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Tour Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 22, 2023

It is time for the Tour Championship 2023! There is still a pretty big golf event coming up in just over a month. The Ryder Cup will be played from September 29 to October 1 in Rome, Italy, pitting the best golfers in America vs. the best golfers in Europe.

This weekend we will crown the best individual golfer in the world for the 2022-2023 PGA Tour season at the Tour Championship. It is the final of three weekends of FedEx Cup Playoffs, with 30 golfers left in the running to win the season title.

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

Scottie Scheffler (+130)
Rory McIlroy (+330)
Viktor Hovland (+500)
Jon Rahm (+800)
Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+2800)
Max Homa (+2800)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)
Lucas Glover (+4000)
Wyndham Clark (+5000)
Brian Harman (+5000)

If it looks like there is a big drop after the top four golfers, it’s because there is. And it’s because the scores on Thursday begin with an advantage for the golfers who are leading the FedEx Cup standings. Here is the field of 30 and their corresponding starting score.

10 Under: Scottie Scheffler
Eight Under: Viktor Hovland
Seven Under: Rory McIlroy
Six Under: Jon Rahm
Five Under: Lucas Glover
Four Under: Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Brian Harman, Wyndham Clark, Matt Fitzpatrick
Three Under: Tommy Fleetwood, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele
Two Under: Tom Kim, Sungjae Im, Tony Finau, Corey Conners, Si Woo Kim
One Under: Taylor Moore, Nick Taylor, Adam Schenk, Collin Morikawa, Jason Day
Even Par: Sam Burns, Emiliano Grillo, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth, Sepp Straka

The Redemption of Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler is the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world, he leads the FedEx Cup standings, and he will tee off on Thursday at the Tour Championship with a two-stroke lead on Viktor Hovland and a six-stroke lead on 24 of the 29 other golfers in the field.

Without question, Scheffler is in the spot that everyone wishes for themselves.

But we should remember what happened at the Tour Championship last year. Scheffler went into the first round with a two-shot lead, and he was up by six strokes after Saturday. But in one of the most historic collapses in golf history, Scheffler shot a final round three-over 73 and lost the FedEx Cup to Rory McIlroy.

In disbelief after the loss, Scheffler said;

“For whatever reason, my swing wasn’t where it had been the first few days this week.”

He found his swing again, and he is the favorite to win his second straight PGA Tour Player of the Year. But what he really wants is the FedEx Cup that he allowed to slip away 12 months ago.

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The Open Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 18, 2023

There are 156 of the best golfers in the world competing this weekend at the 151st edition of The Open Championship. It is the oldest tournament in golf by at least 25 years, first played in 1860 as a three-round tournament on a 12-hole links course with eight competing players.

It is still open to all who can qualify, which started in 1861, and it is still links golf, which brings an extra challenge for golfers that they don’t find on courses in the United States.

It also now has a much bigger field, and instead of the original red leather belt with a silver buckle worth £25, the winner gets the Claret Jug (introduced in 1872) and $3 million, a $500,000 increase from last year.

Favorites to Win The Open Championship

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Scottie Scheffler (+700)
Jon Rahm (+1300)
Cameron Smith (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)
Rickie Fowler (+2500)

It’s been a minute since Rory McIlroy came into a major championship with the expectations he has this week. In 2014 he won The Open Championship, then followed that up with a win in the PGA Championship. But since then, it’s been a string of majors (and major) disappointment.

This year in the majors, he has a runner-up and a T7, he has six straight top-10 finishes, he just won the links golf tuneup at the Scottish Open, and this year’s British Open is back at Royal Liverpool, where McIlroy won his Claret Jug nine years ago. The stars are aligning for McIlroy, and he is a deserved co-favorite.

The other golfer at +700 is Scottie Scheffler, the world’s number-one player. In the majors this year, he has finished T10, T2, and third, and he hasn’t finished outside the top-12 in any tournament since last October. His best finish at The Open Championship was a T8 in 2021.

Jon Rahm has four wins this season, including the Masters in April. He was T3 at The Open Championship in 2021. Cameron Smith is the defending champion and is hoping to be the first repeat Open champion since 2008. Five-time major champion Brooks Koepka is hoping to build on his win at the PGA Championship and win his first Claret Jug. He has three PGA Championship wins and wins at the U.S. Open in 2017 and 2018.

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U.S. Open 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 12, 2023

It is time for the U.S. Open 2023!

After the last two weeks, golf needs to catch its collective breath. We’ve had the “merger” between the PGA and LIV, although PGA commissioner Jay Monahan insists that it is not a merger. It just looks and acts like one.

Then Nick Taylor just dropped a 72-foot eagle putt in a playoff at the Canadian Open to become the first home-country hero to win that event in 69 years.

But there is no time to rest and no time to breathe, as it is U.S. Open week, with the venerable Los Angeles Country Club hosting its first professional golf tournament since the 1940 Los Angeles Open.

Favorites to Win U.S. Open

Scottie Scheffler (+700)
Jon Rahm (+1000)
Brooks Koepka (+1100)
Rory McIlroy (+1200)
Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Jordan Spieth (+2800)
Max Homa (+2800)
Cameron Smith (+3000)

Scottie Scheffler, with 16 straight finishes of T12 or better, is the favorite. He was last year’s Masters winner and the runner-up at the U.S. Open. This year has a win at THE PLAYERS Championship and a runner-up at the PGA Championship. Scheffler also has experience at Los Angeles Country Club, helping to lead the U.S. Walker Cup team to victory in 2017.

The up-and-downness of Jon Rahm may make many bettors shy away from his small +1000 payout. He did win the Masters in April, but he finished T50 at the PGA Championship last month. However, he did win the U.S. Open two years ago, to go along with a T3 in 2019 and a T12 in 2022.

Is there a golfer who has a better month than Brooks Koepka? He won the PGA Championship, his fifth career major title, and then his move to LIV golf was justified by the PGA Tour last week. Now he can have his money, get back into the good graces of the PGA, and perhaps win his third career U.S. Open.

Of course, Rory McIlroy is one of the favorites to win the U.S. Open. He’s one of the favorites at every major every year. But it’s worth remembering that his last actual win at a major was in 2014. At age 25, he had four major wins. Now, at age 34, he’s still at four. He’s gone 32 straight major starts without a win, although he did have three top-five finishes in 2022.

Home cooking may be a factor for both Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa. Cantlay is from Long Beach and played his college golf at UCLA, just two miles away from LACC. And Homa, while playing his college golf at Cal, shot a 61 at LACC during the 2013 Pac-12 Championship.

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PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 16, 2023

The PGA Championship was at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, in 2013. And a number of golfers in the field this week played in that event a decade ago. But not one data point from that event, and those golfers, is valuable in 2023.

“Basically, the only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.“

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

Note his use of the word “debut” when talking about a course that has been around for more than a century and has hosted the PGA Championship three times, the U.S. Open three times, and the Ryder Cup in 1995.

This old golf course is brand new.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+750)
Scottie Scheffler (+750)
Rory McIlroy (+1300)
Xander Schauffele (+1700)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Brooks Koepka (+2100)
Tony Finau (+2100)
Dustin Johnson (+2400)
Justin Thomas (+2900)
Jason Day (+2900)

It’s not a fun or sexy pick to go with Jon Rahm, but it is probably the smartest pick. He has four wins in 12 events this year, and eight times he has finished in the top 10. He wins on tough courses like Oak Hill, and he wins in majors, as he just did at the Masters.

All of the hyperbole around Rahm is true of Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 2 ranked player. He also wins on tough courses, and he wins at majors. He won the PGA Championship in 2020, The Open Championship in 2021, and both the Masters and U.S. Open in 2022. He won The Players Championship in March, and he’s a good bet to win at least one major for a fourth straight year.

Rory McIlroy was at the previous PGA Championship at Oak Hill, finishing T8 at 3-under par. He was the PGA’s defending champion in 2013, he won it again in 2014, and he also won The Open Championship that year. But that was the last time that McIlroy tasted victory at a major. He finished 2022 as the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer, but he missed the cut at Augusta in April.

Outside of the big three are a number of other solid betting choices. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at the event, staging a seven-stroke comeback to win it in 2022. But he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since then.

Brooks Koepka nearly won the Masters a month ago, he’s won two of the last five PGA Championships, and he would undoubtedly be ranked in the top five in the world if he hadn’t moved to the LIV Tour.

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Early Look at the PGA Championship

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2023

We are just three weeks from golf’s second major of the season, the PGA Championship. It will be played this year at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, the site of this same tournament ten years ago.

The winner on the East Course in 2013 was Jason Dufner. Followed by Jim Furyk, Henrik Stenson, and Jonas Blixt. Of the golfers who finished in the top 10 at that event, only Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and Adam Scott are still in the top 100 of the World Golf Rankings 10 years later.

The biggest news since the Masters earlier this month was the surgery that Tiger Woods had on his ankle. It was to address post-traumatic arthritis that is a result of his car accident in 2021. There is no official word from Woods’ camp, but this kind of surgery typically comes with a 12-week recovery at a minimum, meaning that we have likely seen the last of Woods in 2023.

However, as you can see from the early odds board, the PGA Championship will not be lacking in star power or great golf.

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+900)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1900)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Cameron Smith (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)

For the foreseeable future, the big three, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler, are going to be bunched at the top of any tournament hosting all three. Rahm is, of course, the Masters champion, McIlroy is a four-time major champion, and he has twice won the PGA, and Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year.

There are plenty of other great golfers on the Tour and a lot of potential winners for next month at Oak Hill. But Rahm, McIlroy, and Scheffler are a cut above the rest at the PGA Championship!

If you’re looking to wager on someone outside of the big three, Justin Thomas is a good choice. He is the defending champion at this event, beating Will Zalatoris at Southern Hills in a playoff.

Of you could wager on two-time PGA champion Brooks Koepka, who also just finished T2 at the Masters. At +1900, he’s paying more than twice what you get on a bet on Rahm, making Koepka a great value play.

Another golfer with great value is Collin Morikawa at +2200. He was the PGA Champion in 2020, and he’s coming off a T10 earlier this month at the Masters.

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THE PLAYERS Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 6, 2023

Often called the fifth major on the PGA Tour, THE PLAYERS Championship is indeed a special event. Not only is it the only event on Tour that gets to be written in all-caps, it is the strongest field of the year. Teeing it up at Ponte Vedra Beach this weekend are 49 of the 50 players currently in the FedExCup Playoffs.

Ben Taylor is the lone missing player from the top-50, and he has a pretty good excuse. Instead of playing golf at TPC Sawgrass this weekend, he’s getting married. At the time he and his bride-to-be chose their wedding date, Taylor says he never dreamed he would qualify.

Favorites to Win THE PLAYERS Championship

Jon Rahm (+800)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Patrick Cantlay (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Max Homa (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)

Jon Rahm is coming off a pedestrian T39 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, but with three wins in his last six starts, he is obvious and deserved favorite. In 2021 he finished ninth at this event, but was only 55th last season.

Rory McIlroy won this event in 2019 and was T2 last week at the Arnold Palmer. On the season he has four starts, one win, and two top-10 finishes. He is currently ranked third in the World Golf Rankings.

Just above McIlroy is second-ranked Scottie Scheffler. He was T4 last week at the Arnold Palmer, following up a T12 at The Genesis and a victory at the Phoenix Open. He tied with Rahm last year for 55th place at this event.

Rounding out the top-four on the odds board in Justin Thomas, a winner here in 2021. He also finished third on this course back in 2016. With over $3.6 million in winnings at TPC Sawgrass, it’s safe to say that Thomas likes this tournament.

Value Bets to Consider

Si Woo Kim at +6600 isn’t an obvious pick after finishing just T39 last week at Bay Hill. However, he finished strong over his final 30 holes, and by the end of the weekend he was playing his best golf since he won the Sony Open in January. He won THE PLAYERS back in 2017 and was top-10 two years ago.

Webb Simpson is another past champion – he won in 2018 – and he is on the board at +15000. He’s had a rough season, but he did just finish the Arnold Palmer with a final round 66 to get a T24. Also, his -18 at THE PLAYERS in 2018 was the lowest score here since 1996.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 1, 2023

A lot of the heavy hitters on the PGA Tour took last week off because they were preparing to hit the course this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Jon Rahm is back in the field, which of course, makes him the favorite. But Rahm is just one of 44 of the OWGR Top-50 that will be playing this week, as well as all 14 winners this season.

And for the first time in 2023, weather will play an important role in Arnold Palmer. Forecasters are calling for high winds all four days, with some gusts as high as 40mph.

Favorites to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational

Jon Rahm (+600)
Scottie Scheffler (+850)
Rory McIlroy (+900)
Max Homa (+1600)
Viktor Hovland (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+1800)
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)

Rahm already has three wins this season, including the last time he played two weeks ago. His run right now is Tiger-esque, and there is no safer bet in sports than on Rahm to be in the mix for a title at Arnold Palmer. He wasn’t great on this course last year, but that doesn’t matter when looking at this year’s odds. He is the best golfer on the planet.

Scottie Scheffler has a win at the Phoenix Open and three other top-10s this year. He was also the winner at Bay Hill last year. Rory McIlroy was the winner here in 2018, and he’s been in the top-15 in seven of his eight career starts here.

After those big three, there is a bit of a drop down to the next group of contenders, led by Max Homa. He has two wins this season, including the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago. He was also the runner-up two weeks ago at Riviera. He was top-10 on this course in 2021.

Viktor Hovland was the runner-up on this course a year ago, and Will Zalatoris has a top-10 finish in two career starts at the Arnold Palmer.

Best Value Bets

With so many great golfers in the field it’s harder to find a longshot who might rise to the top of the leaderboard. But one possibility this weekend is Keith Mitchell at +4000. He has a T6 and T5 at the Arnold Palmer. He’s also coming off a fifth-place finish two weeks ago at Riviera.

Sam Burns is also paying +4000, and this year he has a T11 at the American Express and a T6 at the Phoenix Open. He was T9 at this event a year ago in spite of shooting a 75 in the third round. Clear that up, and he could be a contender.

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The Open Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

It’s The Open Championship, being contested for the 150th time in its storied history. It’s at the Old Course at St. Andrews, the birthplace of golf. What else do you need to know to get excited for this weekend in Scotland?

How about the return of Tiger Woods? Or a field that features former great champions, like Stewart Cink, David Duval, Ernie Els, Shane Lowry, and Phil Mickelson. In fact, a total of 18 former champions under the age of 60 are in the field, 40 of the top 50 on the World Golf Rankings are playing, and seven of the top-10 finishers from last year’s Open are here.

Favorites to win The Open Championship

Rory McIlroy (+900)
Xander Schauffele (+1400)
Jon Rahm (+1600)
Scottie Scheffler (+1600)
Jordan Spieth (+1600)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1800)
Justin Thomas (+1800)
Shane Lowry (+2000)
Cameron Smith (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Rory McIlroy is the favorite as a past The Open Championship champion and someone with five top-fives in his Open career. Not only is he experienced on links golf courses, he’s coming in playing excellent golf, finishing in the top-10 in five of his last seven starts.

Xander Schauffele is the newest winner of the Scottish Open, following up his win at the Travelers. A third-straight win would be legendary, and especially with it coming at the Old Course in the Open Championship. His best finish in this event was T2 in 2018.

There is also Scottie Scheffler, the reigning Masters champion who finished T2 in the U.S. Open. Matthew Fitzpatrick is the U.S. Open champion, and he just finished T6 at the Scottish Open. Jordan Spieth won this event in 2017, was the runner-up last year, and he just finished T10 at the Scottish Open.

And let’s not overlook the defending champion at The Open Championship, Collin Morikawa, who finished fifth at the Masters this year.

Tiger Woods at St. Andrews

There is a very realistic chance that this will be the final time a competitive Tiger Woods tees it up at St. Andrews. He’s paying +6500, so just how competitive he’ll be remains to be seen. But he withdrew from the U.S. Open to protect his health for this tournament and this course. He won here in 2000 and 2005.

In the words of Woods, “I want to be able to give it at least one more run at a high level.”

He played at St. Andrews twice this weekend while other golfers played the Scottish Open, and twice he walked all 18 holes. His playing partner on Sunday, Justin Thomas, observed, “[Woods’] swing still looks as good as ever.”

The only real question about Woods at The Open Championship: will his leg hold up?

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Scottish Open 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 5, 2022

The golfing world is in Scotland for the Scottish Open 2022, before the eyes of the sports world turn to St. Andrews and the 150th edition of The Open Championship.

But before golf plays its final major of the season, the Renaissance Club hosts the Scottish Open for the fourth time in the tournament’s existence. And in the previous three outings, we have seen some very good scores come from the leaderboard, including a 22-under par from Bernd Wiesberger in 2019.

Favorites to Win the Scottish Open

Jon Rahm (+1200)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
Cameron Smith (+2800)
Sam Burns (+2800)
Will Zalatoris (+2800)

This weekend’s tournament features 14 of the top 15 players in the world, and it’s one of the few co-sanctioned events between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, which contributes to being such a strong field just one week before The Open Championship.

As with most links courses in Scotland, the fairways are nice and wide, meaning that distance off the tee is more important than accuracy off the tee. The number one player in the world over his last 12 rounds in driving distance is Jon Rahm, who, not surprisingly, is the betting favorite here.

Getting close to the pins on approach, however, will prove to be difficult. Bunkers will be a factor, as will greens that feature a number of hills. And when it comes to strokes gained on approach, three of the top five golfers in the world over the last 12 rounds are on this Scottish Open favorites board.

Xander Schauffele is second in the world, Cameron Smith is third, and Sam Burns is fifth.

Recent U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick is also in the mix, and even though his best-ever Open finish was a T20 in 2019, the Englishman is back on his home island, and he has to be considered a top favorite.

Best Value Plays

A couple of DP World Tour players who you may not be familiar with highlight our best value plays of the weekend.

First is Ryan Fox, paying +4000. The New Zealander currently ranks fourth in the European Tour, and he was just the runner-up last week at the Irish Open, shooting a 64 on Sunday to take home the title.

Aaron Rai at +6600 is also someone worth a closer look. He was the winner at Scottish Open in 2020 on this course, and that was when the weather conditions were less than ideal. And when it comes to strokes gained on par 4’s between 450 and 500 yards – of which there are five on this course – Rai has been the best in the world over his last 12 rounds.

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US Open 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 14, 2022

When watching Phil Mickelson speak to the press on Monday, in the run up to the US Open 2022, last week’s words from Rory McIlroy were echoing through the room.

“Any decision that you make in your life that’s purely for money usually doesn’t end up going the right way. Money is a deciding factor in a lot of things in this world, but if it’s purely for money, it never seems to go the way you want it.”

Instead of answering questions about his quest to win the one major that has eluded him, Mickelson is answering questions about joining the Saudi Arabian-financed LIV.

And that will be the case for the dozen players who are at US Open 2022 this week, trying to win the top prize of the USGA, after spurning the PGA Tour for the lesser events of the LIV, but with bigger paydays.

Favorites to Win US Open 2022

Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1100)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Jon Rahm (+1400)
Cameron Smith (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2200)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Will Zalatoris (+2500)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Shane Lowry (+2500)
Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
Sam Burns (+2500)

Last year Jon Rahm was the favorite to win the US Open, and he did. So don’t shy away from Rory McIlroy because he’s the US Open 2022 favorite. He has the shortest odds, but if he wins, he wins.

And when he gets hot, he often stays hot. He was second at the Masters, eighth at the PGA, and he just won the Canadian Open.

Speaking of guys playing pretty good golf, how about Justin Thomas, the winner of the PGA Championship four weeks ago. He was also T8 at the Masters and third at last week’s Canadian Open.

Speaking of more guys playing pretty good golf, how about Scottie Scheffler, who has a commanding lead in the FedExCup Standings. The Masters champion has four wins this season, plus a second-place finish three weeks ago at the Charles Schwab, and he was T7 at last year’s US Open.

Best Value Bets

Billy Horschel is paying +4500 even though he just won the Memorial two weeks ago.

He was also a second-place finisher at the Zurich Classic in April. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March, he finished T2. His best effort in the US Open was a T4 in 2013.

Justin Rose at +5000 at the US Open 2022 and is also worth a look. He finished the Canadian Open with a final round 60, and that included three bogeys.

Imagine what could have been. Not only is coming off a near historic round, he is a past US Open winner.

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Tour Championship 2023 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Tour Championship

The Redemption of Scottie Scheffler

Pay Per Head Software

The Open Championship Betting Preview

Favorites to Win The Open Championship

Pay Per Head Software

U.S. Open 2023 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win U.S. Open

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