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NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2022

In NFL Week 7, we saw Tom Brady fall to his worst seven-week record in 20 years. Aaron Rodgers, who nearly lost to Bailey Zappe and did lose to Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, lost to Taylor Heinicke.

Brady and Rodgers are showing once again that the NFL is a week-to-week league, and it is the greatest reality show in the history of television.

So what can we expect out of NFL Week 8? With things so crazy, who are the best and safest bets?

Las Vegas Raiders (-2) at New Orleans Saints

Their NFL record is unimpressive, but the Raiders, who were the best 1-4 team in the league, are now the best 2-4 team in the league. They have been in each of their four losses, and they are coming off an impressive offensive showing in Week 7.

Josh Jacobs has been fantastic, and the Saints are not good against the run. That will be the difference in this one. Jacobs runs wild yet again, and the Raiders win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+1.5)

Will this be the week Bill Belichick passes George Halas with his 325th career win? The celebration was delayed a week after the Patriots were dominated by the Bears, and the Pats’ two QBs both looked terrible.

The Jets are now without Breece Hall, but there is still magic in New York. The Jets are 5-2 but the underdog for the eighth straight week, and they will get their sixth win outright. The Jets win 21-17 and stay in second place in the AFC East.

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans

The Titans have completed the sweep of the Indianapolis Colts, and they are now ready to roll through the rest of the AFC South, beginning this week with the Houston Texans. Dameon Pierce will hold his own in an on-field comparison to Derrick Henry, but the Texans team will not hold their own.

Houston is allowing a league-worst 164 yards per game rushing, and Henry will have a big day. The Titans roll, winning by a touchdown and covering the spread.

New York Giants (+3) at Seattle Seahawks

Two Cinderellas meet in Seattle as the 6-1 Giants, with five comeback wins, face the rise of Geno Smith and the Seahawks – the first-place Seahawks, the one team in the NFC West that did not make the playoffs last season.

In a perfect world, we could pick both NFL teams, but in this world, we’re sticking with the Giants. They find a way to win, and they will do it this week too.

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NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 25, 2022

As we move toward the final Saturday of October, we get into rivalry season, with two big rivalries headlining the NCAA football schedule this week.

Georgia goes to Jacksonville to take on the Florida Gators, which is preceded by the so-called “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.”

Michigan hosts Michigan State as it tries to win back the Paul Bunyan Trophy, not to be confused with the Paul Bunyan Axe, which is given to the winner of Minnesota vs. Wisconsin. We’re still a month away from that game.

For the best betting on NCAA football Week 9, here are our choices.

No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (-22.5) vs. Florida Gators

Georgia is the class of the country and the No. 1 NCAA football team in the nation, and they very much enjoy beating Florida, which they should do with ease on Saturday. Florida has a great offensive line, and quarterback Anthony Richardson will continue to look good, but the Florida defense will get abused all day.

Georgia wins this game 41-17 and covers the spread.

No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-15.5) at No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions

Much like with their NCAA football game with Michigan, Penn State should be able to keep things close early. The energy of the home crowd should help them do that. But also, like with their game against Michigan, the Nittany Lions won’t be able to sustain it.

Ohio State will roll in the second half of this game as their superior talent overwhelms Penn State, and they will end up winning by three touchdowns, covering the NCAA football spread.

No. 19 Kentucky (+12.5) at No. 3 Tennessee

Tennessee is great everywhere, but their secondary, and that should mean a big day for Kentucky quarterback Will Levis. We’ve also seen the Kentucky defense put in several big performances, holding Mississippi State to less than 200 yards passing and just 17 points.

The Wildcats will move the ball and slow the Vols enough to keep this NCAA football game close. Tennessee wins in the end, but they fail to cover.

Michigan State at No. 4 Michigan (-21.5)

Last season the Michigan State Spartans overcame a 16-point deficit to upset their rivals from Ann Arbor in a season that ultimately saw the Wolverines play in the National Semifinals against Georgia. This Michigan team may be as good as that one, and Michigan State isn’t as good as they were in 2021.

Plus, the Wolverines want their revenge. Until losing to Georgia, the loss to State was their only blemish. Look for Michigan to put it on the Spartans in a revenge game, winning this one by four touchdowns.

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NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2022

The Eagles are still unbeaten, the Bills are the deserved NFL favorite in the AFC, and the football being played in the Meadowlands is 100% for real.

The Jets are just the second team in NFL history to have a winning record through six games after being the underdog in all six games. And the Giants now have three double-digit comeback wins, which is tied for the most in their 97 seasons of existence.

What new delights lay in store for NFL fans as we move into Week 7?

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz is injured, putting the Commanders’ offense back in the hands of Taylor Heinicke. And it’s not a great offense in spite of the win at Chicago. Brian Robinson looks like the real deal running the ball, but that’s it.

The Packers are in need of a get-right NFL game, and Washington is the perfect fodder. Green Bay will get it together and win by at least a touchdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) at Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers were big favorites last week, and they lost outright. But this is the Panthers, a team truly in disarray, and with an offense that threw more than 80% of their passes last week behind the line of scrimmage. It’s not really an offense at that rate.

Tom Brady and the Bucs aren’t playing great football, but they will beat a very bad Panthers team by at least two touchdowns. Carolina might not score a point in this one.

New York Giants (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Just say no to the disrespect to the Giants, at 5-1, and going to Jacksonville as the underdog. The Jags have had their moments, but they haven’t earned the right to be a favorite over a team playing some of the best football in the NFL.

This is a simple choice between believing in the Giants and taking the points or still doubting the Giants. We believe.

Take New York and the points, although you probably won’t need them. The Giants are a good bet to go 6-1.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at San Francisco 49ers

It’s possible the 49ers will get Nick Bosa and Trent Williams back in time for their game with the Chiefs. But the list of other injuries that the team is dealing with is hard to fully comprehend.

The 49ers are missing three cornerbacks, two defensive tackles, two other offensive tackles besides Williams, a pair of linebackers, and two defensive ends.

The Chiefs are a better team when all things are equal, and they are not equal going into this NFL game. The Chiefs will beat the short-handed 49ers by at least 10 points.

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NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 18, 2022

For the first time since 2006, the Tennessee Volunteers got a win over Alabama. The Vols won on a final second field goal 52-49, and it gave Tennessee four wins over NCAA teams that were ranked when the Vols beat them. Tennessee is now No. 3 in the country.

Alabama falls to No. 6, their lowest ranking since the end of the 2019 season, while Georgia and Ohio State stay put at No. 1 and No. 2.

Each Saturday in NCAA football, we have championship-level matchups, and this week is no different.

No. 14 Syracuse at No. 5 Clemson (Under 51.1)

It’s 7-0 Clemson hosting 6-0 Syracuse, and we have two of the best defenses in the country going at it in this one.

Florida State gave a bit of a blueprint last week in how to run against Clemson, and that is likely to become the Syracuse plan. Run the ball, work the clock, and keep the Tiger offense on the sideline. And that is why the UNDER in this game is a really attractive NCAA football bet.

No. 24 Mississippi State (+21.5) at No. 6 Alabama

After nearly losing to Texas A&M and actually losing to Tennessee, we’re not quite sure what we’re going to get from Alabama. Bryce Young wasn’t fully healthy last week, but he was fantastic against the Vols. But the Crimson Tide defense was very concerning.

The Bulldogs score a lot of points, except when they lose. They had 16 against LSU and 17 last week at Kentucky but have scored 40 points in four of their five wins.

This offense is good enough to find the end zone against Alabama repeatedly, and they should cover the 21.5-point NCAA football spread.

No. 17 Kansas State at No. 8 TCU (-3.5)

Following TCU’s huge win over Oklahoma State, the expectations for the Horned Frogs are also huge. They have won three straight against ranked NCAA opponents, and they have a chance to make it four in a row with Kansas State coming to town.

K-State plays good defense, but TCU plays great offense, averaging more than 526 yards per game. Quarterback Max Duggan will continue his great season, and he will keep TCU perfect on the year and cover the spread.

No. 9 UCLA (+6) at No. 10 Oregon

No one predicted that UCLA would begin the season 6-0, and a month ago, it was unfathomable to think they could win at Oregon. Yet here we are.

The Bruins have a great offense (as does Oregon), and after wins over Washington and Utah, UCLA will keep this game close. Even if they don’t win, they will cover the 6-point spread.

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NFL Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 12, 2022

Six teams are 4-1 or better, and eight others are 3-2. As the NFL passes the quarter pole and heads toward the halfway point, parity reigns supreme. Anything can happen on any given Sunday, like the highest-scoring offense in the league being shut out. Or the league’s last winless team getting a win.

Or the defending Super Bowl champions getting embarrassed for a second week in a row. The Rams’ offense is bad, and the AFC champion Bengals also lost again. And it looks more and more like two new NFL teams are going to rise to the top.

New York Jets (+7) at Green Bay Packers

For the first time since they won in NFL Week 1 of the 2018 season, the New York Jets are over .500. That’s no small feat, considering that they began the season with their starting quarterback injured and with many other key spots occupied by rookies.

But this Jets team has the ability, it has heart, and it now has a running game that can keep games close, especially against an offense that is sputtering like the Packers. The Jets getting a win at Lambeau Field is highly unlikely, but they are good enough to stay competitive and cover the touchdown spread.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Over 50.5)

In Week 1, Geno Smith was feeling out the Seattle offense, and Pete Carroll was feeling out Smith. In NFL Week 2, they were facing the 49ers, which kept the scoring low. But since that game and over the last three weeks, the Seattle offense has exploded, and the OVER has been hitting.

They cleared the over by 6.5 in Week 3, by 44.5 in Week 4, and by 26 points last week.

Seattle’s defense is not good, giving Kyler Murray a chance to have a big day, and that is why betting OVER 50.5 total points for this NFL game is one of the best bets of the day.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)

Last week it was the Arizona Cardinals that covered the spread against the Eagles and held them to their lowest point total of the NFL season. And it is true that the Dallas defense is considerably better than anything the Cardinals have.

But this game is in Philadelphia, it’s under the lights, and the Linc will be rocking. That means the Eagles’ defense will get after a slower-than-normal offensive line, and Cooper Rush will suffer the first loss of his Cowboys career.

Dallas will generate very little on offense, and Jalen Hurts is just too good to struggle against the Dallas defense. Philly wins by more than a touchdown.

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NCAA Football Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 11, 2022

Georgia had a near-miss in NCAA Week 5, and it dropped them out of the No. 1 ranking. In NCAA Week 6, the near-miss belonged to Alabama, and they, too, dropped out of the No. 1 ranking, putting Georgia back in the top spot.

Great team performances abound, as do great individual efforts. Pittsburgh’s Israel Abanikanda ran for 320 yards and six touchdowns, tying the ACC single-game record.

Also accounting for six touchdowns was Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud, who moved the Buckeyes into the No. 2 ranking with a big 49-20 win over Michigan State.

No. 3 Alabama at No. 6 Tennessee (+7.5)

We begin our slate of games with the displaced Alabama Crimson Tide going to Knoxville to take on the high-scoring offense of the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols are scoring more than 46 points per game on the back of quarterback Hendon Hooker, and he and this offense will keep scoring against Alabama.

Nick Saban is hopeful that Bryce Young can play, but just how effective will he be? Alabama is likely to win this NCAA game, but Tennessee has the offense to keep it close and to cover the spread.

No. 10 Penn State (+7) at No. 5 Michigan

Two years ago, Penn State got the win at Michigan Stadium, but two years ago, Jim Harbaugh’s crew wasn’t at the top of the Big Ten. They are now, with the defending conference champs 3-0 in the Big Ten, even if they did just fail to cover the spread at Indiana.

Penn State hasn’t covered for two straight, looking uninspired in wins against Central Michigan and Northwestern. But this is Michigan, and they will get up for this one, the first of a tough gauntlet that has them playing Michigan, Minnesota, and Ohio State.

Penn State is up for it, and they will cover, even as the Wolverines hold on to win the game.

No. 8 Oklahoma State (+3.5) at No. 13 TCU

TCU nearly came up short last week at Kansas, needing late-game heroics to get past the Jayhawks and their backup quarterback. But they won, and they pushed against the spread – their first non-win against the spread this NCAA season.

Oklahoma State is easily the toughest test of the NCAA season for the Frogs, but they come into this game as underdogs, and that’s why we like them. They were dogs against Baylor, and the Cowboys won outright. And while we’re going to stop short of predicting a win on the moneyline for Oklahoma State, we do like them and the points.

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NFL Week 5 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

We saw rookie quarterbacks play for the first time in NFL Week 4, with Bailey Zappe of the Patriots getting the first rookie touchdown pass of 2022. Kenny Pickett is now the starting quarterback in Pittsburgh, putting an end to the three-game era of Mitchell Trubisky.

We still have one unbeaten, the Eagles, but our 0-3 team, the Raiders, got its first win of the NFL season. The Chiefs reinserted themselves into the Super Bowl favorites conversation, and the 49ers did, too, with a dominant defensive performance against the Rams.

More on the Niners and Rams in our best picks for this coming NFL weekend.

New York Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay Packers

We start in London, where the Green Bay Packers are playing for the first time. They are the final of the NFL’s 32 teams to make the trip to England, and for the first time in the history of the London series, we have two winning teams playing each other.

The Giants are playing good defense, and Saquon Barkley is playing like a rushing champion, and the Packers don’t look like a team ready to win a blowout. New York keeps it close, meaning you should take the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills are much better offensively than the Steelers, and they are much better defensively. But the Bills aren’t playing their best football right now, and if rookie Kenny Pickett can protect the football, the Steelers should keep this margin at less than two touchdowns.

Buffalo is banged up, and the offense is out of sequence at the moment; and this is a huge spread for a team that has averaged just 21 points per game the last two weeks. Buffalo wins, but your money should go on Pittsburgh to cover.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) at Carolina Panthers

If there is a team that deserves a 14-point spread, it’s the Niners over the Panthers.

San Francisco’s defensive line just dominated a much better offense in the Rams, and they will have a field day against Baker Mayfield. Carolina, despite having great skill players, may not score in this game. The Niners’ defense is playing that well.

Add in Deebo Samuel at the height of his powers, and the Niners giving six points feels like a no-brainer.

Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Los Angeles Rams

That Rams offensive line that was just dominated by the 49ers now has to play Micah Parsons and the Dallas defense. Sean McVay is one of the best offensive schemers in the business, but he will not have an answer for Parsons, Demarcus Lawrence, Dante Fowler, and Dorance Armstrong.

If the Rams manage to win this NFL game, it will be a low-scoring win by a field goal. Take the Cowboys and the points.

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NCAA Football Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

Two more college football coaches lost their jobs after losses in Week 5. Paul Chryst was in his eighth NCAA football season in Wisconsin, but his 34-10 loss at home to Illinois was too much for athletic director Chris McIntosh. Defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard will serve as the interim head coach.

In Colorado, it was an 0-5 start that cost Karl Dorrell his job. The Buffs lost to Arizona on Saturday and are just 4-13 since the beginning of last season. Offensive coordinator Mike Samford will take over on an interim basis.

On the field, we have a new No. 1, if you can consider Alabama as “new” at the top of the rankings. Georgia fell to No. 2 after nearly losing to unranked Missouri.

Auburn (+29.5) at No. 2 Georgia

Georgia has huge wins over Oregon and South Carolina and now narrow wins over Kent State and Missouri. So do you trust them to play over the competition of Auburn when that hasn’t been what the Bulldogs are doing?

Not against freshman quarterback Robby Ashford, who moved the ball well against LSU last week, and he will do the same at Georgia. Take Auburn to cover.

No. 8 Tennessee (-2.5) at No. 25 LSU

New to the Top-25 is LSU after their comeback win over Auburn, and the Football Power Index lists the Tigers as a top-10 team overall. The AP voters clearly lean heavily in favor of Tennessee, ranking them No. 8 in the nation.

The voters are right in this one, and in a shootout, the Vols should win by at least a touchdown, covering the modest 2.5-point spread.

No. 17 TCU at No. 19 Kansas (Over 67.5)

From a projected three wins to a 5-0 start for the Jayhawks has them as one of the better stories of the NCAA football season. But how long can Kansas keep winning?

TCU did hammer Oklahoma, 55-24, but they also struggled with SMU, and it’s probably true that Oklahoma isn’t that good. Kansas is, averaging 38 points per game, just a touchdown behind the Horned Frogs and their 45 points a game.

And that’s what we like – two teams who could both score over 40 points, making OVER 67.5 the preferred NCAA football bet in Lawrence.

No. 11 Utah (-3.5) at No. 18 UCLA

UCLA is 5-0 and now faces what is easily its toughest test of the young season when they host Utah.

The Utes average 42 points per game while giving up just 14.4 points, and that’s the difference here. The Bruins have a great offense, but only a good defense, and Utah will end the UCLA winning streak and cover this NCAA football spread.

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Las Vegas Raiders (-2) at New Orleans Saints

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+1.5)

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans

New York Giants (+3) at Seattle Seahawks

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No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (-22.5) vs. Florida Gators

No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-15.5) at No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions

No. 19 Kentucky (+12.5) at No. 3 Tennessee

Michigan State at No. 4 Michigan (-21.5)

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Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Washington Commanders

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) at Carolina Panthers

New York Giants (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at San Francisco 49ers

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No. 14 Syracuse at No. 5 Clemson (Under 51.1)

No. 24 Mississippi State (+21.5) at No. 6 Alabama

No. 17 Kansas State at No. 8 TCU (-3.5)

No. 9 UCLA (+6) at No. 10 Oregon

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New York Jets (+7) at Green Bay Packers

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Over 50.5)

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)

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No. 3 Alabama at No. 6 Tennessee (+7.5)

No. 10 Penn State (+7) at No. 5 Michigan

No. 8 Oklahoma State (+3.5) at No. 13 TCU

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New York Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) at Buffalo Bills

San Francisco 49ers (-6) at Carolina Panthers

Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Los Angeles Rams

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Auburn (+29.5) at No. 2 Georgia

No. 8 Tennessee (-2.5) at No. 25 LSU

No. 17 TCU at No. 19 Kansas (Over 67.5)

No. 11 Utah (-3.5) at No. 18 UCLA

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