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NCAA Football Week 6 Best Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 6, 2021

As we hit the second weekend of October, the air begins to get a chill, and the NCAA football matchups heat up.

No.2 Georgia (-14.5) at No. 18 Auburn

Georgia really is this good. Without quarterback JT Daniels and facing an excellent Arkansas team, the Bulldogs posted a second consecutive shutout on their way to a 37-0 blowout. The Razorbacks finished the game with just 156 yards of total offense.

Auburn had a slip against Penn State and looked lackluster when facing Georgia State, but an upset win last week at LSU – their first win in Baton Rouge since 1999 – has things looking up for the Tigers. But simply put, they aren’t in Georgia’s league. They won’t get above 14 points, while the Bulldogs will break 30 for the fifth game in a row.

Take Georgia and lay the points.

No. 13 Arkansas at No. 17 Ole Miss (-6)

Arkansas was exposed last week. They are a very good team, but they are not ready to be elite. And this week, they are facing one of the truly elite quarterbacks in the country in Matt Corral. They faced a backup quarterback against Texas A&M, a backup quarterback against Georgia, and now they face a guy who is the second-highest betting favorite to win the Heisman.

Ole Miss was humbled last week at Alabama. They want to get the taste of that defeat out of their mouths quickly, and that happens this week against the Razorbacks. Take the Rebels to cover.

No. 6 Oklahoma vs. No. 21 Texas (Over 63.5)

In four games against the FBS competition, Oklahoma has yet to cover the spread. Last week against Kansas State, the spread was 15, and they only won 37-31.

But that score is important. It was a full 15 points over the total of 53, and two other times this season, they hit the over on totals at 66 and 66.5.

OU is averaging 38 points per game, and on the other side, Texas is averaging nearly 44 points per game. The Longhorns have hit the over in three of their last four games, and this week it will be four of five.

Wyoming at Air Force (-6)

It’s the Mountain West Conference, and the teams are unranked, so this game may be off your radar. But it should be on it, as the Falcons are proving to be one of the better bets this season, while Wyoming is a disappointment.

The Cowboys barely beat FCS Montana State and squeaked by UConn, despite being 31-point favorites. Air Force has covered in three of their last four games, including a blowout win at New Mexico last week, and they cover again this Saturday.

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NCAA Football Week 5 Parlay Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 29, 2021

It is a great weekend of college football, with four games taking place between top-25 teams. And that makes for another great weekend of college football betting.

These are our top picks for the NCAA Football Week 5, and any and all of them can be combined to make a solid top-25 parlay.

No. 8 Arkansas at No. 2 Georgia (-18.5)

We’ve been banging the Georgia drum since the season first kicked off and have been happy to lay the points on the Bulldogs each week this season. And taking Georgia has paid off, with them going 3-1 against the spread.

Not this week.

Arkansas is 4-0 against the spread and a legitimate top-10 team. They shouldn’t be this big of an underdog, and you shouldn’t expect Georgia to cover. The Razorbacks will probably lose, but they will be competitive from start to finish and cover in the end. Take the points.

No. 7 Cincinnati (-2.5) at No. 9 Notre Dame

Notre Dame is coming off its biggest win of the season and is a home underdog? Say it ain’t so.

Cincinnati is very good, and they will push the Irish all game long. But the lack of respect for Notre Dame at home and as a top-10 team, no doubt, has ruffled some feathers. Look for Notre Dame to respond, much like they did last week, and win this game outright. Take Notre Dame and the points.

No 14. Michigan (-1) at Wisconsin

With the spread at just 1-point, this is essentially a pick’em game. And yes, Michigan hasn’t won at Wisconsin since 2001, when head coach Jim Harbaugh was playing the final season of his career as the backup quarterback in Carolina. But that 20-year streak will end this weekend.

Wisconsin’s defense will hold up well against the Michigan running game, but the Badgers will struggle to move the ball with a passing attack ranked near the bottom in the country. Michigan improves to 5-0 this week and goes to 4-1 against the spread.

No. 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Kansas State

The Wildcats actually have a two-game winning streak against the Sooners and have been good as home underdogs. Under coach Chris Klieman, they are 6-2 against the spread when picked to lose at home.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma began the season as a favorite to make the College Football Playoffs and have yet another Heisman-winning quarterback in Spencer Rattler. But their offense is a mess; they’ve posted three very unimpressive wins – Tulane, Nebraska, and West Virginia – and they will fail to cover the spread in Manhattan.

Take Kansas State and the points.

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NCAA Football Week 4 Parlay Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 20, 2021

It’s the final weekend of September, and we are now into conference play for most teams, which means familiar opponents, tighter matchups, and better wagering.

Pac-12 Parlay

Arizona at Oregon (-27.5)

Somehow as each football week passes, Arizona gets worse. They actually covered the spread in the Week 1 loss. In Week 2, as favorites against San Diego St, they lost. In Week 3, as nearly four-touchdown favorites against Northern Arizona, the Wildcats also lost.

They have no chance against an Oregon team that is 3-0 and still riding high after beating Ohio State as two-touchdown underdogs. The Ducks are at home and getting great quarterback play from Anthony Brown.

Take Oregon and lay the points.

Oregon State (+13) at USC

Like its in-state rival, Oregon State has also been playing very good football. In Week 2 they covered the 11-point spread against Hawaii, and the next week they covered the 28-point spread against Idaho. They take their 2-1 record south to take on USC, which is in the midst of a tidal wave of head coaching rumors.

The Trojans responded in their first game under interim head coach Donte Williams, smacking Washington State, 45-14, covering the 7-point spread. But the reason they have an interim head coach is because of the egg they laid the week before against Stanford. As 17.5-point favorites, USC lost by 14.

USC gets the job done this week but in a much closer game. Take the Beavers and the points.

SEC Parlay

Florida (-17.5) at Tennessee

You might think Florida will suffer a hangover after its narrow loss to Alabama last weekend. They outgained the Crimson Tide and lost by just two points. But helping to prevent the hangover is their annual clash with Tennessee.

These two teams have played 50 times, including every season since 1990, and Tennessee has only won seven games since then. Florida has won 24, including 15 of the last 16. In two of the previous three meetings, Florida has won by at least 26 points, and they will win this game by more than 17.

Georgia (-34.5) at Vanderbilt

Georgia is the deserved No. 2 team in the nation, and the Bulldogs have covered the point spread in two of their three wins. This last week they were 31.5-point favorites over South Carolina but only won by 27.

Vanderbilt, on the other hand, is one of the worst teams in the country. Georgia turns it up a notch, gets out to a huge lead, and cruises to the five-plus touchdown win.

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NCAA Football Week 3: Betting Favorites to Hammer

by WagerHome Blog on September 13, 2021

It’s Week 3 in college football, and we’re beginning to see which teams are contenders for a championship and who is just hoping to qualify for a bowl game. With Spencer Rattler at quarterback, Oklahoma is definitely a contender.

Nebraska at Oklahoma (-22)

Nebraska has quieted some of the criticism it faced after an opening game loss to Illinois. They looked overmatched against the Illini, even as the odds on favorites.

Since then, the Huskers have laid waste to Fordham (expected) and beaten Buffalo by 25 (doubling the point spread). But Oklahoma, with all of its history against Nebraska, is a mismatch.

This is the 50-year anniversary of the “Game of the Century,” but it will be all Oklahoma in this one. Spencer Rattler is the deserved Heisman frontrunner, and Nebraska will do nothing to slow him down. Oklahoma will keep it at full throttle the entire game, easily covering this spread.

Minnesota at Colorado (-1.5)

Last Saturday, Minnesota won its game against Miami (OH) but showed that they are not nearly the same team without running back Mohamed Ibrahim. Against Ohio State, they covered the spread in the loss after getting three quarters from Ibrahim. Against Miami, they failed to cover with an offense that was lackluster from the start, and especially the second half.

The going for Minnesota will be even tougher against the Colorado defense, which just took Texas A&M to the brink. The fifth-ranked Aggies survived to win 10-7, but the Buffaloes gained a legion of believers. They were 4-2 against the spread in 2020, and they have started this year 2-0 ATS.

Colorado still hasn’t played on the road, and they’ll use another week of home-cooking to take out the Gophers. Colorado wins the defensive battle by a touchdown.

Alabama (-15.5) at Florida

One of the best parts about betting on Nick Saban and Alabama is that he is never satisfied with his team’s performance, no matter the score. He never stops coaching, and he demands that his team never stops playing.

Unhappy with the 34-point win over Mercer, no doubt the Tide are having a rough week at practice that they will take out on the rival Gators on Saturday. Much like they did against Miami in Week 1, Alabama will be dominant from start to finish.

Florida is 2-0 but has yet to cover in taking on Florida Atlantic and South Florida. The Gators have lost seven straight to Alabama by an average score of 39-18, and you can expect a similar margin of victory on Saturday.

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Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on September 6, 2021

The second full Saturday of the college football season offers us a number of great betting options.

Georgia (-26.5) vs. UAB

It was a great start to the season for Georgia, as they knocked off Clemson with a suffocating defense. The offense only put up 10 points, but that will not be the case this week against UAB.

The Blazers also got off the good start, beating Jackson State, 31-0. But their great game through the air will not materialize against the Bulldogs. Georgia is a big winner in this one, and they cover the spread by winning by four touchdowns.

Colorado (+17) vs. Texas A&M

As good as Texas A&M is, if not for a pair of missed fields by Kent State in the fourth quarter on Saturday, they would have failed to cover the spread. Still, the nearly 600 yards of offense was impressive from the Aggies.

Colorado is a much tougher test than Kent State, as one of the surprise teams in the Pac-12 last season and as an easy winner over Northern Colorado last weekend.

Last year the Buffaloes were 4-2 against the spread, and with this week’s game being played at Empower Field in Denver, the extra energy from the bigger crowd will have CU covering this 17-spread.

Missouri (+5) vs. Kentucky

In a somewhat uninspired effort, Missouri won its first game, 34-24, and failed to cover the spread. The Tigers, however, are better than that and are expected to battle it out with Kentucky for third place in the SEC East.

Kentucky did cover the spread in its first win of the season, 45-10 over Louisiana Monroe. They get the Tigers at home, which helps account for the five-point spread. Last season Kentucky was also favored in this matchup, but it was Mizzou winning by 10 points.

The Tigers may not pull off the outright win as they did in 2020, but look for them to keep it inside the five-point spread.

Michigan (-6) vs. Washington

Michigan may have its quarterback. Cade McNamara was the highest-graded Power Five quarterback in the country last week by Pro Football Focus, as he led the Wolverines to an easy 47-14 win, which covered the 16.5-point spread.

Washington began the season in an opposite fashion, losing a stunner at home to FCS Montana, 13-7. Huskies quarterback Dyan Morris threw three interceptions in the losing effort.

This point spread actually opened at only five before rising up to its current six points. Washington isn’t nearly as bad as they looked against Montana, but that game shows they aren’t nearly as good as Michigan.

The Wolverines roll and cover the six points easily at home.

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Best College Football Week 1 Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on August 31, 2021

The 2021 college football season officially started last Saturday, but there were only a handful of games on the schedule. The real fun begins this week as the schedule is loaded, and there are some great betting opportunities available.

Not only does Week 1 of the college football season provide some great betting opportunities, but it also provides a chance to offer betting as a Pay Per Head site as well. There is no better time than the present to launch one of these sites as this is one of the top betting markets in the United States.

The action starts off strong on Thursday night as the UCF Knights host the Boise State Broncos. The home team is now a 5.5-point favorite over Boise State, and that line doesn’t feel accurate. UCF will be playing its first game under new head coach Gus Malzahn, and this team is going to play well in the season opener.

Another great bet for both bettors and those running a Pay Per Head site is the Big Ten showdown featuring Penn State and Wisconsin. The Badgers are 5.5-point favorites on Saturday morning, but this matchup should be one of the best of the day.

The Chick-Fil-A Kickoff Game is another game that will receive plenty of betting attention, and this would be a great game to feature on a Pay Per Head site. This game will feature the Alabama Crimson Tide as 19.5-point favorites against the Miami Hurricanes.

Miami enters 2021 with plenty of hype, and they have the talent to keep this game close against Alabama, but not for the entire game. Alabama has made a history of blowing out teams, and they will be looking to make a statement as the defending national champions.

These are just a handful of games that stick out when it comes to Week 1 college football betting, but these are not the only opportunities. There is plenty of excitement surrounding the opening weekend of college football, and taking advantage of that hype with a Pay Per Head site can be extremely valuable.

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Preseason Betting Odds to win College Football National Title

by WagerHome Blog on July 19, 2021

Six months have passed since Alabama beat Ohio State, 52-24, completing its perfect season and winning the 2021 National Championship in college football. Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith are all gone from that team, but expectations in Tuscaloosa haven’t changed. This is still the best team in college football, and yet another National Championship is there for the taking.

Odds to Win 2022 National Championship

Alabama (+260)
Clemson (+400)
Ohio State (+600)
Oklahoma (+750)
Georgia (+800)
Iowa State (+3000)
LSU (+3000)
Texas A&M (+3000)
Florida (+4000)
Notre Dame (+4000)

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama’s last two quarterbacks – Tua Tagovailoa and Mac Jones – were both first-round NFL picks. New quarterback Bryce Young has the same level of talent and the same chance of being a starter on Sundays. For now, he will settle for leading the best recruiting class in the history of the online ranking era.

Alabama was paying +300 in January, and that’s dropped to +260.

Clemson Tigers

There are no bigger shoes to fill in college football this season than those left by the No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence. But with him out for a couple of games last season because of COVID-19, Clemson got a preview of his replacement, D.J. Uigalelei, and they liked what they saw. As a freshman, he played against Boston College and Notre Dame and threw for a combined 914 yards and five touchdowns and ran for another four scores.

Clemson is at +400 and the second betting favorite to win the championship next January.

Test Your Knowledge On Clemson Tigers Football - ProProfs Quiz

There are no bigger shoes to fill in college football this season than those left by Trevor Lawrence. Clemson got a preview of his replacement DJ Uigalelei, and they liked what they saw.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State is another team replacing a first-round NFL pick at quarterback (Notice a trend between great quarterbacks and great teams?). C.J. Stroud is the heir apparent, although redshirt freshman Jack Miller is also very good. Neither quarterback threw a pass in 2020, so don’t expect the Buckeyes offense to average more than 41 points a game, as it did a year ago.

Still, this is Ohio State, and they are deserved third on this list at +600.

Oklahoma Sooners

While the other top teams all welcome new quarterbacks, Oklahoma has Heisman favorite Spencer Rattler returning for a second season as the Sooners starter. He struggled a bit in the early stages of 2020 with turnovers, but no one finished the season looking better than Rattler. Over Oklahoma’s last eight games, Rattler threw 18 touchdowns to just two interceptions to go along with more than 2,000 passing yards.

If Rattler does what everyone thinks he will this season, Oklahoma will be in the College Football Playoff.

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National Championship Game Bets To Make

by WagerHome Blog on January 7, 2021

The 2020 national title will be decided on Monday night when the Ohio State Buckeyes take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship Game in Miami.

The current word is that Ohio State is struggling with a number of positive COVID-19 tests. But the game is still on for Monday and is likely to remain that way.

The Buckeyes will be without some members of their team when they play Alabama, as they were against Clemson in the CFP semifinal. As long as that number doesn’t rise significantly, the show will go on.

The Line: Alabama (-7.5)

The top-ranked Crimson Tide head into the game as just over a touchdown favorite, which is good for Alabama fans. When favored by seven points or less, Alabama has lost against the spread in five of its last eight games. So as long as the spread stays 7.5 or above, that history remains moot.

What is relevant is that even though Alabama was an impressive 8-4 against the spread in 2020, it has failed to cover in each of this season’s postseason games – the SEC Championship Game (six-point win over Florida) and the CFP semifinal (17-point win over Notre Dame.)

Ohio State was only the underdog once this year – its semifinal game against Clemson – and the Buckeyes beat that spread by an impressive 28 points.

Take the Buckeyes and the points.

Over/Under: 74.5

The game total opened at 76.5 and has come down two full points. That could be the result of the COVID-19 news coming out of Columbus. But we know that both of these teams can and will score regardless of which pieces are missing on Monday.

Justin Fields just went for six touchdowns against Clemson, and Alabama’s pass defense ranks only 82nd in the country. Ohio State has scored 52, 49, 42, 52, and 49 points in games this season. The Buckeyes can score.

So who does Alabama have? Just the most recent Heisman Trophy winner, wide receiver DeVonta Smith, and his quarterback, Mac Jones, who finished third in Heisman voting.

There’s also running back Najee Harris, who finished fifth in the Heisman voting. How is that for a three-headed offensive monster?

Only twice this year did Alabama fail to break 40 points – at Missouri and against Notre Dame. But six times, the Crimson Tide broke 50 points, including 63 points each against Mississippi and Kentucky.

If you want to place a totals bet, take the over.

Moneyline: Alabama (-275) vs. Ohio State (+220)

While most experts agree that Alabama has been the best team all year and is the best team that will take the field in Miami, are the Tide worth -275?

Ohio State is playing too well to put money on Alabama with such a little payoff. The smart choice is to skip the moneyline bet altogether or make a modest wager on Ohio State.

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Betting College Football Playoff with Pay Per Head Bookies

by WagerHome Blog on December 29, 2020

There is so much sports on the calendar this week that it’s almost easy to forget that the three biggest games of the college football season are yet to be played. That changes on New Year’s Day when the semifinals of the College Football Playoff kick off, and the eventual national champion takes one step closer to the title.

It also leads us right into the final week of the NFL regular season and the sports betting bonanza that is the month of January.

Rose Bowl – Notre Dame vs. Alabama (-19.5)

Only the year 2020 could give us a Rose Bowl game played in Arlington, Texas, and Notre Dame making the game as a representative from the ACC. But since 2021 will be upon us by the time this game begins, let’s talk about the football.

Notre Dame is very good. The Fighting Irish beat Clemson earlier in the season, only to lose to the Tigers in the ACC Championship Game. That is the only blemish on an otherwise stellar record that comes from Notre Dame playing great defense and featuring an offensive line that is one of the best in the country.

That offensive line will be key because it absolutely has to keep the Notre Dame offense humming against Alabama. Even with a great Irish defense, we know Alabama is going to score.

Both quarterback Mac Jones and wide receiver DeVonta Smith are Heisman Trophy finalists, and running back Najee Harris just missed the cut as the fifth-highest vote-getter.

Can Notre Dame keep pace with Alabama? The bookmakers clearly don’t think so.

Sugar Bowl – Ohio State vs. Clemson (-7.5)

As soon as Clemson closed out its victory over Ohio State in the semifinals last year, this was the rematch we all hoped to see. It was a heavyweight fight between two teams with two great quarterbacks, who amazingly are even better this season.

This is Clemson’s sixth trip to the College Football Playoff semifinals, and it’s worth noting that the Tigers are 4-1 against the spread in the previous five. Ohio State finds itself in the unusual position of being the underdog in this one. Since 2012, the Buckeyes are 7-1 against the spread when playing as the underdog, with that lone loss coming to Clemson and Trevor Lawrence at the Fiesta Bowl a year ago.

Both teams are ready for a battle, and it’s hard to believe that Clemson will win this by more than a touchdown. The Tigers are more battle-tested than Ohio State, having played 11 games to OSU’s six, but that may also mean the Buckeyes are healthier.

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College Football Championship Saturday Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 17, 2020

There were false starts, cancellations, postponements, and held breaths for most of the college football season. But here we are. We made it. The weekend of conference championship games is ready to kick off.

Big 12 – Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5) vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State beat Oklahoma the first time these two teams met, 37-30. Since that loss, Oklahoma has won six straight games, and they’ve gone 5-1 against the spread over that streak. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won five straight and covered the spread in each of their last three wins.

This will be a high scoring game, but close. And with a game likely to finish inside a touchdown, the safe bet is to take the points. Sooners will win but will not cover.

Big Ten – Northwestern Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-20.5)

COVID-19 almost knocked Ohio State out of this game, and it wasn’t even their own positive tests. But the Big Ten ultimately righted that wrong, changed its rules, and put its best team in the conference’s championship game.

Northwestern is no push-over. They’ve had a great and balanced offense all season and earned their way into Championship Saturday by giving up just 14 points per game. Northwestern hasn’t advanced enough to win this game, but they will keep the margin under 20. Take the points.

SEC – Alabama Crimson Tide (-17) vs. Florida Gators

In the 29 year history of the SEC Championship, the Alabama Crimson Tide have been in the game 13 times. They’ve won it eight previous times, and this will be their ninth win. Florida needs this game for any chance to be considered for the College Football Playoff, but they will fall short.

Florida has a great passing attack that will find some success. But Alabama has covered the spread in six straight games, and this will be a seventh. Take the Tide and lay the points.

ACC – Clemson Tigers (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

These two teams met earlier in the college football season, with Notre Dame winning in overtime, 47-40. But there was no Trevor Lawrence in that game. Of course, Lawrence doesn’t play defense, and the Irish had their way with the Tiger defense, topping 500 total yards.

Lawrence will be the difference in the rematch, and the Tigers should win their sixth straight ACC Championship. But Notre Dame hasn’t lost a game by double digits in more than 14 months, and the Irish offense is good enough to stay close to anyone.

Take the points. Clemson will fail to cover.

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No.2 Georgia (-14.5) at No. 18 Auburn

No. 13 Arkansas at No. 17 Ole Miss (-6)

No. 6 Oklahoma vs. No. 21 Texas (Over 63.5)

Wyoming at Air Force (-6)

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No. 8 Arkansas at No. 2 Georgia (-18.5)

No. 7 Cincinnati (-2.5) at No. 9 Notre Dame

No 14. Michigan (-1) at Wisconsin

No. 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Kansas State

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Pac-12 Parlay

Arizona at Oregon (-27.5)

Oregon State (+13) at USC

SEC Parlay

Florida (-17.5) at Tennessee

Georgia (-34.5) at Vanderbilt

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Nebraska at Oklahoma (-22)

Minnesota at Colorado (-1.5)

Alabama (-15.5) at Florida

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Georgia (-26.5) vs. UAB

Colorado (+17) vs. Texas A&M

Missouri (+5) vs. Kentucky

Michigan (-6) vs. Washington

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Odds to Win 2022 National Championship

Alabama Crimson Tide

Clemson Tigers

Ohio State Buckeyes

Oklahoma Sooners

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The Line: Alabama (-7.5)

Over/Under: 74.5

Moneyline: Alabama (-275) vs. Ohio State (+220)

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Rose Bowl – Notre Dame vs. Alabama (-19.5)

Sugar Bowl – Ohio State vs. Clemson (-7.5)

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Big 12 – Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5) vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Big Ten – Northwestern Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-20.5)

SEC – Alabama Crimson Tide (-17) vs. Florida Gators

ACC – Clemson Tigers (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

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