NOCO 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 13, 2023

The NOCO 400 Cup Series is in Martinsville this week after last week’s run on the dirt in Bristol. Christopher Bell finally broke into the winner’s circle after five top-five finishes this season, and he is one of the top picks to make some noise at the NOCO 400.

Favorites to Win NOCO 400

William Byron (+600)
Christopher Bell (+650)
Chase Elliott (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+750)
Kyle Larson (+800)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Ryan Blaney (+1100)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Kyle Busch (+1400)
Ross Chastain (+1600)

William Byron had back-to-back wins in Las Vegas and Phoenix, and he was fifth at COTA three weeks ago. He also won at Martinsville 12 months ago, and he has three other top-five finishes at this track. He is a solid choice as the favorite.

Last week’s winner, Christopher Bell, is next on the favorites board at +650. When the playoffs rolled through Martinsville last October it was Bell who took the win then, putting him into the Championship 4. The rest of his history at this track is pretty lukewarm, but at the moment he’s the hottest driver in the Cup Series.

NOCO 400

Martin Truex Jr. is a little down the board with the sixth shortest odds, and he wasn’t great at this track in 2022. But he won here in 2019, 2020, and 2021, and nine times he has finished in the top-five in Martinsville. His win in 2019 was one of the most dominant we’ve ever seen, with him leading for 464 of the 500 laps.

Ross Chastain has four top-10 finishes in his eight races this season, and three times he has been in the top-five. Last year at Martinsville he finished fifth in April and fourth in October.

Best Value Bets

Give Alex Bowman a closer look at +2500. He won the NOCO 400 playoff race here in 2021, and he has a pair of sixth-place finishes here in 2020. He’s also been running well of late, finishing eighth at Richmond and third at COTA.

Brad Keselowski is paying +2500 because of two bad results here last year. But in that October race, he actually finished fourth, but was disqualified after a post-race inspection found him just short of the minimum weight. If you include that as a fourth-place finish, that is 12 top-five finishes in his last 16 races at Martinsville, which includes a pair of wins.

Austin Dillon is paying +5000, but he was third at NOCO 400 last year, and he has two other top-five finishes at Martinsville.

He’s also coming off a third-place finish last week at Bristol.

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