The PGA Northern Trust Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 18, 2020

The PGA Tour’s Northern Trust is upon us, and apart from being another weekend of great golf in which you can wager, it’s the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs. There are 125 golfers this weekend.

The top 70 will advance to the BMW Championship in Chicago next week. Then, it will be the top 30 at the TOUR Championship the following week in Atlanta.

Justin Thomas is the current FedEx Cup points leader, and a win in Atlanta would make him just the third golfer to win the Cup more than once.

Northern Trust Odds

Before we get to Chicago and then Atlanta, the Tour is at TPC Boston for The Northern Trust – which began as the Westchester Classic in 1967.

The top of the favorites board looks like this:

  • Bryson Dechambeau (+1200)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1400)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Dustin Johnson (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)
  • Jason Day (+2500)
  • Brooks Koepka (+3000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+3000)
  • Patrick Reed (+3000)
  • Webb Simpson (+3000)

Patrick Reed at +3000 is an interesting play here. He won this tournament in 2019 and just finished up the Wyndham with a 64 on Sunday.

This is a different course than last year, so the defending champion tag has a little cachet. But he’s a hot golfer paying a big number, and that’s worth your attention.

The last time we saw Collin Morikawa, he was winning the PGA Championship. He’s too good and too hot to be the seventh most likely golfer to win the Northern Trust. His +2200 feels like much better value than the +1200 on Bryson Dechambeau.

northern trust

Not listed among the favorites, but someone that needs consideration, is Tyrell Hatton at +5500. Because he was stuck in England for a bit, he’s only played in four tournaments since the season restarted. But two of those four starts ended in top five finishes.

Shock the World Part II

If you were one of the lucky few who put money down on Jim Herman to win the Wyndham Championship at +75000, congratulations. The price of success is that Herman is down to a +25000 play at the Northern Trust.

It’s hard to recommend him as a play. He has missed 11 cuts this season. But if you’re going to roll the dice on a true longshot, the guy who just Sunday had golf fans asking, “Who is Jim Herman?” is as good a risk as any.

But seriously. Don’t. He’s not going to win again. Probably.

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WagerHome BlogThe PGA Northern Trust Betting Preview

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