NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 1, 2022

Even without their best game, the Bills still looked like the best team in the NFL in Week 8. The Eagles keep winning, the Lions keep losing, Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers continue to lose relevance, and we now live in a football world where the Seahawks and Falcons are first-place teams.

So what can we look forward to as the NFL closes the book on the first half of the regular season?

Buffalo Bills (-13) at New York Jets

Josh Allen threw a pair of interceptions, and the Bills scored just three points in the second half against the Packers, and still, it never looked like they broke a sweat. Football isn’t as easy as they make it look, except perhaps when you are playing Zach Wilson and the Jets.

New York has a roster that could challenge the Bills, but the quarterback is such a mess right now that a 13-point spread doesn’t seem that big. Give the points and take the Bills to continue to dominate their NFL division.

Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons (+3)

Each year we try to convince ourselves that the great roster of the Chargers is finally going to result in a championship-caliber NFL team. It never seems to happen, and it’s failing again this year, with the Chargers still unable to stop the run, which sunk them against the Seahawks.

Now they get the Falcons, another team that loves to run the football. Atlanta is at home, they average a league-best 158 yards rushing per game, and for that reason, you should take the Falcons and the points.

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Washington Commanders

The Vikings can be frustrating, but they can also be dynamic. Mostly because Justin Jefferson is turning into the best wide receiver in the NFL.

His string of 100-yard games came to an end on Sunday against the Cardinals – he settled for 98. And with Jefferson and Dalvin Cook, who went over 100 yards against Arizona, this offense can control a game.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Taylor Heinicke is limited, and the Vikings will limit him in Washington, winning the game by at least four points.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Who is the bigger disappointment? The defending NFL Super Bowl champions or the seven-time Super Bowl champion?

The Rams are falling out of the NFC West race, having now been swept by the 49ers. Tom Brady and the Bucs are trailing the Falcons and tied with the Saints in the NFC South. Who manages to save their NFL season this week?

Too many injuries for the Bucs swings the pendulum to the Rams. Take L.A. and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

by WagerHome Blog on February 16, 2022

The NFL has become a 12-month a year league, and so has NFL betting. No matter what time of year it is, and no matter how far away the next scheduled game is (or like now when we don’t even have a schedule), there are NFL bets to play.

Right now, the big bet is, of course, the winner of the next year’s Super Bowl, scheduled to be played in Glendale, Arizona, on February 12, 2023.

Favorites to Win Super Bowl LVII

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+750)
  • Buffalo Bills (+750)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+1000)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+1400)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)
  • Green Bay Packers (+1600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+2000)
  • Denver Broncos (+2000)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2200)
  • Tennessee Titans (+2200)

The Bills-Chiefs divisional round game in Kansas City was the best game of the 2021 postseason, and not surprisingly, with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen at the height of their powers, these are the two teams deemed most likely to win next year’s Super Bowl.

The defending champion Los Angeles Rams are next at +1000, and the top-rated team in the NFC. Question marks with Odell Beckham, Jr., Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Sean McVay are likely the reason they aren’t higher. Plus, they play in a division with the 49ers, who are one of three teams tied for fourth-most likely to win the Super Bowl.

Joining San Francisco at +1400 is the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, as well as the Dak Prescott-led Dallas Cowboys.

One thing the Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bengals, and Cowboys all have in common is a settled franchise quarterback. The Niners are the highest-ranked team without that luxury, and it’s also where the Packers find themselves at +1600. If Jordan Love is their quarterback in 2022, those odds should go way up.

Also of note, the Ravens should be healthy next season, and +2000 might be great value. And the Titans, with a healthy Derrick Henry, might also be a great play at +2200.

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

Fallen Playoff Teams

Notably off the favorites board are three teams coming off playoff appearances.

The Eagles are at +4000, which is probably a reflection of being in the Cowboys’ shadow, plus continued doubts about Jalen Hurts.

No more Ben Roethlisberger has cratered the Steelers outlook. They are paying just +5000 to win next year’s Super Bowl. It doesn’t help that they play the Bengals and Ravens twice.

And what’s happened to the Raiders? They were a play away from beating the Bengals in the AFC playoffs and don’t expect a major roster turnover, yet they too are only listed at +5000. If you’re looking for a good value bet, this is it.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

AFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2022

We are back with another NFL betting preview! There is absolutely no way that this weekend can match the excitement of the Divisional Round. Every single one of the four games ended with a walk-off win.

But as a consolation to not being the best weekend of football, this is the most important weekend of the season, with the winners on Sunday headed to Super Bowl LVI. Check out our AFC and NFC Championship betting previews below!

AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Both of these quarterbacks need the week off. Joe Burrow, in his last-second win over the Titans, was sacked nine times. He needs a week in a hot tub before he plays the Chiefs.

For Patrick Mahomes, he needs the week to return his heart rate back to normal. In the final two minutes and overtime of his last-second win over the Bills, there were 31 points scored, four lead changes, and Mahomes himself threw for 177 yards after the two-minute warning.

So can the Bengals, who have scored a total of 47 points in their two playoff games, keep up with the Chiefs, who have scored a total of 84 points in their two playoff games?

Fortunately, we don’t have to wonder. These teams played one another less than four weeks ago, and the Bengals did keep pace with Kansas City, actually winning 34-31 on a final-play field goal. You might remember that Ja’Marr Chase was incredible, going for 266 yards, and he has gone over 100 yards in each round of the playoffs.

Yes, the Bengals can keep pace with the Chiefs, and with a large seven-point spread, they will cover.

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

This is another rematch from the regular season and another one where the visiting underdog was the winner the first time around. For the 49ers, it was actually two wins against the Rams this season, and if you want to go back even further, they’ve now won six-straight games against their Southern California rivals.

Because of that Week 18 win in Los Angeles that put San Francisco into the postseason, they have a longer winning streak. But heading into the NFC Championship, at least on the offensive side of the ball, they have the most question marks.

Jimmy Garoppolo did not play well against the Cowboys, and he did not play well against the Packers. Jimmy G has 303 yards passing, no touchdowns, and two interceptions in the playoffs, but amazingly the 49ers have been winning.

Matthew Stafford is playing great in L.A., with 568 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and the Rams offense is clicking in a way that will make it very tough for the 49ers on Sunday. Not only does L.A. win the game, but they also win it by at least a touchdown and cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogAFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

NFL Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 14, 2021

We are starting to see the cream of the crop rise to the top, while other teams are seeing a once-promising season begin to slip away. Even with an extra week on the schedule, there are a number of great and important matchups in Week 6. Check out our NFL Week 6 Betting Picks below!

Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) at New York Giants

The Rams are 4-1 and just a game behind the first-place Cardinals. But if L.A. wants to catch Arizona, to whom they are already behind in the tiebreaker, they must win all the games they are supposed to win. That includes this week at the Giants, who are suddenly one of the most injured teams in the NFC.

Saquon Barkley is out with a sprained ankle, which is a blow considering how he was beginning to look like his old self after last year’s ACL tear. Quarterback Daniel Jones is in the NFL’s concussion protocol, and he is a big question mark for Sunday.

All of that is to say, look for the Rams to roll this week and win by two touchdowns.

Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns (-3)

This is perhaps the game of the week, as the unbeaten Cardinals look to stay ahead of the Rams, and the Browns look to chase down the rolling Ravens.

The Cardinals aren’t just a great offensive team, although they are that. They have also played really good defense this year – except when it comes to stopping the run. The Cardinals rank 28th in rushing defense, while the Browns rank first in rushing offense.

That formula spells doom for the Cardinals’ unbeaten streak.

NFL Week 6 Betting PicksCleveland runs wild on Sunday, controls the tempo of this game, and covers the three-point spread.

Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions (+3.5)

Even if you’re not a Lions fan, it has been painful to watch what has happened to them this season. A record-setting field goal that was just inches from being short beat them. Then last week, there was an incredible fourth quarterback comeback that featured a strip fumble to keep the Lions’ offense alive, then a gutsy two-point conversion call with 37 seconds on the clock to take the lead, but it was all undone by a 54-yard field goal to beat them.

If you saw the heartfelt and tear-fill postgame press conference by head coach Dan Campbell, it’s impossible not to root for this team.

At some point, they are going to get over the hump. It may not come this week against the Bengals. Detroit may fall to 0-6. But this team plays with heart, and they won’t lose by more than a field goal to Cincinnati. Take the Lions to cover.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 6 Betting Picks