Another week of racing, and another week of racing on a road course for the drivers of NASCAR. And another week of potential surprises at the Kwik Trip 250! The usual road course suspects, like Ryan Blainey and Martin Truex Jr, have not won on a road course this year, while Christopher Bell and Daniel Suarez have.
That’s not to say that there isn’t some predictability when it comes to road course racing anymore. The king of the road, Chase Elliott, is still the man to beat this weekend at the Kwik Trip 250.
Favorites to Win Kwik Trip 250
- Chase Elliott (+500)
- Kyle Larson (+600)
- Ross Chastain (+800)
- Kyle Busch (+900)
- Ryan Blainey (+1200)
- Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
- Denny Hamlin (+1200)
- Christopher Bell (+1500)
- Austin Cindric (+1500)
- Joey Logano (+1500)
Elliott hasn’t won a road course race this season, finishing fourth at COTA in March and eighth at Sonoma three weeks ago. But he does have past wins at Circuit of the Americas, he has two wins this season, and he is the current Cup Series leader with a 30-point lead over Ross Chastain.
Kyle Larson hasn’t had the repeat of his dominant 2021, and he hasn’t been good on road courses in 2022. He finished 15th at Sonoma after starting the race in the first position.
He was 29th at COTA back in March. But Larson is a champion coming off a fourth-place finish in Nashville, and he is still a worthy Kwik Trip 250 second pick.
Ross Chastain already has a win at COTA this season, giving him a leg up this weekend in at least course confidence. But he also won at Talladega, and in three races in June, he has finishes of eighth, seventh, and fifth last week. Chastain has the third shortest odds this week, and an argument can be made that he should be the favorite.
Longer Shots to Consider at Kwik Trip 250
Tyler Reddick (+2500) was a washout at Sonoma three weeks ago, but he finished top-five at COTA in March, which was his fifth top-five finish in his previous ten road course starts. A year ago at COTA, he also finished ninth.
Kurt Busch (+3100) would like to forget the two races this season on road courses. He finished 32nd in COTA in March and 18th at Sonoma in June. But last year at Sonoma, he finished sixth, one of four top-10 finishes on road courses last season.
Chris Buescher (+3500) is only 22nd in the standings, he has just two top-five finishes this season, and he hasn’t won a race since 2016. But, and this is a big but, he nearly won at Sonoma three weeks ago, losing by less than four seconds, and coming after, he missed a week with COVID.
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