Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2023

It’s Mother’s Day at Darlington, as the Cup Series makes its annual regular season trip to the South Carolina raceway for the Goodyear 400. The Cup Series will return to this track in September when the playoffs begin.

Last week we were in Kansas, where Denny Hamlin was the big winner. And now he goes for back-to-back wins at a track that he has dominated in recent years. He won here in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and last year he was the runner-up.

Red-hot from last week and now racing at a place where he has been at his best has Hamlin as a co-favorite heading into the weekend.

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

  • Denny Hamlin (+550)
  • Kyle Larson (+550)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
  • Tyler Reddick (+850)
  • William Byron (+900)
  • Kyle Busch (+900)
  • Christopher Bell (+1000)
  • Ross Chastain (+1100)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1200)
  • Chase Elliott (+1200)

Kyle Larson was the runner-up to Hamlin last week, rebounding from back-to-back disappointments at Talladega and Dover. Larson now has five top-five finishes this season. Larson has never won at Darlington, and last year in this race, he finished 36th.

Martin Truex won the Goodyear 400 in 2021, and last year he led for 48 laps before a faulty water pump took him out of the race. He has led at least one lap in his last six races at Darlington. This season he has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races.

Tyler Reddick has never won here, but in the two races at Darlington in 2022, he finished second and third. And right behind him on the odds board is one the hottest drivers in the Cup Series, William Byron. He was third last week in Kansas, fourth in Dover, and seventh at Talladega.

Also, keep your eye on the trio of drivers paying +1200, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott.

Harvick had a mechanical issue last year that kept him from finishing. But in the 13 races at Darlington before that, he didn’t finish worse than ninth, and 11 times he was in the top five.

Logano won here last May, finished fourth in the playoff race in September, and has four other top-five finishes at Darlington since 2015. Elliott doesn’t have any wins at Darlington, but last May, he finished fifth, and in 2021 he was seventh.

Well, down the Goodyear 400 odds board is Erik Jones, paying +6500. He’s only finished in the top 10 in two of 12 races this season, but Darlington is his bread and butter. It’s the only track where he has won multiple times, which includes last September’s win over the playoff field.

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WagerHome BlogGoodyear 400 Betting Preview

Kwik Trip 250 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 29, 2022

Another week of racing, and another week of racing on a road course for the drivers of NASCAR. And another week of potential surprises at the Kwik Trip 250! The usual road course suspects, like Ryan Blainey and Martin Truex Jr, have not won on a road course this year, while Christopher Bell and Daniel Suarez have.

That’s not to say that there isn’t some predictability when it comes to road course racing anymore. The king of the road, Chase Elliott, is still the man to beat this weekend at the Kwik Trip 250.

Favorites to Win Kwik Trip 250

  • Chase Elliott (+500)
  • Kyle Larson (+600)
  • Ross Chastain (+800)
  • Kyle Busch (+900)
  • Ryan Blainey (+1200)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1200)
  • Christopher Bell (+1500)
  • Austin Cindric (+1500)
  • Joey Logano (+1500)

Elliott hasn’t won a road course race this season, finishing fourth at COTA in March and eighth at Sonoma three weeks ago. But he does have past wins at Circuit of the Americas, he has two wins this season, and he is the current Cup Series leader with a 30-point lead over Ross Chastain.

Kyle Larson hasn’t had the repeat of his dominant 2021, and he hasn’t been good on road courses in 2022. He finished 15th at Sonoma after starting the race in the first position.

He was 29th at COTA back in March. But Larson is a champion coming off a fourth-place finish in Nashville, and he is still a worthy Kwik Trip 250 second pick.

Ross Chastain already has a win at COTA this season, giving him a leg up this weekend in at least course confidence. But he also won at Talladega, and in three races in June, he has finishes of eighth, seventh, and fifth last week. Chastain has the third shortest odds this week, and an argument can be made that he should be the favorite.

Kwik Trip 250

Longer Shots to Consider at Kwik Trip 250

Tyler Reddick (+2500) was a washout at Sonoma three weeks ago, but he finished top-five at COTA in March, which was his fifth top-five finish in his previous ten road course starts. A year ago at COTA, he also finished ninth.

Kurt Busch (+3100) would like to forget the two races this season on road courses. He finished 32nd in COTA in March and 18th at Sonoma in June. But last year at Sonoma, he finished sixth, one of four top-10 finishes on road courses last season.

Chris Buescher (+3500) is only 22nd in the standings, he has just two top-five finishes this season, and he hasn’t won a race since 2016. But, and this is a big but, he nearly won at Sonoma three weeks ago, losing by less than four seconds, and coming after, he missed a week with COVID.

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WagerHome BlogKwik Trip 250 2022 Betting Preview