NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 25, 2022

As we move toward the final Saturday of October, we get into rivalry season, with two big rivalries headlining the NCAA football schedule this week.

Georgia goes to Jacksonville to take on the Florida Gators, which is preceded by the so-called “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.”

Michigan hosts Michigan State as it tries to win back the Paul Bunyan Trophy, not to be confused with the Paul Bunyan Axe, which is given to the winner of Minnesota vs. Wisconsin. We’re still a month away from that game.

For the best betting on NCAA football Week 9, here are our choices.

No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (-22.5) vs. Florida Gators

Georgia is the class of the country and the No. 1 NCAA football team in the nation, and they very much enjoy beating Florida, which they should do with ease on Saturday. Florida has a great offensive line, and quarterback Anthony Richardson will continue to look good, but the Florida defense will get abused all day.

Georgia wins this game 41-17 and covers the spread.

No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-15.5) at No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions

Much like with their NCAA football game with Michigan, Penn State should be able to keep things close early. The energy of the home crowd should help them do that. But also, like with their game against Michigan, the Nittany Lions won’t be able to sustain it.

Ohio State will roll in the second half of this game as their superior talent overwhelms Penn State, and they will end up winning by three touchdowns, covering the NCAA football spread.

NCAA Football

No. 19 Kentucky (+12.5) at No. 3 Tennessee

Tennessee is great everywhere, but their secondary, and that should mean a big day for Kentucky quarterback Will Levis. We’ve also seen the Kentucky defense put in several big performances, holding Mississippi State to less than 200 yards passing and just 17 points.

The Wildcats will move the ball and slow the Vols enough to keep this NCAA football game close. Tennessee wins in the end, but they fail to cover.

Michigan State at No. 4 Michigan (-21.5)

Last season the Michigan State Spartans overcame a 16-point deficit to upset their rivals from Ann Arbor in a season that ultimately saw the Wolverines play in the National Semifinals against Georgia. This Michigan team may be as good as that one, and Michigan State isn’t as good as they were in 2021.

Plus, the Wolverines want their revenge. Until losing to Georgia, the loss to State was their only blemish. Look for Michigan to put it on the Spartans in a revenge game, winning this one by four touchdowns.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 9 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 18, 2022

For the first time since 2006, the Tennessee Volunteers got a win over Alabama. The Vols won on a final second field goal 52-49, and it gave Tennessee four wins over NCAA teams that were ranked when the Vols beat them. Tennessee is now No. 3 in the country.

Alabama falls to No. 6, their lowest ranking since the end of the 2019 season, while Georgia and Ohio State stay put at No. 1 and No. 2.

Each Saturday in NCAA football, we have championship-level matchups, and this week is no different.

No. 14 Syracuse at No. 5 Clemson (Under 51.1)

It’s 7-0 Clemson hosting 6-0 Syracuse, and we have two of the best defenses in the country going at it in this one.

Florida State gave a bit of a blueprint last week in how to run against Clemson, and that is likely to become the Syracuse plan. Run the ball, work the clock, and keep the Tiger offense on the sideline. And that is why the UNDER in this game is a really attractive NCAA football bet.

No. 24 Mississippi State (+21.5) at No. 6 Alabama

After nearly losing to Texas A&M and actually losing to Tennessee, we’re not quite sure what we’re going to get from Alabama. Bryce Young wasn’t fully healthy last week, but he was fantastic against the Vols. But the Crimson Tide defense was very concerning.

The Bulldogs score a lot of points, except when they lose. They had 16 against LSU and 17 last week at Kentucky but have scored 40 points in four of their five wins.

This offense is good enough to find the end zone against Alabama repeatedly, and they should cover the 21.5-point NCAA football spread.


No. 17 Kansas State at No. 8 TCU (-3.5)

Following TCU’s huge win over Oklahoma State, the expectations for the Horned Frogs are also huge. They have won three straight against ranked NCAA opponents, and they have a chance to make it four in a row with Kansas State coming to town.

K-State plays good defense, but TCU plays great offense, averaging more than 526 yards per game. Quarterback Max Duggan will continue his great season, and he will keep TCU perfect on the year and cover the spread.

No. 9 UCLA (+6) at No. 10 Oregon

No one predicted that UCLA would begin the season 6-0, and a month ago, it was unfathomable to think they could win at Oregon. Yet here we are.

The Bruins have a great offense (as does Oregon), and after wins over Washington and Utah, UCLA will keep this game close. Even if they don’t win, they will cover the 6-point spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 8 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 11, 2022

Georgia had a near-miss in NCAA Week 5, and it dropped them out of the No. 1 ranking. In NCAA Week 6, the near-miss belonged to Alabama, and they, too, dropped out of the No. 1 ranking, putting Georgia back in the top spot.

Great team performances abound, as do great individual efforts. Pittsburgh’s Israel Abanikanda ran for 320 yards and six touchdowns, tying the ACC single-game record.

Also accounting for six touchdowns was Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud, who moved the Buckeyes into the No. 2 ranking with a big 49-20 win over Michigan State.

No. 3 Alabama at No. 6 Tennessee (+7.5)

We begin our slate of games with the displaced Alabama Crimson Tide going to Knoxville to take on the high-scoring offense of the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols are scoring more than 46 points per game on the back of quarterback Hendon Hooker, and he and this offense will keep scoring against Alabama.

Nick Saban is hopeful that Bryce Young can play, but just how effective will he be? Alabama is likely to win this NCAA game, but Tennessee has the offense to keep it close and to cover the spread.


No. 10 Penn State (+7) at No. 5 Michigan

Two years ago, Penn State got the win at Michigan Stadium, but two years ago, Jim Harbaugh’s crew wasn’t at the top of the Big Ten. They are now, with the defending conference champs 3-0 in the Big Ten, even if they did just fail to cover the spread at Indiana.

Penn State hasn’t covered for two straight, looking uninspired in wins against Central Michigan and Northwestern. But this is Michigan, and they will get up for this one, the first of a tough gauntlet that has them playing Michigan, Minnesota, and Ohio State.

Penn State is up for it, and they will cover, even as the Wolverines hold on to win the game.

No. 8 Oklahoma State (+3.5) at No. 13 TCU

TCU nearly came up short last week at Kansas, needing late-game heroics to get past the Jayhawks and their backup quarterback. But they won, and they pushed against the spread – their first non-win against the spread this NCAA season.

Oklahoma State is easily the toughest test of the NCAA season for the Frogs, but they come into this game as underdogs, and that’s why we like them. They were dogs against Baylor, and the Cowboys won outright. And while we’re going to stop short of predicting a win on the moneyline for Oklahoma State, we do like them and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 7 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

Two more college football coaches lost their jobs after losses in Week 5. Paul Chryst was in his eighth NCAA football season in Wisconsin, but his 34-10 loss at home to Illinois was too much for athletic director Chris McIntosh. Defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard will serve as the interim head coach.

In Colorado, it was an 0-5 start that cost Karl Dorrell his job. The Buffs lost to Arizona on Saturday and are just 4-13 since the beginning of last season. Offensive coordinator Mike Samford will take over on an interim basis.

On the field, we have a new No. 1, if you can consider Alabama as “new” at the top of the rankings. Georgia fell to No. 2 after nearly losing to unranked Missouri.

Auburn (+29.5) at No. 2 Georgia

Georgia has huge wins over Oregon and South Carolina and now narrow wins over Kent State and Missouri. So do you trust them to play over the competition of Auburn when that hasn’t been what the Bulldogs are doing?

Not against freshman quarterback Robby Ashford, who moved the ball well against LSU last week, and he will do the same at Georgia. Take Auburn to cover.

No. 8 Tennessee (-2.5) at No. 25 LSU

New to the Top-25 is LSU after their comeback win over Auburn, and the Football Power Index lists the Tigers as a top-10 team overall. The AP voters clearly lean heavily in favor of Tennessee, ranking them No. 8 in the nation.

The voters are right in this one, and in a shootout, the Vols should win by at least a touchdown, covering the modest 2.5-point spread.

No. 17 TCU at No. 19 Kansas (Over 67.5)

From a projected three wins to a 5-0 start for the Jayhawks has them as one of the better stories of the NCAA football season. But how long can Kansas keep winning?

TCU did hammer Oklahoma, 55-24, but they also struggled with SMU, and it’s probably true that Oklahoma isn’t that good. Kansas is, averaging 38 points per game, just a touchdown behind the Horned Frogs and their 45 points a game.

And that’s what we like – two teams who could both score over 40 points, making OVER 67.5 the preferred NCAA football bet in Lawrence.

No. 11 Utah (-3.5) at No. 18 UCLA

UCLA is 5-0 and now faces what is easily its toughest test of the young season when they host Utah.

The Utes average 42 points per game while giving up just 14.4 points, and that’s the difference here. The Bruins have a great offense, but only a good defense, and Utah will end the UCLA winning streak and cover this NCAA football spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 6 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 27, 2022

It’s only September, and yet another NCAA football team is looking for a new head coach, with Georgia Tech dismissing Geoff Collins after their 1-3 start. Last week’s 27-10 loss to UCF was the final straw, but his 10-28 record in what was his fourth year put the writing on the wall since the season began.

As for the good in Week 4, the Tennessee Volunteers are back into the top 10 for just the second time in 16 years. Kansas State returned to the Top 25 after beating Oklahoma, 41-34.

We are now on to NCAA football Week 5 and the best bets of the weekend.

No. 4 Michigan (-10.5) at Iowa

An easy month of September for Michigan ended with a bit of down turn in their performance against Maryland, and will that carry over into their first game of October? It’s Michigan’s first NCAA football game on the road, and Iowa does have an excellent defense.

Iowa’s offense, however, is not good. The Hawkeyes might keep this game close into the second half, but look for Michigan to cover the spread by the end.

No. 10 North Carolina State (+6.5) at No. 5 Clemson

The top 10 is filled with members of the SEC, but these two ACC teams are crashing the party and teaming up for perhaps the best game on Saturday.

Clemson is counting its lucky stars that it got out of Wake Forest last week with a double-overtime win. For N.C. State, its close call came in Week 1 against East Carolina. This game will be close and closer than a touchdown, meaning that the safest NCAA football bet is on North Carolina State to cover.

NCAA football

No. 7 Kentucky at No. 14 Mississippi (-6.5)

Kentucky is the higher ranked team, but they are the less complete team when compared to Ole Miss. The Wildcats have a great defense and a middling offense, and that is a big reason why they are underdogs on the road.

Mississippi ranks in the top-20 in both total offense and total defense, and look for them to cover the touchdown point spread.

No. 22 Wake Forest at No. 23 Florida State (-7)

Florida State has a chance to begin the season 5-0 for the first time since 2015, but to do it, they will have to get past Wake Forest, who nearly pulled off the upset over Clemson.

But can the Demon Deacons get back up for another big game? And a bigger question, can their pass offense move the ball against a great Florida State secondary?

The answer to that last question is doubtful, and that’s why we’re talking Florida State to win this game and cover the touchdown NCAA football point spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 5 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 4 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 20, 2022

It was a busy week in college football that saw Arizona State part ways with head coach Herm Edwards. Georgia, already No. 1 in the AP poll, moved past Alabama in the coaches poll thanks to a 48-7 win over South Carolina. And the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners set a school record for most points scored in Lincoln, Nebraska, with 49.

Hopefully, no more firings, and instead, just great football and winning wagers.

Maryland at No. 4 Michigan (-16.5)

Three football games and three 50-burgers for the Michigan Wolverines, and there’s no reason to think there won’t be another one this week. Jim Harbaugh is 6-0 against Maryland with an average margin of victory of 33 points – which is double this week’s point spread.

Maryland is also 3-0 but 1-2 against the spread against weak competition. Look for Michigan to roll by at least three touchdowns.

No. 5 Clemson at No. 21 Wake Forest (+7)

Clemson started off with an emphatic win over Georgia Tech, but since then, they’ve been sleepwalking. Yes, they beat Louisiana Tech last week, 48-20, but that was 5.5 points under the spread, and it came after only leading 13-7 at halftime.

No more cupcakes for the Tigers as they travel to Wake Forest, who counts a 20-point win at Vanderbilt among their three wins this season.

Can the Tigers turn it on against the Demon Deacons? Enough to win, yes. But this is going to be a close football game that sees Wake cover the touchdown spread.


No. 20 Florida (+11) at No. 11 Tennessee

The Vols look great and are an impressive 3-0 against the spread. But this is Florida, a team that has beaten Tennessee in the last five meetings.

The Gators lost at home to Kentucky and squeaked past South Florida last week, but Anthony Richardson will keep this game close. Tennessee wins the game, but they lose the point spread. Take the Gators and the points.

No. 10 Arkansas vs. No. 23 Texas A&M (-2.5)

The rankings are a little lopsided in this one. Last week Arkansas escaped a close one against Missouri State, failing to cover the spread by 15 points. Meanwhile, the Aggies made up for their embarrassment against Appalachian State with a cover win over Miami.

The Texas A&M offense is struggling, but the defense is playing like one of the best in the country, and the Razorbacks won’t be able to generate much of anything on offense. In a slugfest, Texas A&M covers the modest spread and wins by a field goal.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 4 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 13, 2022

It has been a tumultuous first couple of weeks in NCAA football, and storylines abound. Like Notre Dame, who looked like a legitimate contender at Ohio State, then promptly lost to Marshall.

It’s only mid-September, and we already have a coaching change in Nebraska, with Scott Frost out after a 1-2 start. We also might already have our best NCAA game of the year, with Alabama surviving in the end at Texas.

What is in store for us in NCAA Week 3, and which games deserve our betting dollars?

No. 6 Oklahoma (-11.5) at Nebraska

There was a time when this was the biggest game of the year, and not just in Oklahoma and Nebraska, but across the country. From 1971 until 1997, when the creation of the Big XII ended the annual rivalry, 20 times they played when both teams were ranked.

There was a stretch in the 90s when Nebraska was up, and Oklahoma was down, and now it’s Oklahoma that is up and Nebraska that is down. Way down. They now have an interim head coach and are coming off a home loss to Georgia Southern.

Oklahoma feasts.

NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

No. 1 Georgia at South Carolina (+24.5)

Georgia has outscored its two opponents 82-3. And these weren’t just scrubs. The most impressive win in all of college football this season was their total dismantling of Oregon, 49-3. Wiping the floor with Samford is a yawner. Crushing one of the best teams in another Power-5 Conference makes you notice.

South Carolina is good, and there is no shame in losing to Arkansas last week. And there won’t be any shame in losing to the top-ranked Bulldogs this week because South Carolina will cover the spread.

No. 22 Penn State (-3) at Auburn

Freshman Nick Singleton looks like the next great Penn State running back, rushing for 179 yards on just ten carries against Ohio last week. The game before, at Purdue, it was Nittany Lions quarterback Sean Clifford who was the star, throwing for 282 yards and four touchdowns.

Auburn is also 2-0, but they have failed to cover the spread in both weeks, while Penn State is 2-0 against the spread. They will make it three straight wins this weekend at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

No. 11 Michigan State (+3.5) at Washington

A great matchup on the West Coast has a pair of undefeated teams in Michigan State at Washington.

The Spartans have a great defense, and Washington has a great quarterback in Michael Penix Jr., but overall the Huskies just aren’t physical enough to compete with Michigan State. Getting more than a field goal on the road makes them a very enticing play.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 2 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 6, 2022

It’s Week 2 in NCAA football, and a number of great top-25 matchups highlight our betting Saturday.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-20) at Texas Longhorns

Both Alabama and Texas are coming off big Week 1 wins, but only one of these teams looked like the best NCAA team in the country. Hint: It was the team that beat Utah State 55-0.

This is a big spread considering that the game is in Texas, and the Longhorns are good, just outside the top-25. Don’t be surprised if this game ends up being a 38-20 Alabama win, which would mean that Texas plus the points makes for the better bet.

No. 24 Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5) at No. 17 Pittsburgh Panthers

The Panthers failed to cover in their Week 1 win over West Virginia, while Tennessee covered their spread by nearly two touchdowns.

Worse for Pittsburgh was the porous defense that showed up in Week 1, that will absolutely sink them in Week 2. Note that the Panthers are ranked higher and at home but nearly a touchdown underdog. That tells you that early in the NCAA season, you should trust Las Vegas more than AP voters.

Tennessee is the much better team, and they will cover this spread.


No. 20 Kentucky Wildcats vs. No. 12 Florida Gators (-4.5)

This is a great quarterback matchup between two guys who will be playing on Sunday next season – Will Levis of Kentucky and Anthony Richardson of Florida.

Richardson has more raw talent, while Levis looked to be more NFL-ready a week ago. But Richardson was fantastic in Week 1 against Utah, and if he keeps that up, Florida is going to win a lot of games this season. That includes this Saturday’s win over Kentucky, which will be by a touchdown or more.

No. 9 Baylor Bears at No. 21 BYU Cougars (-3.5)

It’s hard to really know what we have in Baylor after they ran over Albany, 69-10. At least BYU played another FBS school in South Florida, who they demolished 50-21. The spread was only 11, which they nearly tripled.

BYU is at home and based on how both teams looked in Week 1, it’s easy to see why the Cougars are the better than field goal favorite. But this would be to ignore who Baylor was in 2021 and who has returned from that team.

The Bears are good, and not only will they cover the modest spread at BYU, they will win this NCAA game outright.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 2 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 1 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on August 30, 2022

NCAA football fans got a little taste of the season to come last weekend with a thriller in Dublin, Ireland, where Northwestern came from behind to beat Nebraska. Illinois, Florida State, and North Carolina all got easy wins, and Vanderbilt went out to Hawaii and got a 63-10 victory.

But that was only Week 0. This is now officially Week 1, and all 25 of the nation’s Top-25 teams are in action, beginning on Thursday at Oklahoma State and finishing up on Monday night with Clemson and Georgia Tech.

NCAA Football Week 1 Picks Against the Spread

West Virginia (+7.5) at No. 17 Pittsburgh – Thursday

This is the 105th playing of the Backyard Brawl, but just the first since 2011. So while history can’t tell us about these two specific sets of players, we do know that four of the last five meetings have been decided by four points or less.

It will be rocking in Pittsburgh, and the Panthers probably win this game, but they will fall short of covering the touchdown spread. Take the Mountaineers.

Colorado State at No. 8 Michigan (-30.5) – Saturday

Here are the numbers that matter to you. Last season Michigan was 11-3-0 against the spread and 5-1 when that spread was more than two touchdowns.

On the other side, Colorado State was just 4-8-0 against the spread, and they lost their final six games of the season ATS.

CSU is ranked right around 95 in the country. Michigan is eighth. This is going to be a bloodbath that has the Wolverines covering no later than the third quarter.

No. 11 Oregon (+17.5) at No. 3 Georgia – Saturday

Considering that the Bulldogs lost 15 players to the NFL this past season, putting them as more than a two-touchdown favorite against a very good Oregon team is quite the leap.

Georgia is still loaded with talent, but they are a far greater unknown than a lot of teams because of their huge roster turnover.

You may want to roll with the Bulldogs most of the NCAA season, but this week look for the Ducks to cover.

No. 5 Notre Dame at No. 2 Ohio State (-17) – Saturday

It’s another huge spread for a game that, on paper, looks much closer than 17 points. But we know what we have in Ohio State, and it’s an offense led by C.J. Stroud that is going to put up points at will.

Notre Dame’s situation is far less certain, and their key players – like quarterback Tyler Buchner – are far less experienced.

In November, you might take the Irish to cover this spread. Right out of the gate and in Columbus, look for the Buckeyes to cover.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 1 Betting Picks

College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2021

It has been an unusual bowl season to be sure, with teams pulling out, replacement teams being found, and some bowls just outright canceled.

However, two games this Friday that we know will be played are the College Football Playoff Semifinals, taking place in Dallas and Miami.

Cotton Bowl – No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Cincinnati (+13.5)

Alabama was an eyelash away from losing its final regular season game and not even making it to this point. But they won that game in the closing seconds, and then by virtue of their win over Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, they are the No. 1 ranked team heading into the CFP.

They certainly look like the better team when compared to the Bearcats, but are they two touchdowns better?

Cincinnati finished hot, beating the spread in its final three games. But before that, they went four straight without covering and only beat Navy and Tulsa by one score. Their overall strength of schedule ranks 45th; Alabama’s is first.

Bryce Young is fantastic, and if the Heisman winner duplicates his play from the SEC title game, Alabama cruises. But the Bearcats are physical up front, and Desmond Ridder is also a talented quarterback.

College Football playoffs

Heisman winning quarterback Bryce Young and the Alabama Crimson Tide take on Cincinnati in the Collège Football playoffs.

Alabama wins, but Cincinnati keeps it under 10 points.

Orange Bowl – No 2. Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5)


Instead of pining for the game they could have had against Cincinnati, had Michigan not been passed over by Alabama, they are preparing to take on the team that was No. 1 in the nation for most of the season, Georgia.

The Bulldogs are the favorite because of just how great they looked from September through November, beating FBS teams by an average margin of victory of 32 points.

They did get run out of the building by Alabama, but Michigan doesn’t have an offense nearly as potent as what Georgia just faced, and that’s why the Bulldogs are favored to win by more than a touchdown.

The Wolverines counter their own great defense that hammered both Ohio State and Iowa to win the Big Ten. But the Michigan defense, while great, is a tick below that of Georgia. 

Michigan has two great running backs in Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum, but just how good can they be against Georgia? Quarterback Cade McNamara has been solid down the stretch, but he can’t take over games.

Georgia will simply be too much for Michigan, and they will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogCollege Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews