A week after a stop in Kansas, and a win for Kyle Busch and his No. 18 Toyota, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to Darlington for the Goodyear 400. It’s also throwback weekend at the track, with drivers and teams adopting new paint schemes to honor the legendary drivers of the past.
Odds to Win Goodyear 400
Kyle Larson (+550)
Denny Hamlin (+600)
Kevin Harvick (+700)
Kyle Busch (+800)
Brad Keselowski (+800)
Martin Truex, Jr. (+800)
Chase Elliott (+1100)
Joey Logano (+1100)
William Byron (+1500)
Ryan Blaney (+1600)
Kyle Larson is an interesting favorite for this race. In four of his last five races he’s failed to crack the top-15. He finished 19th in Kansas last weekend (although he did lead 132 laps) and hasn’t cracked the top-10 in almost a month. But Darlington seems to agree with him. In his last two races here Larson finished 2nd and 3rd, and also had a 3rd place finish in 2016.
Denny Hamlin as the second betting favorite also provides a mixed bag of results. He is the current Cup Series points leader and has eight top-5 finishes this season. But in Kansas last week he finished 12th, and was 32nd the week earlier at Talladega. So Hamlin has been great this year, but he’s been quite bad these last two weeks.
Kevin Harvick, however, has nothing but positives when looking at him as a potential bet. He’s the defending champion at this race and in his last five races at Darlington he finished 4th, 4th, 1st, 3rd, and 1st. Harvick was also the runner-up last week in Kansas, and finished in 4th place the week before that at Talladega.
Underdogs to Consider
Austin Dillon is paying +5000 and is definitely worth considering. He’s been in the top-10 in each of the last three races, and don’t forget that he finished 3rd at the Daytona 500. He also finished as the runner-up at Darlington last September and was 4th place finisher here in 2017.
Erik Jones is paying +8000, and on some boards as much as +10000, and in six races at Darlington he has never finished worse than 8th. He was also a winner here in 2019. His season in 2021 has been largely forgettable, which is why he is paying so well. But because of his history on this track Jones is worth a look.
Chris Buescher came in 8th in Kansas last week but was running much better than his eventual finish. He also had one of the best cars at Homestead and led for 57 laps. At +10000 he’s a bet worth considering.
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