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Farmers Insurance Open: Betting Favorites at Torrey Pines

by WagerHome Blog on January 27, 2021

Not all of the sports news and betting focus is on the Super Bowl these next two weeks. The PGA Tour tees it up at Torrey Pines for one of the more important January tournaments in quite some time, the Farmers Insurance Open.

What makes this year’s Farmers Insurance Open so important is that the picturesque San Diego golf course is also the site of the U.S. Open in June. So if players are looking for a pre-Open trial run, and if sports bettors are looking to spot the early Open favorites, this is the tournament to watch. The event tees off on January 28 and runs through January 31.

Farmers Insurance Open: Current Odds to Win

Jon Rahm (+650)
Rory McIlroy (+800)
Xander Schauffele (+1200)
Tony Finau (+2000)
Harris English (+2200)
Patrick Reed (+2500)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+3000)
Matthew Wolff (+3300)
Scottie Scheffler (+3300)
Marc Leishman (+3300)
Sungjae Im (+3300)

Because of the location, this weekend’s field has 10 of the top 20 in the World Golf Rankings. Everyone wants to take a crack at Torrey Pines, which will have both the North Course and South Course in play this weekend. When the U.S. Open is here in June, it will only be played on the 7,700-yard South Course.

Jon Rahm is the natural favorite with three Top 5 finishes at the Farmers. He finished tied for seventh at the Sentry Tournament of Champions three weeks ago.

Rory McIlroy is back in the States for the first time since the Masters in November, and he’s near the top of the favorites board. He just finished third at the HSBC Golf Championship in Abu Dhabi. Last year at the Farmers, he finished tied for third, following up a fifth-place finish in 2019.

Xander Schauffele is a California native, but he’s missed the cut in four of the five Farmers Insurance Opens he’s played.

Farmers Insurance Open: Others to Watch

Brooks Koepka is just outside of the top group of favorites, paying +3500 at the Farmers this weekend. It’s not a tournament he has played often, with a missed cut in 2017 and 41st place finish in 2015.

Keep an eye on John Huh. He hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since 2012, but he does have a pair of top 25 finishes at the Farmers. He’s a long shot at +12500, but he has proven that he can handle the course at Torrey Pines.

All four current reigning major championship holders – Bryson DeChambeau (U.S. Open), Collin Morikawa (PGA), Shane Lowry (2019 Open Championship), and Dustin Johnson (Masters) – are sitting out this tournament.

Farmers Insurance Open: Pay Per Head Software

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Super Bowl LV Opening Lines

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2021

Oddsmakers know what they’re doing. When the 2020 NFL season began the first week of September, the Kansas City Chiefs were the Super Bowl LV favorites at +450. And the most likely Super Bowl champion from the NFC was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +1000.

And now, here we are five months later, with the Chiefs vs. the Buccaneers set to play in Super Bowl LV.

The oddsmakers have also set the early lines for betting on Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl LV Point Spread: Chiefs (-3)

The Chiefs have opened as three-point favorites, which just happens to be the same margin of victory for Kansas City when it played Tampa Bay in November.

The halftime line for the game is Kansas City -2.5.

In the first meeting between these two teams, the Chiefs were up 20-7 at halftime after torching the Buccaneers for 17 first-quarter points. Tyreek Hill finished the first quarter with 203 receiving yards and two touchdowns by himself.

The Buccaneers covered the spread in each of their last two playoff games. The Chiefs covered the spread vs. Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game but failed to cover in each of their previous three games.

Super Bowl LV Over/Under: 56.5

If you are looking to place a totals wager on the Super Bowl, the opening line is 56.5. The over/under line when the teams played in November was 56, with the 27-24 final score staying under by five points.

Tampa Bay hit the over against the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, under against the Saints in the divisional round, and over vs. Washington in the Wild Card round.

The Chiefs went over against Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game and under in the divisional round against the Browns by 15.5 points, but they did play most of the second half against Cleveland without Patrick Mahomes.

Super Bowl MVP

Odds have also been set for a number of popular proposition wagers, including which player will win the MVP award after the game.

Patrick Mahomes (+120)
Tom Brady (+250)
Tyreek Hill (+900)
Travis Kelce (+1000)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+1400)
Mike Evans (+2000)
Leonard Fournette (+2000)
Tyrann Mathieu (+3300)

What we can take from the large number of Chiefs at the top of this list and Tom Brady being the lone Buccaneers player in the top five is that if Tampa Bay does win the Super Bowl, Brady is the overwhelming favorite to win the MVP award.

Twice in Patriots Super Bowl victories with Brady as the quarterback, the award went to one of Brady’s wide receivers – Deion Branch at Super Bowl XXXIX and Julian Edelman two years ago at Super Bowl LIII.

Mahomes was the pregame favorite last year before winning the award at the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV.

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2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 21, 2021

In our 2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview, we will preview both games, include a pick, and cover how you can make the most out of the game by partnering with a pay per head service provider like WagerHome.com.

The NFL is unabashedly a quarterback league, and the NFC Championship Game is a showcase of the best quarterbacks ever to play the game. It is six-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady, the most decorated quarterback in NFL history, against two-time MVP winner Aaron Rodgers, arguably the most talented quarterback in NFL history. And Rodgers is a couple of weeks away from adding a third MVP.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Offensive Firepower

While they are two of the all-time greats, Sunday’s winner won’t solely be determined by the quarterbacks. Both teams are loaded at wide receiver. The Packers feature Davante Adams and his 18 touchdowns this year, and the Bucs counter with Mike Evans and his 13 touchdowns.

On the ground, it’s the Battle of the Jones – Aaron Jones for Green Bay and Ronald Jones for Tampa Bay. Both of them finished the season averaging more than five yards per carry, putting them both in the top six among running backs.

The big difference-maker in the game might be the weather. Green Bay is at home, it is going to be under 20 degrees with a good chance of snow, and that has them as the slight favorite to win.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Outlook

Brady is the face of this team, but the Buccaneers are so much more than the Hall of Fame-bound quarterback. The Tampa Bay defense is excellent, finishing the season ranked sixth in the NFL and the best defense against the run.

The Bucs did lose five games this season, but all five were to playoff teams, and two of those losses were avenged with last week’s win in New Orleans. The last Tampa Bay loss was on November 29 to the Kansas City Chiefs, the host of the AFC Championship Game.

A note on the 51.5 over/under: The Bucs have scored at least 30 points in five straight games.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers Outlook

Rodgers has been the face of the Packers since he took over for Brett Favre in 2008, and for the first time in his Hall of Fame career, his team is hosting the NFC Championship Game. He has been lights out in 2020 and is the heavy favorite to win another MVP. But there was one game this season where Rodgers looked awful – against the Buccaneers on October 18.

The Packers managed to score just 10 points against the Bucs in that game, and Rodgers failed to break 200 yards. It was the only game all season in which he was unable to throw a touchdown. But since that game, Rodgers hasn’t had a quarterback rating below 90, and Green Bay is averaging 32 points scored.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Partner with Pay Per Head Software

The Packers are 3.5-point favorites, and the over/under is 51.5. The action on both those lines is coming. Now is the time for independent bookmakers to take advantage of Championship Sunday and become partners with a pay per head software provider.

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2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: The Pick is In

The old cliché that “Defense Wins Championships” holds true for a reason. The tipping point for this game is the Buccaneers defense. Take the Buccaneers to advance to Super Bowl LV.

AFC Championship Game Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2021

While Sunday’s NFC Championship Game is a tribute to the last generation of great quarterbacks, this year’s AFC Championship Game is a celebration of the quarterbacks that will lead the NFL for the next decade. It will be the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes hosting the No. 2 seeded Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen.

The Line: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

These teams met in Week 6 in Buffalo, and it was a grind-it-out win for the Chiefs. Rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran for a season-high 161 yards that night, and Allen was held to just 122 yards passing.

Allen has been terrific ever since, and Edwards-Helaire hasn’t played in a month, so this game should be much closer than the nine-point Kansas City win in October.

Buffalo Bills

This season, the Bills ended the New England Patriots’ stranglehold on the AFC East. Then the Bills ended their own 25-year playoff victory drought.

Now they are trying to return to the Super Bowl for the first time since they lost to the Cowboys in Super Bowl XXVIII in 1994.

The Bills have the NFL’s receiving champion in Stefon Diggs and a quarterback in Allen who solidified himself as one of the rising stars in the league. The Buffalo defense just held the Ravens to three points in the divisional round, and the Bills have won eight straight games.

If anyone can dethrone the defending Super Bowl champions, it’s the Bills. They will move the ball against Kansas City better than they did in the regular-season meeting, and their run defense has also improved since then.

But if the Bills are to pull the upset, they will need to force Mahomes into committing at least one big mistake.

Kansas City Chiefs

The collective hearts of Chiefs fans dropped into their shoes when Mahomes left the divisional round game against the Browns with what looked like a concussion. Now the injury is a little less clear, with some reports calling it a tweaked nerve in the neck that caused him to lose consciousness.

Whatever the case, the Chiefs organization feels confident that he will play on Sunday.

As for the rest of the offense, there is also optimism that Edwards-Helaire will return from ankle and hip injuries that he suffered against the Saints.

Wide receiver Sammy Watkins also has a chance to return from the calf injury he suffered in Week 16 against the Falcons. He was huge in the playoffs last year for Kansas City and would be a big boost to its quest to repeat as Super Bowl champion.

Pay Per Head Software

The Chiefs are favored by three, and the over/under is 53.5, and both bets are going to take a lot of action on Sunday. If you are an independent bookmaker taking wagers on Championship Sunday, now is the time to check out the advantages of a pay per head software partnership.

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Betting Totals for NFL Divisional Round Matchups

by WagerHome Blog on January 14, 2021

Don’t get so focused on wins and losses and point spreads that you forget about totals wagers for this weekend’s NFL action. The four divisional round matchups this weekend provide some really great totals betting opportunities.

Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (45.5)

The first game of the weekend is in Green Bay, where the weather is expected to be fine. Cold, but only light winds and no snow.

The Rams did hit the over last week against Seattle, but it was only the fifth over for them this season, to go along with 12 unders. With both Los Angeles quarterbacks fighting injury and a Rams defense that should also help contain Aaron Rodgers, at least a little, the under looks good again.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (49.5)

When the Ravens and Bills meet on Saturday night, it will be dark, cold, and with a chance of snow, though with none of the western New York wind that hampered Philip Rivers last week.

This will be a run-heavy game that will have to work to get to 50 points. Baltimore has missed the over in each of its last three games. Buffalo has hit the over in four of its last six.

Buffalo comes into the game with a top offense, but the Ravens will hold them under 30 points, which will keep the total under 50 points.

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (55.5)

No problems with the weather in Kansas City, just like with the other games. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s with light winds and no rain.

Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes as a duo are 6-0 coming off a bye and averaging 38 points per game in each of those six wins. The Chiefs will put up points on the Browns, who have given up the over in five of their last seven games.

The Browns should also score in the mid-20s or higher, putting the total in this game much closer to 60. Definitely take the over in Kansas City.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (51.5)

The final of the divisional round matchups will be in a dome, so there will be no issues with weather.

These teams have played each other twice already this season, which usually makes for a lower scoring game the third time around because defenses have seen the offensive looks before. But Tom Brady is on fire and has hit the over in three of Tampa Bay’s last four games.

The Bucs only scored a field goal the last time out against the Saints, but they have won five in a row and averaged 36 points while doing it. New Orleans only scored 21 against Chicago but went for 52 and 33 in the two games prior to that.

This feels like a 31-27 final score, hitting the over.

Pay Per Head Software

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Updated Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

by WagerHome Blog on January 12, 2021

The NFL’s first-ever Super Wild Card weekend was a raging success as the playoffs make their way to Super Bowl LV. Four of the six lower seeds won on the road, showing once again that with smaller crowds comes a reduced home-field advantage.

We also saw two teams get their first playoff wins since Bill Clinton was in his first term as president.

Welcome back to the division round, Buffalo and Cleveland. And welcome to those two plucky young kids, Tom Brady and Drew Brees, who have now combined to play in 59 playoff games (42 of those by Brady).

So, now that we are down to the final eight teams remaining, where do we stand on betting on the Super Bowl LV champion?

Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

Kansas City Chiefs (+220)
Green Bay Packers (+400)
New Orleans Saints (+550)
Buffalo Bills (+600)
Baltimore Ravens (+800)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+900)
Los Angeles Rams (+2200)
Cleveland Browns (+2500)

There were no major upsets on Wild Card weekend. The Steelers and Seahawks lost after they were two of the favorites to make it to Super Bowl LV in February just a couple of months ago.

But much of that shine was gone by the time the playoffs began, and their absence only shifts things slightly.

The Chiefs remain the firm favorites to repeat. The Packers are next in line, trying to get Aaron Rodgers his second Super Bowl ring.

Drew Brees is also looking for a second ring, and a bet on the Saints is paying +550.

If you’re looking for value, a bet on the Browns has it. They won 11 games in the regular season, just beat their nemesis, the Steelers, and have a great running game.

Odds to Win AFC

Kansas City Chiefs (-125)
Buffalo Bills (+290)
Baltimore Ravens (+400)
Cleveland Browns (+1200)

It’s unusual to see a team paying negative numbers with still four playoff teams remaining, but that’s where things stand with the Chiefs. One of the reasons for that is Patrick Mahomes and his 4-1 postseason record.

When it comes to the matchup between Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, bookmakers think Allen has the better chance of making it to February.

Odds to Win NFC

Green Bay Packers (+130)
New Orleans Saints (+200)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360)
Los Angeles Rams (+900)

Brees and Brady meet this week in New Orleans, and odds say that the Saints will beat the Bucs for a third time this season. But when going to play the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, the outdoors is predicted to be unkind to Brees.

Pay Per Head Software

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National Championship Game Bets To Make

by WagerHome Blog on January 7, 2021

The 2020 national title will be decided on Monday night when the Ohio State Buckeyes take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship Game in Miami.

The current word is that Ohio State is struggling with a number of positive COVID-19 tests. But the game is still on for Monday and is likely to remain that way.

The Buckeyes will be without some members of their team when they play Alabama, as they were against Clemson in the CFP semifinal. As long as that number doesn’t rise significantly, the show will go on.

The Line: Alabama (-7.5)

The top-ranked Crimson Tide head into the game as just over a touchdown favorite, which is good for Alabama fans. When favored by seven points or less, Alabama has lost against the spread in five of its last eight games. So as long as the spread stays 7.5 or above, that history remains moot.

What is relevant is that even though Alabama was an impressive 8-4 against the spread in 2020, it has failed to cover in each of this season’s postseason games – the SEC Championship Game (six-point win over Florida) and the CFP semifinal (17-point win over Notre Dame.)

Ohio State was only the underdog once this year – its semifinal game against Clemson – and the Buckeyes beat that spread by an impressive 28 points.

Take the Buckeyes and the points.

Over/Under: 74.5

The game total opened at 76.5 and has come down two full points. That could be the result of the COVID-19 news coming out of Columbus. But we know that both of these teams can and will score regardless of which pieces are missing on Monday.

Justin Fields just went for six touchdowns against Clemson, and Alabama’s pass defense ranks only 82nd in the country. Ohio State has scored 52, 49, 42, 52, and 49 points in games this season. The Buckeyes can score.

So who does Alabama have? Just the most recent Heisman Trophy winner, wide receiver DeVonta Smith, and his quarterback, Mac Jones, who finished third in Heisman voting.

There’s also running back Najee Harris, who finished fifth in the Heisman voting. How is that for a three-headed offensive monster?

Only twice this year did Alabama fail to break 40 points – at Missouri and against Notre Dame. But six times, the Crimson Tide broke 50 points, including 63 points each against Mississippi and Kentucky.

If you want to place a totals bet, take the over.

Moneyline: Alabama (-275) vs. Ohio State (+220)

While most experts agree that Alabama has been the best team all year and is the best team that will take the field in Miami, are the Tide worth -275?

Ohio State is playing too well to put money on Alabama with such a little payoff. The smart choice is to skip the moneyline bet altogether or make a modest wager on Ohio State.

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NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on January 5, 2021

The NFL Wild Card Weekend was already one of the best on the betting calendar. But with the new super-sized playoff field, we are getting six of the best games of the season instead of just four.

If ever there was a weekend made for a pay per head software partnership, this is it. If you are an independent bookmaker, don’t leave money on the table. Make the first big weekend of 2021 your best haul yet.

Saturday’s Top Game – Rams at Seahawks

There are three games on Saturday, including Colts at Bills (-6.5) and Buccaneers (-8.5) at Washington. But the best matchup of the day is the Los Angeles Rams visiting the Seattle Seahawks (-4.5).

For the first half of the season, Seattle’s offense was one of the best in the NFL, and Russell Wilson was making a serious run at his first MVP award. The problem was the Seahawks defense, which was a sieve.

The script flipped in the final eight games. Wilson was held to less than 200 yards three times, while Jamal Adams turned the Seattle defense into a solid asset. However, Adams is now hurt, and his status for Saturday is in doubt.

We all know about the Rams defense and Aaron Donald. The question mark is quarterback Jared Goff, who missed Week 17 after breaking his thumb.

The plan is to have Goff back by Saturday, which could be key. When the Rams beat the Seahawks back in November, he paced the victory with 302 yards passing. In that game, Wilson threw two interceptions and was sacked six times.

Sunday’s Top Game – Titans at Ravens

There are three more games on Sunday, including the Saints (-10.5) hosting the Bears and the Browns breaking their long playoff drought with a trip to Pittsburgh (-4.5). But the early game on Sunday is the Ravens (-3.5) at Tennessee, and it has classic written all over it.

The Ravens are the best running team in the NFL and just had 404 yards on the ground against Cincinnati. But on the other sideline, you have the best running back in the league in Derrick Henry, who just became the eighth player in NFL history to top 2,000 yards rushing in a single season.

Baltimore was the top seed a year ago, Lamar Jackson was the MVP, and none of that mattered to Tennessee. It was the Titans winning in the postseason and advancing to the AFC Championship Game. And in the much-anticipated rematch in November, again Tennessee prevailed with a 29-yard Henry touchdown in overtime.

This feels like a final-possession-winning-drive type of game.

Pay Per Head Software

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Farmers Insurance Open: Current Odds to Win

Farmers Insurance Open: Others to Watch

Farmers Insurance Open: Pay Per Head Software

Super Bowl LV Point Spread: Chiefs (-3)

Super Bowl LV Over/Under: 56.5

Super Bowl MVP

Pay Per Head Software

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Offensive Firepower

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Outlook

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers Outlook

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: The Pick is In

The Line: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

Buffalo Bills

Kansas City Chiefs

Pay Per Head Software

Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (45.5)

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (49.5)

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (55.5)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (51.5)

Pay Per Head Software

Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

Odds to Win AFC

Odds to Win NFC

Pay Per Head Software

The Line: Alabama (-7.5)

Over/Under: 74.5

Moneyline: Alabama (-275) vs. Ohio State (+220)

Pay Per Head Software

Saturday’s Top Game – Rams at Seahawks

Sunday’s Top Game – Titans at Ravens

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