William Byron Archives

Final NASCAR Playoff Elimination Race at Martinsville

by WagerHome Blog on October 25, 2023

You can be forgiven if you haven’t been thinking about NASCAR. This week, and for the only full week of the year, we have the NFL and college football, the beginnings of the NBA and NHL seasons, and the Major League Baseball postseason.

But the most exciting event of all this weekend might be the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville. We have half of the Cup Series Championship 4, and the other half will be decided over 500 laps at the shortest track on the NASCAR Cup Series circuit, Martinsville Speedway.

NASCAR Odds to Win Xfinity 500

Denny Hamlin (+275)
Kyle Larson (+700)
William Byron (+750)
Brad Keselowski (+850)
Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1400)
Tyler Reddick (+1500)
Kevin Harvick (+1800)
Kyle Busch (+1900)

Kyle Larson was a winner at Martinsville in April, and a win here this week would build some big momentum for him going to Phoenix in a week. Although he’s already in the Championship 4 because of his win at Las Vegas two weekends ago, and his incentives to race hard are a little less.

The other driver in the Championship 4 is Christopher Bell, who won last week at Homestead. He is just outside the top 10 for this race at +2000 to win.

Denny Hamlin is the NASCAR favorite this weekend on the strength of his five career victories at Martinsville. In all likelihood, he will need to win in order to race with the championship on the line next week in Phoenix. He’s down by 17 points, and making up that difference would require some bad runs from the drivers he’s competing with.

William Byron is at +750 to win this week, and he’s in a good position to qualify for next week. He doesn’t have to worry about anyone else. If he gets 36 points this weekend, something he has done in three of his last five races at Martinsville, he is automatically in the Championship 4.

Ryan Blaney is also like Byron in that as long as no one below him wins the race, and he himself runs well, he’ll be in. He has picked up at least 42 points in seven of his last nine starts at Martinsville, and if he repeats that on Sunday, he’s likely in.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Winning at Martinsville is a big prize, but at this time of year, it’s simply a means of getting to the real prize, next week’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship race at Phoenix International Raceway.

The eight NASCAR drivers still in the race for the championship this year are Bell and Larson (in the Championship 4), Byron and Blaney (currently third and fourth), and Tyler Reddick, Martin Truex Jr., Hamlin, and Chris Buescher.

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Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 24, 2023

After taking the week off in the points race, the NASCAR Cup Series gets back to full action this Memorial Day Weekend at the Coca-Cola 600, the third of the four races in NASCAR that make up the Grand Slam.

However, even though no points were at stake, don’t ignore last week’s results. It was another Kyle Larson win at the All-Star Race, a win that didn’t net him any points, but it did result in a $1 million winner’s check. It also points to his return to his 2021 form, when he won the Cup Series and the Coca-Cola 600.

Not surprisingly, for this weekend’s race in Charlotte, he is the Coca-Cola 600 favorite.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Kyle Larson (+450)
William Byron (+550)
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Chase Elliott (+900)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Christopher Bell (+1100)
Tyler Reddick (+1600)
Kevin Harvick (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Kyle Larson has three wins this season after crossing the finish line first just three times in all of 2022. He finished seventh in the standings last year and is only 10th at the moment. But his racing of late points to a surging second half for Larson and a possible return to the top. A win this week would go a long way to making that happen.

William Byron is fifth in the Cup Series standings, he’s running with the second shortest odds here, and he’s just two weeks removed from a win at Darlington. That was his third of three straight top-five finishes. He also has wins in Phoenix and Las Vegas and is in great shape heading into Charlotte.

Denny Hamlin is the defending champion at this race, and a repeat win here would move him into the top three in the Cup Series standings. He won at Kansas three weeks ago, and he has two other top-five finishes over the last six weeks.

Kevin Harvick is down at the bottom of the top 10, but he’s been one of the most successful drivers at Charlotte in recent years. He hasn’t won here since 2018, but last year he finished third, and in each of the previous five races at Charlotte, he finished in the top 10.

Brad Keselowski is a longshot at +4000, but when he has actually finished the race at Charlotte, his last three results are 11th, seventh, and first. Two weeks ago at Darlington, Keselowski finished fourth. That was his third top-five finish of the season.

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NOCO 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 13, 2023

The NOCO 400 Cup Series is in Martinsville this week after last week’s run on the dirt in Bristol. Christopher Bell finally broke into the winner’s circle after five top-five finishes this season, and he is one of the top picks to make some noise at the NOCO 400.

Favorites to Win NOCO 400

William Byron (+600)
Christopher Bell (+650)
Chase Elliott (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+750)
Kyle Larson (+800)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Ryan Blaney (+1100)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Kyle Busch (+1400)
Ross Chastain (+1600)

William Byron had back-to-back wins in Las Vegas and Phoenix, and he was fifth at COTA three weeks ago. He also won at Martinsville 12 months ago, and he has three other top-five finishes at this track. He is a solid choice as the favorite.

Last week’s winner, Christopher Bell, is next on the favorites board at +650. When the playoffs rolled through Martinsville last October it was Bell who took the win then, putting him into the Championship 4. The rest of his history at this track is pretty lukewarm, but at the moment he’s the hottest driver in the Cup Series.

Martin Truex Jr. is a little down the board with the sixth shortest odds, and he wasn’t great at this track in 2022. But he won here in 2019, 2020, and 2021, and nine times he has finished in the top-five in Martinsville. His win in 2019 was one of the most dominant we’ve ever seen, with him leading for 464 of the 500 laps.

Ross Chastain has four top-10 finishes in his eight races this season, and three times he has been in the top-five. Last year at Martinsville he finished fifth in April and fourth in October.

Best Value Bets

Give Alex Bowman a closer look at +2500. He won the NOCO 400 playoff race here in 2021, and he has a pair of sixth-place finishes here in 2020. He’s also been running well of late, finishing eighth at Richmond and third at COTA.

Brad Keselowski is paying +2500 because of two bad results here last year. But in that October race, he actually finished fourth, but was disqualified after a post-race inspection found him just short of the minimum weight. If you include that as a fourth-place finish, that is 12 top-five finishes in his last 16 races at Martinsville, which includes a pair of wins.

Austin Dillon is paying +5000, but he was third at NOCO 400 last year, and he has two other top-five finishes at Martinsville.

He’s also coming off a third-place finish last week at Bristol.

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Save Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2022

It is time for Save Mart 350! It’s road racing for NASCAR this week in Sonoma, California, and that means only one thing – Chase Elliott is at the top of the odds board as the undisputed king of the road.

But, and this is a big but, Sonoma races more like Circuit of the Americas than any other track, and that race this year was won by underdog Ross Chastain.

So while we know Elliott will be in the mix, anything can happen on this change of pace course.

Favorites to Win Save Mart 350

Chase Elliott (+450)
Kyle Larson (+500)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Ross Chastain (+1000)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
A.J. Allmendinger (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1600)
Chase Briscoe (+1600)
Denny Hamlin (+1600)

No surprise that Chase Elliott is at the top of the board. He has seven wins on road courses since 2016, and during a stretch that went from 2019 to 2021, he won six of eight races.

It is worth noting; however, that as dominant as Elliott is on the road courses, he hasn’t been that way in Sonoma. He did have a second-place finish a year ago at Save Mart 350, but that is his career-best.

In the race that saw Elliott finish in second place at Sonoma in 2021, the man who finished first was Kyle Larson – the Cup champion last year. That was his second top-10 finish at Sonoma and only his second. He doesn’t have a long history of success at Sonoma, but following the win here in 2021, Larson also won at Watkins Glen two months later, and then he won at Charlotte Roval in October.

Ross Chastain did have that surprise win at COTA in March, but he had another top-five finish at COTA in 2021. Plus, when racing at Sonoma that same year, he came in seventh. Although in his previous race at Sonoma in 2019, he finished 33rd.

Longer Odds to Consider

William Byron is paying +2200 to take the W at the Save Mart 350, which is a lot for a guy who currently ranks third in the overall standings and has two checkered flags on this season. His last couple of races have been rough – he hasn’t been in the top-10 since April – but overall, he has raced well this season, and he does have five career top-10 finishes on road courses.

A real longshot to consider is Michael McDowell, paying +10000. He had a pair of top-10 road course finishes in 2021, and in 15 starts this season, he has five top-five finishes.

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GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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Final NASCAR Playoff Elimination Race at Martinsville

NASCAR Odds to Win Xfinity 500

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Pay Per Head Software

NOCO 400 Betting Preview

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Save Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Save Mart 350

Longer Odds to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

GEICO 500 Preview

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

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