NFL Week 13 Betting Preview & Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 30, 2023

December football is here, and the playoff picture is becoming clearer. In fact, this week we might have our first playoff clinching scenario. If the Philadelphia Eagles win, and the Rams don’t, the Eagles are in the postseason.

Philadelphia also can get in with a win and losses by the Lions and Packers.

It won’t be an easy win for the Eagles, but it speaks to the coming dominoes to fall. Over the next few weeks, spots will be claimed, and other teams will be eliminated. And we get to place wagers on all of it.

Miami Dolphins (-9.5) at Washington Commanders

There has been a change at defensive coordinator in Washington. After losing to the Cowboys, 45-10, on Thanksgiving, a week after losing to the Giants 31-19, Jack Del Rio was relieved of his duties. Head coach Ron Rivera, himself on the hot seat, will take over DC duties for the remainder of the season.

None of it will matter against an offense as explosive as the Dolphins. Tyreek Hill has gone for 248 yards over the last two weeks, the Dolphins just boat-raced a good Jets defense on Black Friday, 34-13, and they should cruise against Washington.

Don’t be surprised if Miami wins by the largest margin of the week.

Detroit Lions (-4) at New Orleans Saints

Do not jump off the Lions just yet. Yes, the last three weeks the defense has looked bad, and in the last two weeks the results have been mixed. They should have lost to the Bears, and they did lose to the Packers. But the Lions are still good, and the three fumbles by Jared Goff last weekend is an anomaly. That will be fixed this week.

The Saints have scored just two touchdowns in their last 27 possessions, and last week they were kept out of the end zone by the Atlanta Falcons. They are one of the worst red zone teams in the NFL, ranking 29th in touchdowns per visit, and they will continue to struggle on Sunday.

The Lions get right and cover this spread.

San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Philadelphia Eagles

The aforementioned clinching scenario for the Eagles is indeed going to be a challenge. For the first time this season they are underdogs, and underdogs at home for the first time since 2021. And it’s for good reason. The 49ers are playing like the best team in the NFL.

The Eagles are an impressive 10-1, but they are winning by one or two plays, and in a few cases – like the Chiefs’ dropped pass – by luck. Meanwhile the 49ers are hammering the opposition, winning by an average of 21 points since they came off their bye.

Take the 49ers, and then look forward to the rematch.

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