PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 16, 2023

The PGA Championship was at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, in 2013. And a number of golfers in the field this week played in that event a decade ago. But not one data point from that event, and those golfers, is valuable in 2023.

“Basically, the only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.“

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

Note his use of the word “debut” when talking about a course that has been around for more than a century and has hosted the PGA Championship three times, the U.S. Open three times, and the Ryder Cup in 1995.

This old golf course is brand new.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+750)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+750)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1300)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1700)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2100)
  • Tony Finau (+2100)
  • Dustin Johnson (+2400)
  • Justin Thomas (+2900)
  • Jason Day (+2900)

It’s not a fun or sexy pick to go with Jon Rahm, but it is probably the smartest pick. He has four wins in 12 events this year, and eight times he has finished in the top 10. He wins on tough courses like Oak Hill, and he wins in majors, as he just did at the Masters.

PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

All of the hyperbole around Rahm is true of Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 2 ranked player. He also wins on tough courses, and he wins at majors. He won the PGA Championship in 2020, The Open Championship in 2021, and both the Masters and U.S. Open in 2022. He won The Players Championship in March, and he’s a good bet to win at least one major for a fourth straight year.

Rory McIlroy was at the previous PGA Championship at Oak Hill, finishing T8 at 3-under par. He was the PGA’s defending champion in 2013, he won it again in 2014, and he also won The Open Championship that year. But that was the last time that McIlroy tasted victory at a major. He finished 2022 as the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer, but he missed the cut at Augusta in April.

Outside of the big three are a number of other solid betting choices. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at the event, staging a seven-stroke comeback to win it in 2022. But he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since then.

Brooks Koepka nearly won the Masters a month ago, he’s won two of the last five PGA Championships, and he would undoubtedly be ranked in the top five in the world if he hadn’t moved to the LIV Tour.

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

Early Look at the PGA Championship

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2023

We are just three weeks from golf’s second major of the season, the PGA Championship. It will be played this year at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, the site of this same tournament ten years ago.

The winner on the East Course in 2013 was Jason Dufner. Followed by Jim Furyk, Henrik Stenson, and Jonas Blixt. Of the golfers who finished in the top 10 at that event, only Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and Adam Scott are still in the top 100 of the World Golf Rankings 10 years later.

The biggest news since the Masters earlier this month was the surgery that Tiger Woods had on his ankle. It was to address post-traumatic arthritis that is a result of his car accident in 2021. There is no official word from Woods’ camp, but this kind of surgery typically comes with a 12-week recovery at a minimum, meaning that we have likely seen the last of Woods in 2023.

However, as you can see from the early odds board, the PGA Championship will not be lacking in star power or great golf.

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+900)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1000)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
  • Justin Thomas (+1400)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1900)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Cameron Smith (+2000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)

For the foreseeable future, the big three, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler, are going to be bunched at the top of any tournament hosting all three. Rahm is, of course, the Masters champion, McIlroy is a four-time major champion, and he has twice won the PGA, and Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year.

Early Look at the PGA Championship

There are plenty of other great golfers on the Tour and a lot of potential winners for next month at Oak Hill. But Rahm, McIlroy, and Scheffler are a cut above the rest at the PGA Championship!

If you’re looking to wager on someone outside of the big three, Justin Thomas is a good choice. He is the defending champion at this event, beating Will Zalatoris at Southern Hills in a playoff.

Of you could wager on two-time PGA champion Brooks Koepka, who also just finished T2 at the Masters. At +1900, he’s paying more than twice what you get on a bet on Rahm, making Koepka a great value play.

Another golfer with great value is Collin Morikawa at +2200. He was the PGA Champion in 2020, and he’s coming off a T10 earlier this month at the Masters.

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WagerHome BlogEarly Look at the PGA Championship

Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 18, 2023

The individual grind of the PGA Tour takes a break this week with a rare team event on the schedule. The Zurich Classic of New Orleans is a mixed-format team tournament with two days of best ball and two days of fourball.

It can be a little bit of a challenge to dial in on which pairs of players will mesh well together for the four days of golf, and that means that, quite often, you can find good value in the wagers that you place.

Favorites to Win Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2023

  • Xander Schauffele/Patrick Cantlay (+300)
  • Collin Morikawa/Max Homa (+650)
  • Sungjae Im/Keith Mitchell (+1100)
  • Si Woo Kim/Tom Kim (+1400)
  • Sam Burns/Billy Horschel (+1800)
  • Kurt Kitayama/Taylor Montgomery (+2200)
  • Sahith Theegala/Justin Suh (+2200)
  • Wyndham Clark/Beau Hossler (+2200)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick/Alex Fitzpatrick (+2800)

Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay are the defending champions at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, and they carry the highest world rankings of any of the pairs. Schauffele is fifth in the world, and Cantlay is fourth. The pairing of Collin Morikawa and Max Homa is currently ranked 13th and seventh, respectively.

It is not surprising that those teams are the two favorites and are separated from the rest of the field by a significant amount.

Sungjae Im is ranked 17th in the world, and he is teaming up with 50th-ranked Keith Mitchell. Im just finished seventh at the Heritage, and he teams nicely with Mitchell.

Im is one of the better golfers around the green, while Mitchell is one of the Tour’s better drivers. Both have played at this event before, but this is the first time they have played as a team.

Sam Burns and Billy Horschel also deserve consideration at +1800. In two previous team-ups at this event, they finished second and fourth. They’ve also both won at other Pete Dye-designed courses as individuals. Burns was T15 at the Heritage last week.

Best Value Bets

Davis Riley and Nick Hardy are at +4000, and both played well at this event a year ago. They were working with different teammates then – Riley with Will Zalatoris and Hardy with Curtis Thompson – and the Riley/Zalatoris team finished fourth.

Sam Ryder and Doc Redman are probably two golfers you’ve never wagered but give them a look. They’re paying +5000 because neither has ever won on Tour, and neither player is in the top 100 of the world rankings. But, as a team, they played this event last year, and they finished third.

Ryder has a recent third-place finish at the Valero Texas Open, and Redman was 16th at the Valspar.

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WagerHome BlogZurich Classic of New Orleans 2023 Betting Preview

RBC Heritage Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 11, 2023

Golf’s biggest day, and one of the biggest comebacks in major championship history, is in the books. But just because the Masters is a few days behind us, there is still plenty of great RBC Heritage golf coming up this weekend.

The Harbour Town Golf Links is one of the best courses on the RBC Heritage PGA Tour, and the field that takes part just one week after the season’s first major is always stocked with great golfers. For Jon Rahm, this RBC Heritage is the first tournament in which he will be introduced as Masters champion. He is not, however, the favorite to win in Hilton Head.

Favorites to Win RBC Heritage Betting Preview

Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Jon Rahm (+900)
Patrick Cantlay (+1100)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2000)
Cameron Young (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)
Tony Finau (+2500)
Sungjae Im (+2500)
Justin Thomas (+2500)

The Masters’ favorites were led by the trio of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy. Rory isn’t teeing it up this weekend, but the other two are, and not surprisingly, they have the shortest odds heading into the tournament.

It was an emotional win for Rahm at Augusta, and the thought is that it will be easier for Scheffler to get focused for this weekend. He won the Phoenix Open and THE PLAYERS Championship, and he was just T10 at the Masters.

Jordan Spieth was the winner here last year, and if you are wondering if Masters success leads to Heritage success, the answer is not necessarily. Spieth failed to make the cut at last year’s Masters, but he lifted the trophy at Harbour Town. It’s also worth remembering this year that some at the Masters played as many as 30 holes on Sunday. Perhaps players out of contention in Augusta will be better rested this week.

RBC Heritage

Cameron Young just finished T7 at the Masters, and he is now working with the same caddy that worked with Webb Simpson when he won here in 2020. Does that give Young an edge? He hasn’t won yet this season, but he did just finish second at the WGC-Match Play.

Best Value Bets

Matt Fitzpatrick is just out of the top 10 at +2800, but he should be higher on your list of pre-tournament favorites. He was T4 here in 2021, and he just finished T10 at the Masters.

Matt Kuchar is also deserving of your attention. He is well rested, having not played at Augusta. He’s also playing great golf, with a T9 at the WGC-Match Play and T3 at the Valero Texas Open. Add in his four top-five finishes at Harbour Town and last year’s third-place finish, and he is a great buy at +4500.

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WagerHome BlogRBC Heritage Betting Preview

Valspar Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 14, 2023

We bet the averages when it comes to golf, but because of the nature of the game and the big field of other excellent golfers, quite often those averages don’t work out. Scottie Scheffler is one of the best bets, when you go by the averages, and he was a terrific bet last week at THE PLAYERS Championship with an easy five-stroke win.

The averages at the Valspar Championship, however, would tell you that winning the same tournament twice in a row is a long-shot, so avoid last year’s winner at all cost. But this is where the averages break down. In 2022 Sam Burns won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after first winning the tournament. In 2019 (there was no tournament in 2020) Paul Casey won the Valspar Championship exactly one year after he first won the Valspar Championship by fending off Tiger Woods by a stroke.

So with back-to-back champions two times in a row, who is the next golfer likely to begin his run on the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook? And just how likely (or unlikely) is it?

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Justin Thomas (+1000)
Jordan Spieth (+1200)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600)
Sam Burns (+1600)
Justin Rose (+2200)
Keegan Bradley (+2200)
Adam Hadwin (+2500)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
Davis Riley (+3300)
Denny McCarthy (+3300)
Dustin Suh (+3300)

Justin Thomas fits the pattern as someone who has never won this tournament before. But he was T3 on this course last year and he did finish fourth in Phoenix. In five starts at Innisbrook he has four top-20 finishes.

Valspar Championship

Jordan Spieth won on this course in 2015, and he just finished T19 at THE PLAYERS. Just a week earlier he was T4 at the Arnold Palmer, and is definitely playing good enough golf to win the Valspar Championship again this weekend.

The aforementioned Sam Burns is the two-time defending champion at this event. Even though his last three events this year are two missed cuts and a T35, he was T11 at the American Express and T6 in Phoenix right before that downturn. He knows this course well, and he’s playing the type of golf in 2023 that could make him a three-time winner.

Keegan Bradley was the runner-up here in 2021, and this season he has a T20 in Phoenix, a T10 at the Arnold Palmer, and he was the runner-up at the Farmers Insurance. Overall he hasn’t been great on this course – the runner-up in 2021 was his lone noteworthy result – but he’s definitely playing well enough to be in the mix come Sunday.

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WagerHome BlogValspar Championship Betting Preview

THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 6, 2023

Often called the fifth major on the PGA Tour, THE PLAYERS Championship is indeed a special event. Not only is it the only event on Tour that gets to be written in all-caps, it is the strongest field of the year. Teeing it up at Ponte Vedra Beach this weekend are 49 of the 50 players currently in the FedExCup Playoffs.

Ben Taylor is the lone missing player from the top-50, and he has a pretty good excuse. Instead of playing golf at TPC Sawgrass this weekend, he’s getting married. At the time he and his bride-to-be chose their wedding date, Taylor says he never dreamed he would qualify.

Favorites to Win THE PLAYERS Championship

Jon Rahm (+800)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Patrick Cantlay (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Max Homa (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)

Jon Rahm is coming off a pedestrian T39 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but with three wins in his last six starts, he is obvious and deserved favorite. In 2021 he finished ninth at this event, but was only 55th last season.

Rory McIlroy won this event in 2019 and was T2 last week at the Arnold Palmer. On the season he has four starts, one win, and two top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked third in the World Golf Rankings.

THE PLAYERS

Just above McIlroy is second-ranked Scottie Scheffler. He was T4 last week at the Arnold Palmer, following up a T12 at The Genesis and a victory at the Phoenix Open. He tied with Rahm last year for 55th place at this event.

Rounding out the top-four on the odds board in Justin Thomas, a winner here in 2021. He also finished third on this course back in 2016. With over $3.6 million in winnings at TPC Sawgrass, it’s safe to say that Thomas likes this tournament.

Value Bets to Consider

Si Woo Kim at +6600 isn’t an obvious pick after finishing just T39 last week at Bay Hill. However, he finished strong over his final 30 holes, and by the end of the weekend he was playing his best golf since he won the Sony Open in January. He won THE PLAYERS back in 2017 and was top-10 two years ago.

Webb Simpson is another past champion – he won in 2018 – and he is on the board at +15000. He’s had a rough season, but he did just finish the Arnold Palmer with a final round 66 to get a T24. Also, his -18 at THE PLAYERS in 2018 was the lowest score here since 1996.

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WagerHome BlogTHE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2023

A lot of the heavy hitters on the PGA Tour took last week off because they were preparing to hit the course this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Jon Rahm is back in the field, which of course, makes him the favorite. But Rahm is just one of 44 of the OWGR Top-50 that will be playing this week, as well as all 14 winners this season.

And for the first time in 2023, weather will play an important role in Arnold Palmer. Forecasters are calling for high winds all four days, with some gusts as high as 40mph.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+600)
Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Max Homa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Rahm already has three wins this season, including the last time he played two weeks ago. His run right now is Tiger-esque, and there is no safer bet in sports than on Rahm to be in the mix for a title at Arnold Palmer. He wasn’t great on this course last year, but that doesn’t matter when looking at this year’s odds. He is the best golfer on the planet.

Scottie Scheffler has a win at the Phoenix Open and three other top-10s this year. He was also the winner at Bay Hill last year. Rory McIlroy was the winner here in 2018, and he’s been in the top-15 in seven of his eight career starts here.

After those big three, there is a bit of a drop down to the next group of contenders, led by Max Homa. He has two wins this season, including the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago. He was also the runner-up two weeks ago at Riviera. He was top-10 on this course in 2021.

Viktor Hovland was the runner-up on this course a year ago, and Will Zalatoris has a top-10 finish in two career starts at the Arnold Palmer.

Best Value Bets

With so many great golfers in the field it’s harder to find a longshot who might rise to the top of the leaderboard. But one possibility this weekend is Keith Mitchell at +4000. He has a T6 and T5 at the Arnold Palmer. He’s also coming off a fifth-place finish two weeks ago at Riviera.

Arnold Palmer

Sam Burns is also paying +4000, and this year he has a T11 at the American Express and a T6 at the Phoenix Open. He was T9 at this event a year ago in spite of shooting a 75 in the third round. Clear that up, and he could be a contender.

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WagerHome BlogArnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

Honda Classic Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 21, 2023

The PGA Tour concluded its west coast swing with an electric appearance by Tiger Woods at Riviera Country Club. He finished well off the lead, but considering this was his first tournament since last July, we’re going to see great things from Tiger before this year is over.

The Tiger Woods magic was also present in the person of Jon Rahm, who continues to dominate the sport in a way not seen since Woods was in his prime. Rahm has won five of his last nine starts, and all nine of those starts have ended with him in the top-10.

Favorites to Win the Honda Classic

Sungjae Im (+850)
Shane Lowry (+1600)
Aaron Wise (+2200)
Alex Noren (+2500)
Chris Kirk (+2500)
Denny McCarthy (+2500)
Matt Kuchar (+2500)
Min Woo Lee (+2500)
Billy Horschel (+2800)

Honda Classic

The PGA Tour heads to Florida for the Honda Classic this weekend, the final Honda Classic to be played. Beginning in 2024 there will be a new title sponsor for this longtime stop on Tour. Part of the reason Honda is pulling out is that because of the schedule, this has become a rest week for most top golfers.

Sungjae Im is the best golfer in the field and the runaway favorite in the field. He missed the cut at PGA National last year, but he was eighth in 2021, and he was the winner here in 2020. Just two weeks ago, he finished T6 at the Phoenix Open, following up a T4 at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Shane Lowry is coming off a T14 at the Genesis Invitational, fueled by a final round 68. Last year at this event, he was the runner-up at -9. Lowry, along with Im, are two of the three top-20 golfers in the World Rankings in the field this week.

The third of those top-20 golfers is Billy Horschel, who is off to a rough start this season. He missed the cut at both the Genesis Invitational and Sony Open. His best finish since the calendar flipped to 2023 was a T30 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Horschel has twice finished in the top 10 at this event.

Upcoming PGA Schedule

The course at PGA National is still one of the best on Tour, with 26 different water hazards on the course. But the best golfers in the world are using the shift to the east coast as a chance to rest up for the two big events coming up in March, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass.

This week the field takes a step back in quality, but in the first two weeks of March, it will be the best field seen outside of a Honda Classic major championship.

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WagerHome BlogHonda Classic Betting Preview

WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 7, 2023

It may only be the second biggest sporting event in the WM Phoenix area this weekend, but the crowds at the WM Phoenix Open are likely to be the most lively in the state. While the corporate crowds of the Super Bowl will gather in Glendale, Arizona, on the other side of town up to 300,000 fans will turn TPC Scottsdale into a loud and raucous four days on the course.

WM Phoenix is one of the PGA Tour’s favorite stops, because of the crowds, and also because of the golf. Five of the last seven tournaments here had to go to a playoff before a winner was decided.

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Jon Rahm (+800)
Cameron Smith (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1500)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Tony Finau (+2000)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Rory McIlroy makes his first stop on the PGA Tour in the new calendar year. He has played this event once in the past, in 2021, and he finished 13th that year at -13. McIlroy is the number one ranked golfer in the world.

Spain’s Jon Rahm is ranked third in the world, and his 2023 is off to a great start. In January, he won at both the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express at PGA West. He finished the month at the Farmer’s Insurance at Torrey Pines with a seventh-place finish.

Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion at this event. Last year’s win in Scottsdale was the first Tour win of his career, and it launched an unforgettable year. He won four times in 2022, including at The Masters in April. He finished T2 at the U.S. Open, was ranked No. 1 in the world, and he won the Jack Nicklaus Award, given to the PGA Tour’s golfer of the year.

Good Value Bets

Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) loves playing at WM Phoenix. He was a runner-up in 2015, and then he won back-to-back in 2016 and 2017. He was also a top-10 finisher here in 2022.

Brooks Koepka (+3500) is also a two-time winner at this event. He beat Matsuyama by a stroke in 2015, and was a single-stroke winner in 2021. When he won at the WM Phoenix Open in 2021 he was +5000 when the tournament began. He was +4000 the first time he won.

If you are looking for a longshot to play, Keegan Bradley (+12500) is worth a look. He was a runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago, following up on a strong finish to 2022 when he was T5 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and the winner at the Zozo Championship.

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WagerHome BlogWM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

Tour Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 23, 2022

This season in golf has been anything but normal. And as we close the book on the 2021-2022 season with the Tour Championship and the awarding of the FedEx Cup, change to the Tour is coming.

In response to the golfers who have defected to LIV golf and the Saudi Arabian-backed exhibition tour, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy are pushing for a series of one-day skilled events spread throughout the PGA calendar. With the golf world focused this week on East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Tour commissioner Jay Monahan is expected to announce the full details later in the week.

As for the golf that’s being played this week, the 30 golfers with a chance to win the Cup will be seeded using Starting Strokes. In this format, adopted in 2019, the field begins with a score based on where they are in the standings.

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

  • Scottie Scheffler (+250)
  • Partick Cantlay (+400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+700)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1100)
  • Will Zalatoris (+1200)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Tony Finau (+1800)
  • Sam Burns (+2200)
  • Cameron Smith (+2500)
  • Justin Thomas (+2800)
  • Sungjae Im (+2800)

As the standings leader heading into this week, Scottie Scheffler begins the Tour Championship at 10-under par. That makes him the obvious favorite to win. It should also be noted that in the three previous times this format was used, twice the winner was the golfer who began the tournament in the first place.

Last year’s winner and the defending FedEx Cup champion, Patrick Cantlay, is one of the two previous top-ranked golfers to win. He begins the Tour Championship in second place after winning the BMW last week. He is the first golfer to ever defend one of the FedEx Cup playoff tournaments, and a win this weekend would make him the first ever to defend the Cup.

Tour Championship

The one time someone other than the first-place golfer won the Tour Championship and the FedEx Cup, it was Rory McIlroy who began that tournament in fifth place. He begins this week in a tie for sixth place at -4, so he has six strokes to make up on the leader. If anyone can do it, it’s a two-time FedEx Cup champion.

The champion of The Open, Cameron Smith, sat out the BMW because of a sore hip, and that dropped him three spots in the standings. He begins the Tour Championship at -4, tied with McIlroy, and he is rested and ready to tackle East Lake.

If you’re looking for someone with success on the course at East Lake, Xander Schauffele is your guy. He won here in 2017, and he had a low aggregate score in 2020.

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WagerHome BlogTour Championship 2022 Betting Preview