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NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on August 10, 2022

If you are an experienced NFL bettor, you know the disclaimer that follows. This is the NFL preseason.

There used to be a time when starters would actually play as much as a full quarter of football, or even more. Those days, however, are over. Most of the veteran stars will not see the field in this first week of full preseason play, and perhaps even any of the preseason.

That makes it tough to make accurate picks, which is both good and bad. Bad, because a lot of wagers are just guesses in the NFL preseason. But good, in that the lines bookmakers post are also largely guesses, and that makes for some exploitable point spreads.

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) – Thursday

It is the most bizarre streak in the history of the NFL. The Ravens have won 20 consecutive NFL preseason football games, and under head coach John Harbaugh they are 12-1 against the spread in the opening week of the preseason.

It’s nuts, winning that many consecutive games you aren’t really even trying to win. But at this point, the Ravens are trying to win, hoping to keep the streak alive. It will be fun to watch Malik Willis play for the Titans in this one but bet on the Ravens to cover the spread.

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (+1.5) – Friday

The pick of the Ravens aside, it generally is more profitable to pick underdogs in the preseason. Underdogs have covered the spread 54.2% of the time over the previous two seasons.

Here we have a home dog, and one who is the subject of HBO’s Hard Knocks, which makes us like the Lions even more. Last year’s Hard Knocks team was the Indianapolis Colts, and they won all three of their NFL preseason games.

Go with home dog Lions to cover.

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-1) – Friday

The 49ers, with a new young quarterback, will play Trey Lance in their first and third preseason games. They are also expected to play several other starters along with Lance.

Aaron Rodgers hasn’t appeared in an NFL preseason game since 2018, and he won’t be in the field on Friday in San Francisco. For that reason, plus the Packers having to travel, we like the 49ers to cover this nominal point spread.

Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers (Under 30) – Saturday

Rams coach Sean McVay and Chargers coach Brandon Staley hate the NFL preseason. Their only goal in preseason games is to get them over as quickly as possible. In 2021 the Rams scored 6, 16, and 12 points. The Chargers scored 13, 10, and 0. And when they played head-to-head, the final score was 13-6.

It would be a shock if these teams go over 30 total points. For these two teams, hammer that under.

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AFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2022

We are back with another NFL betting preview! There is absolutely no way that this weekend can match the excitement of the Divisional Round. Every single one of the four games ended with a walk-off win.

But as a consolation to not being the best weekend of football, this is the most important weekend of the season, with the winners on Sunday headed to Super Bowl LVI. Check out our AFC and NFC Championship betting previews below!

AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Both of these quarterbacks need the week off. Joe Burrow, in his last-second win over the Titans, was sacked nine times. He needs a week in a hot tub before he plays the Chiefs.

For Patrick Mahomes, he needs the week to return his heart rate back to normal. In the final two minutes and overtime of his last-second win over the Bills, there were 31 points scored, four lead changes, and Mahomes himself threw for 177 yards after the two-minute warning.

So can the Bengals, who have scored a total of 47 points in their two playoff games, keep up with the Chiefs, who have scored a total of 84 points in their two playoff games?

Fortunately, we don’t have to wonder. These teams played one another less than four weeks ago, and the Bengals did keep pace with Kansas City, actually winning 34-31 on a final-play field goal. You might remember that Ja’Marr Chase was incredible, going for 266 yards, and he has gone over 100 yards in each round of the playoffs.

Yes, the Bengals can keep pace with the Chiefs, and with a large seven-point spread, they will cover.

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

This is another rematch from the regular season and another one where the visiting underdog was the winner the first time around. For the 49ers, it was actually two wins against the Rams this season, and if you want to go back even further, they’ve now won six-straight games against their Southern California rivals.

Because of that Week 18 win in Los Angeles that put San Francisco into the postseason, they have a longer winning streak. But heading into the NFC Championship, at least on the offensive side of the ball, they have the most question marks.

Jimmy Garoppolo did not play well against the Cowboys, and he did not play well against the Packers. Jimmy G has 303 yards passing, no touchdowns, and two interceptions in the playoffs, but amazingly the 49ers have been winning.

Matthew Stafford is playing great in L.A., with 568 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and the Rams offense is clicking in a way that will make it very tough for the 49ers on Sunday. Not only does L.A. win the game, but they also win it by at least a touchdown and cover this spread.

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NFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 13, 2022

NFL Wild card weekend is here, and the only thing as good as the football from Saturday through Monday night, is the betting.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

The Bengals haven’t won a playoff game in 31 years, losing eight straight playoff games since beating the Houston Oilers 41-14. That eight-game losing streak began with a 20-10 loss to the Raiders, and the streak will end with a win over the Raiders by at least a touchdown.

For the Raiders, this will be their third straight postseason loss.

New England Patriots (+4) at Buffalo Bills

For the third time in just over a month, the Patriots and Bills meet, and that kind of familiarity favors the experience of Bill Belichick.

The Bills offense has struggled since they played the Patriots in Week 16. Josh Allen threw three interceptions in Week 17 and completed just 53 percent of his passes in Week 18.

The Bills may still win, but the Patriots’ defense keeps it to within a field goal.

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Except for two games with the Panthers, the Bucs haven’t looked great this last month. There was the near-miss against the Jets, a shut out to the Saints, and a trainer’s room full of injuries.

Tom Brady is still Tom Brady, but the 109 yards given up on the ground to Josh Allen in Week 14 is a sign that the top rusher among NFL quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts, and the top-ranked rushing team, the Eagles, will keep this game close.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

A month ago, it was said that if the Cowboys re-discovered their offense, they were going to be really tough to beat in the postseason. Two 50-burgers in the last three weeks, and this offense, coupled with a defense that ranks seventh in points allowed, should roll at home.

The Niners earned their way into the playoffs, but they will be bounced by more than a touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)

In 19 playoff games, we have seen a point spread as high as 13 points. The favored team is 18-1 overall (the one loss was by the Rams to the Patriots in the Super Bowl), and against the spread, the favored team is 11-7-1.

The Steelers lost to Kansas City, 36-10, three weeks ago, and that was without Travis Kelce. He’s playing, and the Chiefs win this game easily.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4)

The Cardinals did get the win in Dallas in Week 17, but they’ve lost the other four of their final fives games and too bad teams in Detroit and Seattle. The Rams backed into the division championship with their own loss in Week 18 but have enough firepower to win this game by a touchdown.

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NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 30, 2021

Two weeks remain in the NFL regular season, and there are only two weeks left of a full sixteen games for us to bet on each week. As the teams jockey for final playoff positioning, these are the four games you should give an extra look at in NFL Week 17.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5) at New York Jets

The only fear here is that the Bucs will get up by so much that they’ll take their foot off the gas, and the Jets will get a late score to stay inside two touchdowns.

That fear, however, is small. Tom Brady loves playing the Jets, and here his competitive nature will serve you well. He wants a Super Bowl, but he also wants another MVP award, and that will lead him to pour it on his old division rival.

The Tom Brady show will have Tampa Bay winning this game by at least 17 points.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Baltimore Ravens

These are two teams heading in completely opposite directions.

The Rams have won four straight games, covered all four, and have clinched a playoff berth. L.A.’s next goal is to secure the NFC West title.

The Ravens have lost four straight, gone 2-2 ATS, and have completely fallen out of the playoff picture. And another week goes by, and another cornerback does down with an injury.

The Ravens simply don’t have enough left to win this game and save their season. The Rams win, and they win by at least a touchdown.

Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

The Raiders defense is not equipped to handle Jonathan Taylor. He will get his yards, and the Colts will get their points. But even when Taylor is at his best, those points from the offense don’t get too high.

Taylor was great against the Cardinals, and Indy scored 22. He ran for 170 against the Patriots, and their final tally was 27.

Derek Carr is having a good season, and he expects to have Darren Waller back, and that will make a huge difference for the Raiders in keeping this game close. The Colts will still win, but Las Vegas only loses by a field goal.

Houston Texans (+13) at San Francisco 49ers

Is an injured Jimmy Garoppolo better than a still very raw Trey Lance?

After Garoppolo tore a ligament in his thumb last Thursday, the effects were obvious. He struggled to grip the football and throw it, and most doctors agree that he won’t be able to play this week or even again this season. However, the 49ers haven’t ruled him out just yet.

Regardless, the Texans are playing spirited football and covered two weeks in a row, and with a big 13-point spread against the 49ers, they will cover for a third straight week.

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NFL Week 12 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2021

It’s Thanksgiving weekend, which means lots and lots of food, lots and lots of football, and conversations around the dinner table about which are the best bets to place on a long NFL weekend. Below are some of our best NFL Week 12 betting picks!

Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

You may not be targeting the Falcons and Jaguars as one of the matchups you want to watch. Fair enough, the two teams have combined for some really bad football. But this is a game that you’ll want to bet.

As bad as the Falcons have looked at times – 43-3 vs. Dallas and 25-0 vs. New England – there are times when the Falcons have looked good. They have four wins, including an impressive win on the road at New Orleans. And they have been beating teams like the Jags, with wins over the Giants, Jets, and Dolphins.

Watching these two teams may not be on your weekend viewing schedule. But the Falcons are a good bet to win on the road in Jacksonville, and this game should be on your betting slip.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

The Patriots have a rookie quarterback and a collection of no-name wide receivers. But they have a coach by the name of Bill Belichick and one of the best defenses in football.

A win on Sunday, and incredibly, the Patriots could find themselves as the top seed in the AFC. Just a few weeks ago, the Bills were going to win the AFC East. Now the Pats are in the first place, and they have the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games.

Even before the Titans lost to Houston, there were concerns about Tennessee and its offense. Those concerns become even more amplified against a defense like New England’s and a coach like Belichick. Tennessee’s fall without Derrick Henry continues on Sunday, the Patriots win streak rolls on, and they win by more than a touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers are good again, which is fun. They’ve won three of four games, climbed back into the playoff race, rookie Elijah Mitchell is turning into a star, and Deebo Samuel is having a season for the ages.

The problem this week for the 49ers is that they face a team that has been good all season long, even if the record hasn’t cooperated. Like San Francisco, Minnesota is 5-5, but they are three field goals away from being 8-2.

Last week the game-winning field goal finally went in their favor, and they beat Green Bay. This week will be another close game and another win for the Vikings.

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Top Five Reasons to Bet Kansas City In Super Bowl LIV

by WagerHome Blog on January 21, 2020

The Super Bowl matchup is set following the Kansas City Chiefs’ win over Tennessee in the AFC Championship Game and the San Francisco 49ers’ victory against Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.

We still have two weeks to talk about the biggest day on the sports betting calendar, and a lot can change over these next two weeks. And you could change the entire complexion of your bookmaking business by signing up for pay per head software in the next two weeks.

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As for the game itself, the Chiefs have opened as 1.5-point favorites, and here are the top five reasons we think taking the Chiefs is a good bet.

Patrick Mahomes

With all respect to Jimmy Garoppolo, Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback playing in this Super Bowl, and maybe the best to play in any Super Bowl since Tom Brady was at his peak.

Mahomes simply never has a bad game. All of his games are either good or great. In four career playoff games, Mahomes is averaging 297 yards and three touchdowns and has yet to turn the ball over.

This is a quarterback’s league, and going with the better quarterback is always a good bet.

Andy Reid

San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan is one of the best young offensive minds in the NFL, and he will win a Super Bowl or two before his career is over. But Kansas City coach Andy Reid seems destined to end his Super Bowl drought and cement his place in the Hall of Fame.

We’ve all heard about how good Reid is when he has two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He is 18-3 in the regular season when coming off a bye, and in the playoffs when his team earned an extra week to prepare for its first game, he is 6-0.

Reid with an extra week to prepare for Super Bowl LIV is a big Kansas City advantage.

Tyreek Hill

Richard Sherman is a great cornerback who is destined for the Hall of Fame, and he will give Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill some problems. But he doesn’t have the speed to keep up with Hill, the fastest man in the NFL.

Sherman will need safety help to keep Hill from adding to his 17 total touchdowns of more than 50 yards.

Tyrann Mathieu

This is one Honey Badger that does care. Since gelling with the new defense in Kansas City, safety Tyrann Mathieu has emerged as one of the team’s unquestioned leaders and has been playing some of the best football of his career.

He’s playing like a man on a mission and gives this team a big lift in the secondary.

Chris Jones

There was some doubt that Chiefs defensive end Chris Jones would play in the AFC Championship Game because of a lingering calf injury. But not only did he play, he was a disruptive force.

He helped hold Titans running back Derrick Henry to his worst game since Week 6, and several times his pressure forced Tennessee quarterback Ryan Tannehill to misfire on third downs. With two more weeks to get healthy, Jones will be even better in the Super Bowl.

3 Players To Watch During The NFL Divisional Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on January 11, 2020

The NFL is a league of turnover, and nowhere is that more clear than in the eight teams that are playing on divisional playoff weekend. Of those eight teams, seven of them failed to make it this far a year ago, with only the Kansas City Chiefs making it to the divisional round in each of the last two seasons.

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Teams rise, and teams fall, and new players enter the big stage of the NFL playoffs, where they hope to cement their legacy. For this weekend, as the eight teams battle it out to see which four will advance to the championship games, these are the three players that are worth watching.

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

Following Tennessee’s upset win at New England, the football world can’t stop raving about the play of Derrick Henry. Add us to the list of those heaping on the praise, because he has been outstanding.

Just how good was Henry last weekend? Quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw for just 72 yards, and the Titans still won because the steamroller that is Henry ran for 182 yards. He now has 393 yards over his last two games.

Up next is a trip to Baltimore against the top-seeded Ravens, another team that is pretty great at running the football. If Henry can keep it going, and he can get just a little more help from Tannehill, it’s possible we could see another upset.

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson looked like an absolute magician in Houston’s come-from-behind win against the Buffalo Bills on Wild Card weekend. Watson was running for touchdowns, bouncing off would-be tacklers, and throwing darts to his receivers.

His college coach Dabo Swinney called Watson another Michael Jordan, and no one was arguing against that comparison at the end of the game.

The Texans’ defense is not good, so the Chiefs are expected to put up a lot of points in their matchup in Kansas City. But if Watson can keep pace and have another magical performance, Houston could move on.

Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are the top seed in the NFC and are the odds-on favorite to make it to the Super Bowl. But their quarterback, Jimmy Garappolo, is making his first-ever playoff start.

If the 49ers are to fulfill their lofty expectations, they will need Jimmy G to play like a guy who’s been there before. He’s had a terrific season, and there’s no reason to think that won’t continue.

But the Vikings did just make Drew Brees look rather ordinary, and they will look to do the same to Garoppolo.

It’s simple, if he plays well, so will the Niners. If he doesn’t, it might be a very short postseason.

Week 17 Playoff Picture Games To Watch

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2019

There are no Saturday NFL games this week, and no one plays on Monday. With playoff implications on the line, the NFL has everyone playing on Sunday for Week 17 of the regular season, so that all teams go into their games on equal footing.

It’s the best time of year to bet on football, and it’s the best opportunity for you to see just how much your bookmaking business would benefit from pay per head software. From the tech used to the available bets to the speed of changing odds, you can see how it works at WagerHome.com with a free four-week trial.

A full 11 of the 16 games on Sunday will decide NFL playoff berths and seeding, but it’s the following five games that we’re keeping our eyes on the most.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans have already clinched the AFC South and are currently the fourth seed in the playoffs. It’s possible they could move up to third, but that would require a Chiefs loss to the Chargers in Kansas City.

For the Titans, it’s simple; win, and they are in the playoffs as the sixth seed. If it was to lose to the Texans, then Tennessee needs Pittsburgh and Indianapolis to lose, and then it would still get in.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are locked in as the AFC’s top seed. So with home-field wrapped up, they will probably rest many of their starters. That could open the door for the Steelers, who would become the sixth seed if they win and the Titans lose.

There are also a few other less likely scenarios to get the Steelers in that involve multiple other results and a strength-of-victory tiebreaker.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers and Seahawks are both in the playoffs, but the difference between a first-round bye and having to go on the road as a Wild Card is a big one, which makes this game one of the most intriguing of the weekend.

Whichever team wins gets the division. If it’s the 49ers, they will also get a first-round bye. If the Seahawks win, they get the bye if the Packers lose this week. Scenarios also exist for either team to get home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

The NFC East hasn’t exactly shown itself to be the class of the NFL this season. Only one playoff team will emerge from the division, and it’s now impossible for any team to win as many as 10 games.

That being said, the division championship is coming down to the final week, and the Eagles are in the driver’s seat. If they beat the New York Giants, they are champs of the NFC East and will be the NFC’s fourth seed.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

If the Eagles falter against the Giants, then the Cowboys can win the division. They will need to beat the Redskins at home, and their division-winning scenario only comes to fruition if the Eagles lose.

Otherwise, a Cowboys win will be a nice way to end the season, but their season will end.

Top NFL Favorites To Bet In Week 15

by WagerHome Blog on December 14, 2019

Only three weeks remain in the NFL’s regular season, so there are only three weeks left to pick some favorites and play the full slate of games to get the best wagering experience offered anywhere in sports. But you don’t just have to be on the betting side of things to love a full day of NFL action.

If you are a bookmaker and are running your operations through a pay per head bookmaking site, you also know just how exciting the action is on the other side of the betting slip.

And if you haven’t yet signed up for a PPH site, you can try WagerHome.com for four weeks commitment-free, and find out just how profitable your bookmaking services can become.

Speaking of profitable, let’s get to our list of the top favorites to bet this NFL weekend.

Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

Philadelphia has not been impressive this season, and its wide receiving group looks more like a MASH unit. But you can play that to your advantage.

The Eagles opened as six-point favorites, but enough money has gone to the Redskins to move that line down to 4.5. This is now a good bet for Philadelphia. It still has a division title within its reach, while Washington is playing out the string.

Go with the Eagles to cover a line that might even get smaller by kickoff.

New England Patriots (-9.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Patriots are still playing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, while the Bengals are playing for the No. 1 draft pick. On a normal week, this line might be closer to 14, but with New England coming off two losses and the distraction of Spygate 2.0, the line sits at just 9.5.

The talent may be waning, but no team is as professional as the Patriots. They put aside all the noise and get back on track with a big win over the Bengals.

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-11)

The 49ers are another team looking at a possible No. 1 seed in the playoffs. So not only are they playing like the best team in the NFC, they have all the motivation to keep playing at a high level.

San Francisco has covered the spread three straight weeks, while Atlanta has failed to cover in two of the last three weeks. It’s a long road trip for a Falcons team finishing up a disappointing season. The Niners win this game by a couple of touchdowns.

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-9)

Against the spread over the last six weeks, the Saints have gone win, loss, win, loss, win, loss. Well, if that pattern is to continue, they’re due for a win.

But a much better reason to take the Saints this week is that they are at home in primetime, they’re jockeying for a playoff bye, and the Colts have lost three games in a row and have only slim playoff hopes remaining.

Drew Brees has a big game, and the Saints cover the spread.

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) – Thursday

Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (+1.5) – Friday

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-1) – Friday

Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers (Under 30) – Saturday

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AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

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Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

New England Patriots (+4) at Buffalo Bills

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5) at New York Jets

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) Baltimore Ravens

Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans (+13) at San Francisco 49ers

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Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

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Patrick Mahomes

Andy Reid

Tyreek Hill

Tyrann Mathieu

Chris Jones

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

New England Patriots (-9.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-11)

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-9)

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