super bowl lv

Super Bowl LV Opening Lines

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2021

Oddsmakers know what they’re doing. When the 2020 NFL season began the first week of September, the Kansas City Chiefs were the Super Bowl LV favorites at +450. And the most likely Super Bowl champion from the NFC was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +1000.

And now, here we are five months later, with the Chiefs vs. the Buccaneers set to play in Super Bowl LV.

The oddsmakers have also set the early lines for betting on Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl LV Point Spread: Chiefs (-3)

The Chiefs have opened as three-point favorites, which just happens to be the same margin of victory for Kansas City when it played Tampa Bay in November.

The halftime line for the game is Kansas City -2.5.

In the first meeting between these two teams, the Chiefs were up 20-7 at halftime after torching the Buccaneers for 17 first-quarter points. Tyreek Hill finished the first quarter with 203 receiving yards and two touchdowns by himself.

The Buccaneers covered the spread in each of their last two playoff games. The Chiefs covered the spread vs. Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game but failed to cover in each of their previous three games.

Super Bowl LV Over/Under: 56.5

If you are looking to place a totals wager on the Super Bowl, the opening line is 56.5. The over/under line when the teams played in November was 56, with the 27-24 final score staying under by five points.

Tampa Bay hit the over against the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, under against the Saints in the divisional round, and over vs. Washington in the Wild Card round.

The Chiefs went over against Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game and under in the divisional round against the Browns by 15.5 points, but they did play most of the second half against Cleveland without Patrick Mahomes.

Super Bowl MVP

Odds have also been set for a number of popular proposition wagers, including which player will win the MVP award after the game.

  • Patrick Mahomes (+120)
  • Tom Brady (+250)
  • Tyreek Hill (+900)
  • Travis Kelce (+1000)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+1400)
  • Mike Evans (+2000)
  • Leonard Fournette (+2000)
  • Tyrann Mathieu (+3300)

super bowl lv

What we can take from the large number of Chiefs at the top of this list and Tom Brady being the lone Buccaneers player in the top five is that if Tampa Bay does win the Super Bowl, Brady is the overwhelming favorite to win the MVP award.

Twice in Patriots Super Bowl victories with Brady as the quarterback, the award went to one of Brady’s wide receivers – Deion Branch at Super Bowl XXXIX and Julian Edelman two years ago at Super Bowl LIII.

Mahomes was the pregame favorite last year before winning the award at the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV.

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NFL Wild Card Weekend

NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on January 5, 2021

The NFL Wild Card Weekend was already one of the best on the betting calendar. But with the new super-sized playoff field, we are getting six of the best games of the season instead of just four.

If ever there was a weekend made for a pay per head software partnership, this is it. If you are an independent bookmaker, don’t leave money on the table. Make the first big weekend of 2021 your best haul yet.

Saturday’s Top Game – Rams at Seahawks

There are three games on Saturday, including Colts at Bills (-6.5) and Buccaneers (-8.5) at Washington. But the best matchup of the day is the Los Angeles Rams visiting the Seattle Seahawks (-4.5).

For the first half of the season, Seattle’s offense was one of the best in the NFL, and Russell Wilson was making a serious run at his first MVP award. The problem was the Seahawks defense, which was a sieve.

The script flipped in the final eight games. Wilson was held to less than 200 yards three times, while Jamal Adams turned the Seattle defense into a solid asset. However, Adams is now hurt, and his status for Saturday is in doubt.

We all know about the Rams defense and Aaron Donald. The question mark is quarterback Jared Goff, who missed Week 17 after breaking his thumb.

The plan is to have Goff back by Saturday, which could be key. When the Rams beat the Seahawks back in November, he paced the victory with 302 yards passing. In that game, Wilson threw two interceptions and was sacked six times.

Sunday’s Top Game – Titans at Ravens

There are three more games on Sunday, including the Saints (-10.5) hosting the Bears and the Browns breaking their long playoff drought with a trip to Pittsburgh (-4.5). But the early game on Sunday is the Ravens (-3.5) at Tennessee, and it has classic written all over it.

NFL Wild Card Weekend

The Ravens are the best running team in the NFL and just had 404 yards on the ground against Cincinnati. But on the other sideline, you have the best running back in the league in Derrick Henry, who just became the eighth player in NFL history to top 2,000 yards rushing in a single season.

Baltimore was the top seed a year ago, Lamar Jackson was the MVP, and none of that mattered to Tennessee. It was the Titans winning in the postseason and advancing to the AFC Championship Game. And in the much-anticipated rematch in November, again Tennessee prevailed with a 29-yard Henry touchdown in overtime.

This feels like a final-possession-winning-drive type of game.

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nfl

Best NFL Teams to Bet in Week 2

by WagerHome Blog on September 17, 2020

One of the biggest things to remember after Week 1 is that this is the most unusual of opening weekends for the NFL. Most reactions to what we saw are overreactions.

This is the first time anyone has started a regular season with no actual live game action, and what we think we know today may be completely turned on its head by next Tuesday morning.

That, of course, doesn’t mean we’re taking a week off from betting, or that we can’t look at the lines for this weekend and not see real value.

Los Angeles Rams (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles

After seeing what Washington’s defensive line did to the Eagles offensive line, imagine the field day that Aaron Donald is going to have.

The Eagles looked absolutely lost in the final three quarters of their loss last Sunday, while the Rams established themselves as one to watch going forward. The quick passing game from Jared Goff and at least two sacks from Donald will lead the Rams to victory.

Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) vs. Washington Football Team

No doubt about it, Kyler Murray is a star, and DeAndre Hopkins is in for a big season. If the two can look that connected against a defense like the 49ers, imagine what they can do against the rest of the league.

Washington’s defensive line was great against Carson Wentz, but Murray will run all over them. Take Arizona to cover at home.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at Indianapolis Colts

Philip Rivers is never boring; you can say that much for him. But with Marlon Mack now gone for the season, Rivers simply isn’t capable of carrying this offense at this point in his career.

For the Vikings, we’re not going to overreact to their horrible three quarters against Green Bay. They put up 24 points in the fourth quarter, showing the world the Minnesota offense that we all expect to see. They will play a much more complete game at Indianapolis.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+9) at Tennessee Titans

Even with the assumption that the Titans will iron out their kicking woes and not leave so many points on the field, this game feels like it will stay close throughout. The Titans offense is good, but it’s built to plod and shorten the game’s possessions.

nfl

Meanwhile, the purge in Jacksonville hasn’t left the cupboard completely bare. Gardner Minshew is more than just a fun guy with a mustache – he’s a legitimate NFL starting quarterback. Take the Jags and the points.

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