Week 10 ended with the Buffalo Bills committing a mortal football sin, having too many men on the field when the game was on the line. And because of that error, and the loss that resulted because of it, offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey is out of a job, and the Bills may be out of the playoffs at the end of the year.
And we go to Buffalo to begin our best bets in the NFL for Week 11.
New York Jets (+7) at Buffalo Bills
Will the Bills lose two games in a row at home and actually fall behind the Jets in the standings? Not likely, but it is worth remembering that the Jets have won two of their last three games with the Bills. Also, when they met last season in Buffalo, when the Jets were worse and the Bills were better, New York was within a score of pulling off the upset.
Zach Wilson was better at protecting the football than Josh Allen in Week 1, he was better than Allen last year too, and if he is again this Sunday, look for the Jets to cover a very generous spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) at Cleveland Browns
The big story of the week is that just days after the Cleveland Browns pulled off a big win over the Baltimore Ravens and put themselves into a very real playoff position, they’ve lost quarterback Deshaun Watson for the season.
He is having surgery on his shoulder, and he will not play again until 2024. That means the team’s success is back in the hands of P.J. Walker, and he faces T.J. Watt and the Steelers this week.
Walker has played in three games this season, and he has one touchdown to five interceptions. Look for the Steelers to pull off the win on the road against the banged up Browns.
Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins (-13.5)
The Raiders are very pleased with the way life has gone since they dumped head coach Josh McDaniels, and replaced him with Anthony Pierce. They are 2-0 and playing with enthusiasm.
But those two wins came against two of the three worst offenses in football, the Jets and Giants. This week they play the best offense in football, the Dolphins, who are averaging a full 20 points more per game than the Giants.
Is there any chance that the Raiders, with Aiden O’Connell at quarterback, can keep up with the Miami offense? In a word, no. The Raiders are allowing 27 points on the road, and the Dolphins are averaging 43.5 points at home.
Miami covers this spread.
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These are but just three of the NFL games this weekend, which shares time with a full schedule of college football and basketball, and the NBA and NHL.
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