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RBC Heritage Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 11, 2023

Golf’s biggest day, and one of the biggest comebacks in major championship history, is in the books. But just because the Masters is a few days behind us, there is still plenty of great RBC Heritage golf coming up this weekend.

The Harbour Town Golf Links is one of the best courses on the RBC Heritage PGA Tour, and the field that takes part just one week after the season’s first major is always stocked with great golfers. For Jon Rahm, this RBC Heritage is the first tournament in which he will be introduced as Masters champion. He is not, however, the favorite to win in Hilton Head.

Favorites to Win RBC Heritage Betting Preview

Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Jon Rahm (+900)
Patrick Cantlay (+1100)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2000)
Cameron Young (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)
Tony Finau (+2500)
Sungjae Im (+2500)
Justin Thomas (+2500)

The Masters’ favorites were led by the trio of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy. Rory isn’t teeing it up this weekend, but the other two are, and not surprisingly, they have the shortest odds heading into the tournament.

It was an emotional win for Rahm at Augusta, and the thought is that it will be easier for Scheffler to get focused for this weekend. He won the Phoenix Open and THE PLAYERS Championship, and he was just T10 at the Masters.

Jordan Spieth was the winner here last year, and if you are wondering if Masters success leads to Heritage success, the answer is not necessarily. Spieth failed to make the cut at last year’s Masters, but he lifted the trophy at Harbour Town. It’s also worth remembering this year that some at the Masters played as many as 30 holes on Sunday. Perhaps players out of contention in Augusta will be better rested this week.

Cameron Young just finished T7 at the Masters, and he is now working with the same caddy that worked with Webb Simpson when he won here in 2020. Does that give Young an edge? He hasn’t won yet this season, but he did just finish second at the WGC-Match Play.

Best Value Bets

Matt Fitzpatrick is just out of the top 10 at +2800, but he should be higher on your list of pre-tournament favorites. He was T4 here in 2021, and he just finished T10 at the Masters.

Matt Kuchar is also deserving of your attention. He is well rested, having not played at Augusta. He’s also playing great golf, with a T9 at the WGC-Match Play and T3 at the Valero Texas Open. Add in his four top-five finishes at Harbour Town and last year’s third-place finish, and he is a great buy at +4500.

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 14, 2023

We bet the averages when it comes to golf, but because of the nature of the game and the big field of other excellent golfers, quite often those averages don’t work out. Scottie Scheffler is one of the best bets, when you go by the averages, and he was a terrific bet last week at THE PLAYERS Championship with an easy five-stroke win.

The averages at the Valspar Championship, however, would tell you that winning the same tournament twice in a row is a long-shot, so avoid last year’s winner at all cost. But this is where the averages break down. In 2022 Sam Burns won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after first winning the tournament. In 2019 (there was no tournament in 2020) Paul Casey won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after he first won the Valspar Championship by fending off Tiger Woods by a stroke.

So with back-to-back champions two times in a row, who is the next golfer likely to begin his run on the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook? And just how likely (or unlikely) is it?

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Justin Thomas (+1000)
Jordan Spieth (+1200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600)
Sam Burns (+1600)
Justin Rose (+2200)
Keegan Bradley (+2200)
Adam Hadwin (+2500)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
Davis Riley (+3300)
Denny McCarthy (+3300)
Dustin Suh (+3300)

Justin Thomas fits the pattern as someone who has never won this tournament before. But he was T3 on this course last year and he did finish fourth in Phoenix. In five starts at Innisbrook he has four top-20 finishes.

Jordan Spieth won on this course in 2015, and he just finished T19 at THE PLAYERS. Just a week earlier he was T4 at the Arnold Palmer, and is definitely playing good enough golf to win the Valspar Championship again this weekend.

The aforementioned Sam Burns is the two-time defending champion at this event. Even though his last three events this year are two missed cuts and a T35, he was T11 at the American Express and T6 in Phoenix right before that downturn. He knows this course well, and he’s playing the type of golf in 2023 that could make him a three-time winner.

Keegan Bradley was the runner-up here in 2021, and this season he has a T20 in Phoenix, a T10 at the Arnold Palmer, and he was the runner-up at the Farmers Insurance. Overall he hasn’t been great on this course – the runner-up in 2021 was his lone noteworthy result – but he’s definitely playing well enough to be in the mix come Sunday.

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THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 6, 2023

Often called the fifth major on the PGA Tour, THE PLAYERS Championship is indeed a special event. Not only is it the only event on Tour that gets to be written in all-caps, it is the strongest field of the year. Teeing it up at Ponte Vedra Beach this weekend are 49 of the 50 players currently in the FedExCup Playoffs.

Ben Taylor is the lone missing player from the top-50, and he has a pretty good excuse. Instead of playing golf at TPC Sawgrass this weekend, he’s getting married. At the time he and his bride-to-be chose their wedding date, Taylor says he never dreamed he would qualify.

Favorites to Win THE PLAYERS Championship

Jon Rahm (+800)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Patrick Cantlay (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Max Homa (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)

Jon Rahm is coming off a pedestrian T39 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but with three wins in his last six starts, he is obvious and deserved favorite. In 2021 he finished ninth at this event, but was only 55th last season.

Rory McIlroy won this event in 2019 and was T2 last week at the Arnold Palmer. On the season he has four starts, one win, and two top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked third in the World Golf Rankings.

Just above McIlroy is second-ranked Scottie Scheffler. He was T4 last week at the Arnold Palmer, following up a T12 at The Genesis and a victory at the Phoenix Open. He tied with Rahm last year for 55th place at this event.

Rounding out the top-four on the odds board in Justin Thomas, a winner here in 2021. He also finished third on this course back in 2016. With over $3.6 million in winnings at TPC Sawgrass, it’s safe to say that Thomas likes this tournament.

Value Bets to Consider

Si Woo Kim at +6600 isn’t an obvious pick after finishing just T39 last week at Bay Hill. However, he finished strong over his final 30 holes, and by the end of the weekend he was playing his best golf since he won the Sony Open in January. He won THE PLAYERS back in 2017 and was top-10 two years ago.

Webb Simpson is another past champion – he won in 2018 – and he is on the board at +15000. He’s had a rough season, but he did just finish the Arnold Palmer with a final round 66 to get a T24. Also, his -18 at THE PLAYERS in 2018 was the lowest score here since 1996.

Pay Per Head Software

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2023

A lot of the heavy hitters on the PGA Tour took last week off because they were preparing to hit the course this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Jon Rahm is back in the field, which of course, makes him the favorite. But Rahm is just one of 44 of the OWGR Top-50 that will be playing this week, as well as all 14 winners this season.

And for the first time in 2023, weather will play an important role in Arnold Palmer. Forecasters are calling for high winds all four days, with some gusts as high as 40mph.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+600)
Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Max Homa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Rahm already has three wins this season, including the last time he played two weeks ago. His run right now is Tiger-esque, and there is no safer bet in sports than on Rahm to be in the mix for a title at Arnold Palmer. He wasn’t great on this course last year, but that doesn’t matter when looking at this year’s odds. He is the best golfer on the planet.

Scottie Scheffler has a win at the Phoenix Open and three other top-10s this year. He was also the winner at Bay Hill last year. Rory McIlroy was the winner here in 2018, and he’s been in the top-15 in seven of his eight career starts here.

After those big three, there is a bit of a drop down to the next group of contenders, led by Max Homa. He has two wins this season, including the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago. He was also the runner-up two weeks ago at Riviera. He was top-10 on this course in 2021.

Viktor Hovland was the runner-up on this course a year ago, and Will Zalatoris has a top-10 finish in two career starts at the Arnold Palmer.

Best Value Bets

With so many great golfers in the field it’s harder to find a longshot who might rise to the top of the leaderboard. But one possibility this weekend is Keith Mitchell at +4000. He has a T6 and T5 at the Arnold Palmer. He’s also coming off a fifth-place finish two weeks ago at Riviera.

Sam Burns is also paying +4000, and this year he has a T11 at the American Express and a T6 at the Phoenix Open. He was T9 at this event a year ago in spite of shooting a 75 in the third round. Clear that up, and he could be a contender.

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Honda Classic Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 21, 2023

The PGA Tour concluded its west coast swing with an electric appearance by Tiger Woods at Riviera Country Club. He finished well off the lead, but considering this was his first tournament since last July, we’re going to see great things from Tiger before this year is over.

The Tiger Woods magic was also present in the person of Jon Rahm, who continues to dominate the sport in a way not seen since Woods was in his prime. Rahm has won five of his last nine starts, and all nine of those starts have ended with him in the top-10.

Favorites to Win the Honda Classic

Sungjae Im (+850)
Shane Lowry (+1600)
Aaron Wise (+2200)
Alex Noren (+2500)
Chris Kirk (+2500)
Denny McCarthy (+2500)
Matt Kuchar (+2500)
Min Woo Lee (+2500)
Billy Horschel (+2800)

The PGA Tour heads to Florida for the Honda Classic this weekend, the final Honda Classic to be played. Beginning in 2024 there will be a new title sponsor for this longtime stop on Tour. Part of the reason Honda is pulling out is that because of the schedule, this has become a rest week for most top golfers.

Sungjae Im is the best golfer in the field and the runaway favorite in the field. He missed the cut at PGA National last year, but he was eighth in 2021, and he was the winner here in 2020. Just two weeks ago, he finished T6 at the Phoenix Open, following up a T4 at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Shane Lowry is coming off a T14 at the Genesis Invitational, fueled by a final round 68. Last year at this event, he was the runner-up at -9. Lowry, along with Im, are two of the three top-20 golfers in the World Rankings in the field this week.

The third of those top-20 golfers is Billy Horschel, who is off to a rough start this season. He missed the cut at both the Genesis Invitational and Sony Open. His best finish since the calendar flipped to 2023 was a T30 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Horschel has twice finished in the top 10 at this event.

Upcoming PGA Schedule

The course at PGA National is still one of the best on Tour, with 26 different water hazards on the course. But the best golfers in the world are using the shift to the east coast as a chance to rest up for the two big events coming up in March, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass.

This week the field takes a step back in quality, but in the first two weeks of March, it will be the best field seen outside of a Honda Classic major championship.

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WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 7, 2023

It may only be the second biggest sporting event in the WM Phoenix area this weekend, but the crowds at the WM Phoenix Open are likely to be the most lively in the state. While the corporate crowds of the Super Bowl will gather in Glendale, Arizona, on the other side of town up to 300,000 fans will turn TPC Scottsdale into a loud and raucous four days on the course.

WM Phoenix is one of the PGA Tour’s favorite stops, because of the crowds, and also because of the golf. Five of the last seven tournaments here had to go to a playoff before a winner was decided.

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Jon Rahm (+800)
Cameron Smith (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1500)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Tony Finau (+2000)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Rory McIlroy makes his first stop on the PGA Tour in the new calendar year. He has played this event once in the past, in 2021, and he finished 13th that year at -13. McIlroy is the number one ranked golfer in the world.

Spain’s Jon Rahm is ranked third in the world, and his 2023 is off to a great start. In January, he won at both the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express at PGA West. He finished the month at the Farmer’s Insurance at Torrey Pines with a seventh-place finish.

Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion at this event. Last year’s win in Scottsdale was the first Tour win of his career, and it launched an unforgettable year. He won four times in 2022, including at The Masters in April. He finished T2 at the U.S. Open, was ranked No. 1 in the world, and he won the Jack Nicklaus Award, given to the PGA Tour’s golfer of the year.

Good Value Bets

Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) loves playing at WM Phoenix. He was a runner-up in 2015, and then he won back-to-back in 2016 and 2017. He was also a top-10 finisher here in 2022.

Brooks Koepka (+3500) is also a two-time winner at this event. He beat Matsuyama by a stroke in 2015, and was a single-stroke winner in 2021. When he won at the WM Phoenix Open in 2021 he was +5000 when the tournament began. He was +4000 the first time he won.

If you are looking for a longshot to play, Keegan Bradley (+12500) is worth a look. He was a runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago, following up on a strong finish to 2022 when he was T5 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and the winner at the Zozo Championship.

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Tour Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 23, 2022

This season in golf has been anything but normal. And as we close the book on the 2021-2022 season with the Tour Championship and the awarding of the FedEx Cup, change to the Tour is coming.

In response to the golfers who have defected to LIV golf and the Saudi Arabian-backed exhibition tour, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy are pushing for a series of one-day skilled events spread throughout the PGA calendar. With the golf world focused this week on East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Tour commissioner Jay Monahan is expected to announce the full details later in the week.

As for the golf that’s being played this week, the 30 golfers with a chance to win the Cup will be seeded using Starting Strokes. In this format, adopted in 2019, the field begins with a score based on where they are in the standings.

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

Scottie Scheffler (+250)
Partick Cantlay (+400)
Xander Schauffele (+700)
Rory McIlroy (+1100)
Will Zalatoris (+1200)
Jon Rahm (+1600)
Tony Finau (+1800)
Sam Burns (+2200)
Cameron Smith (+2500)
Justin Thomas (+2800)
Sungjae Im (+2800)

As the standings leader heading into this week, Scottie Scheffler begins the Tour Championship at 10-under par. That makes him the obvious favorite to win. It should also be noted that in the three previous times this format was used, twice the winner was the golfer who began the tournament in the first place.

Last year’s winner and the defending FedEx Cup champion, Patrick Cantlay, is one of the two previous top-ranked golfers to win. He begins the Tour Championship in second place after winning the BMW last week. He is the first golfer to ever defend one of the FedEx Cup playoff tournaments, and a win this weekend would make him the first ever to defend the Cup.

The one time someone other than the first-place golfer won the Tour Championship and the FedEx Cup, it was Rory McIlroy who began that tournament in fifth place. He begins this week in a tie for sixth place at -4, so he has six strokes to make up on the leader. If anyone can do it, it’s a two-time FedEx Cup champion.

The champion of The Open, Cameron Smith, sat out the BMW because of a sore hip, and that dropped him three spots in the standings. He begins the Tour Championship at -4, tied with McIlroy, and he is rested and ready to tackle East Lake.

If you’re looking for someone with success on the course at East Lake, Xander Schauffele is your guy. He won here in 2017, and he had a low aggregate score in 2020.

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BMW Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 16, 2022

The FedEx Cup Playoffs head to the second event of three, as the PGA’s best move to Delaware for the BMW Championship at the South Course at Wilmington Country Club.

Never again do we have to refer to Will Zalatoris as the golfer most likely to get his first win. He finally finished atop the leaderboard on Sunday, and now Zalatoris can go about the business of trying to win the Cup.

Of course, the entirety of the Tour’s top players are here, and the BMW Championship will feel as close to a Major as you can get.

Favorites to Win BMW Championship

Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Jon Rahm (+1200)
Will Zalatoris (+1200)
Patrick Cantlay (+1400)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Tony Finau (+1400)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Colin Morikawa (+2000)

Rory McIlroy was not great last week in Memphis, and he failed to make the cut. But this is still Rory McIlroy, and the course in Wilmington matches his strengths perfectly. He is the BMW Championship favorite, and his status is deserved.

Jon Rahn has been fairly absent for the last couple of weeks, but in the opening round of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, he led the field in greens in regulation, and he finished on Sunday with a T5.

Will Zalatoris was clear after his win last week that it’s great to have the monkey off his back, but that one win has not satisfied his hunger. Part of that hunger is fueled by just how close he has come in the major championships this season. The other part is how close he is now to winning the end-of-season prize.

And don’t sleep on Matt Fitzpatrick even though he’s only eighth on the favorites board. The U.S. Open champion was consistently good at the St. Jude last week, going 68-66-67-68.

Others to Consider at the BMW Championship

He’s no longshot, paying +2500, but Sungjae Im does present some good value when you consider that he was a runner-up twice in the last month, and last week he was 12th.

Max Homa is paying +4500, and he’s largely an afterthought this week. But he won the Wells Fargo in May and was T5 at the Memorial in June. He also got off to a great start last week in Memphis – a first round 66 – before he faded at the end.

A true BMW Championship longshot is Keegan Bradley at +7500. But when it comes to similar courses to Wilmington, he’s played well this year. That includes a T7 at the U.S. Open and a T2 at the Wells Fargo.

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FedEx St. Jude Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 9, 2022

The PGA Tour’s regular season has ended, and we now begin the FedEx Cup Playoffs, which start in Memphis at the St. Jude Championship.

There will be a field of 125 this week; next week at the BMW, there will still be 70 golfers in the hunt, and we’ll be down to 30 when the Tour Championship tees off in Atlanta in two weeks’ time.

It’s the official start of elimination golf, but that actually began some time ago and was highlighted last week by Joohyung Kim winning the Wyndham Championship. He shot a final round 61, got his first ever PGA Tour win, and qualified for the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

Favorites to Win FedEx St. Jude Championship

Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Cameron Smith (+1600)
Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
Justin Thomas (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Jon Rahm (+2200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Rory McIlroy has twice captured the FedEx Cup, and he’s playing for the first time since he finished third at The Open in St. Andrews. He has a pair of top-10 finishes at TPC Southwind and was 12th last year with three straight 66s to finish the tournament.

Leading the FedEx standings is Scottie Scheffler, who has four wins this season, but he hasn’t won since April. Of course, that April win was the Masters, so not too shabby. And he did have a T2 at the U.S. Open.

Cameron Smith is playing for the first time since he lifted the Claret Jug at FedEx St. Jude Championship, and he comes to a course where he shot a 62 last year on his way to a fifth-place finish.

Lower down on the list of FedEx St. Jude Championship favorites is Tony Finau, who won the 3M Open on July 24, then won the Rocket Mortgage Classic on July 31. He’s the hottest golfer on the course, but on this course, he has never done that well. He finished 27th in 2019, 65th in 2020, and 34th in 2021 after a final round 74.

And once again, we are talking about Will Zalatoris, possibly winning the first tournament of his career but now coming off the most tumultuous week of his young career. Last week in the middle of the Wyndham, he fired his caddie, Ryan Gobble. He used his coach, Josh Gregory, on Saturday and Sunday.

Zalatoris called it the “toughest decision I’ve had to make in my golf career.”

Pay Per Head Software

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Wyndham Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 2, 2022

Wyndham Championship is the 46th and final PGA Tour event of the 2021-2022 season. That’s one final event for players who are looking to keep their playing status for next season and one final event for players to get into the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

The Wyndham Championship had proven to be an excellent test in recent years, especially last year when six players all finished 72 holes tied atop the leaderboard. In the six-man playoff that followed, it was Kevin Kisner getting the win.

Favorites to Win Wyndham Championship

Sungjae Im (+1400)
Shane Lowry (+1600)
Will Zalatoris (+1600)
Billy Horschel (+2000)
Russell Henley (+2200)
Webb Simpson (+2200)
Corey Conners (+2500)
Si Woo Kim (+2500)
Adam Scott (+3300)
Denny McCarthy (+3300)
Joohyung Kim (+3300)
Taylor Pendrith (+3300)
Tyrrell Hatton (+3300)

Sungjae Im is a deserved favorite. He’s coming off a T2 at the 3M, and in three starts at the Wyndham Championship, he has a pair of top-10s. He’s also been a fast starter here, going as low as 62 in his first round.

Will Zalatoris is still looking for his first victory. He was T6 at the Masters, T4 in New Orleans, second at the PGA, and T2 at the U.S. Open. Surely he can parlay those great finishes in bug events to a win in North Carolina. Of course, we say the same thing every week.

Billy Horschel at +2000 deserves a look because of his history here. He did win at the Memorial this season, but at Sedgefield, he has been brilliant over the years.

His last two starts here are second place and sixth place finishes, and overall he has been in the top-11 four different times. In his career, he has won $1,251,176 just at the Wyndham Championship.

Longer Shots to Consider at Wyndham Championship

J.T. Poston is an excellent play at +4000. He won this event in 2019, and just a month ago, he was T2 at the Travelers and a winner at the John Deere Classic. Two weeks ago, he finished T11 at the 3M Open.

Kevin Kisner, the defending champion, is also paying +4000. He was T6 at the Travelers and T21 at The Open Championship. Along with his win here, he also has three other top-10s, including a third-place finish in 2020.

Davis Riley, all the way down at +5000, was second at the Valspar, T4 in New Orleans, fifth at the Mexico Open, T9 at the Byron Nelson, and T4 at the Charles Schwab.

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Favorites to Win RBC Heritage Betting Preview

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win THE PLAYERS Championship

Value Bets to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Honda Classic

Upcoming PGA Schedule

Pay Per Head Software

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Good Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win BMW Championship

Others to Consider at the BMW Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win FedEx St. Jude Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Wyndham Championship

Longer Shots to Consider at Wyndham Championship

Pay Per Head Software

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