NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 17, 2022

Despite it being the NFL preseason, and with so many starters out, the opening full week of NFL football turned in some great performances, great games, and great opportunities to make money wagering.

NFL preseason Week 2 should be more of the same, but better, as each team begins to narrow in on its best players, and they begin to open the playbook just a little more.

Chicago Bears (+3.5) at Seattle Seahawks – Thursday

There is disappointment in Seattle, as the quarterback competition between Geno Smith and Drew Lock takes a pause for at least one week, with Lock out due to a COVID-19 positive test.

So that means that instead of seeing Lock as the starter against the Bears – Smith was the starter in Week 1 – we’re getting more Smith, followed by Jacob Eason.

That gives the edge to the Bears and Justin Fields, who won at the end in Week 1 at home and are a much better bet to cover the spread late against Eason, who has no chance at regular season playing time in Seattle.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (+2) – Friday

Beware the home underdog. As was mentioned in this space before last week’s games, in the preseason, the underdog wins outright and against the spread at a much higher rate than in the regular NFL season, and this is especially true of home underdogs.

The Panthers will trot out two former starting quarterbacks to play in this game, with Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold engaged in two more weeks of quarterback competition. Beyond Mac Jones, the Patriots have Brian Hoyer and Bailey Zappe, who should never see the field in New England in the regular season.

But it’s time for the Patriots to get a win, and beating the Panthers at home would be a good start.

NFL

San Francisco 49ers (+4.5) at Minnesota Vikings

One of the big winners from Week 1 of the preseason was the 49ers. Trey Lance displayed the arm that had them moving up to take him in the 2021 draft, and it has become clear that he is a top candidate to be a breakout star in 2022.

We’re buying all of the Lance stock we can get, and especially when he and the Niners are more than a field goal underdog in the NFL preseason.

San Francisco won 28-21 in Week 1, and that was with 25 starters resting. So there is no reason to think that they can’t put up a similar performance against the Vikings, who have Kirk Cousins coming off a bout with COVID.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

NFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 13, 2022

NFL Wild card weekend is here, and the only thing as good as the football from Saturday through Monday night, is the betting.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

The Bengals haven’t won a playoff game in 31 years, losing eight straight playoff games since beating the Houston Oilers 41-14. That eight-game losing streak began with a 20-10 loss to the Raiders, and the streak will end with a win over the Raiders by at least a touchdown.

For the Raiders, this will be their third straight postseason loss.

New England Patriots (+4) at Buffalo Bills

For the third time in just over a month, the Patriots and Bills meet, and that kind of familiarity favors the experience of Bill Belichick.

The Bills offense has struggled since they played the Patriots in Week 16. Josh Allen threw three interceptions in Week 17 and completed just 53 percent of his passes in Week 18.

The Bills may still win, but the Patriots’ defense keeps it to within a field goal.

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Except for two games with the Panthers, the Bucs haven’t looked great this last month. There was the near-miss against the Jets, a shut out to the Saints, and a trainer’s room full of injuries.

NFL Opening Round Playoff PicksTom Brady is still Tom Brady, but the 109 yards given up on the ground to Josh Allen in Week 14 is a sign that the top rusher among NFL quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts, and the top-ranked rushing team, the Eagles, will keep this game close.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

A month ago, it was said that if the Cowboys re-discovered their offense, they were going to be really tough to beat in the postseason. Two 50-burgers in the last three weeks, and this offense, coupled with a defense that ranks seventh in points allowed, should roll at home.

The Niners earned their way into the playoffs, but they will be bounced by more than a touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)

In 19 playoff games, we have seen a point spread as high as 13 points. The favored team is 18-1 overall (the one loss was by the Rams to the Patriots in the Super Bowl), and against the spread, the favored team is 11-7-1.

The Steelers lost to Kansas City, 36-10, three weeks ago, and that was without Travis Kelce. He’s playing, and the Chiefs win this game easily.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4)

The Cardinals did get the win in Dallas in Week 17, but they’ve lost the other four of their final fives games and too bad teams in Detroit and Seattle. The Rams backed into the division championship with their own loss in Week 18 but have enough firepower to win this game by a touchdown.

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NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2021

Welcome to our NFL Week 15 Betting Picks! The NFL has moved into its Saturday game phase, so we are now treated to a full slate of NFL games all weekend long for the remainder of the regular season. More days of football is always a good thing, as are more days of football betting.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

It’s not that we’re not believers in the one-year turnaround in New England. The Patriots deserve their top spot in the AFC playoff seedings. We’re just big believers in the Colts at home, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way.

Both teams are coming off their bye, and are well-rested and as healthy as you can expect this late in the season. New England is also rolling. Their weather game in Buffalo was close, but their previous four wins were by 18, 38, 25, and 23 points.

But Saturday night is all about Taylor and if the Patriots can stop him. New England ranks 19th against the run, and in their last three games, they’ve given up 136.3 ypg. That is the opening Taylor needs, and that is why the Colts win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

There are five teams in the AFC bunched up at 7-6, and only two of them are going to make the playoffs. These two teams would both like to be in that group, making Sunday’s game in Denver a must-win for both.

The Broncos did look good last week, but it was Detroit. The week before, when they were in Kansas City and playing for first place in the AFC West, they lost 22-9.

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

The Bengals are coming off two straight losses at home, but Joe Burrow, despite his injured finger, is playing well. And when it comes to do-or-die football in late December, go with the better quarterback. Plus, the weather in Denver will be nice this weekend, leaving the Bengals offense to do its thing and win this game outright.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

As we just said with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, go with the better quarterback. And in Baltimore this weekend, despite these being the last two NFL MVPs, Aaron Rodgers is the better quarterback. And the healthiest.

Rodgers is rolling right now. Over his last three games, he has 1,033 yards, ten touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. Lamar Jackson has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and will be playing on a sprained ankle.

The Ravens look like a team completely out of gas. Green Bay looks like a team on a mission. Packers roll and win by 10 points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 15 Betting Picks

NFL Week 12 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 24, 2021

It’s Thanksgiving weekend, which means lots and lots of food, lots and lots of football, and conversations around the dinner table about which are the best bets to place on a long NFL weekend. Below are some of our best NFL Week 12 betting picks!

Atlanta Falcons (-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars

You may not be targeting the Falcons and Jaguars as one of the matchups you want to watch. Fair enough, the two teams have combined for some really bad football. But this is a game that you’ll want to bet.

As bad as the Falcons have looked at times – 43-3 vs. Dallas and 25-0 vs. New England – there are times when the Falcons have looked good. They have four wins, including an impressive win on the road at New Orleans. And they have been beating teams like the Jags, with wins over the Giants, Jets, and Dolphins.

Watching these two teams may not be on your weekend viewing schedule. But the Falcons are a good bet to win on the road in Jacksonville, and this game should be on your betting slip.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-5.5)

The Patriots have a rookie quarterback and a collection of no-name wide receivers. But they have a coach by the name of Bill Belichick and one of the best defenses in football.

NFL Week 12 Betting Picks

A win on Sunday, and incredibly, the Patriots could find themselves as the top seed in the AFC. Just a few weeks ago, the Bills were going to win the AFC East. Now the Pats are in the first place, and they have the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games.

Even before the Titans lost to Houston, there were concerns about Tennessee and its offense. Those concerns become even more amplified against a defense like New England’s and a coach like Belichick. Tennessee’s fall without Derrick Henry continues on Sunday, the Patriots win streak rolls on, and they win by more than a touchdown.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) at San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers are good again, which is fun. They’ve won three of four games, climbed back into the playoff race, rookie Elijah Mitchell is turning into a star, and Deebo Samuel is having a season for the ages.

The problem this week for the 49ers is that they face a team that has been good all season long, even if the record hasn’t cooperated. Like San Francisco, Minnesota is 5-5, but they are three field goals away from being 8-2.

Last week the game-winning field goal finally went in their favor, and they beat Green Bay. This week will be another close game and another win for the Vikings.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 12 Betting Picks

Top NFL Favorites To Bet In Week 15

by WagerHome Blog on December 14, 2019

Only three weeks remain in the NFL’s regular season, so there are only three weeks left to pick some favorites and play the full slate of games to get the best wagering experience offered anywhere in sports. But you don’t just have to be on the betting side of things to love a full day of NFL action.

If you are a bookmaker and are running your operations through a pay per head bookmaking site, you also know just how exciting the action is on the other side of the betting slip.

And if you haven’t yet signed up for a PPH site, you can try WagerHome.com for four weeks commitment-free, and find out just how profitable your bookmaking services can become.

Speaking of profitable, let’s get to our list of the top favorites to bet this NFL weekend.

Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

Philadelphia has not been impressive this season, and its wide receiving group looks more like a MASH unit. But you can play that to your advantage.

The Eagles opened as six-point favorites, but enough money has gone to the Redskins to move that line down to 4.5. This is now a good bet for Philadelphia. It still has a division title within its reach, while Washington is playing out the string.

Go with the Eagles to cover a line that might even get smaller by kickoff.

New England Patriots (-9.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Patriots are still playing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, while the Bengals are playing for the No. 1 draft pick. On a normal week, this line might be closer to 14, but with New England coming off two losses and the distraction of Spygate 2.0, the line sits at just 9.5.

The talent may be waning, but no team is as professional as the Patriots. They put aside all the noise and get back on track with a big win over the Bengals.

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-11)

The 49ers are another team looking at a possible No. 1 seed in the playoffs. So not only are they playing like the best team in the NFC, they have all the motivation to keep playing at a high level.

San Francisco has covered the spread three straight weeks, while Atlanta has failed to cover in two of the last three weeks. It’s a long road trip for a Falcons team finishing up a disappointing season. The Niners win this game by a couple of touchdowns.

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-9)

Against the spread over the last six weeks, the Saints have gone win, loss, win, loss, win, loss. Well, if that pattern is to continue, they’re due for a win.

But a much better reason to take the Saints this week is that they are at home in primetime, they’re jockeying for a playoff bye, and the Colts have lost three games in a row and have only slim playoff hopes remaining.

Drew Brees has a big game, and the Saints cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogTop NFL Favorites To Bet In Week 15