The first two weeks of the college football season are in the books along with the opening round of games in a new NFL season. Along with the race to the MLB playoffs and this year’s World Series, the betting action has been hot across the board in the early part of September. Here is your Weekly Bookie Betting Report for September 12th, 2019.
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Offering a diversified betting board is a key aspect of improving any private bookie’s overall hold percentage. Too much of a reliance on football can actually work against your overall bottom line. It is far more profitable to spread the action out to multiple betting options than taking an all or nothing approach to the action you take in on the biggest football games that particular week. Working with the right pay per head site can help you expand your board accordingly.
Early Football Betting Results
In the college ranks, going chalk of the favorites straight-up has produced a 89.3 winning percentage over the first two weeks. Factoring in the closing spread, this rate drops to 50.3% with the Oddsmakers dead on their game.
The only significant edge is a 54.2 winning percentage against the spread for road favorites. There is no appreciable difference betting home teams (49.03%) and road teams (40.97%) ATS over a combined 159 games. Early college football results on the total line slightly favor the UNDER at 52.8%.
The betting results for the first 16 NFL games of the season were a mixed bag depending on your actual closing lines. The general consensus of online books have the favorites going 10-5-1 SU with a 6-9-1 record ATS. Home teams took it on the chin with a 5-10-1 record ATS. The total went over the closing line in nine of the 16 games.
Looking back at last week’s results for this season’s Westgate Las Vegas NFL SuperContest picks, Baltimore garnered the most action in its romp over Miami with 1080 picks. Indianapolis was a close second at 1052 with a PUSH against the Chargers. Houston was third on the list at 904 bets with a successful cover against New Orleans. Quite a few bettors also took it on the chin betting Tampa Bay and Denver as the two biggest losers.
This week’s early consensus leans heavily towards Dallas at 86 percent as a 4.5-point road favorite against Washington in a bitter NFC East rivalry. The Carolina Panthers get the early lean at 83 percent as seven-point home favorites for Thursday night’s NFC South clash against Tampa Bay. Rounding out the Top 3 is the Chicago Bears at 83 percent. They will be on the road against Denver as 2.5-point favorites in a late Sunday afternoon start.
The Weekend’s Big Betting Games
While the Week 3 college football schedule does not have any head-to-head matchups between nationally ranked teams, No. 1 Clemson on the road against Syracuse could be considered a game of interest, and one those operating a bookie website need to monitor.
Two years ago, the Orange stunned Clemson 27-24 closing as 23.5-point home favorites. Last season, the Tigers sweated out a 27-23 victory at home as 24.5-point favorites. The gap between the two teams this season appears to be rather wide with Clemson favored by 28 points.
The top showdown in the NFL this Sunday pits Minnesota on the road as a three-point underdog against Green Bay. Each of these NFC North rivals are coming off a big win in their openers. They are also neck-and-neck in most NFL futures odds to win the division title this season. The early edge for the winner this Sunday afternoon could be significant.
The early lean on the betting consensus favors the Vikings at 59 percent. The betting line has also moved in that direction after the Packers opened as 3.5-point favorites.