Looking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

by WagerHome Blog on August 27, 2020

This is going to be a strange NCAA football season.

The NFL has been locked in on its opening night since the AFC playoff rematch between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs was first announced. But in the college football world, with some conferences opting out and other conferences going forward, it’s been a little harder to keep track of when exactly we can start betting on the NCAA.

The good news is, assuming the schedules go off as planned, there will be plenty of good college football to enjoy. The bad news – this was supposed to be the opening weekend of the season, and that’s no longer happening.

NCAA Football Season Kickoff

It’s not exactly the kickoff weekend that the television networks and college football bettors dreamed about, but the season will finally begin on Sept. 3 with two Conference USA out-of-conference games:

  • South Alabama at Southern Miss
  • Central Arkansas at UAB

UAB did win nine games last year and made the New Orleans Bowl. Southern Miss lost to Tulane in the Armed Forces Bowl last season.

On Sept. 5, there are seven games being played out of the original 51 games that were on the schedule. The best games are:

  • Arkansas State at Memphis
  • SMU at Texas State

Both of those games will have limited fans in attendance.

Top 25 Kickoff

For Top 25 action, we’re all going to have to wait a little longer. The first game involving a ranked team that hasn’t been canceled or postponed is Sept. 12. With seven such games that Saturday, that is when it will truly feel like the college football season is here.

  • No. 1 Clemson at Wake Forest
  • Missouri State at No. 5 Oklahoma
  • Duke at No. 10 Notre Dame
  • UTEP at No. 14 Texas
  • Tulsa at No. 15 Oklahoma State
  • Syracuse at No. 18 North Carolina
  • Louisiana at No. 23 Iowa State

Power 5 Conference Kickoffs

With the Big Ten and Pac-12 suspending play this fall, we only have three of the Power 5 conferences in play.


The SEC is only playing in-conference this season and begins its season with a full slate of games on Sept. 26. Defending national champion LSU starts at home against Mississippi State, while Alabama kicks off its season at Missouri.

The Big 12 has everyone playing a single non-conference game the week of Sept. 12 before kicking off its conference schedule on Sept. 26.

The ACC is far less structured, with non-conference games going on all season, and wherever a matchup could be cobbled together. The first time all 14 regular members are playing is Sept. 19. Notre Dame is in the conference this season only, making it a total of 15 teams.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogLooking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

BMW Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 25, 2020

The PGA Tour moves on to the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, and the field for the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club just outside of Chicago is as much about who is in it as who is not.

Failing to qualify last weekend at the Northern Trust were Brooks Koepka, Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose, Rickie Fowler, 2019 British Open champion Shane Lowry, and 2015 FedEx Cup winner Jordan Spieth. Those guys alone would make quite a field.

But not to worry. The field that did move on in the playoffs is quite impressive, and they present several great betting options this coming weekend.

The BMW Championship Favorites

The field is at 70, which will be reduced to 30 after this tournament, and these are who the bookmakers think are most likely to win this weekend’s no-cut tournament.

  • Dustin Johnson (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+950)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1100)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1600)
  • Webb Simpson (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2000)
  • Daniel Berger (+2000)
  • Jason Day (+2900)
  • Patrick Reed (+2900)
  • Tony Finau (+2900)

Dustin Johnson as the favorite is the no-brainer of no-brainers. At the Northern Trust, he lapped the field, winning by an eye-popping 11 strokes. It was the largest margin of victory on the PGA Tour since Phil Mickelson won by 13 shots in 2006.

This is a course-rotating tournament, so we don’t put too much weight on past champions. But for the record, the uber-hot Johnson did win the BMW Championship in 2016. Johnson is now back to No. 1 in the world.

Rory McIlroy has five career wins at FedEx Cup events – tied with Johnson for most ever – and at +2000, he presents an intriguing number.

The wild card here is Collin Morikawa. The PGA Championship winner went into last weekend ranked second in the FedEx Cup standings, but shockingly missed the cut for only the second time in his young career. A week ago, his +2000 would have been great value. Now it’s a bit up in the air.

Other Golfers to Watch

No matter how he is playing, Tiger Woods always has eyes on him. He’s in the midst of four tournaments in five weeks and comes in at +3100 for this weekend.

bmw championship

Louis Oosthuizen was the last man to make the BMW field, moving up from 99th to 70th and qualifying with a birdie on the 72nd hole. He’s +5000 in this one.

Jim Herman, on the back of his surprising win at the Wyndham Championship, is in the field and plays the longest odds at +42000.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBMW Championship Betting Preview

NASCAR at Dover Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 20, 2020

Gone are the random draws from previous NASCAR races for starting positions. For this weekend’s doubleheader at Dover, Del., NASCAR’s new competition-based formula is in play. It’s 50% finishing position in the previous race, 35% overall team points, and 15% the fastest lap for the previous race.

With a win last weekend at Daytona, fourth place in team points, and the fastest lap last weekend, Chase Elliott gets the pole. Denny Hamlin, the second-place finisher at Daytona, will start in the second position.

The rest of the top 10 starters for the Drydene 311 are Martin Truex Jr., Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, Jimmie Johnson, Brad Keselowski, William Byron, Kurt Busch, and Kevin Harvick.

Favorites for Drydene 311

Where you line up isn’t necessarily an indicator of where you are expected to finish. The odds board for winning the race, finishing top three, and finishing top 10 looks like this:

  • Kevin Harvick (+350/+105/-560)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+400/+115/-500)
  • Chase Elliott (+550/+150/-375)
  • Denny Hamlin (+550/+150/-375)
  • Kyle Busch (+1200/+300/-186)
  • Brad Keselowski (+1200/+300/-186)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1400/+350/-167)
  • Joey Logano (+1500/+400/-157)
  • Aric Almirola (+2000/+500/-139)
  • Jimmie Johnson (+2000/+500/-139)

A few names jump off this list and deserve extra consideration. Jimmie Johnson has struggled in this, his final season as a full-time driver. But he finished fourth at Daytona last weekend and has the most-ever Cup wins at Dover with 11.

He’s driving much better of late, and he’s on a course he knows and loves. Give him consideration at +2000.

Chase Elliott has started on the pole in two previous races this season – Atlanta and Phoenix. He finished seventh in Phoenix and eighth in Atlanta.

Before jumping on Elliott for the win or a top three finish, these results are worth considering. He hasn’t finished outside the top 10 in four straight races, but before his win at Daytona, he’d gone 10 straight races without a top three finish.


Martin Truex Jr. is more than worthy of his second-place spot on this list. In two races at Dover in 2019, he finished first and second. And in his last seven races at Dover, only once has he finished outside the top four. That includes another win on the mile-long oval in 2016.

Fun Fact: the 2020 Drydene 311 is the 101st NASCAR race to be run at Dover International Speedway.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogNASCAR at Dover Betting Preview

The PGA Northern Trust Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 18, 2020

The PGA Tour’s Northern Trust is upon us, and apart from being another weekend of great golf in which you can wager, it’s the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs. There are 125 golfers this weekend.

The top 70 will advance to the BMW Championship in Chicago next week. Then, it will be the top 30 at the TOUR Championship the following week in Atlanta.

Justin Thomas is the current FedEx Cup points leader, and a win in Atlanta would make him just the third golfer to win the Cup more than once.

Northern Trust Odds

Before we get to Chicago and then Atlanta, the Tour is at TPC Boston for The Northern Trust – which began as the Westchester Classic in 1967.

The top of the favorites board looks like this:

  • Bryson Dechambeau (+1200)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)
  • Jason Day (+2500)
  • Brooks Koepka (+3000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+3000)
  • Patrick Reed (+3000)
  • Webb Simpson (+3000)

Patrick Reed at +3000 is an interesting play here. He won this tournament in 2019 and just finished up the Wyndham with a 64 on Sunday.

This is a different course than last year, so the defending champion tag has a little cachet. But he’s a hot golfer paying a big number, and that’s worth your attention.

The last time we saw Collin Morikawa, he was winning the PGA Championship. He’s too good and too hot to be the seventh most likely golfer to win the Northern Trust. His +2200 feels like much better value than the +1200 on Bryson Dechambeau.

northern trust

Not listed among the favorites, but someone that needs consideration, is Tyrell Hatton at +5500. Because he was stuck in England for a bit, he’s only played in four tournaments since the season restarted. But two of those four starts ended in top five finishes.

Shock the World Part II

If you were one of the lucky few who put money down on Jim Herman to win the Wyndham Championship at +75000, congratulations. The price of success is that Herman is down to a +25000 play at the Northern Trust.

It’s hard to recommend him as a play. He has missed 11 cuts this season. But if you’re going to roll the dice on a true longshot, the guy who just Sunday had golf fans asking, “Who is Jim Herman?” is as good a risk as any.

But seriously. Don’t. He’s not going to win again. Probably.

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WagerHome BlogThe PGA Northern Trust Betting Preview

NASCAR Cup Series Road Course at Daytona Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 13, 2020

Time to go racing at the Go Bowling 235. Normally, the Go Bowling takes place in Watkins Glen, NY. COVID-19, however, had different plans for 2020, so the race has moved from New York to the road course at Daytona.

This is the first-ever NASCAR Cup Series race to be held on the Daytona road course.

A limited number of fans will be in attendance for all four races to be held in Daytona this weekend.

Odds to Win and Finish Top Three

Kevin Harvick is coming off his sixth series win of the season. And the 55th win of his career moved him into 10th place on the NASCAR Cup Series all-time win list.

But despite Harvick’s weekend sweep in Michigan – the first time a driver has won two races in two days since Richard Petty in 1971 – he is not the favorite to win in Daytona.

That honor goes to two-time Go Bowling winner Chase Elliott, at +375 to win and +105 to finish in the top three. The full list of top 10 favorites look like this:

Driver/Odds to Win/Odds for Top Three

  • Chase Elliott/+375/+105
  • Martin Truex, Jr./+400/+115
  • Kevin Harvick/+700/+190
  • Ryan Blaney/+800/+225
  • Kyle Busch/+800/+225
  • Denny Hamlin/+800/+225
  • Brad Keselowski/+1400/+350
  • Joey Logano/+1600/+400
  • Clint Bowyer/+1800/+450
  • Kurt Busch/+2000/+500

Another driver to look at for Sunday is Kyle Busch. He raced on this course at the Rolex 24 and has far more experience with it than the rest of the field.

Since there is no practice or qualifying, and it’s a late addition to the season schedule, Busch’s experience may loom very large.

A good value play is Jimmie Johnson at +4000 to win and +1000 to finish top three. This has been a strange year for the seven-time Cup Series champion. In this, his final year as a full-time NASCAR driver, Johnson has battled near-misses on the track and COVID-19 off of it.

However, the sentimental pick is squarely Ryan Newman (+10000 to win, +2500 top three). In February, just a lap from victory at the Daytona 500, he was involved in a terrifying accident that shook the racing world and left him in the hospital.

daytonaAmazingly, he was able to return after missing only three races, but he’s been struggling since the restart. To win at the track where he nearly lost his life six months ago would be an amazing cap to his 2020 season.

Pay Per Head Service

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WagerHome BlogNASCAR Cup Series Road Course at Daytona Betting Preview

PGA Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 11, 2020

The dust has settled on the first major of the year, the PGA Championship, and the impressive victory by Collin Morikawa. Fun fact about the 23-year-old Morikawa: Since he turned pro 14 months ago, Morikawa has won $6,898,977 in on-course winnings. That buys a lot of golf balls.

Morikawa takes the week off as the PGA Tour shits coasts for the 2020 Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC. But even without the latest star of the PGA on location, this is still an excellent field with four of the top 10 players in the FedEx Cup standings in attendance.

Wyndham Odds

These are the opening odds to Win, finish Top 5, and finish Top 10.

To Win

  • Webb Simpson +1100
  • Brooks Koepka +1200
  • Paul Casey +1600
  • Patrick Reed +1600
  • Tommy Fleetwood +2000
  • Justin Rose +2200
  • Harris English +2800
  • Billy Horschel +3500
  • Jordan Spieth +3500
  • Brendon Todd +3500

Finish Top 5

  • Webb Simpson +330
  • Brooks Koepka +335
  • Paul Casey +400
  • Patrick Reed +400
  • Tommy Fleetwood +500
  • Justin Rose +500
  • Harris English +650
  • Billy Horschel +750
  • Jordan Spieth +750
  • Brendon Todd +750

Finish Top 10

  • Webb Simpson +160
  • Brooks Koepka +163
  • Paul Casey +200
  • Patrick Reed +200
  • Tommy Fleetwood +250
  • Justin Rose +275
  • Harris English +350
  • Billy Horschel +450
  • Jordan Spieth +450
  • Brendon Todd +450

Webb Simpson tops the favorites board for several good reasons. His first-ever Tour victory came on this course in 2011. In each of the last three years at this event, he’s finished no worse than tied for third.

He’s from North Carolina, played college golf at Wake Forest, and has a daughter named Wyndham. How could he not be the favorite?

Other favorites to either win or finish in the Top 5 are Brooks Koepka (of course), Patrick Reed (a winner here in 2013), and Paul Casey (who just came up short at the PGA over the weekend).

Other Golfers to Watch

The favorites are at the top of the odds board for a reason, but there are some more valuable plays worth keeping an eye on.


Si Woo Kim is on the board at +4200 to win. It was just four years ago that he cruised to a five-shot victory at this event, his first-ever Tour win. He’s a Top 10 play at +500.

Brendon Todd has two wins this season, three straight top-25 finishes, and twice in his last five starts went into Sunday with the lead. If he can put together a good final round, that +750 Top 5 finish looks like a solid play.

Last year’s winner here is J.T. Poston, who memorably won without making a single bogey. He’s had a pair of top-10 finishes since the Tour restart and is posting a Top 10 betting number of +750. You want to get crazy and go for the repeat? That pays a cool +7000.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogPGA Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Books Making Up Rules for Baseball

by WagerHome Blog on August 6, 2020

If you are a regular baseball bettor, you’ve been relying on the option to play listed pitchers for years. It’s a simple thing, and it’s been standard issue for bookmakers since baseball betting began.

If you choose to play “listed” instead of “action,” and the listed pitcher is replaced before the game begins, your bet is canceled.

Baseball has used this year’s shortened season as an opportunity to change some of its rules, and several bookmakers and pay per head sites have done the same. Gone is the action vs. listed option.

Now, regardless of a starting pitcher change prior to the game, the bet you place is the bet you’re stuck with.

Placing Bets: Action vs. Listed

There is nothing worse in betting than having $50 on the Dodgers and Clayton Kershaw, to suddenly have him scratched and replaced by Dustin May, which happened in Los Angeles’ season opener this year. Nothing against May, but he’s no Kershaw, and the bet you placed is no longer the bet you’re playing. This is why baseball bets come with a choice.

When placing the bet, if you choose “listed,” when Kershaw or another starter gets the boot, your bet is canceled. If instead, you choose “action,” that means you are locked into going ahead with the bet, but at a new moneyline should there be a starting pitching change.

Most experienced baseball bettors don’t like to take “action” because it removes their control. Their knowledge and research are rendered moot. Whereas taking” listed” allows the bettor to look at the new pitcher and the new moneyline and decide if they still want to play it.

Bookmakers that are removing this option from their baseball listings are removing your choice as an experienced baseball bettor.

Why Bookmakers are Making This Change

Under the cover COVID-19 excuses, bookies who have pulled the plug on “listed pitcher” bets say they’re making the change for two reasons.

First, baseball has changed. More relief pitchers are starting the game, giving way to a traditional starter beyond the first inning. The listed starting pitcher is no longer as important.

That is true in the case of a team like the Brewers. But if you’re playing the Nationals and Max Scherzer, he is the traditional starting workhorse that you base your bet around.


The other reason bookies give is that this is how other sports operate. Your Lakers bet doesn’t change because LeBron James sits. Your Ravens bet doesn’t change if Lamar Jackson is a game-time scratch. This just makes baseball equal to those sports.

Nonsense. There is no player in any sport that has the influence on an outcome like a starting pitcher. Being able to bet on the listed starting pitcher is paramount to being a successful baseball bettor.

WagerHome.com Stays Old School

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WagerHome BlogBooks Making Up Rules for Baseball

PGA Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 4, 2020

It’s finally here – the first major championship of the PGA season, this weekend’s PGA Championship. By this time in 2019, we’d already crowned the champion of all four majors.

Instead, a COVID-19 postponement of The Masters and the U.S. Open, and the cancellation of The Open Championship has the PGA Championship giving out the first major hardware of 2020, and golf fans and bettors could not be more ready.

Odds to Win Outright

We’ve seen some wonderfully packed fields over the last several weeks of play, so it’s not that the play will be much different this weekend. But the major tournament stakes are something we haven’t seen in golf in more than 55 weeks – the longest absence of major golf since 1944.

Your favorites to win this weekend at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco are:

  • Rory McIlroy +800
  • Brooks Koepka +1000
  • Bryson Dechambeau +1100
  • Dustin Johnson +1200
  • Justin Thomas +1200
  • Jon Rahm +1300
  • Tiger Woods +1600
  • Xander Schauffele +2200
  • Patrick Cantlay +2500
  • Webb Simpson +2500
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2800
  • Collin Morikawa +2800
  • Justin Rose +3000

Rory McIlroy remains the consensus best player in the world, so it’s not surprising that he’s the favorite in most fields. But Brooks Koepka was the winner in both 2018 and 2019, and he just finished in second at the St. Jude Invitational in Memphis over the weekend.

In the history of golf, dating back to 1860, only six times has a major championship been won by the same golfer three consecutive years. The last was Peter Thomsen at The Open in 1956. Will Koepka become the seventh?

Golfers to Watch

Justin Thomas (+1200) was the winner at WGC St. Jude last weekend and has returned to the top of the world golf rankings.

pga championship

Tiger Woods (+1600) is a four-time winner of the PGA but finished tied for 40th in the only tournament he’s played since the season restarted. A bet on him at +1600 is on reputation alone, and not on actual golf.

In terms of value plays, Webb Simpson (+2500) and Collin Morikawa (+2800) make for better bets than Woods. Simpson won the RBC Heritage and is the fourth-ranked golfer in the world. Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open three weeks ago and is currently ranked 12th in the world.

At +800, McIlroy has far less value. However, it is worth noting that the 2015 WGC Match Play was held at this same course in San Francisco, and McIlroy won.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship Betting Preview