NFL 2019 Week 4 in Review

by Wager Home on October 1, 2019

There must have been something in the air. Week 4 of the 2019 season was a week full of upsets, some surprising, some not so much. Underdogs were 9-7 in Week 3, and Week 4 watched at eight more dogs pulled out wins. We’ll talk about a lot of it in this week’s NFL 2019 Week 4 in Review.

The Bucs upset of the Rams was one of many in Week 4

The Bucs upset of the Rams was one of many in Week 4

There was also another starting quarterback injury, which could upset the balance of power in the NFC North. If you’re looking for power in your aspiring bookie business, consider a pay per head free trial and put your career on autopilot. Now, back to Week 4.


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Upset Special

It all started on Thursday night when Philadelphia went into Green Bay and beat the Packers, who were 3-point favorites, 34-27. It continued over the weekend as we saw some shocking upsets, like the Cleveland Browns who were giving away a touchdown to the Baltimore Ravens.

In Baltimore no less, the Browns Nick Chubb did something not many running backs do against a Ravens defense. He rushed for 165 yards and scored three touchdowns to lead Cleveland to a rather easy 40-25 victory.

A similar surprise occurred in Los Angeles where Tampa Bay really had no business being able to play with the 3-0 Rams. Well, until the game started anyway. The Bucs never trailed and, despite being 9-point road dogs, crushed the Rams 55-40. Tampa Bay joined Carolina, Oakland, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and New Orleans as underdogs that won in Week 4.

Cover or Not to Cover

Detroit entered Week 4 unbeaten at 2-0-1 and a 7-point underdog at home against Kansas City. No one would have thought the Lions would have a shot to beat the NFL’s best offense, but they did. If not for a Chiefs touchdown in the final minute, Detroit would have pulled the upset. The Lions did, however, cover the spread losing 34-30.

A similar set of circumstances were found in Buffalo.

Two unbeaten teams – New England and the Bills – met with the home team a 7-point underdog. The Bills gave the Patriots everything they could handle. New England QB Tom Brady had one of the worst days of his career completing 18-of-39 passes for just 150 yards.

If not for four turnovers and a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, the Bills might have pulled the upset. Instead, they covered losing 16-10. There is always value to be found when betting football.

The Bills were a great value pick this week

The Bills were a great value pick this week

The Chargers were the week’s biggest favorite as NFL dud Miami was giving 15 points. The Dolphins continued their futility giving up 30 points or more for the fourth straight week while scoring just 10. The 30-10 allowed the Chargers to cover.

In addition to the Chargers, the Giants, Seahawks, Bears, and Steelers all won and covered in Week 4.

QB Injury Bug

The latest starting quarterback to go down was Chicago’s Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears starter was hurt on the sixth play of their game against Minnesota. He suffered a disclocated left shoulder that will not require surgery. The Bears head to London to play Oakland next week, and Trubisky is unlikely to play.

If you have Trubisky on your fantasy team, you may want to readjust your lineup. You may even want to look for another quarterback as Trubisky could miss a few weeks while healing.


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Contest Updates

The Westgate Supercontest is beginning to heat up as two contestants are starting to pull away from the rest of the pack. ER @ JAR and TUCO both 5-0 in Week 4 to move to 19-1 overall. The two share the top spot and they also shared the $15,000 1st Quarter Bonus. THE HUMAN FUND, TRAIHP86, and ZAMBUIE EXPRESS each went 5-0 in Week 4 to move to 17-3 overall just behind the leaders.

After three weeks in the Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge, SIRIUS-3 sits alone atop the leaderboard with a 17-3-1 record for 17.50 points. DETROIT LION-1 and MIDNIGHT RUN-1 are tied for second at 17-4-0 (17.00 points).

There are three entrants tied for first place in the Circa Sports Million Pro Football Contest. GOLDEN MONKEY, CB ELITE, and augiedawg each have a share of the lead with 13 points.

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Wager HomeNFL 2019 Week 4 in Review

NFL Week 3 2019 | Week in Review

by Wager Home on September 24, 2019

If you like upsets, Week 3 of the 2019 NFL season was full of them. Six dogs showed their bite upsetting the favorite, including the Detroit Lions who remain unbeaten after their win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Yes, the Lions are 2-0-1. Only three of Week 3’s straight up winners didn’t cover.

After two weeks of holding penalty after holding penalty, NFL officials dialed it back. The fewer holding calls had a direct impact on the Totals in Week 3. For those who want to know how to be a bookie, that is a piece of information that could help separate you from other pay per head services.

UPSETS

As mentioned, there were six upsets in Week 3, the biggest of which involved a rookie quarterback in New York. Daniel Jones, the sixth pick in this year’s NFL draft, stepped in and took over for veteran Eli Manning.

Daniel Jones stepped in and helped upset Tampa on Sunday

Daniel Jones stepped in and helped upset Tampa on Sunday

All Jones did was lead a fourth-quarter scoring drive and cap it off with a 7-yard touchdown run with just 1:16 to play to give the Giants their first victory of the season. Tampa Bay, the Giants opponent, was a 5-point favorite.

The other big upset in Week 3 was New Orleans heading to Seattle without Drew Brees. The Saints were 5-point underdogs but were never really challenged by the Seahawks. The 33-27 final score was not indicative of how the Saints dominated the game.

The Lions got a 100-yard kickoff return in a 27-24 upset of the Eagles. Philadelphia entered the game as a 4-point favorite. Houston won as a 3-point dog. Carolina beat Arizona as a 2.5-point dog and Jacksonville beat rival Tennessee on Thursday night. The Titans were favored by 1.5.

GOT YOU COVERED

Yes, Miami is still awful.

The Dolphins are so bad they were giving 22 points to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. With Ezekiel Elliott in the lineup, the Cowboys won 31-6 to cover. The Patriots were not as fortunate. New England was a 21-point favorite over the ailing New York Jets. Leading by 23 in the fourth quarter, the Jets Jamal Adams stepped in front of backup QB Jarrett Stidham’s pass and returned it 61 yards for a touchdown. Final score, 30-14.

Along with the Patriots, Buffalo and San Francisco were both straight up winners but failed to cover. The Bills were 6-point favorites over Cincinnati and won 21-17. San Francisco beat the hapless Pittsburgh Steelers 24-20 also as 6-point favorites.

The Vikings were 9-point favorites against Oakland. Running back Dalvin Cook rushed for over 100 yards for the third consecutive week and Minnesota won 34-14. NFC North foe Green Bay also covered as 7-point favorites against Denver. The Packers sacked Broncos QB Joe Flacco six times and won 27-16.

Indianapolis, Kansas City, the Rams, and the Bears all covered as well.


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MORE BAD NEWS FOR FANTASY OWNERS

If you thought Week 2 was bad for injuries, Week 3 wasn’t much better. The biggest injury news involves New England WR Julian Edelman. The veteran left in the second quarter of the Patriots win over the Jets. He has an apparent rib injury and will be day to day so fantasy owners will have to pay close attention.

Barkley went down with an ankle injury and is out 4-8 weeks

Barkley went down with an ankle injury and is out 4-8 weeks

The other big one was the Giants Saquon Barkley. The running back went down with an ankle injury and did not return. It was later diagnosed that Barkley suffered a high ankle sprain. He will be out four to eight weeks, which will leave many fantasy owners scrambling.

TOTAL TRENDS

With fewer holding calls in Week 3, NFL offenses were able to open up a little and put more points on the board. In Week 2, the Under hit in 13 of the 16 games. Minus the flags in Week 3, 10 games saw the Over hit. Moving forward, this is something a price per head sports book can track to offer great service to its bettors.

CONTEST UPDATES

No perfect records remain in the Westgate Supercontest. Week 3 left a blemish on a few of the leaders’ records. The top-5 is all tied up with 14-1 marks. TUCO, THE801CREW, PHATCAT, ER@JAR, and CHAMPION ICEMAN sit at the top of the leader board. Both ER@JAR and CHAMPION ICEMAN were a perfect 5-0 for the week.

The results of the Circa Sports Million have not been updated to reflect Week 3 results. Mikeybarts1-1 and Mikeybarts1-2 remain tied at the top of the leaderboard with 9.5 points. The same is true of the Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge. Rizzo (11-1-2) and Cuseboy (12-2) entered Week 3 each with 12 points to sit at the top of the standings.

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Wager HomeNFL Week 3 2019 | Week in Review

Finding Value in MLB 2019 Season’s Final Week

by Wager Home on September 22, 2019

The 2019 Major League Baseball is quietly nearing the end of the regular season as the NFL and NCAA college football give bettors a multitude of choices. With the NBA and NHL starting up in October, bettors have an absolute feast on which to gorge. The big question for bettors and those running their own pay per head bookie service is about value. Where can it be found?

Where can betting value be found?

Where can betting value be found?

As the end of the MLB season is upon us, bettors can find a ton of value in teams looking to advance to the postseason. Races are tight in both the National and American Leagues. Here’s how they are shaping up.


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National League

The favorite to win the NL is the Los Angeles Dodgers who, as of Saturday night, had an NL-high 99 wins. The Dodgers have clinched the West Division for the sixth straight season. Atlanta (96-60) has clinched the East and the St. Louis Cardinals are on their way to clinching the Central.

Where the heat is on is in the wild card race where Washington (85-68) and Milwaukee (85-70) control the league’s two spots. The Cubs (82-73) are doing a great job of working themselves right out of the playoff race.

Chicago has lost five straight, the last three to St. Louis, and is 2.5 games behind the Brewers in the Major League Baseball standings. The Cubs will face Pittsburgh and the Cardinals again to close the season. Chicago just swept the Pirates a little over a week ago.

What’s interesting about the Cubs is that in the three-game sweep of Pittsburgh they scored 47 runs. In their five consecutive losses, the Cubs lost four of those games by a single run. The other loss was by two. If Chicago continues to play as it has, they are a team to back especially since they can still make the postseason.

American League

Similar circumstances exist in the American League where World Series favorites Houston and the New York Yankees each have won 101 games already. Both teams have clinched playoff spots. The wild card race is also interesting in the AL.

Oakland, by virtue of its 94-61 record, holds the No. 1 wild card slot in the AL. The No. 2 spot is up for grabs between Tampa Bay (92-63) and Cleveland (91-64). Both the Rays and the Indians are doing their best to make sure they earn a postseason berth. Tampa Bay has won four of its last five games and the Indians have won five of their last six.

The Rays and Indians are fighting it out for the final AL Wild Card

The Rays and Indians are fighting it out for the final AL Wild Card


Must Read: Weekly Bookie Report- Sept. 20


Tampa Bay might have the tougher schedule, as they must face division rivals Boston and New York before closing the season at Toronto. Sports bettors might find it intriguing that the Rays play the Yankees at home and New York has already clinched the division. They might also find it interesting that the Yankees have won 12 of the 17 games the teams have played this season.

Cleveland will face Central Division foe Chicago in a three-game series and then finish the season at Washington. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games and are playing as well as anyone. They have averaged over five runs a game over their last six games and have one of the AL’s better road records at 43-32.

MLB action at this time of year is perfect for the aspiring bookie. There’s a ton of value to be found, especially among the teams vying for the wild card spots in their respective leagues. A pay per head free trial can show you how easy it is to provide outstanding value and service to your bettors.

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Wager HomeFinding Value in MLB 2019 Season’s Final Week

Weekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 20

by Wager Home on September 20, 2019

September presses on with the first few weeks of the new football season dominating the US sports betting scene. The college season heads into Week 4 while the NFL gears up for its third week of games. The final few weeks of the MLB regular season is still attracting some baseball betting action, especially on games in the tight NL Central Division title race.

One of the stronger betting tendencies in the NFL is overreactions to the early results. Teams like New England and Kansas City in the AFC and Dallas and the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC have been dominant in their first two games. However, the overall results have been highly favorable to bookies with underdogs covering at a much higher rate.

Quickly moving betting lines can save your bookie business

Quickly moving betting lines can save your bookie business

The ability to quickly move betting lines with your quality pay per head service while making changes to your betting board is vital in the early weeks of the football season given the knee-jerk reaction of bettors this time of the year.

Season-to-Date Football Betting Results

Through the first three weeks of games, college football favorites have won 87.2 percent of the time straight-up to add some higher value on betting moneylines. Factoring in the closing spread, things even out with favorites covering in 52.2 percent of the games.

One trend really benefitting bookies is the tight winning percentages against the spread for home teams (49.5%) vs. road teams (50.5%). The closing total line slightly favors the UNDER at 52.2%.

Turning to the betting trends through the first two weeks of the NFL season, the favorites have only won 64.5 percent of the time SU. The home team’s winning percentage stands at 45.2%.

Betting road dogs ATS continues to be the strongest play with a winning rate of 72.2 percent in 19 games. In contrast, home dogs have only covered 38.5 percent of the time through 13 games.


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Underdogs in general have covered 58.1 percent of the time. Betting the UNDER on the total line has been a profitable play with a winning rate of 62.5%.

Turning to last week’s results in Westgate’s NFL SuperContest, players were all over Cleveland with 2053 picks to easily top the list. Dallas and Pittsburgh were second on the list at 966 picks with Cincinnati (804) and the Los Angeles Rams (785) rounding out the Top 5 teams.

Early NFL Week 3 Consensus Picks

The early betting consensus for Week 3 NFL games heavily leans towards the Rams as three-point road favorites against Cleveland for Sunday Night Football’s featured matchup. Also high on the list is New England as a 22.5-point home favorite against the New York Jets.

Bettors are also jumping on Dallas as a 21.5-point home favorite against the Miami Dolphins. The Arizona Cardinals are attracting quite a bit of action as slight 2.5-point home underdogs against Carolina with Panthers’ quarterback Cam Newton still questionable for Sunday’s contest.

This Weekend’s Big Betting Games

The Big Ten is in the spotlight on this Saturday’s college football slate with No. 11 Michigan on the road against No. 13 Wisconsin in a huge inter-division showdown. The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points at home and they have covered ATS in their last five home games against the Wolverines. The total for this 12 p.m. kickoff on FOX is set at 44 points.

The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points over the Wolverines at home

The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points over the Wolverines at home

One of the top matchups on Sunday’s NFL slate pits the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens on the road against the 2-0 Kansas City Chiefs in a 1 p.m. start on CBS. The Chiefs are favored by 6.5 points with the total set at 52.5 points. The Ravens have a slight 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Kansas City.

MLB bettors can look forward to a huge NL Central showdown between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs in an extended four-game series starting on Thursday night at Wrigley Field.

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Wager HomeWeekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 20

NFL Week 2 2019 | Week in Review

by Wager Home on September 18, 2019

The NFL betting world can calm down now. After the typical Week 1 overreactions, Week 2 showed bettors that one week does not make a season. For some teams, Week 2 was the entire season as the theme was injuries. We’ll bring you the NFL Week 2 2019 Week in Review.

There were quite a few that will affect the rest of the 2019 season. We saw some big line changes in the Browns-Jets game due to Jets QB Sam Darnold’s case of mononucleosis. Remember, you can track line changes with the right pay per head software. On to the Week 2 recap…

WINNERS

A number of teams remained 2-0 SU with wins in Week 2. The Patriots, Rams, 49ers, Seahawks, Bills, Ravens, Packers, Chiefs, and Cowboys all remain unbeaten. The Patriots were the weekend’s biggest favorite at -18 over the dumpster fire that is the Miami Dolphins. New England assured it would cover with two pick-six touchdown returns within two minutes of each other.

The Chiefs were a 7-point favorite over their rival Oakland. Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes threw four second quarter touchdowns to ensure the Chiefs would cover. The Ravens weren’t as fortunate. Baltimore was a 13-point favorite against Arizona and failed to cover. The Ravens actually had the ball at the Cardinals 5-yard line with 1:21 to play but decided to run the clock out.

The Ravens are 2-0, but failed to cover against the Cardinals

The Ravens are 2-0, but failed to cover against the Cardinals

Pittsburgh was a four-point favorite at home against Seattle, but fell victim to the upset. The Seahawks won 28-26. It was one of five upsets in Week 2. Detroit got a 31-yard Matthew Stafford TD pass with 7:21 to play to beat the Chargers who were 2.5-point favorites.

Julio Jones turned a short pass into a 54-yard touchdown and the Falcons beat Philadelphia, a 1-point favorite. Tampa Bay beat Carolina in Charlotte. The Panthers were 6.5-point favorites. Tennessee was a 3-point favorite but lost to Indianapolis 19-17.


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INJURIES & FANTASY

The big news from Week 2 revolves around injuries, especially those suffered by quarterbacks. Fantasy owners will want to act quickly as Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger is out for the season. Roethlisberger suffered an elbow injury that will require surgery.

Brees' injury will sideline him 6-8 weeks

Brees’ injury will sideline him 6-8 weeks

New Orleans will be without Drew Brees who injured the thumb on his throwing hand. While not as serious as Roethlisberger, Brees will have surgery to repair the damage and will miss at least six weeks. Both injuries will surely affect betting lines in the weeks to come. Bookie software can help aspiring bookmakers track those changes.

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CONTEST UPDATES

Five entries in the Westgate SuperContest remain unbeaten at 10-0 – Phat Cat, Dead Last, TUCO, The 801 Crew, and Rabbit Hunting. All five bet on Cleveland and the New York Jets. Another five entries went 5-0 for the week to remain 9-1 on the season.

The most picked game in the Circa Sports Million Pro Football Contest was the Steelers at -4. Mikeybarts 1-1 and Mikeybarts 1-2 remain tied at the top of the leaderboard with 9.5 points. Four other entries are tied for third with 9.0 points.

Two teams remain tied for first in the Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge. Rizzo (11-1-2) and Cuseboy (12-2-0) each have 12 points out of a possible 14. Cousin Sal went a perfect 7-0 in Week 2 choosing the following: Houston Cougars +7, West Virginia +6.5, Temple+7, Oklahoma -22.5, Kansas City -7.5, Denver +2.5, and Atlanta +1.5. Last year’s champion Monsterloc sits in 13th place.

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Wager HomeNFL Week 2 2019 | Week in Review

A Look at Your Best Bets for NFL Week 2

by Wager Home on September 14, 2019

After Week 1 of the new NFL season, you are going to hear it all. The Dolphins are no better than an average college team. The Bears might never score again. Atlanta’s horrible and Lamar Jackson is going to win the league’s MVP award. Your bookie software might be going a little hyperactive, but don’t worry it will calm down. We’ll have a look at your best bets for NFL Week 2. We learned plenty in Week 1 and we’ve seen plenty of line action as we head into Week 2.

Patriots-Dolphins Movement

After last week’s fiasco – a 59-10 loss to Baltimore – the Dolphins opened as 15-point underdogs against New England. If sportsbooks were thinking the +15 would be enough to get the sharps betting on Miami, they were mistaken. The line has moved as high as +19.5 at Matchbook.

The Pats are as high as a 19.5-point favorite

The Pats are as high as a 19.5-point favorite

Fun fact: no team in the Super Bowl era has ever been favored by more than 18 points playing on the road before October. The Patriots are the first. There have been two 18-point favorites, one in 1969 and the other in 1970. On both occasions, the underdog was shut out and failed to cover.

Easy on the Ravens Love

Lamar Jackson had a great day last week. He threw five touchdown passes and Baltimore rolled up nearly 650 yards of total offense. They also did it against what is likely the worst defense in the NFL. The Ravens opened as a 13-point favorite and the line has not moved much.

What has shifted is the Total.

After opening at 42.5, the Total shot up to 46.5 where it currently sits at most of the top online sportsbooks. The Cardinals defense gave up 27 points to Detroit last week, while rookie QB Kyler Murray led a furious comeback to produce 27 points for Arizona.

Hey, mix the Ravens and Cardinals together and you see why the sharps are betting the Over.

 


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Rematch

The Saints and Rams meet once again in a rematch of last year’s NFC title game.

The infamous Saints no-call

The infamous Saints no-call

In regular season games, the home team has won this game on the past six occasions. That includes last year’s 45-35 Saints win in New Orleans. It’s no surprise then that the Rams opened as 2.5-point favorites.

The Total opened at 54, but was pushed down as low as 52 by early betting action. Both teams can push the pace on offense. Last season, the Rams and Saints finished second and third in the league, respectively, in scoring. Expect a lot of points and keep in mind that New Orleans is 21-8 ATS when playing as an underdog.

QB Issues

With the right pay per head service, you can sit back and relax even as some lines go crazy, like those with the Browns and Jets. Cleveland opened as a three-point favorite on the road, but after a poor performance last Sunday, the line dropped to -2.5. Concerns over Jets RB Le’Veon Bell and LB C.J. Mosley moved the line back to 3.0.

Then, it got seemingly worse for the Jets. Quarterback Sam Darnold was diagnosed with mono and is out indefinitely. That means backup Trevor Siemian will start. Lines shifted dramatically with the Browns now a 6.5-point favorite. If Bell and Mosley play, this could be interesting. The last time Cleveland was favored on the road by at least five points was 1995.

Yes, Bill Belichick was the Browns head coach.

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Wager HomeA Look at Your Best Bets for NFL Week 2

Weekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 12

by Wager Home on September 12, 2019

The first two weeks of the college football season are in the books along with the opening round of games in a new NFL season. Along with the race to the MLB playoffs and this year’s World Series, the betting action has been hot across the board in the early part of September. Here is your Weekly Bookie Betting Report for September 12th, 2019.


Your Sportsbook Solution leaders

Your Sportsbook Solution leaders

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Offering a diversified betting board is a key aspect of improving any private bookie’s overall hold percentage. Too much of a reliance on football can actually work against your overall bottom line. It is far more profitable to spread the action out to multiple betting options than taking an all or nothing approach to the action you take in on the biggest football games that particular week. Working with the right pay per head site can help you expand your board accordingly.

Early Football Betting Results

In the college ranks, going chalk of the favorites straight-up has produced a 89.3 winning percentage over the first two weeks. Factoring in the closing spread, this rate drops to 50.3% with the Oddsmakers dead on their game.

The only significant edge is a 54.2 winning percentage against the spread for road favorites. There is no appreciable difference betting home teams (49.03%) and road teams (40.97%) ATS over a combined 159 games. Early college football results on the total line slightly favor the UNDER at 52.8%.

The betting results for the first 16 NFL games of the season were a mixed bag depending on your actual closing lines. The general consensus of online books have the favorites going 10-5-1 SU with a 6-9-1 record ATS. Home teams took it on the chin with a 5-10-1 record ATS. The total went over the closing line in nine of the 16 games.

Looking back at last week’s results for this season’s Westgate Las Vegas NFL SuperContest picks, Baltimore garnered the most action in its romp over Miami with 1080 picks. Indianapolis was a close second at 1052 with a PUSH against the Chargers. Houston was third on the list at 904 bets with a successful cover against New Orleans. Quite a few bettors also took it on the chin betting Tampa Bay and Denver as the two biggest losers.

This week’s early consensus leans heavily towards Dallas at 86 percent as a 4.5-point road favorite against Washington in a bitter NFC East rivalry. The Carolina Panthers get the early lean at 83 percent as seven-point home favorites for Thursday night’s NFC South clash against Tampa Bay. Rounding out the Top 3 is the Chicago Bears at 83 percent. They will be on the road against Denver as 2.5-point favorites in a late Sunday afternoon start.

83 percent of the public like the Panthers ATS

83 percent of the public like the Panthers ATS

The Weekend’s Big Betting Games

While the Week 3 college football schedule does not have any head-to-head matchups between nationally ranked teams, No. 1 Clemson on the road against Syracuse could be considered a game of interest, and one those operating a bookie website need to monitor.

Two years ago, the Orange stunned Clemson 27-24 closing as 23.5-point home favorites. Last season, the Tigers sweated out a 27-23 victory at home as 24.5-point favorites. The gap between the two teams this season appears to be rather wide with Clemson favored by 28 points.

The top showdown in the NFL this Sunday pits Minnesota on the road as a three-point underdog against Green Bay. Each of these NFC North rivals are coming off a big win in their openers. They are also neck-and-neck in most NFL futures odds to win the division title this season. The early edge for the winner this Sunday afternoon could be significant.

The early lean on the betting consensus favors the Vikings at 59 percent. The betting line has also moved in that direction after the Packers opened as 3.5-point favorites.

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Wager HomeWeekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 12

NFL Week 1 2019 | Week in Review

by Wager Home on September 10, 2019

If only we could all start our own bookie website. Action from Week 1 of the NFL was fierce, and plenty of bettors and bookies alike walked home with a little extra in their wallets. Now we bring you the NFL Week 1 in review.

Well, almost everyone.

Adam Vinatieri’s missed extra point early in the Colts-Chargers game proved to be a difference-maker in the game ending as a push.


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Five underdogs stepped up and won in Week 1 starting with the NFL’s kickoff game in Chicago. Green Bay went in and gave the Bears a dose of their own medicine in a 10-3 Packers win. Green Bay was one of four road dogs – Buffalo, Tennessee, and San Francisco – that won in Week 1. Oakland, a three-point underdog with the Antonio Brown saga finally solved, went on to pound Denver at home on Monday night.

New England, a 5.5-point favorite over the Steelers absolutely pounded Pittsburgh and won by 30. Similarly, the Ravens made Miami look like a high school defense in putting up 59 points easily covering the seven-point spread.

Minnesota, Kansas City, and Dallas all covered. The Chiefs and Cowboys got big days from their quarterbacks – Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott – while the Vikings ran the ball 38 times for 172 yards in a 28-12 win over Atlanta.

Prescott went 25 for 32 with 405 yards and 4 TDs in Week 1

Prescott went 25 for 32 with 405 yards and 4 TDs in Week 1

Injury Update

Probably the biggest news on the injury wire from Week 1 was the Chiefs loss of WR Tyreek Hill. Hill, who had some offseason legal difficulties, hurt a shoulder early in Kansas City’s win over Jacksonville on Sunday. Hill will likely miss several weeks, but it doesn’t appear that he will be placed on injured reserve.

In the same game, Jaguars QB Nick Foles broke his left clavicle in the first quarter and was replaced by rookie Gardner Minshew. Foles will have surgery and will probably be placed on injured reserve and will be expected to return late in the season.

Other injuries in Week 1 that could affect any budding pay per head business include both Baker Mayfield and Mahomes. Mayfield bruised his right wrist and Mahomes suffered a sprained ankle. Neither should miss any time. Colts WR Devin Funchess may have a broken collarbone. Bengals RB Joe Mixon suffered an injury to his right ankle against Seattle and Chargers WR Mike Williams hurt a knee in the second half of their win over Jacksonville.

Latest Fantasy News

Hopefully fantasy football owners drooling over Tyreek Hill were smart enough to draft Sammy Watkins as a backup. With Hill out, Watkins became Mahomes go-to guy and ended up with nine catches, 198 yards, and three touchdowns.

Those with Foles as their starting quarterback (or even as a backup) will have to scramble. Foles’ backup, Minshew, actually played pretty well completing 22-of-25 passes for 275 yards and two touchdowns. He will become the starter until Foles returns.

Pittsburgh’s JuJu Smith-Schuster is now questionable for Week 2. Add him to the list of Foles, Mixon, Tevin Coleman, and Derrius Guice. For those scouring waiver wires, take a long look at guys like WR Marquise Brown and RB Malcolm Brown.

Brown, the receiver, caught two touchdown passes from Lamar Jackson in Baltimore and Brown the running back had 53 yards on 11 carries backing up Todd Gurley for the Rams. Before we move on, don’t miss our latest social media posts, and follow us on Twitter @Wagerhome today!

We will be here all season long giving you the news and notes to help you win more bets and pick the perfect fantasy team to get you in the money. Make Wagerhome your home for football information.

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Wager HomeNFL Week 1 2019 | Week in Review

NFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview by Wagerhome.com

by Wager Home on August 13, 2019

NFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview

 

With the NFL preseason now fully underway and the first meaningful contest inside a month, another NFL season ripe with sports betting opportunity is upon us. The league’s extreme popularity has forced most on and offshore sportsbooks pay per head to post Week 1 many months in advance, in addition to season win totals and other season-long props. With preseason games already complete, teams are starting to take form and the lines are already starting to tighten. Let’s look at some of the first week’s games and see where the edges still exist.

NFL week 1

Week 1 NFL

 

Bears quarterback Mitchell Trubisky indicated improvement throughout the 2018 season, but I’m still not buying totally in. For the Packers, it’s been another dramatic offseason for Aaron Rodgers who has been forced to yet again defend himself and his character in the media for seemingly the entire spring and summer. Assuming no incident in what should be limited preseason action, Rodgers should be fully healthy for the first time since this time last year and as good as the Bear’s defense was last year and should be this season, I’ll still take a healthy Rodgers when it counts. As September approaches, I think this line also dips to below a field goal with the public jumping on Green Bay.

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Bears VS Packers

 

Los Angeles Rams (-3) @ Carolina Panthers

 

The last time we saw an NFL game that mattered, we witnessed Sean McVay and his Rams get one of the worst coaching beat-downs in the history of the Super Bowl. The offensive strategist McVay has now been given the entire offseason to prepare for what has been a one-dimensional Cam Newton-lead team with an aging roster and simple-minded Ron Rivera. In this one, give me the team that’s better on both sides of the ball and undoubtedly in the coaching department. Currently sitting at -3, I could see this point spread dipping to below a field goal by kickoff and might be worth waiting on.

sports gambling

Rams VS Panthers

 

Indianapolis Colts (+3) @ Los Angeles Chargers

 

This line originally opened as high as Colts +3.5 and has since been bet down to where it sits now. As week one approaches, I see the number continuing to dip, pending any injuries in training camp or a preseason game. The Colts finished off the 2018 campaign as one of the hottest in the NFL, winning 10 of their last 12 games including a blowout win in the playoffs game against the Texans. Most offshore and local sportsbooks also have the Colts as one of their top teams to win Super Bowl LIV at +1400, with the Chargers closer to +1600. With little to no field advantage yet again, I expect the Colts to be able to take advantage of this opening spot in LA.

bookie software

Colts VS Chargers

 

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Wager HomeNFL: Lookahead Week 1 Betting Preview by Wagerhome.com

How pay per head bookies can generate revenue from the NFL throughout the year.

by Wager Home on May 7, 2019

      The NFL is one of the most popular leagues in the USA and not only in terms of sports fans, but also in the world of betting. It is estimated that around 118 million Americans place bets on games every year. Bookies have to take advantage of the high popularity of the sport to increase their profits and create an NFL revenue stream throughout the year. The question that arises then is: How can Local pay per head sportsbooks generate NFL revenue throughout the year? 

      The answer is through a broad catalog of betting options for the NFL. Since nowadays the players look for variety. Although the bets to choose the winner of a game are still among the most popular, not all bettors opt for this type of bets. It is for this reason that in the betting industry a wide variety of betting options have emerged to satisfy the tastes of all types of players. One of the types of bets that can ensure good income to bookies even months before the start of the NFL season is the Total Bets.

      The type of Total Bets that the bookies can begin to promote among their bettors are the 2019 NFL Win Total Bets, because they are updated immediately after the results of the Draft Day, since after this event we can have a clear idea of the roster of each team for the regular season so it can better predict their possible performance and thus determine the possible amount of games they can win during the season.

      The 2019 NFL Win Total Bets updated from the main teams are the following:

New England Patriots, 2019 Win Total: 11 (over -150 / under +130)

Kansas City Chiefs, 2019 Win Total: 10.5 (over -120 / under +100)

Los Angeles Rams, 2019 Win Total: 10.5 (over + 100 / under -120)

New Orleans Saints, 2019 Win Total: 10.5 (over -110 / under -110)

Chicago Bears, 2019 Win Total: 9 (over -120 / under +100)

Indianapolis Colts, 2019 Win Total: 9.5 (over -140 / under +120)

Philadelphia Eagles, 2019 Win Total: 9.5 (over -150 / under +130)

Cleveland Browns, 2019 Win Total: 9 (over -130 / under +110)

      This type of total bets offers bettors the possibility of choosing if a team is going to be kept Under that number of possible wins or insisted it would go Over that number of possible winnings. This is the key that allows bookies to generate income from this type of betting, since most bettors always choose the Over side. For example in the case of the Pats last season they won 11 games. The big difference is that for this season they do not have one of their key players Rob Gronkowski, to this is added that during the draft they did not fill the position left by Gronk and let go of their third tight end Jacob Hollister who was with the team since 2017. While the Pats are a great team they are likely not to meet the 11-win quota. Despite this, the bettors will have no doubts about placing their bets on the Over due to the history and prestige of the Pats, the bookies must take this into account to properly balance each side of the bet and not allow the action to go to a single side, because if this happens it can put profits at risk and even the entire business in trouble. 

       To get the most out of the 2019 NFL Win Total Bets and handle them in the best way the bookies need to have a state-of-the-art pay per head sportsbook software, one of the best options in the market is Wagerhome.com, since their sportsbook platform offers bookies access to a broad catalog of betting lines which can be customized or changed as needed. The software that Wagerhome.com makes available to bookies is one of the most powerful and easy to use in the industry, which means that the local pay per head bookies will have everything they need to manage and grow their betting business in a turnkey sportsbook solution.     

      Wagerhome.com is one of the Pay Per Head companies with the most experience in the betting industry and is one of the few that cares about exceeding the needs of its clients. Take the step towards to a more lucrative betting business, search on twitter for @wagerhome, call toll-free at # 1-800-728-8509 or send an email to info@wagerhome.com to join the team of the best Pay Per Head provider in the industry.

Browns/Mayfield  

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Nfl pay per head win totals

Wagerhome.com NFL 2019 season win totals

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Wager HomeHow pay per head bookies can generate revenue from the NFL throughout the year.