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Mexico Open at Vidanta Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 26, 2022

The Mexico Open has been around since 1944, but for the first time ever, the PGA Tour has put it on its schedule.

There will be 132 PGA Tour golfers, a prize purse of $7.3 million, 500 FedExCup points at stake, and a beautiful weekend spent in Vallarta, Mexico. Also being awarded are spots in the PGA Championship and the 2023 Players Championship and Masters.

Joining the field is Jon Rahm, who made his PGA Tour debut in Mexico seven years ago.

Favorites to Win Mexico Open at Vidanta

Jon Rahm (+350)
Kevin Na (+2000)
Gary Woodland (+2000)
Abraham Ancer (+2000)
Cameron Tringale (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Sebastian Munoz (+2500)
Aaron Wise (+3000)
Chris Kirk (+3500)
Patrick Reed (+3500)

Why should you place a bet on Jon Rahm? Because he’s the obvious Mexico Open pick here. Sometimes going with the golfer who is heads and shoulders above the rest of the field is the only smart play.

Rahm has three top-10 finishes this season, including runner-up at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, and he is the second-ranked player in the world. The next highest in this field is Abraham Ancer at 20th. Tony Finau is 25th. Kevin Na is ranked 32nd.

Simply put, no one else here is on Rahm’s level.

Why should you place a bet on someone other than Jon Rahm at the Mexico Open? Because it’s golf, and anything can happen. Because Ancer is playing in his home country and is carrying the banner for Mexico. Because Rahm, even as the No. 2 player in the world, has yet to win a tournament this year.

Longshots Worth a Look

Normally players at +2000 and +3000 would be considered longshots, but since Ancer, Tony Finau, and guys like Kevin Na and Gary Woodland are in the top-10, we’re not going to consider them Mexico Open longshots.

Carlos Ortiz, at +7000, qualifies. He has been sponsored by Vidanta since 2016, and his official title is Embajador de Vidanta Golf. The ambassador of Vidanta golf.

The Guadalajara native was a champion in the Greg Norman academy early in his career, and the course at Vidanta was designed by Norman. It’s more than just a connection. It’s a window into the kind of course that is built for Ortiz.

He is a Mexico Open longshot and just the 90th-ranked golfer in the world. But no one has more incentive this weekend than Ortiz.

One other golfer to consider is Matt Jones at +5500. This is a coastal course, subject to coastal winds, and Jones is good in those conditions. And his 2022 has been very good, finishing third at Kapalua, T15 at Riviera, and a T2 at San Antonio.

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

New Orleans is not your typical golf destination, and the Zurich Classic of New Orleans is definitely not your typical PGA event.

Golfers skew their regular individual play for a rare team event. The first member of the team is chosen based on the Tour priority rankings, and then that person chooses a partner that must be either a PGA Tour member or someone who has earned entry into the tournament through an exemption.

The teams of two compete by playing fourball in the first and third rounds and alternate shot for the second and fourth rounds. And each member of the winning team gets $1 million, 400 FedEx points, and invites to the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS Championship.

Pretty nice incentives.

Favorites to Win the Zurich Classic

Hovland/Morikawa (+650)
Cantlay/Schauffele (+800)
Palmer/Scheffler (+900)
Leishman/Smith (+1000)
Burns/Horschel (+1200)
Fleetwood/Garcia (+1600)
Lowry/Poulter (+2200)
Gooch/Homa (+2200)
Neimann/Pereira (+2500)
Varner III/Watson (+2500)

The best duo on paper is Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa, but this will be the first time they’ve ever played together as a team, and they really don’t complement each other. Neither is great at putting, and that could come back to bite the pre-tournament favorites.

Ryan Palmer is a wildcard, but it feels like anyone could team up with Scottie Scheffler and be in the mix on Sunday. Scheffler has won four of his last six starts, including back-to-back wins at the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play and a little tournament called the Masters.

Marc Leishman and Cameron Smith also deserve to be mentioned among the best bets this weekend. They won Zurich Classic as a team a year ago, Smith won it with a different partner in 2017, and Smith won THE PLAYERS Championship in March and just finished T3 at Augusta.

Best Value Bets

A solid choice that is paying +3500 is the twosome of Tyrrell Hatton and Danny Willett. Willet is excellent around the green, and Hatton is superb when he’s on the green.

As complements to one another’s game, no duo might be a better fit than these two. Hatton finished top-10 at the WGC Match Play in March, and Willett was just T12 at the Masters.

Paying +4500 should have you giving Keegan Bradley and Brendan Steele a closer look. They play together all the time, and they both know each other’s strengths and weaknesses better than any team in the field. They also finished T4 at this tournament last year, just two off the lead.

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The Masters 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 4, 2022

It is The Masters week, and as the tradition of golf at Augusta in early April returns, so returns the tradition of finding the golfers who are worthy of your Masters wagers.

The field is currently at 91 after J.J. Spaun won his way to Augusta by taking the Valero Texas Open. And one other not-so-small note about that 91 – it includes Tiger Woods, who has revealed that he may actually play.

More on Tiger in a bit, but first, let’s look at the top favorites in the field.

Favorites to Win The Masters

Jon Rahm (+1100)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Cameron Smith (+1500)
Dustin Johnson (+1600)
Scottie Scheffler (+1600)
Rory McIlroy (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2000)
Brooks Koepka (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Viktor Hovland (+2000)

Jon Rahm has been replaced as the world’s No. 1 player, but he is still the favorite at Augusta because of his recent play here. In his last four Masters appearances, Rahm has finished fourth, T9, T7, and T5.

Scottie Scheffler is the new No. 1 player in the world with three wins in his last five starts, but he is still looking for his first-ever win in a major. In his two previous visits to Augusta, he finished T19 and T18.

Rory McIlroy is just behind Scheffler, and the only hole in his resume is a Green Jacket from Augusta National. His best was a fourth-place finish in 2015. He was also in the top-10 in 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2020.

Best Value Bets

Will Zalatoris at +4000 deserves a look. He’s only played at Augusta once, but he was the runner-up last year. His lack of a PGA Tour win is why his number is so high.

Matt Fitzpatrick is paying +6600, which makes sense since he’s finished outside the top-20 in his last five starts here. But he did have a T7 in 2016, and why he’s really worth a look is his four top-10 finishes in five PGA starts this year.

And then there is….

Tiger Woods

Five-time Masters champion Tiger Woods is on the board at +8000, which is the same odds you can get for Tony Finau and Sergio Garcia, even though we’re not sure that Tiger will play. Although the mere fact that him playing is a possibility is a huge story.

According to Woods, he has walked the course at Augusta and the leg that was nearly lost in a serious wreck 14 months ago was able to handle the workload. Woods says that he will continue to work this week, and he will be a “game-time decision” on Thursday.

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 29, 2022

The PGA Tour is in Texas for the Valero Texas Open, a final tournament before the Masters, and look for there to be plenty of late-round drama. Not all of the tickets to the Masters have been given out, and if a non-Masters invitee wins this weekend, he will suddenly have new travel plans to make.

It happened in the most dramatic fashion three years ago when Corey Conners qualified for the Valero Texas Open on the Monday before the tournament and then won it, playing the following weekend at the biggest event in American golf.

So keep an eye on the final Sunday groups and who might have added incentive and added pressure over the last few holes.

Favorites to Win Valero Texas Open

Rory McIlroy (+800)
Jordan Spieth (+1400)
Corey Conners (+1800)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2000)
Abraham Ancer (+2000)
Bryson DeChambeau (+2800)
Si-Woo Kim (+3500)
Tony Finau (+3500)
Keegan Bradley (+3500)
Chris Kirk (+3500)
Maverick McNealy (+3500)
Adam Hadwin (+3500)
Gary Woodland (+3500)

Most of the world’s best are skipping this final tune-up before the Masters, but favorite Rory McIlroy is here. He’s won the U.S. Open, The British Open, and the PGA Championship, but his best-ever finish in Augusta was fourth in 2015. He played the Valero Texas Open just once before, in 2013, and he finished second.

Jordan Spieth was the winner at the Masters in 2015, the same year that McIlroy finished fourth. The native Texan was the winner at this event in 2021. At the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship last week, Spieth finished 35th.

The aforementioned Corey Conners, a winner here in 2019, is coming off a great third-place showing at the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship. Two tournaments before that, he was 11th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Best Value Bets

At +3500, you should give Chris Kirk a look. He finished T5 at the Arnold Palmer, T7 at the Honda Classic, and T14 at the Phoenix Open.

To go along with his great play over the last two months, he has three top-10 finishes at the Texas Open. A win here would net you a tidy sum and put Kirk in the Masters for the first time since 2016.

Another golfer at +3500 deserving of consideration is Gary Woodland. He had T5s at both the Arnold Palmer and Honda Classic, and last year at the Valero Texas Open, he finished with a T6.

If you’re really feeling it, Luke List is paying +5000. He’s not been good since his win at Torrey Pines two months ago, but he does have that win, and he was inside the top-20 at this tournament last year.

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2022 World Golf Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 22, 2022

March is known for its tournament brackets and single-elimination head-to-heads, and it’s not just for college basketball. The golf world takes a pause from its usual format to play its own tournament bracket at the 2022 World Golf Championship.

It’s 64 of the world’s top players going head-to-head at the Austin Country Club, just 83 miles up the road from the AT&T Center in San Antonio, where a pair of Sweet 16 games will be played. And just as with all of the college basketball games this weekend, golf has its favorites, its underdogs, and its Cinderellas.

Favorites to Win 2022 World Golf Championship

Jon Rahm (+1400)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Scottie Scheffler (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Dustin Johnson (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2500)
Billy Horschel (+2800)
Daniel Berger (+2800)
Jordan Spieth (+2800)

Tournament Format

Beginning on Wednesday and going through Friday, the field of 64 is split into 16 seeded groups of four golfers each. And over those three days, each player in the group will play a match against each of the other three players. One point is awarded for a match win, and a half-point is awarded for a match tie.

The top point getter in each group advances to the single-elimination round of 16, to be played Saturday morning, with the quarterfinals to be played Saturday afternoon. Sunday morning is the semifinals, and by Sunday evening, we will have a 2022 World Golf Championship champion.

Best Bets to Win

Jon Rahm is the best golfer in the world, and he’s also done well at this event. In 2018 he was the runner-up here in Austin, and in 2019 he finished fifth.

Billy Horschel is the defending champion, and last year when he won, he was paying +8000. He’s down to +2800 this year, but that’s still good value for a golfer who does well on this course and in this format.

Scottie Scheffler (+2000) was the runner-up to Horschel in 2021, so he, too, feels comfortable on this course and in this format. He also has the added feature of being the hottest golfer in the world right now. Scheffler was the winner at the Phoenix Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational and sandwiched a T7 at The Genesis between those two victories.

Sergio Garcia has never won this event, but he is terrific in match play. He’s made it to at least the round of 16 nine times at Austin, including the quarterfinals a year ago, making his +5000 payday an attractive flier.

Also at +5000 is Kevin Kisner, who just finished fourth at The PLAYERS. He also had a T3 at the Sony Open, but most importantly, he finished second at this event in 2018 and then won it in 2019.

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 15, 2022

The majority of the PGA Tour takes a breather this weekend after an extra-long five-day PLAYERS Championship was completed at Sawgrass over the weekend. For those in the field both last week and this, like betting favorite Justin Thomas, it’s just two off-days, then back at it at the Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida.

The field, however, isn’t completely bare. There are 20 of the top 50 golfers in the world teeing it up at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club, taking advantage of one of the final tuneups before we head to Augusta, Georgia, in three weeks.

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Justin Thomas (+900)
Viktor Hovland (+1100)
Collin Morikawa (+1100)
Dustin Johnson (+1400)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Paul Casey (+1800)
Louis Oosthuizen (+1800)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
Shane Lowry (+2200)
Sam Burns (+2200)

Looking at the favorite, Justin Thomas, some bettors might be scared off by his T33 at the PLAYERS last weekend. But already this season, he has five finishes T8 or better, and last year at the Valspar, he was T13. He’s playing solid golf, and he’s the best overall golfer in the field.

The player right behind Thomas on the favorites board might be the hottest player in the world, Norway’s Viktor Hovland. He’s ranked third in the world, he finished T9 at Sawgrass, he was T2 the week before that at the Arnold Palmer, and he was T4 at Riviera. That’s three straight top-10 finishes for a golfer who finished third at the Valspar last year, his one and only previous time playing this event.

If you prefer to focus on course history, there are two former winners among these top-10 favorites. Sam Burns, paying +2200, is the current defending champion. He shot a -17 last year, one off the Valspar Championship record, and won by three strokes.

Paul Casey, paying +1800, won back-to-back the two years prior to Burns. He’s also coming off a third-place finish at The PLAYERS, which pairs nicely with a T15 at The Genesis.

Longer Shots Worth a Look

If you’re looking to take a flier on a good value play, give Jason Kokrak a thought. He’s paying +4000 for a tournament win, and in his last three starts at the Valspar, he has finished eighth, second, and 13th. Prior to that run, he also had a seventh-place finish in 2015.

Adam Hadwin, at +6600, is paying even longer odds, and he’s an actual winner at the Valspar Championship. He held on to win by one stroke in 2017 after entering the final round with a four-stroke lead. He’s also coming off a T9 at Sawgrass.

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The Players Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 8, 2022

Outside of Pebble Beach and Augusta, there may be no more recognizable course than the Pete Dye-designed TPC Sawgrass, the home of The Players Championship. Even if you’ve never actually played the course, without question, you have pictured yourself trying to hit the famous “Island Green” on 17.

And not only is the course great, the field is packed each and every year. At $20 million, it has the highest prize fund of any tournament in the world, it regularly attracts the full complement of top-50 players in the world, and it is often referred to as the PGA Tour’s unofficial fifth major.

But as good as the field is, The Players has never produced a repeat champion. Six players have won more than once – Jack Nicklaus, Fred Couples, Steve Elkington, Hal Sutton, Davis Love III, and Tiger Woods – but none of them won consecutively.

Favorites to win The Players Championship

Jon Rahm (+800)
Rory McIlroy (+1400)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Collin Morikawa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Dustin Johnson (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
Cameron Smith (+2500)

Jon Rahm has finished in the top-three in two of his six starts in 2022, and he’s been in the top-10 in three of them. He has yet to post a win this year, but he’s the betting favorite at next month’s Masters, and he is the betting favorite here. For the record, in each of the tournaments he has played in 2022, Rahm has been on top of the favorites board.

Collin Morikawa has only played this event once, and he finished 41st. But he hasn’t finished worse than seventh in any event in 2022, and he’s got the exact kind of form you would expect from a future champion at Sawgrass.

Longshots to Consider

Sergio Garcia is past his prime, but at +8000, he is definitely worth a look. He’s a veteran of this course, having played it 21 times.

And last year, he actually had a two-shot lead following Thursday’s opening round before eventually finishing ninth on Sunday. He also rarely misses the cut, meaning that your +8000 bet should be around to make some noise in the final round.

Another longshot odds-wise is Brian Harman, paying +10000. But he only looks like a longshot on the favorites board. He finished T3 at The Players last year and T9 in 2019.

And this year, he has a T3 at The American Express to go along with a 14th place finish at the Phoenix Open. Good play at Sawgrass, good form this year, and a huge payday if he wins. What’s not to like?

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2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2022

Right now, the PGA Tour is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re going to get. And the same can be said for the upcoming tournament, the 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Over the last five weeks, we have seen four first-time winners, and yes, that is a very unusual pace. We’ve played eight total tournaments in 2022, and in 2021 a total of 25 tournaments were played before there were four first-time winners.

So looking at the past can only get us so far in predicting who wins each week and who wins this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill in Orlando.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+750)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2000)
Sung-Jae Im (+2200)
Will Zalatoris (+2500)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2800)
Marc Leishman (+2800)

As is the case with any tournament that he enters, Jon Rahm is the favorite. He doesn’t have a win in 2022, but the six-time PGA Tour winner has three top-10 finishes this year and has twice finished in the top-five.

It’s Rahm’s first-ever visit to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but Rory McIlroy is making his eighth straight appearance. He won in 2018 and has top-10 finishes in 2017, 2019, 2020, and 2021. Two weeks ago, McIlroy played his first and only tournament of 2022 and finished T10 at the Genesis Invitational.

Third on the board is Scottie Scheffler, one of those four first-time winners we’ve had recently. He won at Phoenix and then followed that up with T7 at Riviera. He played the Arnold Palmer Invitational in 2020 and finished 15th.

Best Value Bets

In the vein of first-time winners, Will Zalatoris is striking the ball well, and most of the golfing world thinks he’s overdue for his first win. He finished T6 at The American Express and second at the Farmers Insurance Open, and most importantly, he is paying +2500.

Adam Scott is paying +3500, and along with that big potential payday, he brings solid play of late and a good history at Bay Hill. He played strong golf at the Genesis two weeks ago, shooting a 66 in the final round and finishing T4. At the Arnold Palmer, he has a pair of third-place finishes, with the first coming in 2004 and the second coming in 2014.

At +5000, take a look at Jason Kokrak. He finished 2021 strong with a win at the Houston Open. He had a T17 at the Sony Open in January and was undone by a tough final round at Riviera. Before the final 18, he was tied for 12th. Last year at the Arnold Palmer, he finished in eighth, which was his fourth top-10 finish at this event.

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Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses – Betting Odds to win NCAA Basketball National Championship

by WagerHome Blog on February 24, 2022

We are just over three weeks away from Selection Sunday, the date that the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee fulfills dreams and breaks hearts.

There are some teams already guaranteed a spot in the dance, and they are favorites to be in the Final Four. While most of the rest of the field is hoping to try on Cinderella’s slipper for the three-week journey to the Final Four in New Orleans.

National Championship Favorites

Last weekend the NCAA Selection Committee released its current snapshot of what their top-16 looks like, and their favorites largely coincide with the betting favorites.

Gonzaga is the much-deserved top dog, currently paying +450. The Bulldogs are also the top-ranked team in the polls and by the Selection Committee. The second-ranked Auburn Tigers – in the eyes of the Selection Committee – is actually fourth in the current betting odds, paying +1000.

Kentucky was sixth in the released weekend bracket, but the Wildcats are actually second in betting odds, paying +800. The Wildcats from Arizona are the third-highest betting favorite, paying +850.

The Selection Committee gave one of its top seeds to Kansas, the same bracket where Kentucky is the No. 2 seed. But the Jayhawks are paying +1600 to win the National Championship, which is double the payout of Kentucky.

Final Four Underdogs

Tennessee is projected to be the third seed by the Selection Committee, but they are paying a whopping +5000 on a National Championship futures bet. For a team getting that much love from the powers that be and also has wins over North Carolina, Arizona, and Kentucky just over a week ago, that is an incredible value.

Likely, by the time the NCAA releases its full bracket, the odds on Tennessee will have dropped.

The Houston Cougars are in or near the top-10 in most of the various power rankings, but bettors haven’t seemed to notice. The first-place team in the American Athletic Conference is paying +4000.

Darkhorses Worth a Look

Connecticut is a top-20 team, the Huskies are in third place in the Big East, and they have wins over Auburn and Villanova. The win over Villanova was just this Tuesday – UConn’s fourth win in a row – and they are playing much better basketball than their +10000 odds would suggest.

Another excellent value play is Iowa, who is also playing its best basketball as the postseason nears. The Hawkeyes, paying +10000, have won five of their last six games and rank fourth in the nation in points scored per game. Iowa ranks first in the nation in assists to turnovers, and it’s that kind of mistake-free basketball that wins games in March.

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The Honda Classic Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 22, 2022

The field isn’t the best this week at PGA National. After every member of the world’s top-10 teed it up at Riviera, every member of world’s top-10 is taking his time in getting to Florida for a month of tournaments there. The Honda Classic is the first of four straight events in the Sunshine State, and none of the world’s best are playing.

It could be that rest is needed, or it could be that the course played as the third-most difficult non-major course on tour in 2021. At last year’s event, 270 balls found their way into the water, and with high winds in the forecast for this week, that number is expected to climb.

What that means is that in this year’s edition of The Honda Classic – everything can change on any given hole.

Favorites to Win The Honda Classic

Sungjae Im (+1200)
Daniel Berger (+1600)
Joaquin Niemann (+1800)
Louis Oosthuizen (+1800)
Billy Horschel (+2000)
Brooks Koepka (+2200)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)
Shane Lowry (+2800)
Alex Noren (+3300)
Keith Mitchell (+3300)

Sungjae Im is your favorite, as the only member of this group of favorites who finished in the top-10 at last year’s tournament. He was tied for eighth at -5. He won here in 2020, and four weeks ago at the Farmers, he finished tied for sixth with a -13.

Daniel Berger has been a tough one to figure out in 2022, having withdrawn from Pebble Beach, even though he was the defending champion. Then Berger missed the cut at the Phoenix Open. But he also finished fifth at the Sentry Tournament of Champions with a -25 and was top-20 at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Berger was also fourth at The Honda Classic in 2020, his last time in the event, and he has a runner-up at PGA National from 2015.

Alex Noren, paying +3300 is also a good value play. He recently tied for sixth at the Phoenix Open, and he’s a good par grinder on a tough course, which is exactly the kind of player who can get it done this week.

Longshots Worth a Look

Because of all the water, ball striking is key at PGA National. Jhonattan Vegas, who is paying +5000, has been the fourth-best ball-striker over the last 50 rounds. He also finished with a T4 at this event in 2017.

Mackenzie Hughes is another very good value play at +5000. He just had a T16 at Pebble Beach, and when he played at PGA National in 2020, he was the runner-up to Im’s tournament win.

Chris Kirk is also paying +5000 and is coming off a T14 at the Phoenix Open. He’s played The Honda Classic every year since 2011 and has finished as high as 12th.

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Favorites to Win Mexico Open at Vidanta

Longshots Worth a Look

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Zurich Classic

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win The Masters

Best Value Bets

Tiger Woods

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Valero Texas Open

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win 2022 World Golf Championship

Tournament Format

Best Bets to Win

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

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