Just like the rest of the world, the NFL is now in a position of flux, with everything dependent on players and coaches staying COVID-19-free. Figuring out the top NFL bets isn’t easy. But as long as we keep our NFL betting strategies flexible, and the league remains flexible in terms of when they will play games, everyone can still be a winner.
So with flexibility in mind, here are the top NFL bets for Week 5 and their initial point spreads. Last week had the Chiefs -7 initially, but it finished at -12 after Cam Newton was removed for his positive COVID test.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) at Chicago Bears
It doesn’t seem to matter who the Bears start at quarterback, and especially this week when the Buccaneers’ signal-caller is looking so good. Tom Brady is unlikely to throw another five touchdown passes, but each week he’s getting more in sync with his wide receivers, and that offense becomes even more dangerous.
The Bucs win this by a touchdown and cover the spread.
Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Kansas City was lackluster against the Chargers in Week 2, then blew out the Ravens. The Chiefs sleepwalked through their game against New England, meaning they are due for another big performance.
Add in the fact that in his last four trips to Kansas City, Derek Carr has thrown as many touchdowns to the Chiefs (two pick-sixes) as he has to his own team, and this will be a blowout.
Chiefs win by 17, easily covering the spread.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+6) at Houston Texans
It is incredible to think that a team with Deshaun Watson on it is one of the worst in the NFL. It’s also incredible to think that that team deserves to be six-point favorites over anybody.
Only the Jets and Giants are worse in point differential than the Texans, whereas Jacksonville has had opportunities to win two of its three losses.
Take the underdog Jaguars here. Romeo Crennel will have even less success than Bill O’Brien.
Los Angeles Chargers (+8) at New Orleans Saints
Michael Thomas may return for the Saints, and that will give their offense a boost. But their defense just gave up 29 to the Lions, and that is concerning.
Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert has the Chargers trending in the right direction and has them playing very competitive football. Los Angeles’ three losses are by a combined 14 points, and this one will be another one-possession game at the end.
The Chargers will lose at New Orleans, but it will be by seven points or less.
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