BMW Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 25, 2020

The PGA Tour moves on to the second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, and the field for the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields Country Club just outside of Chicago is as much about who is in it as who is not.

Failing to qualify last weekend at the Northern Trust were Brooks Koepka, Phil Mickelson, Justin Rose, Rickie Fowler, 2019 British Open champion Shane Lowry, and 2015 FedEx Cup winner Jordan Spieth. Those guys alone would make quite a field.

But not to worry. The field that did move on in the playoffs is quite impressive, and they present several great betting options this coming weekend.

The BMW Championship Favorites

The field is at 70, which will be reduced to 30 after this tournament, and these are who the bookmakers think are most likely to win this weekend’s no-cut tournament.

  • Dustin Johnson (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+950)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (+1100)
  • Justin Thomas (+1200)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1600)
  • Webb Simpson (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1800)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2000)
  • Daniel Berger (+2000)
  • Jason Day (+2900)
  • Patrick Reed (+2900)
  • Tony Finau (+2900)

Dustin Johnson as the favorite is the no-brainer of no-brainers. At the Northern Trust, he lapped the field, winning by an eye-popping 11 strokes. It was the largest margin of victory on the PGA Tour since Phil Mickelson won by 13 shots in 2006.

This is a course-rotating tournament, so we don’t put too much weight on past champions. But for the record, the uber-hot Johnson did win the BMW Championship in 2016. Johnson is now back to No. 1 in the world.

Rory McIlroy has five career wins at FedEx Cup events – tied with Johnson for most ever – and at +2000, he presents an intriguing number.

The wild card here is Collin Morikawa. The PGA Championship winner went into last weekend ranked second in the FedEx Cup standings, but shockingly missed the cut for only the second time in his young career. A week ago, his +2000 would have been great value. Now it’s a bit up in the air.

Other Golfers to Watch

No matter how he is playing, Tiger Woods always has eyes on him. He’s in the midst of four tournaments in five weeks and comes in at +3100 for this weekend.

bmw championship

Louis Oosthuizen was the last man to make the BMW field, moving up from 99th to 70th and qualifying with a birdie on the 72nd hole. He’s +5000 in this one.

Jim Herman, on the back of his surprising win at the Wyndham Championship, is in the field and plays the longest odds at +42000.

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