NASCAR All-Star Race Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 18, 2023

NASCAR is back in Wilkesboro for the first time since 1996, and the NASCAR All-Star Race is back to an easy to understand format.

If you are a full-time driver, a racer winner in 2022 or 2023, a Cup winner, or a past winner of the All-Star Race, you are one of the 21 drivers already qualified for the main event on Sunday night.

The Nascar All-Star Open is run earlier in the evening, and in that race 16 drivers will have a chance to drive their way into the All-Star Race. The top two finishers are in, and they will be joined by a third who gets in via a fan vote. Then we have 200 laps to the checkered flag.

There are no Nascar Cup Series points at stake this week in Wilkesboro, but the winner of the race does pull in $1 million.

Favorites to Win NASCAR All-Star Race

Kyle Larson (+650)
Joey Logano (+800)
William Byron (+800)
Kevin Harvick (+850)
Christopher Bell (+900)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Chase Elliott (+1100)
Denny Hamlin (+1100)

Kyle Larson won the Nascar All-Star Race in 2019 and 2021, and he is once again the favorite here. In those wins he was at Charlotte Motor Speedway in 2019 and the Texas Motor Speedway in 2021. Larson was only 20th last week, but he was the runner-up the week earlier in Kansas.

Nascar

William Byron is tied with Joey Logano at +800, and Byron was the winner last week. It was also his third straight top-five finish, and seventh top-five finish of the year. Logano hasn’t had a top-five finish in a month, when he was second at Martinsville. Last week in Darlington, he finished 18th.

Ryan Blaney is out of the top 10 in betting odds, but he is the All-Star Race defending champion. It was his one and only win in 2022, and he is still in search of his first win in 2023. A bet on Blaney to win is paying +1600.

All-Star Open Odds

You can make this Sunday’s racing a two-for by also wagering on the All-Star Open, the pre-race to determine which drivers will join the All-Star Race.

Josh Berry is the favorite at +350, and he’s followed by Ryan Preece and Ty Gibbs at +400. Berry had a second place finish at Richmond back in April. Preece’s top finish was 15th at Martinsville. Gibbs has three top-10 finishes this season.

At +450 is Aric Almirola, the only driver of the top four that has won a Cup race. He has three career wins, but this year his best finish was sixth at Martinsville a month ago.

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WagerHome BlogNASCAR All-Star Race Betting Preview

Food City Dirt Race Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 5, 2023

We had super speedways, road races, and the short track last week in Richmond. Now NASCAR races on the short track of Food City Dirt Race Bristol with a twist. We’re racing on dirt this Sunday at the Food City Dirt Race. It’s 250 laps on the half-mile track, and it’s an event unlike any other on the NASCAR Cup Series calendar.

Favorites to Win Food City Dirt Race

Kyle Larson (+550)
Tyler Reddick (+600)
Christopher Bell (+650)
William Byron (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1000)
Chase Briscoe (+1000)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Ryan Blaney (+1500)
Ross Chastain (+1500)
Denny Hamlin (+1800)

William Byron was a back-to-back winner in the Cup Series the first two Sundays in March, and now Kyle Larson is hoping to duplicate that feat the first two Sundays in April. He won last week on the short track in Richmond, and he was a top-five finisher at this race last year, leading a total of 27 laps before finishing in fourth place.

Food City Dirt Race

Tyler Reddick was a winner a couple of weeks ago at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas, the third road course win of his career. In two previous races on the dirt at Bristol, he had a seventh-place finish in 2021 and a second-place finish in 2022.

In that race last year, he was leading in the final lap, got spun out by Chase Briscoe, who was making a move for the win, and that allowed Kyle Busch to sneak in for the victory.

Speaking of Briscoe and Busch, the two other drivers involved in that wild finish at last year’s race, oddsmakers have them in the mix on the favorites board for this weekend’s rematch. Busch has nine total victories at Bristol, with that one coming on the dirt.

The other Food City Dirt Race winner on the dirt track in Bristol was Joey Logano, in 2021. He was a winner in Atlanta three weeks ago, and on the short track in Richmond last week, he finished seventh.

Best Value Bets

Daniel Suarez is paying +2500, and he deserves your attention. In 2021 he moved up from 18th at the start of the race, finishing in fourth place. Last year he was the 12th place finisher on the Food City Dirt Race, and he has led at this race for a total of 64 laps.

Michael McDowell is well down the board at +8000 to win the race, but he’s also paying +2000 for a top-three finish and +1000 to finish top-five. Why that matters to you in that he finished 12th here in 2021, and McDowell improved that to ninth in 2022. He’s also coming off a sixth-place finish last week in Richmond.

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WagerHome BlogFood City Dirt Race Betting Preview

EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 23, 2023

The NASCAR Cup Series takes a break from being the left turn circuit this week by heading to the road course in Austin, Texas. The Circuit of the Americas is the place, a 20-turn 3.46-mile Grand Prix course that will test the best the drivers have to offer.

Normally this would be the domain of Chase Elliott, with the rest of the Grand Prix field racing to keep up with him. But he is out with a leg injury he suffered while snowboarding, meaning that this road race is wide open.

Favorites to Win EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix

Kyle Larson (+650)
Ross Chastain (+800)
Kyle Busch (+800)
Tyler Reddick (+900)
William Byron (+1200)
A.J. Allmendinger (+1200)
Daniel Suarez (+1500)
Christopher Bell (+1500)
Austin Cindric (+1500)
Ryan Blaney (+1800)
Alex Bowman (+1800)

Just how good has Chase Elliott been on Grand Prix road courses? He has 14 top-5 finishes since 2019, which includes seven wins and three runner-ups. So while his excellence on the road course, and COTA specifically, will be missed, his absence will add competitiveness.

Kyle Larson is the favorite in Elliott’s place. He was a runner-up in 2021 at this course, and on road courses in general he has four overall wins – twice at Watkins Glen and once each at Sonoma and Charlotte Roval. Larson has yet to win this season, but he does have two top-five finishes.

Grand Prix

Behind Larson are Ross Chastain and Kyle Busch at +800. Chastain won this race last year and was the fourth-place finisher in 2021. He also had a top-five finish at Road America last July. Busch hasn’t won on a road course since Sonoma in 2015, but he does have five top-five finishes since 2021.

Among the other favorites on the board, there have been top-five finishes at COTA for Tyler Reddick, A.J. Allmendinger, Christopher Bell, and Alex Bowman.

Best Value Bets

Chris Buescher is probably someone off your radar. He was 35th last week in Atlanta and 15th the week before in Phoenix. But in his final five road course races last year he finished second, sixth, 10th, ninth, and sixth. He’s paying +3000 to win and +425 to finish in the top-five.

Kimi Raikkonen is at +5000 to win here on Sunday, which is incredible value when you consider that he won on this course as an F1 driver and he’s racing this week for Trackhouse Racing, who won here last year.

This is only Raikkonen’s second start in NASCAR Grand Prix. But in his first start last year at Watkins Glen he was running in the top-10 when he got swept up in a wreck. He can win at this course, his team can win here, and he’s paying +650 to get a top-five finish.

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WagerHome BlogEchoPark Automotive Grand Prix Betting Preview

Ambetter Health 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 16, 2023

It was a mistake, plain and simple. If Kevin Harvick had taken on just two new tires on his final pit stop, as the rest of the leaders did, as opposed to taking on four new tires, he would have won in Phoenix. His team made the miscalculation with just three laps of racing remaining. It was too little time for Harvick, even running slightly faster on the new set of tires.

He lost, William Byron won for the second consecutive week, and NASCAR has now ended the west coast start to its Cup Season by moving across the country to Atlanta.

Favorites to Win Ambetter Health 400

William Byron (+900)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Kyle Larson (+1200)
Ross Chastain (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Christopher Bell (+1400)
Alex Bowman (+1600)
Brad Keselowski (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Atlanta gave us a wild race last spring – 46 lead changes and 13 cautions – as the repaving of Atlanta Motor Speedway caused it to race much faster and wide open. The winner last spring was William Byron, who comes into Ambetter Health 400 riding a two-race winning streak. Naturally he is the Ambetter Health 400 favorite, and a much-deserved one at that.

Ambetter Health 400

Kyle Busch had wins in Atlanta in 2008 and 2013, and he was the Ambetter Health 400 runner-up in 2021. But in the two races last year on the remade Atlanta Motor Speedway he finished 20th and 33rd.

Ross Chastain was the runner-up in both of the Atlanta races last year and he led for a total of 75 laps. He was only 24th in Phoenix last week, but he was ninth at Daytona and third in Fontana. He could very easily get a victory on Sunday.

Ryan Blaney is also one of the favorites to keep an eye on. He has led laps in five of the last six races in Atlanta for a total of 85 laps. He was a winner here in 2021 and he has four top-five finishes at this track since 2020. It’s also worth noting that Blaney just finished as the runner-up in Phoenix.

Best Value Bets

Chase Briscoe has been consistent at Atlanta, finishing 15th and 16th in the two races last season. But he’s coming off a seventh-place finish in Phoenix, he’s a driver on the rise, and a top-five finish this week pays +850. An outright win pays +3300.

Those are the same odds you can get for Erik Jones, who loves drafting tracks like Atlanta. He has finished in the top-10 in three of the last five drafting tracks, which includes a fourth-place Ambetter Health 400 finish here last July. At +850 for a top-five Ambetter Health 400 finish makes him an excellent value play.

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WagerHome BlogAmbetter Health 400 Betting Preview

United Rentals Work United 500 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 9, 2023

The United Rentals Work United 500 is a bit on the wordy side. So from here on out the NASCAR race this Sunday in Phoenix will simply be referred to as Phoenix.

The race United Rentals Work United 500 is the last of the west coast swing, and then we head back east to Atlanta. And if we’ve learned anything from the start of this Cup Series season, what you don’t know is far greater than what you think you know. We have had six races, and when William Byron crossed the finish line first in Las Vegas last weekend, he became the sixth different winner.

Favorites to Win Phoenix 500

Ryan Blaney (+650)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Joey Logano (+850)
Denny Hamlin (+900)
Christopher Bell (+900)
Kyle Busch (+900)
William Byron (+1000)
Kevin Harvick (+1000)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1100)

Race favorite Ryan Blaney has never won at United Rentals Work United 500, but he’s been in the top-five a total of five times, including each of the last three races here. Just five months ago in Phoenix he was the runner-up.

Kyle Larson won here in November of 2021. He also has five other top-five finishes at this track. Larson was sixth at Daytona, and he was the runner-up last weekend in Las Vegas.

A strong case could be made for Joey Logano as the race favorite this week in Phoenix. His recent history here is better than anyone’s, with a win last November, a runner-up in 2021, and a win and a third-place finish in the two races held here in 2020. In his last seven races in Phoenix, Logano has led for 612 laps.

Best Value Plays

The intermediate flat track in Phoenix favors a particular type of driver and car, and two of those types of plays are paying particularly long odds – Aric Almirola (+4000) and Ryan Preece (+4500).

Almirola most recently won in New Hampshire, a similar type of track. That same season he finished in sixth place at Phoenix. Overall in his history at Phoenix, he has two top-five finishes, and seven times he has finished in the top-10.

Ryan Preece doesn’t have the history of Almirola, and he hasn’t had many good results in Phoenix. But he’s driving a Ford, just like Almirola, and Ford has led an inordinate amount of laps at Phoenix in recent years, including almost all of the laps last November.

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WagerHome BlogUnited Rentals Work United 500 Betting Preview

Pala Casino 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 23, 2023

After a thrilling Daytona 500 on the east coast of Florida, NASCAR makes the trek across the country to Southern California for the Pala Casino 400.

The hubbub of Daytona is now in the rearview mirror, and we settle in for the marathon that is the Cup Series season.

Favorites to Win Pala Casino 400

Kyle Larson (+650)
Denny Hamlin (+800)
Chase Elliott (+800)
Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
Christopher Bell (+1000)
Tyler Reddick (+1200)
Ross Chastain (+1200)
Martin Truex, Jr. (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)

Kyle Larson only finished 18th at Daytona, but he is the favorite because of his history at Fontana. He was the winner here in 2022 and 2017, and he has been the runner-up two other times. Larson loves racing on this track, having led here for 138 laps in his career.

Pala Casino 400

Right on the heels of Larson are Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott. Hamlin has four top-10 finishes at Fontana in his last five races. Hamlin was 17th at Daytona last Sunday. Elliott only made it through half of Daytons before he was taken out in an accident. At this track in 2020, he finished fourth.

Three other drivers are bunched up at +1000, including Christopher Bell, who finished third at Daytona. Bell had three wins last season on his way to a third-place finish in the Cup Series. He led for 20 laps last week.

Ryan Blaney, also at +1000, finished in eighth place at Daytona. In six races in Fontana, he has three top-10 finishes. Two years ago at this race, he led for a total of 54 laps, but ended up limping across the finish in 19th place.

Among the drivers at +1200, Joey Logano, who just finished as the runner-up at Daytona, was fifth at this race last year. In 15 career races at Fontana Logano, last year’s Cup Series champion, has seven top-5 finishes.

Value Picks

One of the forgotten drivers in the field is Austin Dillon, paying +4000. He was the runner-up at this race last year and in his three previous races in Fontana he had two other top-10 finishes.

A pair of +5000 drivers also deserve your Pala Casino 400 attention. The first is Aric Almirola, who has finished in the top-10 in each of the last two Pala Casino 400s. The other is none other than new Daytona 500 champion Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. Yes, it’s hard to win back-to-back starts. But Stenhouse finished in the top-10 at Fontana last year, and he’s clearly off to a great start in 2023.

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WagerHome BlogPala Casino 400 Betting Preview

Daytona 500 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 14, 2023

For those of you in a post-Super Bowl betting malaise, not to worry. The Super Bowl of NASCAR is coming this weekend with the 65th running of the Daytona 500 – the Great American Race.

It is the kickoff to the NASCAR Cup Series season, and it is the most prestigious race on the NASCAR schedule. Win here and your place in American auto racing history is secured. And the start of the Daytona 500 NASCAR season also helps fill the void of weekly Sunday betting, now that the NFL has shuttered for the next seven months.

Favorites to Win Daytona 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Denny Hamlin (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1200)
Kyle Larson (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1400)
Ross Chastain (+1600)
William Byron (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)
Brad Keselowski (+1800)

Daytona 500

Ryan Blaney has never won the Daytona 500, but he did win at Daytona during the 2021 season in the Coke Zero 400. In 2022 he failed to take a checkered flag, but he did have a career-high 12 top-five finishes and he finished eighth in the Cup Series.

Right behind him is Denny Hamlin, and three-time winner of the 500. He took back-to-back wins in 2019 and 2020, and he was also the winner in 2016. He was wiped out of Daytona last year because of an accident, but overall his 2022 was very good. He finished with two wins, 10 top-five finishes, and fifth place in the Cup Series standings.

The winner of the Cup last year, Joey Logano, is tied for the fifth shortest odds at Daytona. He won this race in 2015, but hasn’t been very good on this track in recent years. He was 26th in 2020 after suffering an accident, he had another accident in 2021 that landed him in 12th position, and last year he crossed the finish line in 21st.

Best Value Bets

It’s the first race of the season, and no one really knows what to expect. And that means that some drivers come into the race carrying excellent value.

Michael McDowell won Daytona 500 race in 2021 and last year he finished seventh. But he’s paying +3500 because he finished last season without a single win. Still, a past champion, and recent champion, is really good value with those long odds.

Chris Buescher is also paying +3500, and he too has struggled on the circuit everywhere but Daytona 500. In 14 career starts on this track he has three top-five finishes, five top-10s, and just a year ago he won the Bluegreen Vacations Duel at Daytona.

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WagerHome BlogDaytona 500 Betting Preview

Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 6, 2021

A week after a stop in Kansas, and a win for Kyle Busch and his No. 18 Toyota, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to Darlington for the Goodyear 400. It’s also throwback weekend at the track, with drivers and teams adopting new paint schemes to honor the legendary drivers of the past.

Odds to Win Goodyear 400

Kyle Larson (+550)

Denny Hamlin (+600)

Kevin Harvick (+700)

Kyle Busch (+800)

Brad Keselowski (+800)

Martin Truex, Jr. (+800)

Chase Elliott (+1100)

Joey Logano (+1100)

William Byron (+1500)

Ryan Blaney (+1600)

Kyle Larson is an interesting favorite for this race. In four of his last five races he’s failed to crack the top-15. He finished 19th in Kansas last weekend (although he did lead 132 laps) and hasn’t cracked the top-10 in almost a month. But Darlington seems to agree with him. In his last two races here Larson finished 2nd and 3rd, and also had a 3rd place finish in 2016.

Denny Hamlin as the second betting favorite also provides a mixed bag of results. He is the current Cup Series points leader and has eight top-5 finishes this season. But in Kansas last week he finished 12th, and was 32nd the week earlier at Talladega. So Hamlin has been great this year, but he’s been quite bad these last two weeks.

Kevin Harvick, however, has nothing but positives when looking at him as a potential bet. He’s the defending champion at this race and in his last five races at Darlington he finished 4th, 4th, 1st, 3rd, and 1st. Harvick was also the runner-up last week in Kansas, and finished in 4th place the week before that at Talladega.

darlington nascar goodyear 400

Underdogs to Consider

Austin Dillon is paying +5000 and is definitely worth considering. He’s been in the top-10 in each of the last three races, and don’t forget that he finished 3rd at the Daytona 500. He also finished as the runner-up at Darlington last September and was 4th place finisher here in 2017.

Erik Jones is paying +8000, and on some boards as much as +10000, and in six races at Darlington he has never finished worse than 8th. He was also a winner here in 2019. His season in 2021 has been largely forgettable, which is why he is paying so well. But because of his history on this track Jones is worth a look.

Chris Buescher came in 8th in Kansas last week but was running much better than his eventual finish. He also had one of the best cars at Homestead and led for 57 laps. At +10000 he’s a bet worth considering.

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WagerHome BlogGoodyear 400 Betting Preview

Dixie Vodka 400 NASCAR Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 24, 2021

If you’ve been betting the favorites at the start of the 2021 NASCAR season, you haven’t done well. Michael McDowell, a +10000 longshot, drove to victory at Daytona and won his first race in 358 career Cup Series starts. A week later, on the road course at Daytona, it was Christopher Bell, at +6000, winning the O’Reilly Auto Parts 253 for his first-ever Cup Series win. These longshot winners have revealed an exciting trend that we hope continues at the Dixie Vodka 400 as we survey the field of contenders.

So when will things go to form? Is this the week the favorites actually complete the task?

Dixie Vodka 400 Favorites

Here are the top-10 favorites to win the Dixie Vodka 400 with odds to both win the race and finish top-3.

  • Denny Hamlin (+500/+140)
  • Chase Elliott (+600/+175)
  • Kevin Harvick (+600/+175)
  • Martin Truex, Jr. (+700/+200)
  • Kyle Larson (+800/+225)
  • Kyle Busch (+1000/+275)
  • Joey Logano (+1000/+275)
  • Brad Keselowski (+1300/+375)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1600+450)
  • Tyler Reddick (+2200/+550)

Denny Hamlin is the defending champion here at the Dixie Vodka 400, and he finished 5th at the 500 and 3rd on the road course. He is a solid favorite to win this race and the safest of all the bets.

Joey Logano was a winner at Homestead in 2018, and he’s finished at least 6th or higher in five of his last six starts here. He’s also been an eyelash away from victory in the first two races this season. Logano was leading with just two laps to go on the road course before he was passed by Bell. He was leading on the final lap at the 500 before he and Brad Keselowski collided, allowing McDowell to sneak in for the win.

Ryan Blaney has struggled to begin the season. He finished 30th at the 500 and 15th on the road course. His last time out at Homestead, however, he finished 3rd. And at +1600, he presents a really nice potential payday.

Others to Watch

Just outside the top-10 at 14th on the odds list is Austin Dillon, paying +2500 to win and +1000 to finish top-3. In his last two races at Homestead, he finished in 7th place and 8th place. He’s been running great this month, with a win at the Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 and a 3rd place finish at the Daytona 500.

And what are the odds that Christopher Bell wins a second straight Cup Series race? As a winner, he is paying +2800 and +700 to finish top-3. Not only did he just win, but he was also good at Homestead in his one career start there. In 2020 he started the race in 36th but finished the race in 8th place.

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WagerHome BlogDixie Vodka 400 NASCAR Betting Preview

NASCAR at Dover Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 20, 2020

Gone are the random draws from previous NASCAR races for starting positions. For this weekend’s doubleheader at Dover, Del., NASCAR’s new competition-based formula is in play. It’s 50% finishing position in the previous race, 35% overall team points, and 15% the fastest lap for the previous race.

With a win last weekend at Daytona, fourth place in team points, and the fastest lap last weekend, Chase Elliott gets the pole. Denny Hamlin, the second-place finisher at Daytona, will start in the second position.

The rest of the top 10 starters for the Drydene 311 are Martin Truex Jr., Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, Jimmie Johnson, Brad Keselowski, William Byron, Kurt Busch, and Kevin Harvick.

Favorites for Drydene 311

Where you line up isn’t necessarily an indicator of where you are expected to finish. The odds board for winning the race, finishing top three, and finishing top 10 looks like this:

  • Kevin Harvick (+350/+105/-560)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+400/+115/-500)
  • Chase Elliott (+550/+150/-375)
  • Denny Hamlin (+550/+150/-375)
  • Kyle Busch (+1200/+300/-186)
  • Brad Keselowski (+1200/+300/-186)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1400/+350/-167)
  • Joey Logano (+1500/+400/-157)
  • Aric Almirola (+2000/+500/-139)
  • Jimmie Johnson (+2000/+500/-139)

A few names jump off this list and deserve extra consideration. Jimmie Johnson has struggled in this, his final season as a full-time driver. But he finished fourth at Daytona last weekend and has the most-ever Cup wins at Dover with 11.

He’s driving much better of late, and he’s on a course he knows and loves. Give him consideration at +2000.

Chase Elliott has started on the pole in two previous races this season – Atlanta and Phoenix. He finished seventh in Phoenix and eighth in Atlanta.

Before jumping on Elliott for the win or a top three finish, these results are worth considering. He hasn’t finished outside the top 10 in four straight races, but before his win at Daytona, he’d gone 10 straight races without a top three finish.

nascar

Martin Truex Jr. is more than worthy of his second-place spot on this list. In two races at Dover in 2019, he finished first and second. And in his last seven races at Dover, only once has he finished outside the top four. That includes another win on the mile-long oval in 2016.

Fun Fact: the 2020 Drydene 311 is the 101st NASCAR race to be run at Dover International Speedway.

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WagerHome BlogNASCAR at Dover Betting Preview