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NFL Week 12 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2021

It’s Thanksgiving weekend, which means lots and lots of food, lots and lots of football, and conversations around the dinner table about which are the best bets to place on a long NFL weekend. Below are some of our best NFL Week 12 betting picks!

Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

You may not be targeting the Falcons and Jaguars as one of the matchups you want to watch. Fair enough, the two teams have combined for some really bad football. But this is a game that you’ll want to bet.

As bad as the Falcons have looked at times – 43-3 vs. Dallas and 25-0 vs. New England – there are times when the Falcons have looked good. They have four wins, including an impressive win on the road at New Orleans. And they have been beating teams like the Jags, with wins over the Giants, Jets, and Dolphins.

Watching these two teams may not be on your weekend viewing schedule. But the Falcons are a good bet to win on the road in Jacksonville, and this game should be on your betting slip.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

The Patriots have a rookie quarterback and a collection of no-name wide receivers. But they have a coach by the name of Bill Belichick and one of the best defenses in football.

A win on Sunday, and incredibly, the Patriots could find themselves as the top seed in the AFC. Just a few weeks ago, the Bills were going to win the AFC East. Now the Pats are in the first place, and they have the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games.

Even before the Titans lost to Houston, there were concerns about Tennessee and its offense. Those concerns become even more amplified against a defense like New England’s and a coach like Belichick. Tennessee’s fall without Derrick Henry continues on Sunday, the Patriots win streak rolls on, and they win by more than a touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers are good again, which is fun. They’ve won three of four games, climbed back into the playoff race, rookie Elijah Mitchell is turning into a star, and Deebo Samuel is having a season for the ages.

The problem this week for the 49ers is that they face a team that has been good all season long, even if the record hasn’t cooperated. Like San Francisco, Minnesota is 5-5, but they are three field goals away from being 8-2.

Last week the game-winning field goal finally went in their favor, and they beat Green Bay. This week will be another close game and another win for the Vikings.

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NCAA Football Week 13 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2021

Thanksgiving week gives us an expanded college football weekend, with games on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. And that makes for an expanded weekend of college football betting. Below are our best NCAA Football Week 13 bets!

Mississippi (+1) at Mississippi State

Thanksgiving night, we are treated to the annual Egg Bowl and the high scoring that we are sure to see.

Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers has been on fire. Two weeks ago, against Auburn, he threw for 415 yards and six touchdowns. Last week vs. Tennessee State had added another 391 yards and five touchdowns. He is clearly the right fit for Mike Leach’s air raid offense.

On the other side, we have Lane Kiffin and the Rebels riding a three-game winning streak. Quarterback Matt Corral doesn’t have the gaudy numbers that Rogers has, but his leadership qualities has him currently the first QB on the board for next year’s NFL draft.

He ripped his team after beating Vanderbilt by just two touchdowns and told his team that if they put forth a similar effort against Mississippi State, they will lose.

Corral, Kiffin, and the rest of Ole Miss get it together this week and manage to pull off the win.

Iowa (-1.5) at Nebraska

One of our early Friday games features a Big Ten clash between two teams going in opposite directions. Nebraska has lost five straight games, and they will not be eligible for a bowl game when the season ends. Seven of their eight losses have been by one score, but that is a small moral victory in a season of losses.

Meanwhile, Iowa has won three straight games, has been bowl eligible for a month and a half, and their defense ranks first in the nation with 22 interceptions.

Nebraska has been competitive, thus the small point spread. But Iowa is rolling, and their defense is simply too good. Take the Hawkeyes and lay the points.

Oregon State (+7) at Oregon

In each of the last two meetings, Oregon State covered the spread, including an outright win in 2020. But that game was in Corvallis, and we’re back in Eugene this year. Advantage, Ducks.

Oregon has won 11 of the last 13 meetings, and in 2017 they won by 59 points, and in 2018 they won by 40. Advantage, Ducks.

But this year’s Oregon team is not nearly as good as those. They lost at Stanford, were just demolished by Utah last week, and they’ve failed to cover seven times this year. Meanwhile, the Beavers are 7-4 against the spread, are coming off big wins against Stanford and Arizona State, and will do well enough against their rivals to cover another spread.

Take OSU and the points.

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NFL Week 11 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 17, 2021

Week 10 was the week of blowouts, with six wins by 20 points or more and another two wins by 17 points. Which point spreads are safe for NFL Week 11?

Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb is expected back for the Browns running game, while the status for Kareem Hunt remains unclear. But to be fair, D’Ernest Johnson had 157 total yards in their absence on Sunday, and the Browns still got blown out.

Getting their running backs healthy won’t help much. The Cleveland defense is incredibly disappointing, and Baker Mayfield continues to rack up the injuries and below-average performances.

Detroit, on the other hand, is more competitive than not. In two of the three games in which they have been at least a touchdown underdog, they have covered the spread. They lost to the Ravens by two, the Rams by nine, the Vikings by two, and they tied the Steelers.

The Browns will win on Sunday, but the Lions keep the final score to within one touchdown.

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

Panthers fans were desperate to welcome back Christian McCaffrey throughout the month of October. That’s gone well, with 257 total yards for McCaffrey in the last two weeks.

Unexpectedly, however, was the welcoming back of Cam Newton. The last time these two played significant time together, the Panthers had a top-10 offense.

The McCaffrey-Newton combo isn’t going to become top-10 this season, but a bit of offensive resurgence isn’t unexpected. And when you consider how the Carolina defense is playing, don’t be surprised if the Panthers make the playoffs.

Washington is coming off a huge win, but a big loss of Chase Young to a torn ACL. CMC has a big day against WFT, and the Panthers cover this spread.

New York Giants (+11.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Yes, Tom Brady is angry after two straight losses, and he wants to take out his frustrations on the next opponent. Yes, it was the Giants who beat Brady twice in the Super Bowl, and he always enjoys beating them. But no, the issues with the Bucs will not be solved by the will of Tom Brady.

A very limited Washington offense just drove the ball 80 yards on 19 plays to seal the win over the Bucs. Brady can’t cover for that. Richard Sherman is now out with a calf injury, and it’s unclear when he might return. Vita Vea will also be out of the game because of an injury.

The wide receivers are banged up, the defense is short-handed, and the Giants will go into Tampa Bay and cover the spread. Take the points and New York.

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NCAA Football Week 12 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2021

Only two full weeks of the college football season remain, then it’s on to the conference championship games. So be sure to get your NCAA Football Week 12 bets in for this coming Saturday.

No. 7 Michigan State at No. 5 Ohio State (-19)

Both teams are in the top 10, and both are 9-1. Which makes the 19-point spread seem too big on the surface. But when we take a closer look, it might not be high enough.

Ohio State’s lone loss was way back in Week 2 at Oregon. It’s hard to compare who the Buckeyes are now vs. who they were in early September. Michigan State’s lone loss came just two weeks ago, at Purdue. The Spartans lost to Purdue by 11 points, who then went to Columbus the next week and lost to Ohio State by 28.

That 39-point swing between MSU and OSU isn’t a perfect extrapolation, but when you consider that Ohio State has six wins of at least 20 points, and Michigan State has just one, you can begin to see the differences.

In the Big Ten, the Buckeyes are in a league by themselves, and they will beat Michigan State by three touchdowns or more.

No. 11 Baylor (-1) at Kansas State

What does Baylor have to do to get respect? They just knocked off the previously unbeaten Oklahoma Sooners, have a previous win against Texas, and they beat Iowa State, who was ranked 14th at the time.

K-State’s most impressive home win came against West Virginia last week, a team outside the top-50 and one that lost to Baylor by 25 points in Week 6.

Baylor hasn’t been great when playing on the road, but one of their two losses came at top-10 Oklahoma State. One point at the Wildcats just doesn’t seem like enough for a team that is playing its best football of the season. At that small spread, a bet on Baylor comes with great value.

No. 13 Wake Forest at Clemson Tigers (-4.5)

Clearly, Clemson isn’t what it was with Trevor Lawrence at quarterback. The Tigers have taken a step back, while Wake Forest has taken a big step forward. The Demon Deacons were below .500 last season. Now they are at the top of the ACC and ranked 13th in the nation.

But Clemson has that 32-game home winning streak, and even though they aren’t in the College Football Playoff picture for the first time since 2015, they are still good. And Clemson Memorial Stadium, better known as Death Valley, is a tough place for any road team to play.

Not only does the 32-game winning streak not end on Saturday, Clemson covers the 4.5-point spread.

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NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 10, 2021

The NFL has officially reached the halfway point, with nine weeks in the books and nine more weeks to go. As we kick off the second half, let’s begin with a look at NFL Week 10’s best point spread bets.

New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3)

We were all very impressed with the Saints after they beat the Bucs in Week 8. There is simply something that New Orleans has over Tampa Bay, now with three straight wins over them in the regular season.

The problem is the rest of the league and their unsettled situation at quarterback. As 6.5-point favorites last week against the Falcons, the Saints lost outright. And now they get the hottest team in the AFC and on the road, no less. Three points just don’t feel like enough.

The Titans have beaten the Bills, Chiefs, Colts, and Rams in succession, and in all four games, Tennessee was the underdog. No Derrick Henry, no problem last week on the road in Los Angeles.

This team is very good, it’s not getting the respect it deserves from the betting public, and that is to your advantage. Take the Titans and lay the points.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5)

Maybe it was rust from Dak Prescott’s injury layoff. Maybe it was simply a case of one team not taking the other one seriously.

Whatever was the case with the Cowboys embarrassing loss to the Broncos on Sunday, Dallas has a score to settle. They are still a very good team and one of the NFC’s favorites. The only thing scarier than an offense of Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Amari Cooper, and Ezekiel Elliott is when those four stars are angry.

Give the Falcons credit for figuring out how to make Cordarrelle Paterson one of the most interesting weapons in football and to make the pick of a tight end in the top-five look good. But as plucky as Atlanta has been, this game will be all Cowboys.

Dallas wins by at least 10 points and covers this spread.

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

Even if Aaron Rodgers plays in this game, two weeks of being banned from the practice facility and not being able to prepare for the Seahawks will have an effect.

And if we learn on Saturday that Jordan Love is going to get another start, this line is going to go heavily for the Seahawks. So get in now while the getting is still good.

Russell Wilson is back and healthy, and he will provide a much-needed lift for Seattle. Even with a full-strength Rodgers, the Pack has won three games by only three points or less.

Take Wilson and the Seahawks with the points.

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NCAA Football Week 11 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 9, 2021

We’re in the final weeks of the college football season, and teams are jockeying for position in both the upcoming conference championship games and with the hopes that a College Football Playoff is in their future. Let’s take a look at the best bets for the NCAA Football Week 11!

Cincinnati Bearcats (-23) at South Florida Bulls

The Cincinnati Bearcats is one such team with College Football Playoff dreams that are in danger of not being realized. The Bearcats are still undefeated, but they aren’t collecting a lot of impressive wins. Cincinnati began October in impressive fashion, beating Notre Dame and then recording huge wins over Temple and Central Florida.

Since then, however, it was a touchdown victory over Navy, plus an eight-point win over Tulsa. It’s been three straight wins without a cover, and they are missing the cover by an average of 15 points per game. Against Navy, they missed by a full three touchdowns.

This is the week that changes and Cincinnati responds. Needing a big win, they get it and beat South Florida by at least four touchdowns.

Texas A&M at Mississippi (+2.5)

The mid-season stretch that saw Texas A&M lose two consecutive games is a distant memory. After losing to Arkansas and Mississippi State, the Aggies upset Alabama and have been on cruise control ever since.

Four straight covers, beginning with Alabama, is making Texas A&M one of the best bets in college football. Most recently was a 20-3 win over Auburn, where the defense was its most dominating self. A&M is giving up just 14 points and 318 yards per game.

Ole Miss is coming off another big performance by quarterback Matt Corral. He threw for 324 yards last Saturday and has the Rebels averaging 9.2 yards per pass play. They’re also averaging almost 36 points per game.

At home, and with the way Corral is playing, it’s nice to get points, even against a good team like A&M. Take Mississippi and the points.

Oklahoma at Baylor (+5.5)

Oklahoma has its sights set on the College Football Playoff, even as the Sooner have been up and down all year long. Up, in that, they remain a perfect 9-0. But down, in that, there have been a number of close calls, and pre-season Heisman Trophy favorite Spencer Rattler has been benched.

The benching has worked, with Caleb Williams proving more than capable of leading the Sooners. But still, they are underperforming as a team. Beating Kansas by 12, with the spread at 38, as a prime example. It makes this weekend’s game at Baylor interesting.

The Bears are tough, especially in Waco, and they have covered six of their nine games this season. Against Oklahoma, they will make it seven in 10 games. Take Baylor and the points.

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NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 3, 2021

When the dust settles on Monday night, we will officially be halfway done with the regular season. So let’s end the first half on a high note and hit on all of these bets for NFL Week 9.

New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

The Patriots had been getting close, with almost victories against both the Buccaneers and the Cowboys. But little things were getting in the way, and we weren’t quite sure if they could figure out how to fix them.

Going into Los Angeles, beating the Chargers, and making Justin Herbert look nothing more than average is an excellent start. And coming on the heels of a 41-point drubbing of the Jets isn’t bad either.

The tale of the tape is this: Mac Jones is better than Sam Darnold, and as good as Carolina’s defense has played, New England’s is playing even better. Matt Rhule is also a good head coach, but Bill Belichick is still the master.

Patriots win this game by at least a touchdown. Take the Pats and lay the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

A two-game skid sandwiched around the bye week is not how the Chargers envisioned ending the month of October. They’ve gone from first place in the AFC West to fighting for the wild card lives. But there is simply too much talent on this team to believe this kind of play continues.

The losses to the Ravens and Patriots were bad, but the Eagles are also bad – not including their demolition of the Lions last week. Prior to the skid, the Chargers had covered three consecutive point spreads. Remove the Lions from the equation, and the Eagles have covered just three of seven games.

L.A. wins at Philadelphia by at least a touchdown.

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Welcome to a world in which we expect the Bengals to win football games. Such is life when you have weapons like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.

It’s because of this new world that we look at what happened to the Bengals last week against the Jets as an aberration and not a trend. The Titans lost to the Jets and have won four straight since. Cincinnati should also bounce back in a similar fashion, beginning this weekend against their Ohio rival.

Gone are the good feelings about last year’s playoff win over the Steelers. Last Sunday against Pittsburgh, it felt like the same old Browns. Cleveland is limited by injuries, and now Odell Beckham, Jr’s father, is going after Baker Mayfield on social media. It’s not going to help, either OBJ’s numbers or Mayfield’s play.

Cincinnati is simply the better team, and they will win on Sunday by at least a field goal.

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NCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 2, 2021

As the college football season moves into November, there are still five undefeated teams. And with all five from different conferences, it is conceivable that we could end the year with five unbeaten teams all vying for the four College Football Playoff spots.

That is why impressing on the field at this point in the season is so important and why it gives us a window into NCAA Football Week 10 best bets.

Missouri at No. 1 Georgia (-38)

Missouri is 4-4 and playing to be bowl eligible. And with that incentive, the 38-point spread feels like a huge number for Georgia to cover.

Maybe, but consider these facts. Georgia is 6-2 against the spread this year and has easily covered big spreads against much better teams, like Arkansas and Florida. Missouri did just beat Vanderbilt by nine points, but Georgia beat Vandy by 62.

Finally, even though Missouri has four wins on the season, they are 0-8 against the spread this season. That’s right. Not once, in victory or defeat, have the Tigers covered a spread in 2021.

Unbeaten Georgia will smash Missouri by at least 40 points. Take the Bulldogs and lay the points.

No. 10 Wake Forest (+2.5) at North Carolina

Wake Forest is one of the five unbeaten teams left in the country, yet the Deacons head into Saturday’s game as underdogs to North Carolina. The Tar Heels do have a great offense led by quarterback Sam Howell, but the Heels are just 4-4 and haven’t fared well of late.

Wake Forest rolls into the game, coming off a 38-point win against Duke. UNC is coming off a 10-point loss to Notre Dame.

Both teams recorded big wins over Duke, but against another shared opponent, Wake beat Florida State by 21, and the Heels lost to the Noles by 10.

It’s true that Wake Forest hasn’t won at Chapel Hill since 2006, but that streak ends on Saturday. Take the Demon Deacons and the points.

No. 12 Auburn at No. 13 Texas A&M (-4)

The only game this week between ranked teams is an SEC showdown between the best of the second tier in that conference. The top tier is, of course, Georgia and Alabama.

Although Alabama plays a big role in where you should put your betting dollars on Saturday. The reason Alabama isn’t No. 1 in the nation and undefeated is because of these Texas A&M Aggies and their three-point upset victory on October 9th. Since then, the Aggies have had impressive covers against Missouri and South Carolina, winning by 21 and 30 points.

Auburn is no slouch, with a big cover against Arkansas three weeks ago. But at home at Kyle Field, the Aggies will prove to be too much. A&M wins by a touchdown and covers this spread.

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Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

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Mississippi (+1) at Mississippi State

Iowa (-1.5) at Nebraska

Oregon State (+7) at Oregon

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Detroit Lions (+10) at Cleveland Browns

Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

New York Giants (+11.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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No. 7 Michigan State at No. 5 Ohio State (-19)

No. 11 Baylor (-1) at Kansas State

No. 13 Wake Forest at Clemson Tigers (-4.5)

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New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-8.5)

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Green Bay Packers

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Cincinnati Bearcats (-23) at South Florida Bulls

Texas A&M at Mississippi (+2.5)

Oklahoma at Baylor (+5.5)

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New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

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Missouri at No. 1 Georgia (-38)

No. 10 Wake Forest (+2.5) at North Carolina

No. 12 Auburn at No. 13 Texas A&M (-4)

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