NFL Week 14 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 5, 2022

The Bills are back in the driver’s seat in the AFC, and the Eagles have strapped themselves even tighter to the seat in the NFC. As the playoff picture begins to take shape, and some teams rise, and other teams fall, we have a great slate of games to wager for NFL Week 14.

New York Jets (+9) at Buffalo Bills

This is not a bet against Buffalo winning this NFL game. They are better than the Jets, and they are at home. But New York defensively matches up well with the Bills, as evidenced by their earlier win in New York, and they will keep this game close.

The Bills win, but they’ve only covered two of their last six-point spreads, and they won’t do it here, either.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)

Tennessee has lost two straight games, and a lot of bettors are jumping off the bandwagon. Don’t you join them. These two losses have come against the Bengals and Eagles – two teams at the height of their powers – and before that, the Titans had covered eight consecutive point spreads.

Trevor Lawrence struggled against a bad Detroit defense, and he will struggle on the road in Tennessee. Look for the Titans to win by six or seven points and cover this spread.

NFL Week 14 Betting Picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers (-3)

On December 27th, 1999, 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy was born. Five days later, at the Orange Bowl, Tom Brady played his final game at the University of Michigan before entering the NFL. On Sunday, they will be starting for two of the four first-place teams in the NFC.

Purdy has the good fortune of having better weapons around him, a better offensive line, and a much better defense, playing some of the best football in the NFL.

The 49ers lost their second-half shutout streak, but it was just a touchdown to a very good Miami offense. This is a bad Tampa Bay offense, and the better bet is on Purdy and the Niners to cover.

Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers (OVER 52.0)

The Dolphins are coming off a strange loss. They averaged 6.8 yards per play for the game, but they were just 0-for-7 on third downs. It’s incredible yardage efficiency, undone by a terrible conversion rate that had them running 34 fewer plays than San Francisco, and scoring 16 fewer points.

L.A.’s defense is not good, and the Dolphins should get back on track. The Chargers should also find success downfield, making the OVER of 52.0 the best play of this game.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 14 Betting Picks

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2022

The Eagles are still unbeaten, the Bills are the deserved NFL favorite in the AFC, and the football being played in the Meadowlands is 100% for real.

The Jets are just the second team in NFL history to have a winning record through six games after being the underdog in all six games. And the Giants now have three double-digit comeback wins, which is tied for the most in their 97 seasons of existence.

What new delights lay in store for NFL fans as we move into Week 7?

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz is injured, putting the Commanders’ offense back in the hands of Taylor Heinicke. And it’s not a great offense in spite of the win at Chicago. Brian Robinson looks like the real deal running the ball, but that’s it.

The Packers are in need of a get-right NFL game, and Washington is the perfect fodder. Green Bay will get it together and win by at least a touchdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) at Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers were big favorites last week, and they lost outright. But this is the Panthers, a team truly in disarray, and with an offense that threw more than 80% of their passes last week behind the line of scrimmage. It’s not really an offense at that rate.

Tom Brady and the Bucs aren’t playing great football, but they will beat a very bad Panthers team by at least two touchdowns. Carolina might not score a point in this one.


New York Giants (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Just say no to the disrespect to the Giants, at 5-1, and going to Jacksonville as the underdog. The Jags have had their moments, but they haven’t earned the right to be a favorite over a team playing some of the best football in the NFL.

This is a simple choice between believing in the Giants and taking the points or still doubting the Giants. We believe.

Take New York and the points, although you probably won’t need them. The Giants are a good bet to go 6-1.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at San Francisco 49ers

It’s possible the 49ers will get Nick Bosa and Trent Williams back in time for their game with the Chiefs. But the list of other injuries that the team is dealing with is hard to fully comprehend.

The 49ers are missing three cornerbacks, two defensive tackles, two other offensive tackles besides Williams, a pair of linebackers, and two defensive ends.

The Chiefs are a better team when all things are equal, and they are not equal going into this NFL game. The Chiefs will beat the short-handed 49ers by at least 10 points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 7 Betting Picks

NFL Preseason: Hall of Fame Game Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 3, 2022

The Hall of Fame Game is rarely good.

Starters almost never play, and if they do, it’s only for a handful of plays. Coaches run offenses that would be vanilla by Pop Warner football standards. The only real goal of the evening is to not get hurt.

And none of that matters because it’s live football for the first time in six months, and it feels so good to have it back.

Hall of Fame Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-2)

It is not a coincidence that both the Jaguars and Raiders have former players being inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame this weekend. The teams for this game are chosen with the knowledge of that year’s Hall of Fame class, and when possible, a notable inductee will match up with a team playing in the game.

The Raiders have former wide receiver Cliff Branch going into the Hall this weekend, the 18th player in team history to be enshrined. The Jaguars have Tony Boselli, their first-ever member of the Hall of Fame.

Raiders fans are notoriously good travelers, not to mention a much larger fan base than what you see in Jacksonville. There is expected to be a large sea of silver and black at the game, which may be one reason the Raiders are the favorite here.

They are, of course, also coming off a playoff appearance, as compared to the Jaguars, who had the worst record in the NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars News

We do know with certainty that quarterback Trevor Lawrence will not play on Thursday night. New Jags head coach Doug Pederson made the announcement earlier in the week and added;

“Trevor’s been getting a lot of great looks here in practice and we feel he’s in a good spot.”

Jake Luton will get the start.

A bit more surprising was the news that second-year running back Travis Etienne, who missed his entire rookie season, will also miss the game. He was out of practice on Tuesday because of illness, and he will remain out the rest of the week.

Hall of Fame Game

Las Vegas Raiders News

New Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels hasn’t been specific on who will and won’t suit up on Thursday, but we can expect most of their top starters to be in street clothes. The team has suffered a number of injuries along the defensive line, including new EDGE rusher Chandler Jones, and they don’t want to risk anymore.

For McDaniels, however, this Hall of Fame Game is special. McDaniels grew up in Canton, Ohio, and as a high school quarterback, he played in Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium, where he was coached by his dad.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Preseason: Hall of Fame Game Preview

NFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on October 7, 2021

As the NFL rounds the quarter pole on the season, we take a look at the best point spreads to bet in Week 5.

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Packers’ start to the season is a distant memory. From a blowout loss to New Orleans to three straight good wins and three wins in a row against the spread.

Aaron Rodgers is fine. His offseason is a non-factor. Aaron Jones, playing with his father’s ashes, looks like the star he is, and when he’s not finding running lanes, he’s catching passes. And as pass catchers go, no one is better than Davante Adams.

The Bengals are also 3-1 on the season, but injuries are becoming an issue, and they most recently played an uninspiring game against the Jaguars.

The Packers go into Cincinnati and win by a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10)

The Dolphins are still a week away from getting Tua Tagovailoa back, which means it’s Jacoby Brissett under center for another game. And this time, it’s a game at the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

The Bucs have failed to cover the spread for two straight weeks and are just 1-3 on the season ATS. But those three losses have come against teams proving to be better than we thought they were. The Dolphins are failing to cover the spread against the likes of the then-winless Indianapolis Colts.

NFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the WeekMiami is one of the biggest disappointments of the early season, and it will get worse this week with a loss at Tampa Bay by at least two touchdowns.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at Carolina Panthers

Carolina was the most unlikely of the undefeateds through three weeks, and now we’re wondering just how far the fall will be without Christian McCaffrey. Maybe not too far, but far enough that they shouldn’t be more than a field goal favorite against the Eagles.

Jalen Hurts is playing well, and the Eagles front-seven will keep Sam Darnold off-balance all afternoon. If the Panthers do manage to rebound for the win, it will be by less than three points. Take the points and the Eagles.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5)

The Titans defense is going to be a liability all season long and against all opponents – even the bad ones. The Jaguars are definitely a bad team, but Tennessee just got torched by Zach Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence will have a big game on Sunday.

The Jags may not pull off the upset, but the bad Titans’ defense keeps this game to within three points. You may not want to do it often, but this week take the Jags.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the Week