NFL Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 25, 2023

The biggest sporting event of the week is Thursday’s NFL Draft, which is expected to have more than 300,000 fans in attendance at Kansas City’s Union Station, and another 10-plus million people watching on television.

The Aaron Rodgers trade has been completed, and it will change things for Thursday and Friday. The two teams swap first round picks, giving Green Bay the No. 13 pick and the Jets the No. 15 pick.

The Packers also get a second round pick (No. 42), a sixth round pick (No. 207), and a second round pick in 2024 that will move to a first round pick if Rodgers plays 65% of the snaps.

Along with the QB in question, the Jets get Green Bay’s fifth round pick this year (No. 170).

With at least one big draft day trade off the table, the betting markets are heating up.

NFL Draft – First Overall Pick

  • Bryce Young (-2000)
  • C.J. Stroud (+900)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1500)

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young is now the heavy favorite to go No. 1 overall to Carolina. Just a couple of weeks ago, this was supposed to be a close race.

Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is now playing +900, and Florida QB Anthony Richardson is third at +1500. No one else is a real possibility.

NFL Draft Betting Preview

NFL Draft – Second Overall Pick

  • Will Levis (-130)
  • Tyree Wilson (+240)
  • C.J. Stroud (+275)
  • Will Anderson (+285)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1800)

What is happening at No. 2, the pick currently owned by the Texans? There was talk that Houston would skip on a quarterback and take the best defensive player available, which was going to be Will Anderson from Alabama. But now Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson is above him, and Kentucky quarterback Will Levis has somehow risen to the top.

NFL Draft – Third Overall Pick

  • C.J. Stroud (+230)
  • Tyree Wilson (+250)
  • Will Anderson (+250)
  • Paris Johnson Jr. (+350)
  • Anthony Richardson (+500)
  • Will Levis (+900)

The Arizona Cardinals currently own the No. 3 overall pick, so if Stroud really does go here, it is likely to be after a trade. But Arizona has a lot of needs, so Wilson, Anderson, or offensive tackle Paris Johnson Jr. would all make sense.

NFL Draft – Quarterbacks Taken in First Round

  • Over 4.5 (-200)
  • Under 4.5 (+250)

We can get to four first round quarterbacks quite easily, with Young, Stroud, Richardson, and Levis. If there is going to be a fifth quarterback taken, it would likely be Hendon Hooker from Tennessee or Tanner McKee from Stanford.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Draft Betting Preview

NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 25, 2022

As we move toward the final Saturday of October, we get into rivalry season, with two big rivalries headlining the NCAA football schedule this week.

Georgia goes to Jacksonville to take on the Florida Gators, which is preceded by the so-called “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.”

Michigan hosts Michigan State as it tries to win back the Paul Bunyan Trophy, not to be confused with the Paul Bunyan Axe, which is given to the winner of Minnesota vs. Wisconsin. We’re still a month away from that game.

For the best betting on NCAA football Week 9, here are our choices.

No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (-22.5) vs. Florida Gators

Georgia is the class of the country and the No. 1 NCAA football team in the nation, and they very much enjoy beating Florida, which they should do with ease on Saturday. Florida has a great offensive line, and quarterback Anthony Richardson will continue to look good, but the Florida defense will get abused all day.

Georgia wins this game 41-17 and covers the spread.

No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-15.5) at No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions

Much like with their NCAA football game with Michigan, Penn State should be able to keep things close early. The energy of the home crowd should help them do that. But also, like with their game against Michigan, the Nittany Lions won’t be able to sustain it.

Ohio State will roll in the second half of this game as their superior talent overwhelms Penn State, and they will end up winning by three touchdowns, covering the NCAA football spread.

NCAA Football

No. 19 Kentucky (+12.5) at No. 3 Tennessee

Tennessee is great everywhere, but their secondary, and that should mean a big day for Kentucky quarterback Will Levis. We’ve also seen the Kentucky defense put in several big performances, holding Mississippi State to less than 200 yards passing and just 17 points.

The Wildcats will move the ball and slow the Vols enough to keep this NCAA football game close. Tennessee wins in the end, but they fail to cover.

Michigan State at No. 4 Michigan (-21.5)

Last season the Michigan State Spartans overcame a 16-point deficit to upset their rivals from Ann Arbor in a season that ultimately saw the Wolverines play in the National Semifinals against Georgia. This Michigan team may be as good as that one, and Michigan State isn’t as good as they were in 2021.

Plus, the Wolverines want their revenge. Until losing to Georgia, the loss to State was their only blemish. Look for Michigan to put it on the Spartans in a revenge game, winning this one by four touchdowns.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 9 Betting Picks