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NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year

by WagerHome Blog on May 23, 2023

We’ve now all had a chance to see the top rookies from the 2023 NFL Draft all wear their new uniforms and attend rookie mini-camp. And while there isn’t a whole lot to be gleaned from how they play when wearing shorts, the excitement is still very real. Which of these young quarterbacks is most likely to emerge as a star, and which of the defensive studs is going to make the biggest first-year impact.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Bijan Robinson (+250)
Bryce Young (+500)
Anthony Richardson (+600)
C.J. Stroud (+750)
Jaxson Smith-Njigba (+800)
Jahmyr Gibbs (+900)

Bijan Robinson is a great talent, and he’s with a team that is not only committed to the running game, they are already good at it. The Falcons ability to run the ball with lesser running backs is only going to lead to more touches for Robinson, and better production, and that’s why he is the favorite.

Bryce Young was the first player selected last month, and he has a former quarterback as a head coach. While the ceiling on Anthony Richardson is considered to be higher because of his amazing athleticism, Young is a better bet to succeed right away.

The last two NFL Rookies of the Year were wide receivers, and not only is Jaxson Smith-Njigba the best wideout of this class, with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on his outsides, he’s primed to have a big year.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Will Anderson (+350)
Jalen Carter (+650)
Tyree Wilson (+800)
Devon Witherspoon (+900)
Christian Gonzalez (+950)

Everyone expects great things from Alabama EDGE Will Anderson. Obviously, the Texans do, considering what they paid to trade up for him. He is going to be a star, and we might see that from the first week of the season.

Jalen Carter out of Georgia is yet another great Bulldog defensive lineman going to the Philadelphia Eagles great defensive line. And if he can help Philly get back to the Super Bowl, he is sure to get Rookie of the Year attention.

From 1999 to 2014 we didn’t have a cornerback win the award. Now it’s happened three times in the last nine years, with Sauce Gardner taking how DROY honors last year for the Jets. The two corners with the biggest opportunities this season are Devon Witherspoon, now with the Seahawks, and Christian Gonzalez, who was drafted by the Patriots.

Pay Per Head Software

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Best Super Bowl LVII Bets

by WagerHome Blog on February 8, 2023

If you have been placing bets all season long on the NFL, you can’t wait until Super Bowl Sunday. But even if you’ve only dabbled in NFL betting, or are a complete novice to the pastime, the Super Bowl is an attractive betting event.

An estimated 50 million Americans will place wagers on the Super Bowl, putting over $16 billion on the line. It’s huge business, it’s an unofficial national holiday, it’s the biggest winter party in the U.S.A., and you need to get prepared.

Total Points

The 1.5-point spread that favors the Eagles doesn’t come with any clear patterns, so for the business of naming the “best bets” we’re going to avoid that. But when it comes to a totals bet, which currently has a line of 50.5, we have history to look at.

In each of the last four Super Bowls it is the UNDER that has won this bet. And in two of those the UNDER won by big numbers.

We love offensive football, and the betting public would prefer to root for scoring, as opposed to rooting against it. So they tend to like the OVER. But as you can see from recent history, it’s not always the best way to go.

Coin Toss

If you are planning to bet on the result of the coin toss – heads or tails – there is of course a 50% chance you will win your bet. But if you are betting on the winner of the game based on the winner of the coin toss, buyer beware. Each of the last eight teams to win the coin toss have gone on to lose the game.

This bizarre and inexplicable streak began when the Seahawks won the coin toss but lost to the Patriots, and it extends through last year’s game where the toss was won by the Bengals, but the game was won by the Rams.

Eagles First Half Points

Right now the Eagles first half over/under is 12.5 points. Considering that they averaged a league-best 18.2 points in the first half during the regular season, and have scored 28 and 21 first-half points in the postseason, this is an excellent bet to place.

Gatorade Shower

The final bet of the night takes place after the game is over – the color of the Gatorade shower the winning coach takes as the team celebrates its Super Bowl championship. In Super Bowl LIV the Chiefs showered Andy Reid in orange, which is paying +250 this season.

When the Eagles won in Super Bowl LII, the color of the Gatorade was yellow, which is paying +150.

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The Super Bowl Betting Extravaganza

by WagerHome Blog on February 2, 2023

For football fans, and fans of football betting, there is no bigger day on the calendar than Super Bowl Sunday. It is a day-long celebration of the NFL season, and more than 40 million Americans are expected to supplement that celebration by putting money down on the game.

Sports betting has never been more popular, the NFL has never been more popular, and marrying the two is a match made in prop betting heaven.

The Super Bowl doesn’t kick off until February 12, but you can start making your prop bets right now.

Cross-Sport Parlay Proposition Bets

Some of the most interesting and engaging bets offered on the Super Bowl are combination bets that include Super Bowl props with props from other sports that weekend. One bet being offered is for Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco to go over 69.5 yards rushing, and for the Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo to go over 29.5 points.

There are also bets that tie in Patrick Mahomes’ passing totals to the winner of the Phoenix Open, taking place on the other side of Phoenix from the Super Bowl.

In fact, you don’t even have to wait until next weekend for these cross-sport parlays to begin. You combine events this weekend, like the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am or this Saturday’s UFC event, with propositions from the Super Bowl.

Head-to-Head Prop Bets

Another type of prop that shows up during the Super Bowl that you don’t see very often during the regular season are head-to-head props. Similar to what you can find with golf bets and auto racing bets, these are bets between two players, and you wager on which will end the game with the most yards.

They also have defensive head-to-head props that involve tackles. There is no over/under on the bet. If the running back you wagered on finishes with just 11 yards, you will still win if his head-to-head opponent only gets 10 yards.

Super Bowl Exotic Props

The name “exotic prop” conjures up images of a tropical island proposition bet. What is meant by exotic is props that don’t actually involve the game. Bets on the coin toss (heads/tails), the over/under on the length of the National Anthem, and the color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning head coach.

You can bet on which beer commercial will air first, which car commercial is first, and which celebrities we will see in the crowd. And of course you can place a wager on who the MVP of the game thanks first, mom or dad.

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NFL Awards Biggest Potential Wins

by WagerHome Blog on January 31, 2023

As the NFL takes a week off to get ready for the Super Bowl, let’s check in on their end-of-season awards, and which bets are most likely to cash in.

Most Valuable Player

The biggest NFL award of the night, and heading into this final week of betting, there isn’t a whole lot of doubt that Patrick Mahomes is going to win. He was paying +800 back in August, and the season’s leader in yards and touchdowns is now paying just -750.

Jalen Hurts was voted 2nd NFL Team All-Pro, making him the only other realistic contender, and he’s paying a distant +1500.

Offensive Player of the Year

Often seen as the award for the best offensive player who isn’t a quarterback, there are two non-quarterbacks on the list. Tyreek Hill was a favorite early in the season, but he’s at +1400 today. Justin Jefferson began the season paying +2000, and now he is the huge favorite at -800.

Defensive Player of the Year

These are regular season awards, so the big game from Chris Jones in the AFC Championship Game does not matter. He is one of the three finalists, but a long shot at +10000.

The favorite is Nick Bosa of the 49ers, going from +1200 in the preseason to -1100 today. Preseason favorite Micah Parson still has a chance at +600. When the season kicked off he was paying +900.

Offensive Rookie of the Year

This is one of the most interesting awards of the year, with three finalists that are all worthy candidates. It comes down to what you think the award means. Does it go to the best player all season long, or the player with the biggest impact?

If it’s the latter then you like Brock Purdy at +700. The 49ers quarterback wasn’t even on the betting boards in August. If you favor a full season of contributions, it’s either Garrett Wilson at -200 or Kenneth Walker at +450.

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Aidan Hutchinson of the Lions was the preseason favorite at +500, and he had a very good second half to the season to keep his name in the conversation. But Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner is the first rookie corner to be 1st Team All-Pro in 41 years, and at -1200 he is the runaway favorite. He was paying +1000 when the season began.

Coach of the Year

The NFL favorite is Nick Sirianni at -175, although the Eagles have a loaded roster and were picked to win the NFC by a lot of pundits. Kyle Shanahan is at +300, and deservedly so after the musical chairs he had to play at NFL quarterback. Doug Pederson, from No. 1 draft pick to division champion in just one year, is paying +900.

Pay Per Head Software

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NFL Betting Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on January 25, 2023

We had 272 regular season games, there have been ten postseason games, and we are now down to three games left. Two of those three are this Sunday, giving the NFL bettors one last weekend to wager on multiple games.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

The first game on Sunday is for the NFC Championship. This is the third trip to this game in four years for the 49ers, and this is the Eagle’s first NFC Championship appearance since they won the Super Bowl five years ago.

These are the two best teams in the NFC, and this is the matchup that most NFL fans have been hoping to see since the 49ers began their 12-game winning streak. San Francisco has the best scoring defense in the NFL. The Eagles are eighth. The Eagles have the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, while the 49ers are sixth.

On both sides of the ball, it is strength on strength, and on the sidelines, we have two of the finalists for NFL Coach of the Year. In two years, Nick Sirianni has taken the four-win Eagles to a 14-win team that is one win from the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan twice lost his starting quarterback this season but has his team one win from their second Super Bowl appearance in four years.

This is going to be a classic game between two teams playing at their peaks. But the edge has to go to Philadelphia because quarterback Jalen Hurts played like an MVP. Brock Purdy is just making the ninth start of his career.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5)

The Chiefs avoided total disaster with the injury to Patrick Mahomes in the Divisional Round. It looked like the kind of tackle that resulted in a broken leg. Instead, it was just sprained ankle, albeit of the high ankle sprain variety, which is the most serious of sprained ankles.

Patrick Mahomes will play this Sunday against the Bengals in the rematch of last year’s AFC Championship, won by Cincinnati in overtime. But he will be far less mobile than normal and not quite the Mahomes we’re used to seeing. And this is where having Andy Reid as your head coach is so valuable. If anyone can create a game plan that succeeds with Mahomes staying in the pocket, it is Reid.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals rolled to victory over the Bills last week and are playing excellent football. But the offensive line is banged up, and the Chiefs finished second in the NFL in sacks this season. Where Buffalo failed, the Chiefs will succeed, and Burrow will face just enough pressure to open the door for Kansas City to avenge last year’s loss.

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Where Will the Quarterbacks Go?

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2023

The NFL isn’t just from August to February, and the betting on the NFL isn’t limited to just the games on the field. The most important position in sports is quarterback, and with a number of quarterbacks hitting the free agent market this offseason, you can wager on where they will play next season.

Lamar Jackson

The Ravens and Lamar Jackson appear to be headed for a split. Jackson didn’t travel to Cincinnati for the team’s playoff game, even though he was there just one week earlier for the final regular season game. And head coach John Harbaugh has continued to treat the injury to his star as an annoyance.

The franchise tag is still in play, but if Jackson doesn’t play in Baltimore next season, where do the betting odds say he is most likely to go?

New York Jets (+250)
Atlanta Falcons (+350)
Las Vegas Raiders (+750)
Carolina Panthers (+750)

The most intriguing of these is the Atlanta Falcons, who have an offense already built around running quarterback in Marcus Mariota. Jackon to Atlanta would make them the favorites to win the NFC South.

Tom Brady

Most people close to Tom Brady think that he will put off retirement for at least another season. They also believe that quarterback Brady and the Buccaneers are likely moving on from one another after a disappointing end to a disappointing season. Where could the GOAT end up in 2023?

Las Vegas Raiders (+250)
New York Jets (+350)
New England Patriots (+500)
Miami Dolphins (+600)
San Francisco 49ers (+700)

Brady’s old offensive coordinator is now the head coach in Las Vegas, and the Jets have said that they are prepared to go all-in on bringing in a veteran quarterback. As places where Brady could win, both the Raiders and Jets make sense. And as a Jets quarterback, he would get to match wits with Bill Belichick twice next season.

Aaron Rodgers

We may have seen the end of Aaron Rodgers in a Green Bay Packers uniform. Either by retirement, or by moving to another team, he certainly is sounding like someone who is tired of playing for the Packers. He said this week that he thinks he can win another MVP award if he is in the right situation. Where might that be?

Las Vegas Raiders (+400)
New York Jets (+500)
Indianapolis Colts (+500)
Tennessee Titans (+500)

With Derek Carr on the way out in Las Vegas, reuniting Rodgers with Davante Adams makes a lot of sense. Rodgers will want a place with established weapons, like Adams and tight-end Darren Waller. He would also find that same with the Jets with rookie Garrett Wilson. Although with Brett Favre having gone from the Packers to the Jets, would Rodgers want to follow those same footsteps?

Pay Per Head Software

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Betting the NFL Divisional Round

by WagerHome Blog on January 17, 2023

Annually it is the best weekend of the year. The fringe playoff teams have been removed from the mix, and only the eight best teams remain, all with the ability to win the NFL Super Bowl.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

The Jacksonville Jaguars spent the first 30 minutes of their Wild Card game against the Chargers looking like a team that had picked No. 1 overall in the last two NFL drafts. They spent the final 30 minutes looking like a team that can pull off an upset in Kansas City. Who shows up this Saturday?

Probably a team that is in-between. We will see a Jacksonville that definitely belongs, and is definitely on the rise, but they simply don’t yet have the consistency of the Chiefs. And especially at Arrowhead. The rested Chiefs get a big NFL day from Patrick Mahomes and win this game by 10 points.

New York Giants (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

We’re not going to take it as far as predicting a Giants win, but Daniel Jones has been on a tear since he and the Giants were beaten badly by the Eagles in NFL Week 14, and Jalen Hurts isn’t 100 percent. Just how much pain Hurts’ shoulder is still causing is unclear, but in Week 18 he admitted that he was causing him issues.

The rest of the Eagles team is better than the Giants, and that will be enough to get Philly to the NFC Championship. But look for New York to make it a closer game than expected.

Cincinnati Bengals (+5) at Buffalo Bills

When the Bengals and Bills were stopped in Week 17, Cincinnati was up 7-3 and Joe Burrow was looking on point. But since then the Bengals have lost two more offensive lineman, and they head into Buffalo more short-handed than in the Monday game that was canceled.

Both NFL teams struggled to put away backup quarterbacks in the Wild Card round, but Josh Allen’s turnovers are becoming a problem. Even with the offensive line issues Burrow will take advantage of that, just like Miami, and Cincinnati will make this a very close game.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

Will the real Dallas Cowboys please stand up? Are they the team that struggled against the Commanders and got beat in Week 18, or the team that blew out the Bucs? They are both, and that is the problem for them in this matchup.

San Francisco has been the most consistent NFL team over the final two months of the season, and on both sides of the ball. Even if the good Cowboys show up, it won’t matter. The 49ers are a machine, and they will cover this spread.

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NFL Week 18 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 3, 2023

One more week of regular season football, and three playoff spots have still yet to be handed out. Eight NFL teams have a chance to win one of those spots.

It’s put up or shut up in the final week of the regular season.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)

The scenario is simple for this game. Win, and you win the division. In fact, that scenario has been in place for a couple of weeks. The Titans rested a number of their NFL players last week in preparation for the win-and-in game in Jacksonville.

At the most important position on the NFL field, however, no amount of resting can help Tennessee. They are down to a third-string quarterback in Joshua Dobbs, and the Jaguars are getting great NFL play from Trevor Lawrence. At home, the Jags win by more than a touchdown and cover the spread.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)

When December began, the Packers were 4-8, and people were calling for the end of the Aaron Rodgers era. Now that we are in January, the Packers are 8-8 and in control of their own playoff destiny. Beat the Lions on Sunday night, and the No. 7 seed in the NFC is theirs.

For the Lions, they too, can get in with a win in this game and help against the Seahawks. If the Rams beat Seattle, and Detroit wins in Lambeau, they are the No. 7 seed. Sadly that is unlikely to happen for Lions fans. Detroit is a very different NFL team on the road, and Green Bay will win and cover.

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)

Speaking of those Seahawks, they actually play before the Packers play, so they will do whatever they can to win, even if it is a win without a playoff appearance as a reward. But the Rams also want to win. Beating their rivals, ending the season on a high note, and finding out if there really could be a future with Baker Mayfield are all things on the agenda.

It won’t matter. The 12th man in Seattle will bring it, and at home, the Seahawks will win by a touchdown.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (Pick‘em)

The New York Jets have played themselves out of the playoffs with five straight losses. The Dolphins have almost played themselves out of the playoffs with five losses of their own.

If the Patriots win on Sunday, they are in the playoffs. But if New England loses, and the Dolphins win with a backup quarterback, they are the AFC’s final Wild Card team.

It’s a pick’em, and considering the stakes, we’re picking the Dolphins at home.

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NFL Week 18 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 5, 2022

It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and one of the least impactful last weeks we’ve seen in a while. Considering how up in the air things were just a couple of weeks ago, the NFL playoff field is now largely set, except for a couple of spots and a little bit of jockeying for better seeds.

So when placing your bets for Week 18, which games have meaning and which teams have something to play for should be your primary focus.

Dallas Cowboys (-7) at Philadelphia Eagles

Both the Cowboys and Eagles are in the playoffs, but Dallas still has a chance to move up to second seed. They also don’t want to go into the postseason on a two-game losing streak.

With a win over the Eagles’ in the NFL’s Week 18, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys could earn the number two seed in the NFC.

The Eagles are either the sixth or seventh seed, and remaining healthy for the playoffs means more than having the slightly better seed. Look for the Eagles to rest players while the Cowboys go to work on getting their passing offense right, and that should mean that Dallas covers this spread and wins by 10 points.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (+10.5)

A win for Tennessee and they are the AFC’s top seed throughout the playoffs. And yes, they did demolish the Dolphins last week, but offensively it was a strange game. Ryan Tannehill finished with just 120 yards, and as a team, they only had 308 total yards of offense.

Too much is at stake to think the Titans won’t win, but their offense is struggling, and the Texans are playing good, hard football. Two weeks ago, they upset the Chargers, and last week they were in the game until late in the fourth quarter.

Houston has covered two of their last three-point spreads, and they will cover in this game to make it three of four.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-7)

Last week was a get-right game for the Cardinals, and this week is about keeping hopes alive that the NFC West can still be won. If Arizona wins and the Rams lose, they are the division champs.

To make the first part of that equation happen, the Cardinals need to beat the Seahawks, who are playing out the string on the worst season ever for Pete Carroll in Seattle. Will Carroll be back? Will Russell Wilson? And if they want to trade Wilson, how badly has this season hurt his trade value?

Arizona won when they played at Seattle in November and covered the spread by 15 points. This week at home they will cover the touchdown spread and win by two scores.

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Three Best NFL Bets to Make in Week 4

by WagerHome Blog on September 30, 2021

Washington Football Team (-1) at Atlanta Falcons

This may not be the most desirable game to watch. Washington is starting Taylor Heinicke at quarterback, and they just got hammered by Buffalo. Atlanta is coming off a win, but against the Giants, it hardly qualifies as a turning point in the season.

The Falcons did cover the spread with their three-point win in New York, but in their previous two games, they missed the cover by 31.5 and 10 points. That’s not close to good. Washington has been equally bad against the spread, but they’ve actually played good teams, and they came close to beating the Chargers.

WFT has a better team, better running game, and much better defense. Look for them to win on the road by at least three points.

Tennessee Titans (-7.5) at New York Jets

The Jets have scored a grand total of 20 points in three games. The Titans scored 21 in the second half of their comeback win at Seattle.

Sep 26, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson (2) prepares to pass in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Titans’ defense is not good, and it’s unlikely the Jets will be shut out again. In fact, they could double their season points in this one game. But Derrick Henry is back, and Tennessee is getting Julio Jones more involved each week.

There is simply no reason to think the Jets will cover the spread this week, or maybe any week this season. They are that bad, and Tennessee seems to have fully righted the ship after their rocky start.

The Titans win this one on the road by at least 10 points.

Bonus bet: Over 46

The Jets will have their highest-scoring day of the season but still, lose by double-digits. That pushes this game over 46 total points.

Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

The Broncos are 3-0 on the season and 3-0 against the spread, but they’ve also played teams that are a combined 0-9 on the season and just 1-8 against the spread. Denver is good, but we have really no idea if they are undefeated good. Probably not.

In come the Ravens, fresh off another last-second victory. This team has been tested in all three games this season, and in the last two, they emerged victorious. And that is without any of the running backs they were relying on in the preseason to carry the load this season.

As a team used to winning, Baltimore knows how to finish close games, and they will win this game outright in Denver. Take the Ravens and the points.

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Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Pay Per Head Software

Total Points

Coin Toss

Eagles First Half Points

Gatorade Shower

Pay Per Head Software

Cross-Sport Parlay Proposition Bets

Head-to-Head Prop Bets

Super Bowl Exotic Props

Pay Per Head Software

Most Valuable Player

Offensive Player of the Year

Defensive Player of the Year

Offensive Rookie of the Year

Defensive Rookie of the Year

Coach of the Year

Pay Per Head Software

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5)

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Lamar Jackson

Tom Brady

Aaron Rodgers

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

New York Giants (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Cincinnati Bengals (+5) at Buffalo Bills

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

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Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (Pick‘em)

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Dallas Cowboys (-7) at Philadelphia Eagles

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (+10.5)

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-7)

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Washington Football Team (-1) at Atlanta Falcons

Tennessee Titans (-7.5) at New York Jets

Bonus bet: Over 46

Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

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