series standings, he’s running with the second shortest odds here, and he’s just two weeks removed from a win at Darlington. That was his third of three straight top-five finishes. He also has wins in Phoenix and Las Vegas and is in great shape heading into Charlotte.

Denny Hamlin is the defending champion at this race, and a repeat win here would move him into the top three in the Cup Series standings. He won at Kansas three weeks ago, and he has two other top-five finishes over the last six weeks.

Kevin Harvick is down at the bottom of the top 10, but he’s been one of the most successful drivers at Charlotte in recent years. He hasn’t won here since 2018, but last year he finished third, and in each of the previous five races at Charlotte, he finished in the top 10.

Brad Keselowski is a longshot at +4000, but when he has actually finished the race at Charlotte, his last three results are 11th, seventh, and first. Two weeks ago at Darlington, Keselowski finished fourth. That was his third top-five finish of the season.

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NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year

by WagerHome Blog on May 23, 2023

We’ve now all had a chance to see the top rookies from the 2023 NFL Draft all wear their new uniforms and attend rookie mini-camp. And while there isn’t a whole lot to be gleaned from how they play when wearing shorts, the excitement is still very real. Which of these young quarterbacks is most likely to emerge as a star, and which of the defensive studs is going to make the biggest first-year impact.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Bijan Robinson (+250)
Bryce Young (+500)
Anthony Richardson (+600)
C.J. Stroud (+750)
Jaxson Smith-Njigba (+800)
Jahmyr Gibbs (+900)

Bijan Robinson is a great talent, and he’s with a team that is not only committed to the running game, they are already good at it. The Falcons ability to run the ball with lesser running backs is only going to lead to more touches for Robinson, and better production, and that’s why he is the favorite.

Bryce Young was the first player selected last month, and he has a former quarterback as a head coach. While the ceiling on Anthony Richardson is considered to be higher because of his amazing athleticism, Young is a better bet to succeed right away.

The last two NFL Rookies of the Year were wide receivers, and not only is Jaxson Smith-Njigba the best wideout of this class, with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on his outsides, he’s primed to have a big year.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Will Anderson (+350)
Jalen Carter (+650)
Tyree Wilson (+800)
Devon Witherspoon (+900)
Christian Gonzalez (+950)

Everyone expects great things from Alabama EDGE Will Anderson. Obviously, the Texans do, considering what they paid to trade up for him. He is going to be a star, and we might see that from the first week of the season.

Jalen Carter out of Georgia is yet another great Bulldog defensive lineman going to the Philadelphia Eagles great defensive line. And if he can help Philly get back to the Super Bowl, he is sure to get Rookie of the Year attention.

From 1999 to 2014 we didn’t have a cornerback win the award. Now it’s happened three times in the last nine years, with Sauce Gardner taking how DROY honors last year for the Jets. The two corners with the biggest opportunities this season are Devon Witherspoon, now with the Seahawks, and Christian Gonzalez, who was drafted by the Patriots.

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NASCAR All-Star Race Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 18, 2023

NASCAR is back in Wilkesboro for the first time since 1996, and the NASCAR All-Star Race is back to an easy to understand format.

If you are a full-time driver, a racer winner in 2022 or 2023, a Cup winner, or a past winner of the All-Star Race, you are one of the 21 drivers already qualified for the main event on Sunday night.

The Nascar All-Star Open is run earlier in the evening, and in that race 16 drivers will have a chance to drive their way into the All-Star Race. The top two finishers are in, and they will be joined by a third who gets in via a fan vote. Then we have 200 laps to the checkered flag.

There are no Nascar Cup Series points at stake this week in Wilkesboro, but the winner of the race does pull in $1 million.

Kyle Larson won the Nascar All-Star Race in 2019 and 2021, and he is once again the favorite here. In those wins he was at Charlotte Motor Speedway in 2019 and the Texas Motor Speedway in 2021. Larson was only 20th last week, but he was the runner-up the week earlier in Kansas.

William Byron is tied with Joey Logano at +800, and Byron was the winner last week. It was also his third straight top-five finish, and seventh top-five finish of the year. Logano hasn’t had a top-five finish in a month, when he was second at Martinsville. Last week in Darlington, he finished 18th.

Ryan Blaney is out of the top 10 in betting odds, but he is the All-Star Race defending champion. It was his one and only win in 2022, and he is still in search of his first win in 2023. A bet on Blaney to win is paying +1600.

All-Star Open Odds

You can make this Sunday’s racing a two-for by also wagering on the All-Star Open, the pre-race to determine which drivers will join the All-Star Race.

Josh Berry is the favorite at +350, and he’s followed by Ryan Preece and Ty Gibbs at +400. Berry had a second place finish at Richmond back in April. Preece’s top finish was 15th at Martinsville. Gibbs has three top-10 finishes this season.

At +450 is Aric Almirola, the only driver of the top four that has won a Cup race. He has three career wins, but this year his best finish was sixth at Martinsville a month ago.

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PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 16, 2023

The PGA Championship was at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, in 2013. And a number of golfers in the field this week played in that event a decade ago. But not one data point from that event, and those golfers, is valuable in 2023.

“Basically, the only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.“

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

Note his use of the word “debut” when talking about a course that has been around for more than a century and has hosted the PGA Championship three times, the U.S. Open three times, and the Ryder Cup in 1995.

This old golf course is brand new.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+750)
Scottie Scheffler (+750)
Rory McIlroy (+1300)
Xander Schauffele (+1700)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Brooks Koepka (+2100)
Tony Finau (+2100)
Dustin Johnson (+2400)
Justin Thomas (+2900)
Jason Day (+2900)

It’s not a fun or sexy pick to go with Jon Rahm, but it is probably the smartest pick. He has four wins in 12 events this year, and eight times he has finished in the top 10. He wins on tough courses like Oak Hill, and he wins in majors, as he just did at the Masters.

All of the hyperbole around Rahm is true of Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 2 ranked player. He also wins on tough courses, and he wins at majors. He won the PGA Championship in 2020, The Open Championship in 2021, and both the Masters and U.S. Open in 2022. He won The Players Championship in March, and he’s a good bet to win at least one major for a fourth straight year.

Rory McIlroy was at the previous PGA Championship at Oak Hill, finishing T8 at 3-under par. He was the PGA’s defending champion in 2013, he won it again in 2014, and he also won The Open Championship that year. But that was the last time that McIlroy tasted victory at a major. He finished 2022 as the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer, but he missed the cut at Augusta in April.

Outside of the big three are a number of other solid betting choices. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at the event, staging a seven-stroke comeback to win it in 2022. But he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since then.

Brooks Koepka nearly won the Masters a month ago, he’s won two of the last five PGA Championships, and he would undoubtedly be ranked in the top five in the world if he hadn’t moved to the LIV Tour.

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Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2023

It’s Mother’s Day at Darlington, as the Cup Series makes its annual regular season trip to the South Carolina raceway for the Goodyear 400. The Cup Series will return to this track in September when the playoffs begin.

Last week we were in Kansas, where Denny Hamlin was the big winner. And now he goes for back-to-back wins at a track that he has dominated in recent years. He won here in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and last year he was the runner-up.

Red-hot from last week and now racing at a place where he has been at his best has Hamlin as a co-favorite heading into the weekend.

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

Denny Hamlin (+550)
Kyle Larson (+550)
Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
Tyler Reddick (+850)
William Byron (+900)
Kyle Busch (+900)
Christopher Bell (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kevin Harvick (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1200)

Kyle Larson was the runner-up to Hamlin last week, rebounding from back-to-back disappointments at Talladega and Dover. Larson now has five top-five finishes this season. Larson has never won at Darlington, and last year in this race, he finished 36th.

Martin Truex won the Goodyear 400 in 2021, and last year he led for 48 laps before a faulty water pump took him out of the race. He has led at least one lap in his last six races at Darlington. This season he has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races.

Tyler Reddick has never won here, but in the two races at Darlington in 2022, he finished second and third. And right behind him on the odds board is one the hottest drivers in the Cup Series, William Byron. He was third last week in Kansas, fourth in Dover, and seventh at Talladega.

Also, keep your eye on the trio of drivers paying +1200, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott.

Harvick had a mechanical issue last year that kept him from finishing. But in the 13 races at Darlington before that, he didn’t finish worse than ninth, and 11 times he was in the top five.

Logano won here last May, finished fourth in the playoff race in September, and has four other top-five finishes at Darlington since 2015. Elliott doesn’t have any wins at Darlington, but last May, he finished fifth, and in 2021 he was seventh.

Well, down the Goodyear 400 odds board is Erik Jones, paying +6500. He’s only finished in the top 10 in two of 12 races this season, but Darlington is his bread and butter. It’s the only track where he has won multiple times, which includes last September’s win over the playoff field.

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NHL Draft Player Props

by WagerHome Blog on May 9, 2023

On Monday, the Chicago Blackhawks were the big winners at the NHL Draft Lottery. They went into the night trailing both the Anaheim Ducks and Columbus Blue Jackets for the best odds to win the lottery’s top prize, but it was Chicago that came out on top.

With that top pick, their first time selecting No. 1 overall since 2007, they will undoubtedly take 17-year-old phenom Connor Bedard. With the Regina Pats of the Western Hockey League this year, he led the league in scoring with 143 points.

Bedard also has helped the Canadian Under-20 National Team win two gold medals, and his 36 career points at the World Junior Hockey Championships is a new Canadian record. During this year’s gold medal run, he scored 23 points and was named the tournament’s MVP.

Bedard is the NHL draft pick. Even at only 17, he is already drawing comparisons to Connor McDavid of the Oilers and Sidney Crosby of the Pens. He has that kind of scoring ability. But who will go second to the Ducks? Who will go third to the Blue Jackets?

Those picks are not nearly as black-and-while as Bedard at No. 1.

NHL Draft Odds – Second Overall Pick

Adam Fantilli (-420)

There is no one in the NHL draft class like Bedard, but Adam Fantilli will be an excellent consolation prize for the Ducks if he is who they select. He won the Hobey Baker Award as a freshman at Michigan for being the NCAA’s best men’s hockey player this year. He is only 18, and he scored 63 points in 36 games.

Leo Carlsson (+680)

Leo Carlsson is a Swedish center who is also 18 and already 6-foot-3. In 15 international games this year for Sweden’s Under-20 National Team, he scored ten goals and had seven assists. His coaches and members of the media have compared him to Mats Sundin, a fellow Swede who was taken No. 1 overall in 1989.

Matvei Michkov (+730)

At one time, Matvei Michkov was a challenge to Bedard for the No. 1 overall NHL draft pick. Bedard has put distance between himself and the young Russian but at no fault of Michkov’s. He’s a great scorer who broke Alex Ovechkin’s record for being the youngest player to suit up for the Russian National Team at only 16.

Brayden Yager (+2800)

The last of the top-four for the second pick, and top-five overall, is one of the best shooters of the bunch in Brayden Yager. This past season with the Moose Jaw Warriors, he scored 28 goals and 78 points. Yager was on the gold medal-winning Canadian Under-18 team at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup in 2022 and scored nine points in the five games.

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Post-Spring Football Odds Have Georgia Set to Repeat as National Champion

by WagerHome Blog on May 4, 2023

All of the college football teams in the country have completed their spring practice, and most players who entered the transfer portal have found new homes. And in the wake of that, we have a new top-25 preseason poll, and the odds on the national championship winner have been updated.

To no one’s surprise, the Georgia Bulldogs lead the way in both.

Georgia Bulldogs (+225)

Georgia has firmly supplanted Alabama as the premiere program in the country. Even though they continue to lose players to the NFL, this year’s Georgia Bulldogs team will have as many as 16 players returning who started at least one game in 2022.

Stetson Bennett and his two Georgia national championships are gone, but new Georgia quarterback Carson Beck might even be better.

Alabama (+500)

Alabama is all the way down in fifth place in the top-25, but they draw considerably shortened odds in the national championship picture because of history and reputation. The line of succession, from Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, and Bryce Young, is now suddenly not so certain. That question mark at QB may hold them back.

Ohio State (+600)

Ohio State is another team replacing a top quarterback who is off to the NFL, and many of the best players on their offensive line have also left Columbus for the pros. Kyle McCord is in his third year with the Buckeyes, and he is your likely starter at quarterback. But Devin Brown still has a chance to win the job by September.

Michigan (+1000)

Michigan is ranked No. 3 in the early polls, but is only fourth in the national championship picture. That is largely because despite playing in the College Football Playoff for two straight years, and beating Ohio State for two straight years, they continue to get worked in the national semifinals.

USC (+1400)

Caleb Williams is all you need to know about USC and why they are paying the fifth shortest odds to win the national championship. The quarterback is the favorite to repeat as the Heisman Trophy winner, and he will have the Trojans in the mix to make their first appearance in the College Football Playoff.

USC is only ranked 12th in the preseason polls right now because their defense was atrocious last year, and it appears to still be bad in 2023. But Williams is a marquee player and marquee name, and he is driving their odds down.

The last time USC was in the top-5 in the final AP poll was 2011.

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Kentucky Derby Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 2, 2023

What a Saturday to be a king. In London King Charles III gets his crown, and the sport of kings takes center stage on this side of the Pond with the 149th running of the Kentucky Derby. Instead of a crown, the winner at Churchill Downs gets a blanket of roses, and horse racing immortality.

Kentucky Derby Post Positions and Odds

1. Hit Show (30-1)
2. Verifying (15-1)
3. Two Phil’s (12-1)
4. Confidence Game (20-1)
5. Tapit Trice (5-1)
6. Kingsbarns (12-1)
7. Reincarnate (50-1)
8. Mage (15-1)
9. Skinner (20-1)
10. Practical Move (10-1)
11. Disarm (30-1)
12. Jace’s Road (15-1)
13. Sun Thunder (50-1)
14. Angel of Empire (8-1)
15. Forte (3-1)
16. Raise Cain (50-1)
17. Derma Sotogake (8-1)
18. Rocket Can (30-1)
19. Lord Miles (30-1)
20. Continuar (50-1)

Trainer Todd Pletcher has three horses at this year’s Kentucky Derby. Two of them are running alongside each other, with Tapit Trice and Kingsbarns breaking from the fifth and sixth starting gates. His highest-rated horse, and the highest-rated in the field, is Forte at 3-1 and out the 15th gate.

Brad Cox has four horses in this year’s Derby. Breaking next to Forte is Angel of Empire at 8-1. Jace’s Road is 15-1 out of the 12th gate, Hit Show is on the rail and running at 30-1, with Verifying next to him at 15-1.

Brad Cox won at Churchill Downs in the controversial 2021 race. That was when Bob Baffert’s Medina Spirit crossed the line first, but was later disqualified, making the Cox-trained Mandaloun the winning horse. Todd Pletcher won the Kentucky Derby in 2017 with Always Dreaming and in 2010 with Super Saver.

Other top horses for this Saturday include Derma Sotogake, where Hidetaka Otonashi looks to become the first Japanese trainer to win the Kentucky Derby. Continuar is also a Japanese horse that has been running in the UAE, trained by Yoshito Yahagi. But he is a much longer shot than Derma Sotogake and Otonashi.

Also keep your eye on Practical Move, the winner at the Santa Anita Derby and trained by Tim Yakteen. As an assistant to Baffert, Yakteen was a part of three Derby winners – Silver Charm, Real Quiet, and War Emblem. Last year and this year, with Baffert on suspension, Yakteen has been minding the barn and running at Churchill Downs on his own.

Of course, remember what happened last year without Baffert in the field. Rich Strike, at 80-1, became the second biggest underdog winner in Derby history. Perhaps one of the longshots in this race can also make it to the wire in first place.

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Early Look at the PGA Championship

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2023

We are just three weeks from golf’s second major of the season, the PGA Championship. It will be played this year at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, the site of this same tournament ten years ago.

The winner on the East Course in 2013 was Jason Dufner. Followed by Jim Furyk, Henrik Stenson, and Jonas Blixt. Of the golfers who finished in the top 10 at that event, only Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and Adam Scott are still in the top 100 of the World Golf Rankings 10 years later.

The biggest news since the Masters earlier this month was the surgery that Tiger Woods had on his ankle. It was to address post-traumatic arthritis that is a result of his car accident in 2021. There is no official word from Woods’ camp, but this kind of surgery typically comes with a 12-week recovery at a minimum, meaning that we have likely seen the last of Woods in 2023.

However, as you can see from the early odds board, the PGA Championship will not be lacking in star power or great golf.

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+900)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1900)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Cameron Smith (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)

For the foreseeable future, the big three, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler, are going to be bunched at the top of any tournament hosting all three. Rahm is, of course, the Masters champion, McIlroy is a four-time major champion, and he has twice won the PGA, and Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year.

There are plenty of other great golfers on the Tour and a lot of potential winners for next month at Oak Hill. But Rahm, McIlroy, and Scheffler are a cut above the rest at the PGA Championship!

If you’re looking to wager on someone outside of the big three, Justin Thomas is a good choice. He is the defending champion at this event, beating Will Zalatoris at Southern Hills in a playoff.

Of you could wager on two-time PGA champion Brooks Koepka, who also just finished T2 at the Masters. At +1900, he’s paying more than twice what you get on a bet on Rahm, making Koepka a great value play.

Another golfer with great value is Collin Morikawa at +2200. He was the PGA Champion in 2020, and he’s coming off a T10 earlier this month at the Masters.

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NFL Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 25, 2023

The biggest sporting event of the week is Thursday’s NFL Draft, which is expected to have more than 300,000 fans in attendance at Kansas City’s Union Station, and another 10-plus million people watching on television.

The Aaron Rodgers trade has been completed, and it will change things for Thursday and Friday. The two teams swap first round picks, giving Green Bay the No. 13 pick and the Jets the No. 15 pick.

The Packers also get a second round pick (No. 42), a sixth round pick (No. 207), and a second round pick in 2024 that will move to a first round pick if Rodgers plays 65% of the snaps.

Along with the QB in question, the Jets get Green Bay’s fifth round pick this year (No. 170).

With at least one big draft day trade off the table, the betting markets are heating up.

NFL Draft – First Overall Pick

Bryce Young (-2000)
C.J. Stroud (+900)
Anthony Richardson (+1500)

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young is now the heavy favorite to go No. 1 overall to Carolina. Just a couple of weeks ago, this was supposed to be a close race.

Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is now playing +900, and Florida QB Anthony Richardson is third at +1500. No one else is a real possibility.

NFL Draft – Second Overall Pick

Will Levis (-130)
Tyree Wilson (+240)
C.J. Stroud (+275)
Will Anderson (+285)
Anthony Richardson (+1800)

What is happening at No. 2, the pick currently owned by the Texans? There was talk that Houston would skip on a quarterback and take the best defensive player available, which was going to be Will Anderson from Alabama. But now Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson is above him, and Kentucky quarterback Will Levis has somehow risen to the top.

NFL Draft – Third Overall Pick

C.J. Stroud (+230)
Tyree Wilson (+250)
Will Anderson (+250)
Paris Johnson Jr. (+350)
Anthony Richardson (+500)
Will Levis (+900)

The Arizona Cardinals currently own the No. 3 overall pick, so if Stroud really does go here, it is likely to be after a trade. But Arizona has a lot of needs, so Wilson, Anderson, or offensive tackle Paris Johnson Jr. would all make sense.

NFL Draft – Quarterbacks Taken in First Round

Over 4.5 (-200)
Under 4.5 (+250)

We can get to four first round quarterbacks quite easily, with Young, Stroud, Richardson, and Levis. If there is going to be a fifth quarterback taken, it would likely be Hendon Hooker from Tennessee or Tanner McKee from Stanford.

Pay Per Head Software

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Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Pay Per Head Software

Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win NASCAR All-Star Race

All-Star Open Odds

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

Pay Per Head Software

NHL Draft Odds – Second Overall Pick

Adam Fantilli (-420)

Leo Carlsson (+680)

Matvei Michkov (+730)

Brayden Yager (+2800)

Pay Per Head Software

Georgia Bulldogs (+225)

Alabama (+500)

Ohio State (+600)

Michigan (+1000)

USC (+1400)

Pay Per Head Software

Kentucky Derby Post Positions and Odds

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

Pay Per Head Software

NFL Draft – First Overall Pick

NFL Draft – Second Overall Pick

NFL Draft – Third Overall Pick

NFL Draft – Quarterbacks Taken in First Round

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