NCAA Football Week 12 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2021

Only two full weeks of the college football season remain, then it’s on to the conference championship games. So be sure to get your NCAA Football Week 12 bets in for this coming Saturday.

No. 7 Michigan State at No. 5 Ohio State (-19)

Both teams are in the top 10, and both are 9-1. Which makes the 19-point spread seem too big on the surface. But when we take a closer look, it might not be high enough.

Ohio State’s lone loss was way back in Week 2 at Oregon. It’s hard to compare who the Buckeyes are now vs. who they were in early September. Michigan State’s lone loss came just two weeks ago, at Purdue. The Spartans lost to Purdue by 11 points, who then went to Columbus the next week and lost to Ohio State by 28.

That 39-point swing between MSU and OSU isn’t a perfect extrapolation, but when you consider that Ohio State has six wins of at least 20 points, and Michigan State has just one, you can begin to see the differences.

In the Big Ten, the Buckeyes are in a league by themselves, and they will beat Michigan State by three touchdowns or more.

No. 11 Baylor (-1) at Kansas State

What does Baylor have to do to get respect? They just knocked off the previously unbeaten Oklahoma Sooners, have a previous win against Texas, and they beat Iowa State, who was ranked 14th at the time.

K-State’s most impressive home win came against West Virginia last week, a team outside the top-50 and one that lost to Baylor by 25 points in Week 6.

Baylor hasn’t been great when playing on the road, but one of their two losses came at top-10 Oklahoma State. One point at the Wildcats just doesn’t seem like enough for a team that is playing its best football of the season. At that small spread, a bet on Baylor comes with great value.

NCAA Football Week 12 Best Bets

No. 13 Wake Forest at Clemson Tigers (-4.5)

Clearly, Clemson isn’t what it was with Trevor Lawrence at quarterback. The Tigers have taken a step back, while Wake Forest has taken a big step forward. The Demon Deacons were below .500 last season. Now they are at the top of the ACC and ranked 13th in the nation.

But Clemson has that 32-game home winning streak, and even though they aren’t in the College Football Playoff picture for the first time since 2015, they are still good. And Clemson Memorial Stadium, better known as Death Valley, is a tough place for any road team to play.

Not only does the 32-game winning streak not end on Saturday, Clemson covers the 4.5-point spread.

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NCAA Football Week 11 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 9, 2021

We’re in the final weeks of the college football season, and teams are jockeying for position in both the upcoming conference championship games and with the hopes that a College Football Playoff is in their future. Let’s take a look at the best bets for the NCAA Football Week 11!

Cincinnati Bearcats (-23) at South Florida Bulls

The Cincinnati Bearcats is one such team with College Football Playoff dreams that are in danger of not being realized. The Bearcats are still undefeated, but they aren’t collecting a lot of impressive wins. Cincinnati began October in impressive fashion, beating Notre Dame and then recording huge wins over Temple and Central Florida.

Since then, however, it was a touchdown victory over Navy, plus an eight-point win over Tulsa. It’s been three straight wins without a cover, and they are missing the cover by an average of 15 points per game. Against Navy, they missed by a full three touchdowns.

This is the week that changes and Cincinnati responds. Needing a big win, they get it and beat South Florida by at least four touchdowns.

Texas A&M at Mississippi (+2.5)

The mid-season stretch that saw Texas A&M lose two consecutive games is a distant memory. After losing to Arkansas and Mississippi State, the Aggies upset Alabama and have been on cruise control ever since.

Four straight covers, beginning with Alabama, is making Texas A&M one of the best bets in college football. Most recently was a 20-3 win over Auburn, where the defense was its most dominating self. A&M is giving up just 14 points and 318 yards per game.

NCAA Football Week 11 Best Bets

Ole Miss is coming off another big performance by quarterback Matt Corral. He threw for 324 yards last Saturday and has the Rebels averaging 9.2 yards per pass play. They’re also averaging almost 36 points per game.

At home, and with the way Corral is playing, it’s nice to get points, even against a good team like A&M. Take Mississippi and the points.

Oklahoma at Baylor (+5.5)

Oklahoma has its sights set on the College Football Playoff, even as the Sooner have been up and down all year long. Up, in that, they remain a perfect 9-0. But down, in that, there have been a number of close calls, and pre-season Heisman Trophy favorite Spencer Rattler has been benched.

The benching has worked, with Caleb Williams proving more than capable of leading the Sooners. But still, they are underperforming as a team. Beating Kansas by 12, with the spread at 38, as a prime example. It makes this weekend’s game at Baylor interesting.

The Bears are tough, especially in Waco, and they have covered six of their nine games this season. Against Oklahoma, they will make it seven in 10 games. Take Baylor and the points.

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NCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on November 2, 2021

As the college football season moves into November, there are still five undefeated teams. And with all five from different conferences, it is conceivable that we could end the year with five unbeaten teams all vying for the four College Football Playoff spots.

That is why impressing on the field at this point in the season is so important and why it gives us a window into NCAA Football Week 10 best bets.

Missouri at No. 1 Georgia (-38)

Missouri is 4-4 and playing to be bowl eligible. And with that incentive, the 38-point spread feels like a huge number for Georgia to cover.

Maybe, but consider these facts. Georgia is 6-2 against the spread this year and has easily covered big spreads against much better teams, like Arkansas and Florida. Missouri did just beat Vanderbilt by nine points, but Georgia beat Vandy by 62.

Finally, even though Missouri has four wins on the season, they are 0-8 against the spread this season. That’s right. Not once, in victory or defeat, have the Tigers covered a spread in 2021.

Unbeaten Georgia will smash Missouri by at least 40 points. Take the Bulldogs and lay the points.

No. 10 Wake Forest (+2.5) at North Carolina

Wake Forest is one of the five unbeaten teams left in the country, yet the Deacons head into Saturday’s game as underdogs to North Carolina. The Tar Heels do have a great offense led by quarterback Sam Howell, but the Heels are just 4-4 and haven’t fared well of late.

Wake Forest rolls into the game, coming off a 38-point win against Duke. UNC is coming off a 10-point loss to Notre Dame.

Both teams recorded big wins over Duke, but against another shared opponent, Wake beat Florida State by 21, and the Heels lost to the Noles by 10.

It’s true that Wake Forest hasn’t won at Chapel Hill since 2006, but that streak ends on Saturday. Take the Demon Deacons and the points.

NCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

No. 12 Auburn at No. 13 Texas A&M (-4)

The only game this week between ranked teams is an SEC showdown between the best of the second tier in that conference. The top tier is, of course, Georgia and Alabama.

Although Alabama plays a big role in where you should put your betting dollars on Saturday. The reason Alabama isn’t No. 1 in the nation and undefeated is because of these Texas A&M Aggies and their three-point upset victory on October 9th. Since then, the Aggies have had impressive covers against Missouri and South Carolina, winning by 21 and 30 points.

Auburn is no slouch, with a big cover against Arkansas three weeks ago. But at home at Kyle Field, the Aggies will prove to be too much. A&M wins by a touchdown and covers this spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 10 Best Bets

NCAA Week 9 Best College Football Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2021

The college football season just continues to deliver each season, and there is another loaded slate of games on tap for Week 9. There is a top-10 showdown in the Big Ten Conference to highlight things, but there are several other great games as well.

The betting action for these games continues to heat up as well, and you can take matters into your own hands by launching a pay per head site. Here are three of the best NCAA Week 9 college football bets.

Michigan State Spartans +4.5 vs. Michigan Wolverines

One of the best rivalries in college football renew on Saturday when Michigan State hosts Michigan. There is always drama surrounding this game, but even more so this season as each team is in the Top-10.

Both teams run the football exceptionally well, and this game is going to be won in the trenches. Michigan has the ability to be more explosive on offense, but Michigan State has a defense that is nasty.

Home-field advantage plays a major role in this rivalry, and it’s strange to see the home team as an underdog. The right play in this game is to take the 4.5-point and bet on the Spartans in the Big Ten Conference rivalry game.

Texas Tech Red Raiders +20.0 at Oklahoma Sooners

The Oklahoma Sooners are once again on top of the Big 12 Conference, and they have also moved up to number four in the country. That doesn’t mean that Oklahoma has been dominant this season, as that has not been the case.

Texas Tech is 5-3 on the season, but they missed a great chance to move to 6-2 by blowing a big lead to Kansas State. The Red Raiders can score points in a hurry, and that always makes them dangerous.

NCAA Week 9 Best College Football Bets of the WeekOklahoma is clearly the more talented team in this matchup, but they aren’t covering 20 points. Take the points and look for the Red Raiders to provide a challenge.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5 vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

The final game to focus on for Saturday night takes place in South Bend as the Fighting Irish host the UNC Tar Heels. Notre Dame has not been dominant in 2021, but they also come into this game with just one loss.

North Carolina burst onto the scene a season ago, but they have struggled to find their rhythm this season. The Tar Heels want to score points, but they are going up against a great defense.

This game could be close for a half, but it will be all Notre Dame after that. Take the Fighting Irish -3.5 as they move to 7-1 with a double-digit win.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Week 9 Best College Football Bets of the Week

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2021

In Week 7, we watched No. 2 Iowa suffer a stunning loss to Purdue. Alabama is back after losing to Texas A&M, as they easily handled Mississippi State. And Oklahoma has a star in the making in freshman quarterback Calen Williams, who got another big Sooners win.

It’s now Week 8, and the best college football betting continues. Check out our best NCAA Week 8 college football bets below.

Tennessee at Alabama (-27.5)

Beware an angry Nick Saban. Finishing undefeated and playing for a national championship feels to Saban like a birthright, which is why the loss to Texas A&M back on October 9th was so hard for him to take.

Enter last week, where he took a 17.5-point spread against Mississippi State and turned it into a 40-point win. And this week, he’s now supposed to beat Tennessee by four touchdowns, and you would be foolish to bet against him.

The Volunteers have covered three of six games this year, and they’ve won four games by at least 25 points. But this week, it’s going to be a big loss in Tuscaloosa. The Tide will cover.

Northwestern at Michigan (-21.5)

It’s been quite some time since Michigan played a blowout win. In their first three games, the Wolverines won by an average margin of victory of 35 points. In their last three, the average margin of victory is 10. Although they covered in the last two games, with wins over Wisconsin and Nebraska.

One of those wins for Michigan was at Nebraska, a team that beat Northwestern by 49. This week’s Michigan win isn’t going to be by that seven-touchdown margin, but it will eclipse the three-touchdown margin of the current point spread.

Michigan rolls against the Wildcats and wins this game by more than 28 points. Bet on them to cover the spread.

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

Cincinnati (-28.0) at Navy

Cincinnati is 6-0 on the season and 5-1 against the spread, including a 2-0 mark ATS when going on the road. That includes a 10-point cover at Indiana and an 8.5-point cover at Notre Dame. The Bearcats have climbed to the No. 2 ranking in the country, and as much as it was a longshot when the season began, this team is making a solid claim for a playoff spot.

There is only one more ranked team on the schedule, and it isn’t Navy. Cincinnati needs impressive wins, and that requires a cover against the Midshipmen, who just lost by 18 to Memphis. The Bearcats get it done and continue to justify their high national ranking.

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NCAA Week 7 Best College Football Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 13, 2021

Following one of the wildest weeks in college football in recent memory, we have even more great matchups in Week 7. Here are the betting predictions to go with them.

No. 11 Kentucky at No. 1 Georgia (-22.5)

Georgia plays its first game as the top-ranked team in the country since the 1983 Sugar Bowl and the days of Herschel Walker. Kentucky is 6-0 for the first time since a young Bear Bryant was their head coach in 1950.

It’s rarified air for this weekend’s matchup in Athens, Georgia, and on the surface, a more than three-touchdown point spread seems like a lot. Well, it is a lot, but Georgia is a lot as a football team. Not only do they lead the nation in points and yards allowed, they are scoring almost 40 points per game, which is 12th in the country.

Georgia has covered the spread in five of six games and by comfortable margins. Last week they covered by 10. The week before that, they covered by 21. Back on the final Saturday in September, the spread was 36, and they won by 62.

Nothing quite as impressive will happen this week against the Wildcats, but the Bulldogs are a good bet to do it again. Lay the points.

No. 12 Oklahoma State (+5.5) at No. 25 Texas

For 30 minutes last week, it looked like Texas football was all the way back. They were dominating the rival Oklahoma Sooners in every way imaginable. Then the final 30 minutes happened, and Texas was hit by the reality that they aren’t quite back, and their final game against Oklahoma inside the Big 12 was lost.

NCAA Week 7 Best College Football BetsStill, in spite of that epic collapse, the Longhorns are favorites this week against Oklahoma State.

Texas’s offense is very good and probably the best the Cowboys have seen. But OSU has a great defense, is 5-0, and has covered the spread in three straight weeks. Oklahoma State may fall short in its bid to upset Texas, but they keep this game close enough to cover.

No. 18 Arizona State (-1) at Utah

In late Saturday action, it’s Arizona State, in first place in the Pac-12 South, taking on Utah. ASU is 5-1, with the lone blemish on their record coming the last time they traveled to the state of Utah, a September 18th loss at BYU.

Since then, the Sun Devils have covered three straight games and have won easily over Colorado, UCLA, and Stanford. The 3-2 Utes give them a good game, but in the end, ASU will win by more than a point.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Week 7 Best College Football Bets

NCAA Football Week 6 Best Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 6, 2021

As we hit the second weekend of October, the air begins to get a chill, and the NCAA football matchups heat up.

No.2 Georgia (-14.5) at No. 18 Auburn

Georgia really is this good. Without quarterback JT Daniels and facing an excellent Arkansas team, the Bulldogs posted a second consecutive shutout on their way to a 37-0 blowout. The Razorbacks finished the game with just 156 yards of total offense.

Auburn had a slip against Penn State and looked lackluster when facing Georgia State, but an upset win last week at LSU – their first win in Baton Rouge since 1999 – has things looking up for the Tigers. But simply put, they aren’t in Georgia’s league. They won’t get above 14 points, while the Bulldogs will break 30 for the fifth game in a row.

Take Georgia and lay the points.

No. 13 Arkansas at No. 17 Ole Miss (-6)

Arkansas was exposed last week. They are a very good team, but they are not ready to be elite. And this week, they are facing one of the truly elite quarterbacks in the country in Matt Corral. They faced a backup quarterback against Texas A&M, a backup quarterback against Georgia, and now they face a guy who is the second-highest betting favorite to win the Heisman.

Ole Miss was humbled last week at Alabama. They want to get the taste of that defeat out of their mouths quickly, and that happens this week against the Razorbacks. Take the Rebels to cover.

No. 6 Oklahoma vs. No. 21 Texas (Over 63.5)

In four games against the FBS competition, Oklahoma has yet to cover the spread. Last week against Kansas State, the spread was 15, and they only won 37-31.

But that score is important. It was a full 15 points over the total of 53, and two other times this season, they hit the over on totals at 66 and 66.5.

NCAA Football Week 6 Best Betting PicksOU is averaging 38 points per game, and on the other side, Texas is averaging nearly 44 points per game. The Longhorns have hit the over in three of their last four games, and this week it will be four of five.

Wyoming at Air Force (-6)

It’s the Mountain West Conference, and the teams are unranked, so this game may be off your radar. But it should be on it, as the Falcons are proving to be one of the better bets this season, while Wyoming is a disappointment.

The Cowboys barely beat FCS Montana State and squeaked by UConn, despite being 31-point favorites. Air Force has covered in three of their last four games, including a blowout win at New Mexico last week, and they cover again this Saturday.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 6 Best Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 5 Parlay Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 29, 2021

It is a great weekend of college football, with four games taking place between top-25 teams. And that makes for another great weekend of college football betting.

These are our top picks for the NCAA Football Week 5, and any and all of them can be combined to make a solid top-25 parlay.

No. 8 Arkansas at No. 2 Georgia (-18.5)

We’ve been banging the Georgia drum since the season first kicked off and have been happy to lay the points on the Bulldogs each week this season. And taking Georgia has paid off, with them going 3-1 against the spread.

Not this week.

Arkansas is 4-0 against the spread and a legitimate top-10 team. They shouldn’t be this big of an underdog, and you shouldn’t expect Georgia to cover. The Razorbacks will probably lose, but they will be competitive from start to finish and cover in the end. Take the points.

No. 7 Cincinnati (-2.5) at No. 9 Notre Dame

Notre Dame is coming off its biggest win of the season and is a home underdog? Say it ain’t so.

NCAA Football Week 5 Parlay BetsCincinnati is very good, and they will push the Irish all game long. But the lack of respect for Notre Dame at home and as a top-10 team, no doubt, has ruffled some feathers. Look for Notre Dame to respond, much like they did last week, and win this game outright. Take Notre Dame and the points.

No 14. Michigan (-1) at Wisconsin

With the spread at just 1-point, this is essentially a pick’em game. And yes, Michigan hasn’t won at Wisconsin since 2001, when head coach Jim Harbaugh was playing the final season of his career as the backup quarterback in Carolina. But that 20-year streak will end this weekend.

Wisconsin’s defense will hold up well against the Michigan running game, but the Badgers will struggle to move the ball with a passing attack ranked near the bottom in the country. Michigan improves to 5-0 this week and goes to 4-1 against the spread.

No. 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Kansas State

The Wildcats actually have a two-game winning streak against the Sooners and have been good as home underdogs. Under coach Chris Klieman, they are 6-2 against the spread when picked to lose at home.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma began the season as a favorite to make the College Football Playoffs and have yet another Heisman-winning quarterback in Spencer Rattler. But their offense is a mess; they’ve posted three very unimpressive wins – Tulane, Nebraska, and West Virginia – and they will fail to cover the spread in Manhattan.

Take Kansas State and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 5 Parlay Bets

NCAA Football Week 4 Parlay Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 20, 2021

It’s the final weekend of September, and we are now into conference play for most teams, which means familiar opponents, tighter matchups, and better wagering.

 

Pac-12 Parlay

 

Arizona at Oregon (-27.5)

 

Somehow as each football week passes, Arizona gets worse. They actually covered the spread in the Week 1 loss. In Week 2, as favorites against San Diego St, they lost. In Week 3, as nearly four-touchdown favorites against Northern Arizona, the Wildcats also lost.

They have no chance against an Oregon team that is 3-0 and still riding high after beating Ohio State as two-touchdown underdogs. The Ducks are at home and getting great quarterback play from Anthony Brown.

Take Oregon and lay the points.

 

Oregon State (+13) at USC

 

Like its in-state rival, Oregon State has also been playing very good football. In Week 2 they covered the 11-point spread against Hawaii, and the next week they covered the 28-point spread against Idaho. They take their 2-1 record south to take on USC, which is in the midst of a tidal wave of head coaching rumors.

The Trojans responded in their first game under interim head coach Donte Williams, smacking Washington State, 45-14, covering the 7-point spread. But the reason they have an interim head coach is because of the egg they laid the week before against Stanford. As 17.5-point favorites, USC lost by 14.

USC gets the job done this week but in a much closer game. Take the Beavers and the points.

 

NCAA Football Week 4 Parlay Bets

SEC Parlay

 

Florida (-17.5) at Tennessee

 

You might think Florida will suffer a hangover after its narrow loss to Alabama last weekend. They outgained the Crimson Tide and lost by just two points. But helping to prevent the hangover is their annual clash with Tennessee.

These two teams have played 50 times, including every season since 1990, and Tennessee has only won seven games since then. Florida has won 24, including 15 of the last 16. In two of the previous three meetings, Florida has won by at least 26 points, and they will win this game by more than 17.

 

Georgia (-34.5) at Vanderbilt

 

Georgia is the deserved No. 2 team in the nation, and the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in two of their three wins. This last week they were 31.5-point favorites over South Carolina but only won by 27.

Vanderbilt, on the other hand, is one of the worst teams in the country. Georgia turns it up a notch, gets out to a huge lead, and cruises to the five-plus touchdown win. 

 

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 4 Parlay Bets

NCAA Football Week 3: Betting Favorites to Hammer

by WagerHome Blog on September 13, 2021

It’s Week 3 in college football, and we’re beginning to see which teams are contenders for a championship and who is just hoping to qualify for a bowl game. With Spencer Rattler at quarterback, Oklahoma is definitely a contender.

Nebraska at Oklahoma (-22)

Nebraska has quieted some of the criticism it faced after an opening game loss to Illinois. They looked overmatched against the Illini, even as the odds on favorites.

Since then, the Huskers have laid waste to Fordham (expected) and beaten Buffalo by 25 (doubling the point spread). But Oklahoma, with all of its history against Nebraska, is a mismatch. 

This is the 50-year anniversary of the “Game of the Century,” but it will be all Oklahoma in this one. Spencer Rattler is the deserved Heisman frontrunner, and Nebraska will do nothing to slow him down. Oklahoma will keep it at full throttle the entire game, easily covering this spread.

Minnesota at Colorado (-1.5)

Last Saturday, Minnesota won its game against Miami (OH) but showed that they are not nearly the same team without running back Mohamed Ibrahim. Against Ohio State, they covered the spread in the loss after getting three quarters from Ibrahim. Against Miami, they failed to cover with an offense that was lackluster from the start, and especially the second half.

The going for Minnesota will be even tougher against the Colorado defense, which just took Texas A&M to the brink. The fifth-ranked Aggies survived to win 10-7, but the Buffaloes gained a legion of believers. They were 4-2 against the spread in 2020, and they have started this year 2-0 ATS.

Colorado still hasn’t played on the road, and they’ll use another week of home-cooking to take out the Gophers. Colorado wins the defensive battle by a touchdown.

Alabama (-15.5) at Florida

One of the best parts about betting on Nick Saban and Alabama is that he is never satisfied with his team’s performance, no matter the score. He never stops coaching, and he demands that his team never stops playing.

Unhappy with the 34-point win over Mercer, no doubt the Tide are having a rough week at practice that they will take out on the rival Gators on Saturday. Much like they did against Miami in Week 1, Alabama will be dominant from start to finish.

Florida is 2-0 but has yet to cover in taking on Florida Atlantic and South Florida. The Gators have lost seven straight to Alabama by an average score of 39-18, and you can expect a similar margin of victory on Saturday.

Alabama Football

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 3: Betting Favorites to Hammer