Consider Wagering These Five Super Bowl Prop Bets

by WagerHome Blog on February 2, 2021

One of the great things about Super Bowl prop bets is that they are a fun way to watch the game without taking the game too seriously. The opening coin toss, the length of the National Anthem, and the color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning coach’s head are all somewhat lighthearted, playful prop bets.

But that isn’t true of all proposition bets. Some of them can become valuable money-making plays when you dig into the numbers just a little bit.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Total Number of Sacks Over/Under – 3.5

This feels like an obvious bet on the over. All you need is four sacks to hit, and the Buccaneers just recorded five sacks against a superior Packers offensive line. The Chiefs, for their part, just got to a much more mobile Josh Allen four times. That’s nine sacks between these two teams in the Championship Games.

The teams only combined for three sacks when they met in November, but the Chiefs offensive line was healthier then, and the Buccaneers defense was more banged up. The over on 3.5 total sacks is a solid play.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Combined Rushing Attempts Over/Under – 50.5

Even with a big lead in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs only ran the ball 25 times. The Bucs were running the clock late in the game against Green Bay and only made it to 24 rushes. When the teams met in November, the Chiefs got out to a big lead but still only rushed 13 times. The combined rushing attempts total in that game was just 33.

It’s hard to picture a scenario where both teams become rush heavy enough to hit the over. Go under 50.5 total rushes.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Combined Passing Attempts Over/Under – 80.5

Working off the under for rushing attempts, bet the over on passing attempts. In the November game, Tampa Bay and Kansas City threw the ball 91 times. It just makes sense to take the over here.

Super Bowl Prop Bets: Patrick Mahomes Props

There are many good prop bets surrounding Patrick Mahomes, but one that is highly recommended is: Mahomes over 400 yards and Chiefs win.

It pays +270, which sets up a nice payday for the exact scenario that played the last time these teams played. In that Chiefs win, Mahomes threw for 462 yards.


Super Bowl Prop Bets: Rob Gronkowski Prop Bets

The future Hall of Fame tight end hasn’t been a huge part of the Buccaneers offense this season, but he has been a Kansas City killer in the past. In the AFC Championship two years ago, he caught six passes for 79 yards against the Chiefs.

The prop: Rob Gronkowski over 80 yards paired with a Buccaneers win pays +900. Kansas City has the corners to cover the Tampa Bay wide receivers. They don’t have much in the way of coverage linebackers, and Gronk could feast. At +900, it’s definitely worth a play.

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WagerHome BlogConsider Wagering These Five Super Bowl Prop Bets

Super Bowl LV Opening Lines

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2021

Oddsmakers know what they’re doing. When the 2020 NFL season began the first week of September, the Kansas City Chiefs were the Super Bowl LV favorites at +450. And the most likely Super Bowl champion from the NFC was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +1000.

And now, here we are five months later, with the Chiefs vs. the Buccaneers set to play in Super Bowl LV.

The oddsmakers have also set the early lines for betting on Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl LV Point Spread: Chiefs (-3)

The Chiefs have opened as three-point favorites, which just happens to be the same margin of victory for Kansas City when it played Tampa Bay in November.

The halftime line for the game is Kansas City -2.5.

In the first meeting between these two teams, the Chiefs were up 20-7 at halftime after torching the Buccaneers for 17 first-quarter points. Tyreek Hill finished the first quarter with 203 receiving yards and two touchdowns by himself.

The Buccaneers covered the spread in each of their last two playoff games. The Chiefs covered the spread vs. Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game but failed to cover in each of their previous three games.

Super Bowl LV Over/Under: 56.5

If you are looking to place a totals wager on the Super Bowl, the opening line is 56.5. The over/under line when the teams played in November was 56, with the 27-24 final score staying under by five points.

Tampa Bay hit the over against the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, under against the Saints in the divisional round, and over vs. Washington in the Wild Card round.

The Chiefs went over against Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game and under in the divisional round against the Browns by 15.5 points, but they did play most of the second half against Cleveland without Patrick Mahomes.

Super Bowl MVP

Odds have also been set for a number of popular proposition wagers, including which player will win the MVP award after the game.

  • Patrick Mahomes (+120)
  • Tom Brady (+250)
  • Tyreek Hill (+900)
  • Travis Kelce (+1000)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+1400)
  • Mike Evans (+2000)
  • Leonard Fournette (+2000)
  • Tyrann Mathieu (+3300)

super bowl lv

What we can take from the large number of Chiefs at the top of this list and Tom Brady being the lone Buccaneers player in the top five is that if Tampa Bay does win the Super Bowl, Brady is the overwhelming favorite to win the MVP award.

Twice in Patriots Super Bowl victories with Brady as the quarterback, the award went to one of Brady’s wide receivers – Deion Branch at Super Bowl XXXIX and Julian Edelman two years ago at Super Bowl LIII.

Mahomes was the pregame favorite last year before winning the award at the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV.

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WagerHome BlogSuper Bowl LV Opening Lines

Updated Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

by WagerHome Blog on January 12, 2021

The NFL’s first-ever Super Wild Card weekend was a raging success as the playoffs make their way to Super Bowl LV. Four of the six lower seeds won on the road, showing once again that with smaller crowds comes a reduced home-field advantage.

We also saw two teams get their first playoff wins since Bill Clinton was in his first term as president.

Welcome back to the division round, Buffalo and Cleveland. And welcome to those two plucky young kids, Tom Brady and Drew Brees, who have now combined to play in 59 playoff games (42 of those by Brady).

So, now that we are down to the final eight teams remaining, where do we stand on betting on the Super Bowl LV champion?

Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+220)
  • Green Bay Packers (+400)
  • New Orleans Saints (+550)
  • Buffalo Bills (+600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+800)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+900)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+2200)
  • Cleveland Browns (+2500)

There were no major upsets on Wild Card weekend. The Steelers and Seahawks lost after they were two of the favorites to make it to Super Bowl LV in February just a couple of months ago.

But much of that shine was gone by the time the playoffs began, and their absence only shifts things slightly.

The Chiefs remain the firm favorites to repeat. The Packers are next in line, trying to get Aaron Rodgers his second Super Bowl ring.

Drew Brees is also looking for a second ring, and a bet on the Saints is paying +550.

If you’re looking for value, a bet on the Browns has it. They won 11 games in the regular season, just beat their nemesis, the Steelers, and have a great running game.

Odds to Win AFC

  • Kansas City Chiefs (-125)
  • Buffalo Bills (+290)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+400)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1200)

It’s unusual to see a team paying negative numbers with still four playoff teams remaining, but that’s where things stand with the Chiefs. One of the reasons for that is Patrick Mahomes and his 4-1 postseason record.

When it comes to the matchup between Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, bookmakers think Allen has the better chance of making it to February.

Odds to Win NFC

super bowl lv

  • Green Bay Packers (+130)
  • New Orleans Saints (+200)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+900)

Brees and Brady meet this week in New Orleans, and odds say that the Saints will beat the Bucs for a third time this season. But when going to play the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, the outdoors is predicted to be unkind to Brees.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

NFL Draft Results Push Oddsmakers to Update Betting Odds To Win Super Bowl LV

by WagerHome Blog on April 28, 2020

No one can really say what teams came out of the 2020 NFL Draft having had a great draft or having had a bad draft for at least a couple of years. Some picks will be busts, and others will be steals. But until they play a down of real NFL football, it’s too soon to give the definitive word on any one player.

Or course that doesn’t mean that we can’t have our own instant reactions, or that the bookmakers in Las Vegas don’t have their opinions as well. And since how they feel about the draft actually changed the futures betting board on winning Super Bowl LV, theirs is an opinion worth looking at.

San Francisco 49ers

The Super Bowl runner-up hangover is real, and so the 49ers have that to contend with. They also traded away DeForest Buckner and Matt Breida, lost Joe Staley to retirement, and saw Emmanuel Sanders walk in free agency. But a really strong draft has them still as the favorite to repeat in the NFC.

Defensive lineman Javon Kinlaw is a beast, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk draws high praise from everyone who’s coached him, and a draft-day trade brought in Trent Williams to fill Staley’s shoes. The 49ers have improved to +1000 to win the Super Bowl, trailing only Kansas City and Baltimore.

Dallas Cowboys

This was considered to be a wide receiver-rich draft. If you wanted or needed a wideout, you would get a good one. But for some inexplicable reason, the player everyone had tabbed as the best wide receiver of the bunch, CeeDee Lamb of Oklahoma, fell into the lap of the Dallas Cowboys at pick 17.

Dak Prescott now has Amari Cooper, Lamb, and Ezekiel Elliott as primary weapons, and in the NFC East, that will be tough to stop.

nfl draft

The Cowboys also got a second-round steal in cornerback Trevon Diggs, who most people believe has first-round talent. For their efforts, the Cowboys jumped to +2000 to win Super Bowl LV.

Green Bay Packers

Just three months ago, the Packers were one win away from the Super Bowl. But thanks to a lackluster NFL Draft, they are now tied for seventh in the NFC as possible Super Bowl LV winners. Aaron Rodgers is still great, but he needs weapons. So with their first pick in the draft, Green Bay selected a backup quarterback in Jordan Love of Utah State.

One win away from the Super Bowl and their first pick was for a player who won’t see the field this season. In all 37 wide receivers were taken in this year’s draft, and not one of them by the Packers.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Draft Results Push Oddsmakers to Update Betting Odds To Win Super Bowl LV