Ryder Cup Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 25, 2023

Two years ago in Wisconsin, the United States dominated the Ryder Cup, beating the Europeans 19-9. Schedule changes in 2020 because of COVID mean that we haven’t played this storied competition on European soil since 2018, but we are back.

The Europeans have won six straight times on their home continent, last losing in England in 1993. This will be the first-ever Ryder Cup to be played in Italy and just the third Ryder Cup to be played somewhere other than Great Britain, Ireland, or the United States.

Even though the competition is taking place in Europe, where traditionally, the United States has not done well, the United States is the favorite at -120. A bet on Europe is +130, and a tie score is paying +900.

There are also available spreads for the winner.

The United States +3 pays -265. Europe -3 pays +275.
Europe +3 pays -190. The United States -3 pays +200.

Ryder Cup Schedule

The Ryder Cup festivities begin on Tuesday, but the competition doesn’t begin until Friday, September 29. The day before, on Thursday, the pairings will be announced.

On Friday morning, the four foursome matches tee off. In the afternoon, there will be four fourball matches. This same schedule will be repeated on Saturday, with foursome matches in the morning and fourball matches in the afternoon (Italian time).

Sunday, all 12 golfers from each team will play in singles matches.

Foursome matches involve two teams of team golfers each, alternating shots in match play. Fourball matches also involve two teams of two golfers each, but all golfers play their own ball through the completion of the hole, with the best individual score counting for the team.

Ryder Cup Betting Preview

The Teams

The Europeans boast three of the top four golfers in the world, with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Viktor Hovland. The United States, however, has eight of the world’s best 15 players, compared to just six for Europe. Australian Cameron Smith is the outlier, ranked 11th in the world.

Each team has four Ryder Cup rookies, and the U.S. is without 2021 stalwarts Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau, who made the move to LIV. Justin Thomas is back from 2021, but he has been struggling this year and perhaps shouldn’t have been used for the captain’s pick.

American Scottie Scheffler is the No. 1 ranked player in the world, but the Europeans, with Hovland, have the hottest golfer in the world. Hovland ended the season with wins at the BMW and Tour Championship, winning the FedEx Cup playoffs and the $18 million prize. He also finished in the top 10 at the PGA Championship, the Masters, the U.S. Open, and the Open Championship.

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WagerHome BlogRyder Cup Betting Preview

Tour Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 22, 2023

It is time for the Tour Championship 2023! There is still a pretty big golf event coming up in just over a month. The Ryder Cup will be played from September 29 to October 1 in Rome, Italy, pitting the best golfers in America vs. the best golfers in Europe.

This weekend we will crown the best individual golfer in the world for the 2022-2023 PGA Tour season at the Tour Championship. It is the final of three weekends of FedEx Cup Playoffs, with 30 golfers left in the running to win the season title.

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

  • Scottie Scheffler (+130)
  • Rory McIlroy (+330)
  • Viktor Hovland (+500)
  • Jon Rahm (+800)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2800)
  • Max Homa (+2800)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)
  • Lucas Glover (+4000)
  • Wyndham Clark (+5000)
  • Brian Harman (+5000)

If it looks like there is a big drop after the top four golfers, it’s because there is. And it’s because the scores on Thursday begin with an advantage for the golfers who are leading the FedEx Cup standings. Here is the field of 30 and their corresponding starting score.

Tour Championship 2023 Betting Preview

  • 10 Under: Scottie Scheffler
  • Eight Under: Viktor Hovland
  • Seven Under: Rory McIlroy
  • Six Under: Jon Rahm
  • Five Under: Lucas Glover
  • Four Under: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Brian Harman, Wyndham Clark, Matt Fitzpatrick
  • Three Under: Tommy Fleetwood, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele
  • Two Under: Tom Kim, Sungjae Im, Tony Finau, Corey Conners, Si Woo Kim
  • One Under: Taylor Moore, Nick Taylor, Adam Schenk, Collin Morikawa, Jason Day
  • Even Par: Sam Burns, Emiliano Grillo, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth, Sepp Straka

The Redemption of Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler is the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world, he leads the FedEx Cup standings, and he will tee off on Thursday at the Tour Championship with a two-stroke lead on Viktor Hovland and a six-stroke lead on 24 of the 29 other golfers in the field.

Without question, Scheffler is in the spot that everyone wishes for themselves.

But we should remember what happened at the Tour Championship last year. Scheffler went into the first round with a two-shot lead, and he was up by six strokes after Saturday. But in one of the most historic collapses in golf history, Scheffler shot a final round three-over 73 and lost the FedEx Cup to Rory McIlroy.

In disbelief after the loss, Scheffler said;

“For whatever reason, my swing wasn’t where it had been the first few days this week.”

He found his swing again, and he is the favorite to win his second straight PGA Tour Player of the Year. But what he really wants is the FedEx Cup that he allowed to slip away 12 months ago.

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WagerHome BlogTour Championship 2023 Betting Preview

The Open Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 18, 2023

There are 156 of the best golfers in the world competing this weekend at the 151st edition of The Open Championship. It is the oldest tournament in golf by at least 25 years, first played in 1860 as a three-round tournament on a 12-hole links course with eight competing players.

It is still open to all who can qualify, which started in 1861, and it is still links golf, which brings an extra challenge for golfers that they don’t find on courses in the United States.

It also now has a much bigger field, and instead of the original red leather belt with a silver buckle worth £25, the winner gets the Claret Jug (introduced in 1872) and $3 million, a $500,000 increase from last year.

Favorites to Win The Open Championship

  • Rory McIlroy (+700)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+1300)
  • Cameron Smith (+1800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1800)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2200)
  • Viktor Hovland (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)
  • Rickie Fowler (+2500)

It’s been a minute since Rory McIlroy came into a major championship with the expectations he has this week. In 2014 he won The Open Championship, then followed that up with a win in the PGA Championship. But since then, it’s been a string of majors (and major) disappointment.

This year in the majors, he has a runner-up and a T7, he has six straight top-10 finishes, he just won the links golf tuneup at the Scottish Open, and this year’s British Open is back at Royal Liverpool, where McIlroy won his Claret Jug nine years ago. The stars are aligning for McIlroy, and he is a deserved co-favorite.

The Open Championship Betting Preview

The other golfer at +700 is Scottie Scheffler, the world’s number-one player. In the majors this year, he has finished T10, T2, and third, and he hasn’t finished outside the top-12 in any tournament since last October. His best finish at The Open Championship was a T8 in 2021.

Jon Rahm has four wins this season, including the Masters in April. He was T3 at The Open Championship in 2021. Cameron Smith is the defending champion and is hoping to be the first repeat Open champion since 2008. Five-time major champion Brooks Koepka is hoping to build on his win at the PGA Championship and win his first Claret Jug. He has three PGA Championship wins and wins at the U.S. Open in 2017 and 2018.

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WagerHome BlogThe Open Championship Betting Preview

Scottish Open 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 11, 2023

The Scottish Open 2023 is finally here! Last week’s John Deere Classic was missing most of the stars on the PGA Tour. This week at the Barbasol Championship, there is almost no one of any note playing.

That’s because the best players in the world have already made their move over to the UK. They are either prepping for The Open Championship in around Liverpool, or they are in Scotland, acclimating to the weather and links golf by playing in the Scottish Open.

Odds to Win the Scottish Open

  • Scottie Scheffler (+650)
  • Rory McIlroy (+900)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+1400)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1800)
  • Tyrrell Hatton (+1800)
  • Tommy Fleetwood (+2000)
  • Rickie Fowler (+2000)
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (+2500)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2500)

Missing from this list of favorites is Jon Rahm, as he gets ready for The Open on his own and away from this star-studded field. He is one of two top-10 golfers in the world that isn’t playing at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick, located about 20 miles outside of Edinburgh.

Scottie Scheffler is here, and he is the favorite. He missed the cut at the Scottish Open last year, although he was terrific here in 2021. Looking ahead to next week, he is only the second betting favorite for The Open.

That’s because next week’s favorite is Rory McIlroy, the No. 2 betting favorite in Scotland. McIlroy has played here in two of the last three years, with only a 34th-place finish to show for it.

Scottish Open 2023 Betting Preview

But he’s playing with confidence, and next week he will be playing in The Open at the same place he won in 2014. Consequently, that was the last time he won one of golf’s majors.

Xander Schauffele is an obvious third betting favorite, if not deserving of even higher. He won this tournament last year by shooting the low round of the day on both Friday and Saturday. He also has top-10 finishes at the Masters and U.S. Open this year, and he’s coming off a -14 at the Travelers Championship.

Next week at The Open, he’s tied for sixth on the betting board at +2000.

Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick is also worth your time. He started off his season of majors with a T10 at the Masters and just recently had a T17 at the U.S. Open. But why you should like him is how he has done specifically in this event.

He was T6 here last year, T2 in 2021, and T14 in 2019. He knows this course, and he excels in the bad weather that usually comes with playing in this part of the world.

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WagerHome BlogScottish Open 2023 Betting Preview

U.S. Open 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 12, 2023

It is time for the U.S. Open 2023!

After the last two weeks, golf needs to catch its collective breath. We’ve had the “merger” between the PGA and LIV, although PGA commissioner Jay Monahan insists that it is not a merger. It just looks and acts like one.

Then Nick Taylor just dropped a 72-foot eagle putt in a playoff at the Canadian Open to become the first home-country hero to win that event in 69 years.

But there is no time to rest and no time to breathe, as it is U.S. Open week, with the venerable Los Angeles Country Club hosting its first professional golf tournament since the 1940 Los Angeles Open.

Favorites to Win U.S. Open

  • Scottie Scheffler (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+1000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1100)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
  • Viktor Hovland (+1600)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Jordan Spieth (+2800)
  • Max Homa (+2800)
  • Cameron Smith (+3000)

Scottie Scheffler, with 16 straight finishes of T12 or better, is the favorite. He was last year’s Masters winner and the runner-up at the U.S. Open. This year has a win at THE PLAYERS Championship and a runner-up at the PGA Championship. Scheffler also has experience at Los Angeles Country Club, helping to lead the U.S. Walker Cup team to victory in 2017.

The up-and-downness of Jon Rahm may make many bettors shy away from his small +1000 payout. He did win the Masters in April, but he finished T50 at the PGA Championship last month. However, he did win the U.S. Open two years ago, to go along with a T3 in 2019 and a T12 in 2022.

Is there a golfer who has a better month than Brooks Koepka? He won the PGA Championship, his fifth career major title, and then his move to LIV golf was justified by the PGA Tour last week. Now he can have his money, get back into the good graces of the PGA, and perhaps win his third career U.S. Open.

U.S. Open 2023 Betting Preview

Of course, Rory McIlroy is one of the favorites to win the U.S. Open. He’s one of the favorites at every major every year. But it’s worth remembering that his last actual win at a major was in 2014. At age 25, he had four major wins. Now, at age 34, he’s still at four. He’s gone 32 straight major starts without a win, although he did have three top-five finishes in 2022.

Home cooking may be a factor for both Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa. Cantlay is from Long Beach and played his college golf at UCLA, just two miles away from LACC. And Homa, while playing his college golf at Cal, shot a 61 at LACC during the 2013 Pac-12 Championship.

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WagerHome BlogU.S. Open 2023 Betting Preview

PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 16, 2023

The PGA Championship was at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, in 2013. And a number of golfers in the field this week played in that event a decade ago. But not one data point from that event, and those golfers, is valuable in 2023.

“Basically, the only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.“

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

Note his use of the word “debut” when talking about a course that has been around for more than a century and has hosted the PGA Championship three times, the U.S. Open three times, and the Ryder Cup in 1995.

This old golf course is brand new.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+750)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+750)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1300)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1700)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2100)
  • Tony Finau (+2100)
  • Dustin Johnson (+2400)
  • Justin Thomas (+2900)
  • Jason Day (+2900)

It’s not a fun or sexy pick to go with Jon Rahm, but it is probably the smartest pick. He has four wins in 12 events this year, and eight times he has finished in the top 10. He wins on tough courses like Oak Hill, and he wins in majors, as he just did at the Masters.

PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

All of the hyperbole around Rahm is true of Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 2 ranked player. He also wins on tough courses, and he wins at majors. He won the PGA Championship in 2020, The Open Championship in 2021, and both the Masters and U.S. Open in 2022. He won The Players Championship in March, and he’s a good bet to win at least one major for a fourth straight year.

Rory McIlroy was at the previous PGA Championship at Oak Hill, finishing T8 at 3-under par. He was the PGA’s defending champion in 2013, he won it again in 2014, and he also won The Open Championship that year. But that was the last time that McIlroy tasted victory at a major. He finished 2022 as the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer, but he missed the cut at Augusta in April.

Outside of the big three are a number of other solid betting choices. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at the event, staging a seven-stroke comeback to win it in 2022. But he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since then.

Brooks Koepka nearly won the Masters a month ago, he’s won two of the last five PGA Championships, and he would undoubtedly be ranked in the top five in the world if he hadn’t moved to the LIV Tour.

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

Early Look at the PGA Championship

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2023

We are just three weeks from golf’s second major of the season, the PGA Championship. It will be played this year at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, the site of this same tournament ten years ago.

The winner on the East Course in 2013 was Jason Dufner. Followed by Jim Furyk, Henrik Stenson, and Jonas Blixt. Of the golfers who finished in the top 10 at that event, only Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and Adam Scott are still in the top 100 of the World Golf Rankings 10 years later.

The biggest news since the Masters earlier this month was the surgery that Tiger Woods had on his ankle. It was to address post-traumatic arthritis that is a result of his car accident in 2021. There is no official word from Woods’ camp, but this kind of surgery typically comes with a 12-week recovery at a minimum, meaning that we have likely seen the last of Woods in 2023.

However, as you can see from the early odds board, the PGA Championship will not be lacking in star power or great golf.

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+900)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1000)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
  • Justin Thomas (+1400)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1900)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Cameron Smith (+2000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)

For the foreseeable future, the big three, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler, are going to be bunched at the top of any tournament hosting all three. Rahm is, of course, the Masters champion, McIlroy is a four-time major champion, and he has twice won the PGA, and Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year.

Early Look at the PGA Championship

There are plenty of other great golfers on the Tour and a lot of potential winners for next month at Oak Hill. But Rahm, McIlroy, and Scheffler are a cut above the rest at the PGA Championship!

If you’re looking to wager on someone outside of the big three, Justin Thomas is a good choice. He is the defending champion at this event, beating Will Zalatoris at Southern Hills in a playoff.

Of you could wager on two-time PGA champion Brooks Koepka, who also just finished T2 at the Masters. At +1900, he’s paying more than twice what you get on a bet on Rahm, making Koepka a great value play.

Another golfer with great value is Collin Morikawa at +2200. He was the PGA Champion in 2020, and he’s coming off a T10 earlier this month at the Masters.

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WagerHome BlogEarly Look at the PGA Championship

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2023

A lot of the heavy hitters on the PGA Tour took last week off because they were preparing to hit the course this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Jon Rahm is back in the field, which of course, makes him the favorite. But Rahm is just one of 44 of the OWGR Top-50 that will be playing this week, as well as all 14 winners this season.

And for the first time in 2023, weather will play an important role in Arnold Palmer. Forecasters are calling for high winds all four days, with some gusts as high as 40mph.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+600)
Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Max Homa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Rahm already has three wins this season, including the last time he played two weeks ago. His run right now is Tiger-esque, and there is no safer bet in sports than on Rahm to be in the mix for a title at Arnold Palmer. He wasn’t great on this course last year, but that doesn’t matter when looking at this year’s odds. He is the best golfer on the planet.

Scottie Scheffler has a win at the Phoenix Open and three other top-10s this year. He was also the winner at Bay Hill last year. Rory McIlroy was the winner here in 2018, and he’s been in the top-15 in seven of his eight career starts here.

After those big three, there is a bit of a drop down to the next group of contenders, led by Max Homa. He has two wins this season, including the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago. He was also the runner-up two weeks ago at Riviera. He was top-10 on this course in 2021.

Viktor Hovland was the runner-up on this course a year ago, and Will Zalatoris has a top-10 finish in two career starts at the Arnold Palmer.

Best Value Bets

With so many great golfers in the field it’s harder to find a longshot who might rise to the top of the leaderboard. But one possibility this weekend is Keith Mitchell at +4000. He has a T6 and T5 at the Arnold Palmer. He’s also coming off a fifth-place finish two weeks ago at Riviera.

Arnold Palmer

Sam Burns is also paying +4000, and this year he has a T11 at the American Express and a T6 at the Phoenix Open. He was T9 at this event a year ago in spite of shooting a 75 in the third round. Clear that up, and he could be a contender.

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WagerHome BlogArnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

Tour Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 23, 2022

This season in golf has been anything but normal. And as we close the book on the 2021-2022 season with the Tour Championship and the awarding of the FedEx Cup, change to the Tour is coming.

In response to the golfers who have defected to LIV golf and the Saudi Arabian-backed exhibition tour, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy are pushing for a series of one-day skilled events spread throughout the PGA calendar. With the golf world focused this week on East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Tour commissioner Jay Monahan is expected to announce the full details later in the week.

As for the golf that’s being played this week, the 30 golfers with a chance to win the Cup will be seeded using Starting Strokes. In this format, adopted in 2019, the field begins with a score based on where they are in the standings.

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

  • Scottie Scheffler (+250)
  • Partick Cantlay (+400)
  • Xander Schauffele (+700)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1100)
  • Will Zalatoris (+1200)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Tony Finau (+1800)
  • Sam Burns (+2200)
  • Cameron Smith (+2500)
  • Justin Thomas (+2800)
  • Sungjae Im (+2800)

As the standings leader heading into this week, Scottie Scheffler begins the Tour Championship at 10-under par. That makes him the obvious favorite to win. It should also be noted that in the three previous times this format was used, twice the winner was the golfer who began the tournament in the first place.

Last year’s winner and the defending FedEx Cup champion, Patrick Cantlay, is one of the two previous top-ranked golfers to win. He begins the Tour Championship in second place after winning the BMW last week. He is the first golfer to ever defend one of the FedEx Cup playoff tournaments, and a win this weekend would make him the first ever to defend the Cup.

Tour Championship

The one time someone other than the first-place golfer won the Tour Championship and the FedEx Cup, it was Rory McIlroy who began that tournament in fifth place. He begins this week in a tie for sixth place at -4, so he has six strokes to make up on the leader. If anyone can do it, it’s a two-time FedEx Cup champion.

The champion of The Open, Cameron Smith, sat out the BMW because of a sore hip, and that dropped him three spots in the standings. He begins the Tour Championship at -4, tied with McIlroy, and he is rested and ready to tackle East Lake.

If you’re looking for someone with success on the course at East Lake, Xander Schauffele is your guy. He won here in 2017, and he had a low aggregate score in 2020.

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WagerHome BlogTour Championship 2022 Betting Preview

The Open Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

It’s The Open Championship, being contested for the 150th time in its storied history. It’s at the Old Course at St. Andrews, the birthplace of golf. What else do you need to know to get excited for this weekend in Scotland?

How about the return of Tiger Woods? Or a field that features former great champions, like Stewart Cink, David Duval, Ernie Els, Shane Lowry, and Phil Mickelson. In fact, a total of 18 former champions under the age of 60 are in the field, 40 of the top 50 on the World Golf Rankings are playing, and seven of the top-10 finishers from last year’s Open are here.

Favorites to win The Open Championship

  • Rory McIlroy (+900)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1400)
  • Jon Rahm (+1600)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+1600)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1600)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1800)
  • Justin Thomas (+1800)
  • Shane Lowry (+2000)
  • Cameron Smith (+2200)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2500)
  • Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Rory McIlroy is the favorite as a past The Open Championship champion and someone with five top-fives in his Open career. Not only is he experienced on links golf courses, he’s coming in playing excellent golf, finishing in the top-10 in five of his last seven starts.

Xander Schauffele is the newest winner of the Scottish Open, following up his win at the Travelers. A third-straight win would be legendary, and especially with it coming at the Old Course in the Open Championship. His best finish in this event was T2 in 2018.

There is also Scottie Scheffler, the reigning Masters champion who finished T2 in the U.S. Open. Matthew Fitzpatrick is the U.S. Open champion, and he just finished T6 at the Scottish Open. Jordan Spieth won this event in 2017, was the runner-up last year, and he just finished T10 at the Scottish Open.

And let’s not overlook the defending champion at The Open Championship, Collin Morikawa, who finished fifth at the Masters this year.

The Open Championship

Tiger Woods at St. Andrews

There is a very realistic chance that this will be the final time a competitive Tiger Woods tees it up at St. Andrews. He’s paying +6500, so just how competitive he’ll be remains to be seen. But he withdrew from the U.S. Open to protect his health for this tournament and this course. He won here in 2000 and 2005.

In the words of Woods, “I want to be able to give it at least one more run at a high level.”

He played at St. Andrews twice this weekend while other golfers played the Scottish Open, and twice he walked all 18 holes. His playing partner on Sunday, Justin Thomas, observed, “[Woods’] swing still looks as good as ever.”

The only real question about Woods at The Open Championship: will his leg hold up?

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogThe Open Championship 2022 Betting Preview