Final Four Betting Odds

by WagerHome Blog on March 28, 2023

You did not predict this Final Four, the experts didn’t predict this Final Four, because no one could have predicted this Final Four.

Three of the four teams playing this weekend in Houston have never been here before. The four coaches in the Final Four have never won a championship. Forget about all the talk of blue bloods. This is new blood, and it’s setting us up for a wild and unpredictable weekend of college basketball.

Connecticut Huskies (-125)

The one team that has been here before is Connecticut, and they are naturally the favorites to win it all. UConn has four National Championships to their credit, with the most recent win coming in 2014. This visit to Houston is their sixth Final Four appearance in school history.

Final Four

The Huskies have won each of their four games in the NCAA Tournament by 15 points, and they are the first team to win its Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games by at least 20 points since Kentucky in 1996.

San Diego State Aztecs (+400)

While the Aztecs have never been to the Final Four before, they aren’t a pushover. They are champions of the Mountain West Conference, and they have been to the NCAA Tournament in three straight years. This year’s success is unprecedented, but the team as a whole is quite good.

San Diego State is here on the back of a great defense that handled No. 1 ranked Alabama, forcing 14 turnovers and holding the Crimson Tide to 17 points below their season average.

Miami Hurricanes (+450)

Miami was in the Elite Eight just 12 months ago before losing to eventual National Champion Kansas. And this year they are making their first trip to the Final Four. With seven wins in their last eight NCAA Tournament Games, they are the most successful collection of players of the four teams left standing.

Miami beat No. 1 seed Houston in the Sweet 16, and then ousted No. 2 Texas in the Elite Eight, so they might not be the most popular team in town this weekend.

Florida Atlantic Owls (+625)

Like San Diego State and Miami, Florida Atlantic is a conference champion. They won both the Conference USA regular season and tournament titles after being picked to finish fifth in the preseason poll. This is the first Final Four appearance in school history, and just the second NCAA Tournament appearance in 30 seasons at Division I.

The Owls’ path to Houston was opened up when Fairleigh Dickinson knocked out Purdue. But FAU did have to take out Memphis, Tennessee, and Kansas State, and on the back of some great three-point shooting. Their 9.6 made three-pointers a game is 12th best in the nation.

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The Final Four, Major League Baseball’s Opening Day, the Masters, the beginning of the NBA and NHL Playoffs, and the NFL Draft – and that’s all just in the next month.

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WagerHome BlogFinal Four Betting Odds

Latest NCAA Tournament Odds

by WagerHome Blog on March 21, 2023

The greatest basketball tournament in the history of the sport never disappoints. Two of the top seeds lost in the first weekend, with Purdue becoming just the second top seed in history to lose in the first round to a 16-seed. Break out Fairleigh Dickenson (although sadly their Tournament ended two days later).

Defending champion Kansas lost to Arkansas, Arizona lost to Princeton, and fellow two-seed Marquette was beaten by Tom Izzo and Michigan State.

Sixteen teams remain, and this is who the oddsmakers are favoring to win it all.

Favorites to Win Final Four

Alabama Crimson Tide (+350)
Houston Cougars (+360)
UCLA Bruins (+850)
Texas Longhorns (+1000)
Connecticut Huskies (+1000)
Creighton Blue Jays (+1100)
Tennessee Volunteers (+1100)
Gonzaga Bulldogs (+1200)
Michigan State Spartans (+2500)
Kansas State Wildcats (+3000)
Arkansas Razorbacks (+3500)
Xavier Musketeers (+3500)
San Diego State Aztecs (+4000)
Miami Hurricanes (+4500)
Florida Atlantic Owls (+4500)
Princeton Tigers (+20000)

Since the NCAA Tournament expanded in 1985, this is just the fourth time that multiple No. 1 seeds failed to get to the Sweet-16. And now, with just two top seeds remaining, not surprisingly, they are the two heavy favorites to win the NCAA title. Alabama has the easiest path, with only a fifth seed, a six seed, and a 15th seed left in the South Region.

NCAA

Houston faces the Miami Hurricanes in the Sweet-16, and the winner there will play the winner of Xavier and Texas. The NCAA Tournament is now without blue bloods Duke, North Carolina, Kansas, and Kentucky, but UCLA is plenty blue, and they are the highest seed remaining in the West.

The Kansas State Wildcats were picked in the NCAA preseason to finish dead last in the Big 12. Instead, America’s coach, Jerome Tang, who is having more fun than anyone else left in the Tournament, has K-State as the highest remaining seed in the East. Up next for the Wildcats, who just knocked off Kentucky, is Michigan State.

Favorites to Win Each Region

East – Tennessee (+130)
West – UCLA (+210)
South – Alabama (-140)
Midwest – Houston (-115)

Alabama and Houston are favorites to get things closed out in their regions and make it to the Final Four. In the East, however, Tennessee is only the fourth seed, and they are favored over No. 3 seed K-State (+350). Even No. 7 seed Michigan State (+300) is favored over the Wildcats.

UCLA is the No. 2 seed in the West and is playing in Las Vegas, just up the 15 Freeway from L.A. But at +210, they are actually tied with UConn as West favorites. Just behind them is Gonzaga at +240. Arkansas, who beat Kansas, is at +550.

Pay Per Head Software

Only 15 NCAA Tournament games remain, and 12 NCAA teams will be eliminated this weekend. Baseball begins in less than two weeks, the NBA and NHL Playoffs aren’t far away, and the NFL Draft is here in a month.

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WagerHome BlogLatest NCAA Tournament Odds

Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses – Betting Odds to win NCAA Basketball National Championship

by WagerHome Blog on February 24, 2022

We are just over three weeks away from Selection Sunday, the date that the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee fulfills dreams and breaks hearts.

There are some teams already guaranteed a spot in the dance, and they are favorites to be in the Final Four. While most of the rest of the field is hoping to try on Cinderella’s slipper for the three-week journey to the Final Four in New Orleans.

National Championship Favorites

Last weekend the NCAA Selection Committee released its current snapshot of what their top-16 looks like, and their favorites largely coincide with the betting favorites.

Gonzaga is the much-deserved top dog, currently paying +450. The Bulldogs are also the top-ranked team in the polls and by the Selection Committee. The second-ranked Auburn Tigers – in the eyes of the Selection Committee – is actually fourth in the current betting odds, paying +1000.

Kentucky was sixth in the released weekend bracket, but the Wildcats are actually second in betting odds, paying +800. The Wildcats from Arizona are the third-highest betting favorite, paying +850.

The Selection Committee gave one of its top seeds to Kansas, the same bracket where Kentucky is the No. 2 seed. But the Jayhawks are paying +1600 to win the National Championship, which is double the payout of Kentucky.

Final Four Underdogs

Tennessee is projected to be the third seed by the Selection Committee, but they are paying a whopping +5000 on a National Championship futures bet. For a team getting that much love from the powers that be and also has wins over North Carolina, Arizona, and Kentucky just over a week ago, that is an incredible value.

Likely, by the time the NCAA releases its full bracket, the odds on Tennessee will have dropped.

The Houston Cougars are in or near the top-10 in most of the various power rankings, but bettors haven’t seemed to notice. The first-place team in the American Athletic Conference is paying +4000.

Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses - Betting Odds to win NCAA Basketball National Championship

Darkhorses Worth a Look

Connecticut is a top-20 team, the Huskies are in third place in the Big East, and they have wins over Auburn and Villanova. The win over Villanova was just this Tuesday – UConn’s fourth win in a row – and they are playing much better basketball than their +10000 odds would suggest.

Another excellent value play is Iowa, who is also playing its best basketball as the postseason nears. The Hawkeyes, paying +10000, have won five of their last six games and rank fourth in the nation in points scored per game. Iowa ranks first in the nation in assists to turnovers, and it’s that kind of mistake-free basketball that wins games in March.

Pay Per Head Software

Conference tournaments begin at the end of the month, and then it’s non-stop elimination basketball for all of March. This is the perfect time for independent bookmakers to join forces with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com.

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WagerHome BlogFavorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses – Betting Odds to win NCAA Basketball National Championship

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on September 6, 2021

The second full Saturday of the college football season offers us a number of great betting options.

Georgia (-26.5) vs. UAB

It was a great start to the season for Georgia, as they knocked off Clemson with a suffocating defense. The offense only put up 10 points, but that will not be the case this week against UAB.

The Blazers also got off the good start, beating Jackson State, 31-0. But their great game through the air will not materialize against the Bulldogs. Georgia is a big winner in this one, and they cover the spread by winning by four touchdowns.

Colorado (+17) vs. Texas A&M

As good as Texas A&M is, if not for a pair of missed fields by Kent State in the fourth quarter on Saturday, they would have failed to cover the spread. Still, the nearly 600 yards of offense was impressive from the Aggies.

Colorado is a much tougher test than Kent State, as one of the surprise teams in the Pac-12 last season and as an easy winner over Northern Colorado last weekend.

Last year the Buffaloes were 4-2 against the spread, and with this week’s game being played at Empower Field in Denver, the extra energy from the bigger crowd will have CU covering this 17-spread.

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

Missouri (+5) vs. Kentucky

In a somewhat uninspired effort, Missouri won its first game, 34-24, and failed to cover the spread. The Tigers, however, are better than that and are expected to battle it out with Kentucky for third place in the SEC East.

Kentucky did cover the spread in its first win of the season, 45-10 over Louisiana Monroe. They get the Tigers at home, which helps account for the five-point spread. Last season Kentucky was also favored in this matchup, but it was Mizzou winning by 10 points.

The Tigers may not pull off the outright win as they did in 2020, but look for them to keep it inside the five-point spread.

Michigan (-6) vs. Washington

Michigan may have its quarterback. Cade McNamara was the highest-graded Power Five quarterback in the country last week by Pro Football Focus, as he led the Wolverines to an easy 47-14 win, which covered the 16.5-point spread.

Washington began the season in an opposite fashion, losing a stunner at home to FCS Montana, 13-7. Huskies quarterback Dyan Morris threw three interceptions in the losing effort.

This point spread actually opened at only five before rising up to its current six points. Washington isn’t nearly as bad as they looked against Montana, but that game shows they aren’t nearly as good as Michigan.

The Wolverines roll and cover the six points easily at home.

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WagerHome BlogBest College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

Looking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

by WagerHome Blog on August 27, 2020

This is going to be a strange NCAA football season.

The NFL has been locked in on its opening night since the AFC playoff rematch between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs was first announced. But in the college football world, with some conferences opting out and other conferences going forward, it’s been a little harder to keep track of when exactly we can start betting on the NCAA.

The good news is, assuming the schedules go off as planned, there will be plenty of good college football to enjoy. The bad news – this was supposed to be the opening weekend of the season, and that’s no longer happening.

NCAA Football Season Kickoff

It’s not exactly the kickoff weekend that the television networks and college football bettors dreamed about, but the season will finally begin on Sept. 3 with two Conference USA out-of-conference games:

  • South Alabama at Southern Miss
  • Central Arkansas at UAB

UAB did win nine games last year and made the New Orleans Bowl. Southern Miss lost to Tulane in the Armed Forces Bowl last season.

On Sept. 5, there are seven games being played out of the original 51 games that were on the schedule. The best games are:

  • Arkansas State at Memphis
  • SMU at Texas State

Both of those games will have limited fans in attendance.

Top 25 Kickoff

For Top 25 action, we’re all going to have to wait a little longer. The first game involving a ranked team that hasn’t been canceled or postponed is Sept. 12. With seven such games that Saturday, that is when it will truly feel like the college football season is here.

  • No. 1 Clemson at Wake Forest
  • Missouri State at No. 5 Oklahoma
  • Duke at No. 10 Notre Dame
  • UTEP at No. 14 Texas
  • Tulsa at No. 15 Oklahoma State
  • Syracuse at No. 18 North Carolina
  • Louisiana at No. 23 Iowa State

Power 5 Conference Kickoffs

With the Big Ten and Pac-12 suspending play this fall, we only have three of the Power 5 conferences in play.

ncaa

The SEC is only playing in-conference this season and begins its season with a full slate of games on Sept. 26. Defending national champion LSU starts at home against Mississippi State, while Alabama kicks off its season at Missouri.

The Big 12 has everyone playing a single non-conference game the week of Sept. 12 before kicking off its conference schedule on Sept. 26.

The ACC is far less structured, with non-conference games going on all season, and wherever a matchup could be cobbled together. The first time all 14 regular members are playing is Sept. 19. Notre Dame is in the conference this season only, making it a total of 15 teams.

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WagerHome BlogLooking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

Five Teams to Beat in Upcoming NCAA Tournament

by WagerHome Blog on March 3, 2020

We are less than two weeks away from “Selection Sunday,” and that means the start of one of the greatest sporting events in the country. The NCAA Tournament always delivers some excitement and unexpected results, but some top teams will make a run as well.

Here is a look at five teams to beat in the upcoming NCAA Tournament.

Kansas Jayhawks

The Kansas Jayhawks are led by point guard Devon Dotson and monster center Udoka Azubuike. Kansas is once again emerging as the cream of the crop in the Big 12 Conference, and it is always a threat to win the NCAA Tournament.

This Kansas team does struggle to shoot the ball at times, but their All-American center can carry this team. Teams won’t want to see the Kansas Jayhawks in their part of the bracket when they are revealed in two weeks.

Duke Blue Devils

The Duke Blue Devils have looked like one of the top teams in the country for much of the season, but they have also suffered some bad losses of late. Duke is an extremely young team, and that has hurt them a bit in past NCAA Tournaments.

Center Vernon Carey Jr. can put this team on his back if he needs to, but they also have plenty of other weapons around him. Point guard Tre Jones is a winner, and don’t be surprised if you see Duke make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament in March.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga used to be considered a “Cinderella team,” but now they are considered a favorite. Head coach Mark Few has had to reload and regroup, but he has another terrific team in Spokane.

Gonzaga is the highest-scoring team in the country, and they are extremely efficient as well. Strength of schedule is always a huge question mark with this team, but they should have an easier path by earning a likely number one seed.

Maryland Terrapins

Point guard Anthony Cowan Jr. and forward Jalen Smith give Maryland one of the top 1-2 punches in the country, and they currently sit on top of the Big Ten Conference. Cowan is averaging more than 16 points per game to lead this team, and he also dishes out more than four assists per night.

NCAA

Smith is a double-double machine that is capable of scoring in the low post, or by hitting an outside shot. Depth is a question mark with this team, but their starting unit is really good.

Baylor Bears

The Baylor roster is a collection of transfers and redshirt players, but they have had a phenomenal season. Baylor spent a handful of weeks as the top-ranked team in the country, and the Bears still have a shot at winning the Big 12 Conference.

The Bears are one of the top defensive teams in the country, and they will make life difficult for opposing offenses.

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WagerHome BlogFive Teams to Beat in Upcoming NCAA Tournament

Three NCAA Teams Going Under the Radar As March Madness Creeps Closer

by WagerHome Blog on February 1, 2020

February is upon us, which means it’s just four more weeks until the calendar flips to March, and the greatest three weeks of basketball takes center stage.

You love March Madness for the Cinderella stories, the buzzer-beaters, and the cutting down of the nets at the end of the Final Four. But we also love the wagering, as the 32 games that take place on the first Thursday and Friday of the tournament provide some of the most action-packed betting anywhere in sports.

If you have your own bookmaking business, you know all too well how fast and furious the betting can be that first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. The best way to get ahead of that, and to maximize your profits, is by joining forces with a pay per head software provider.

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Looking ahead to March and any wagers you might place, certain teams are emerging as favorites. But other teams are flying under the radar and can still provide very good betting value.

Indiana Hoosiers (100/1 to win NCAA Championship)

It’s strange to think of one of the true bluebloods of college basketball as a team flying under the radar, but having missed the NCAA Tournament for three straight years, that’s where Indiana is. But a big win over Michigan State recently and an earlier win over Ohio State makes it more than likely that the tournament drought is about to end.

Battle-tested through a tough Big Ten season, Indiana will have a few more top matchups to prove that it belongs. But right now, all signs point to a program returning to its glory days.

Colorado Buffaloes (80/1 to win NCAA Championship)

No one thinks of the Colorado Buffaloes when talking about NCAA Tournament success. They’ve won exactly three tournament games since 1963. The last win came a long eight years ago.

The Buffaloes, however, are a good team. Maybe even a very good team. Colorado is battling out it for the top spot in the Pac-12 and has a signature win over Oregon to bolster its resume.

ncaa

Colorado also has a top 20 defense, which is exactly what you need to make a deep tournament run.

Rutgers (80/1 to win NCAA Championship)

Another school playing great team defense is Rutgers, which has allowed it to climb back into the Top 25. A good win against Penn State and tough losses to Illinois and Iowa highlight the Scarlet Knights’ season resume.

It has been 29 years since Rutgers played in the NCAA Tournament and 37 years since it won a tournament game. So even as a ranked team, it is being largely overlooked.

Rutgers is winning by an average margin of almost 10 points and is getting significant offensive contributions from seven different players, making it very difficult to shut down, and making it an intriguing under-the-radar play.

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WagerHome BlogThree NCAA Teams Going Under the Radar As March Madness Creeps Closer

Betting These 3 Dark Horses In The NCAA Tournament

by WagerHome Blog on January 25, 2020

Not everything has to be about the Super Bowl this week. As the calendar gets closer to February, the NCAA basketball season begins to take center stage as the favorites battle it out for the top seeds in March.

But every year, there is an unexpected run to the Final Four, like Auburn in 2019. So who is this year’s best candidate to go on a run and outperform its seed? Who might be the surprise wager of the year and net you a tidy profit in a future’s bet?

Houston Cougars 80/1

The Houston Cougars were a No. 3 seed in the 2019 NCAA Tournament, but because they lost a pair of scorers from that team, they began this season unranked. That has changed, as they’ve now climbed into the Top 25 following a big win over 16th-ranked Wichita State.

And with a tough road loss at Oregon, this team will be battle-tested by the time March rolls around.

With Kansas transfer Quentin Grimes emerging as the superstar scorer the Cougars hoped he would be, this is exactly the kind of team that can go on a late-season run to Atlanta.

Maryland Terrapins 40/1

It seems like every year, there is a team from the Big Ten in the mix to win the national championship, and quite often, that team is Michigan State. But don’t sleep on Maryland, which is currently tied for third in the conference.

The Terrapins have had big wins over Notre Dame and Marquette – two frequent teams mentioned as possible tournament dark horses – and the grind through the conference will get Maryland more than ready for March.

dark horse

Maryland features a great defense, giving up just 61 points per game, and a dynamic outside scorer in junior guard Anthony Cowan Jr. And that combo is exactly what a team needs for a deep tournament run.

Arizona Wildcats 25/1

The Pac-12 has been a down conference for quite some time. It has had just one Final Four appearance (Oregon) in the last 11 years. But with three teams in the Top 25 this year, there is some quality basketball being played out west, and Arizona might be a team primed to return to the former glory of the Lute Olson days.

It was 2001 the last time Arizona made a Final Four, but following a dominant 21-point win over 20th-ranked Colorado, the Wildcats look like a team on the rise. They’ve also looked very good in close losses to Baylor, Oregon, and Gonzaga, giving them the exact kind of resume you look for in a tournament dark horse.

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WagerHome BlogBetting These 3 Dark Horses In The NCAA Tournament

Three Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on December 7, 2019

After this weekend we will know which four college football teams still have a shot at the national championship, and which teams have had their dreams end. It is one of the best weekends on the NCAA football calendar, and if you currently run your bookmaking operation with a pay per head site, then you are expecting a big weekend of action. And if you haven’t yet signed up for a PPH site, WagerHome.com gives you four free weeks to try it out.

As for this weekend’s games, these are the top three favorites expected to win their conference championships and cover the point spreads.

LSU Tigers (-7) vs. Georgia Bulldogs

It wasn’t that long ago that LSU was sitting in the No. 1 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. But even though it didn’t falter, it dropped to No. 2. If the Tigers can impress enough against a top team like Georgia, they just might be able to climb back up to No. 1.

I expect the Tigers to have the motivation and incentive to come out strong, put the hammer down on offense, and never let up.

Georgia does have one of the best defenses in the country, but scoring points for them has been a little bit tougher to accomplish. The Bulldogs have plenty of motivation for this game, too, knowing that a win will get them into the Playoff. But LSU is the superior team and having the better season. It will win the SEC Championship and cover the spread.

Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5) vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ohio State got to the No. 1 position in the College Football Playoff because it is simply annihilating opponents. Consider that when they fell behind 6-0 last week to Michigan, it was the Buckeyes’ largest deficit of the season. They, of course, went on to beat Michigan by 29 points, the 11th time in 12 games they’ve won by at least 24 points.

They have nine wins now against the spread, and with all the incentive in the world to stay No. 1 in the playoff rankings, there will be no let-up against Wisconsin. The Badgers are good, and they earned their way into the Big Ten Championship Game. But don’t forget that they’ve already lost to Ohio State this year, 38-7.

Take the Buckeyes to win big.

Oklahoma Sooners (-9) vs. Baylor Bears

It was just three weeks ago that Oklahoma and Baylor played one of the best games of the year. Baylor jumped out to a huge 28-3 lead, only to watch Jalen Hurts lead a furious second-half comeback and take the win.

Baylor got its lead because of turnovers by the Sooners, and that is something that I expect to be cleaned up for the rematch. Also, there won’t be any looking past the Bears this go-round. An impressive win by Oklahoma keeps it in contention for a playoff berth, and that alone will keep this team motivated for the full 60 minutes.

Oklahoma will win another Big 12 Championship and cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogThree Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

Top Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2019

Even if you haven’t made the decision yet to open your own Pay Per Head bookmaking service, it’s always better to be in the loop on who the hot teams are and what the best bets are. And, as the NCAA football season heats up for the stretch run to the College Football Playoff, this is where the action is.

Rivalries and trips to conference championship games hanging in the balance highlight our top bets this weekend.

Minnesota (+3) at Iowa

Much more is at stake this year than the Floyd of Rosedale pig trophy, awarded to the winner of this game since 1935. The Golden Gophers are in the top 10 and 9-0 for the first time in 115 years and hold out hope that they can get into the Big Ten Championship Game and into the College Football Playoff. And yet they come into this game as the underdog.

Iowa has struggled offensively against Top 25 teams, managing a total of 37 points in three games against ranked opponents. Meanwhile, the Gophers offense is rolling, with more than 37 points scored per game. There is simply too much at stake, and Minnesota is playing too well at the moment, to believe it won’t be ready for this one.

Take the hot team and the points.

Oklahoma (-9) at Baylor

It is true that Oklahoma has had some struggles on the road. They lost to Kansas State and were very slow starters at Kansas. And just a week ago, they squeaked past Iowa State by one point at home. But in all of those games, Oklahoma put up points, and that is something Baylor has struggled to do. Last week, the Bears managed just nine points in regulation against TCU.

Expect Jalen Hurts to come out and make a statement with his performance in Waco. But also remember that the closer we get to the playoff selection, the more teams want to record an impressive win. Oklahoma will not let up in this one as they try to make their case to the committee.

Oklahoma goes big over Baylor and covers the nine-point spread.

Navy (+7.5) at Notre Dame

If there’s one area where Notre Dame has struggled, it’s run defense. Michigan went for more than 300 on the ground against them. Louisville nearly hit 250. New Mexico also topped 200 yards. And what’s the one thing Navy does best? Run the football, to the tune of 6.08 yards per carry.

Navy is 6-2 against the spread this season, and there’s every reason to believe that will improve to 7-2 after this week. The Fighting Irish do have familiarity against the triple-option, but Navy will still control the clock and eat up yards at will, and it will keep this game close.

Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. Notre Dame. That trend continues. Take Navy and the points.

These are the hot games your PPH clients are likely to jump on this weekend, and the games we recommend you play yourself. And if you haven’t yet launched your own Pay Per Head site, check out the package offered by WagerHome.com and sign up today.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12