Ryan Blaney Archives

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

by WagerHome Blog on October 31, 2023

It began nine months ago with “The Great American Race” – the Daytona 500. The NASCAR Cup Series concludes this coming Sunday with the most important race of year, the Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway.

At least it’s the most important race of the year for four of the drivers. But you do not need to be one of the four drivers racing for the championship to win this race. But it has worked out that way in each of the last three years that this has been the final and deciding race.

In 2020 Chase Elliott won this race, and the Championship. In 2021 Kyle Larson did the double. Last year it was Joey Logano.

Odds to Win Cup Series Championship

Kyle Larson (+150)
William Byron (+250)
Ryan Blaney (+250)
Christopher Bell (+300)

The last three weeks for Ryan Blaney has been on quite the ride. He was disqualified three races ago in Las Vegas, dropping him well below the cutoff line for the Championship 4. But then the qualification was overturned, he finished as the runner-up at Miami two races ago, and he won at Martinsville in this race to punch his ticket to the final.

Blaney finished last season in eight place, and has a Cup Series-high finish of seventh in 2021.

William Byron was the other new qualifier at Martinsville, advancing as the highest ranked non-winner. He was the Cup Series sixth place finisher in 2022, his personal best finish. Denny Hamlin led for 156 laps, but his third place finish left him six points behind Byron, and out of the Championship 4. When Hamlin won here in 2019 it was not yet the final race of the season, and he did not win the Championship.

Kyle Larson is the favorite to emerge from next Sunday. He qualified for the Championship 4 with a win at Las Vegas in the Round of 8 opener. In the last three seasons, beginning with his championship-winning run in 2021, Larson has won 17 races and he has 57 top-five finishes. He finished fourth at Phoenix Raceway earlier this season.

Christopher Bell won at Homestead, putting him into the Championship 4. He finished the season in third place last year with three race wins. This season he has just two wins, but he’s been in the top-10 a total of 19 times, including the race at Phoenix in March.

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Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 24, 2023

We end the regular season back where it began, on the high banks of Daytona International Speedway. It is the Coke Zero Sugar 400, and there is one spot in the playoff field of 16 up for grabs.

It happened last year for Austin Dillon. He qualified for the playoffs in this very race after a wreck took out most of his competitors. The same type of thing would need to happen here, with Bubba Wallace comfortably in the final playoff spot, barring a win from a driver behind him.

Also at stake in the race is the regular season points champion. Martin Truex Jr. has the lead on the strength of six straight finishes in the top 10, along with wins this season at Dover, Sonoma, and New Hampshire. Trailing him by 39 points is Denny Hamlin.

The only result that will really change things for the drivers trying to get into the playoffs, or the drivers jockeying for playoff position, is a win. That means that chaos will reign supreme at Daytona, as there are no consolation prizes for second place.

Favorites to win Coke Zero Sugar 400

Chase Elliott (+1100)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Kyle Busch (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1200)
Brad Keselowski (+1200)
William Byron (+1400)
Chris Buescher (+1600)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)
Kyle Larson (+2000)
Ross Chastain (+2000)

Chase Elliott is not one of the 15 drivers that is already in the playoff field. That means that anything short of a win on Sunday, and he is out. Elliott was the runner-up two weeks ago in Indy, but he was just 32nd last week at Watkins Glen.

A host of drivers sit at +1200, and all of them have secured their spot in the playoffs. Hamlin, with an opportunity to win the regular season points title, is the one with the most to drive for. He has struggled on the superspeedways this season, finishing 17th, sixth, 17th, and 14th. His last win at Daytona came in 2020.

At +1400, you have William Byron, who hasn’t been very good at the Daytona 500, but here at the Coke Zero Sugar 400, he won in 2020 after finishing second in 2019. Byron won last week at Watkins Glen, and he won in July at the superspeedway in Atlanta.

Bubba Wallace doesn’t necessarily have to win to clinch the final playoff spot, but it would guarantee it. He’s never won at Daytona, but he does have four top-five finishes at Coke Zero Sugar 400, including a runner-up last year.

Pay Per Head Software

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Geico 500 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2023

From the short tracks of Bristol and Martinsville, NASCAR heads back to big racing, with a stop at the Talladega Superspeedway for the Geico 500.

We go from the half-mile track at Martinsville, and an average speed win of 75 MPH, to the 2.66 miles track at Talladega, where last October, the winning average speed was 153.5 MPH.

It’s a different kind of racing, and the variety from week to week is what tests these drivers and pushes them to the limit.

Favorites to Win Geico 500

Joey Logano (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
William Byron (+1600)
Ross Chastain (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1800)
Kyle Larson (+1800)
Christopher Bell (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Last week Joey Logano fell off the lead lap twice but still battled back for a second-place finish. He said after the race, “There are some days that a second-place finish leaves you angry. This is not one of those days.”

Logano is the favorite this week on a track that was unkind to him in 2022, with a 32nd-place finish in April and a 27th-place finish in October. He does, however, have three career wins at Talladega.

Ryan Blaney doesn’t yet have a win this season, but four times he has finished in the top 10. Traditionally he has raced well on superspeedways, with an eighth-place finish at Daytona and a fourth-place finish there in 2022. He was the runner-up at Talladega last October, and he won on this track in 2019 and 2020.

That race in Talladega last October was won by Chase Elliott, who’s making just his second start since returning from a broken leg. In his return last week at Martinsville, he finished in 10th place. He was the runner-up in California in the race before he got injured.

Best Geico 500 Value Bets

The betting curve for this race is pretty flat, with no favorites going for less than +1000. That leaves good value at the back end, like +2800 for Erik Jones. He’s finished in the top 10 in five of the last six races at Talladega and has led for 68 laps in those five.

Kevin Harvick is a bit of an afterthought when racing at Talladega. He hasn’t won here since 2010. But at +2800, and with three top-10 finishes in his last four races here, including a fourth-place finish in 2021, he’s worth a look at that number.

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Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

NASCAR takes a trip to Louden, New Hampshire, this weekend for the Ambetter 301. This race was originally 300 miles, but at one point, the sponsor of the event had the slogan, “tools that go the extra mile,” so naturally, an extra mile was added to the race.

Sponsorship has changed since then, but the race distance has not. This weekend’s Ambetter 301 winner will only be crowned after he goes that extra mile.

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Ryan Blaney (+600)
Kyle Busch (+650)
Joey Logano (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+850)
Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
Ross Chastain (+900)
Chase Elliott (+1000)
Kyle Larson (+1200)
Kevin Harvick (+1600)
Christopher Bell (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has yet to take a checkered flag this year, but he is the betting favorite heading into this weekend’s Ambetter 301 in New Hampshire. Blaney has no wins, but he does have seven top-five finishes and is currently in second place in the Cup standings.

The man atop the standings is Chase Elliott, who has surprisingly long odds considering that he has three wins on the season, including two wins in his last three starts and a second-place finish in the other of those three races. Elliott has never won in New Hampshire, but he’s simply too hot right now to ignore.

Kevin Harvick, at +1600, is also playing longer odds than he deserves. He’s been very good on flat tracks this season, and on the closest facsimiles to New Hampshire – Phoenix and Richmond – he was in the top-10 at both, and he was the runner-up in Richmond. He’s also finished in the top 10 in three of his last four races.

Longer Shots to Consider

Aric Almirola is paying +2500 because he hasn’t won this year, and he only has two top-five finishes in 2022. But in his career, he does have a win in New Hampshire to go along with three top-five finishes. And it was just last July when he recorded that win.

Brad Keselowski is paying a whopping +10000, even though he won at New Hampshire in 2020 and he finished third here in 2021.

Keselowski was a top-10 finisher at Sonoma a month ago, but overall his 2022 has been well below his standards. He has just two top-10 finishes and has finished worse than 20th a total of 10 times. But his recent history at New Hampshire is worth a look.

Pay Per Head Software

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Quaker State 400 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 6, 2022

NASCAR has been running races in Atlanta since 1960, and this weekend’s Quaker State 400 will be the 116th Cup Series race to be held at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The Cup Series standings are as tight as they’ve ever been, with Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, and Ross Chastain within 35 points of each other. The betting odds for this week’s race are also as tight as they’ve ever been, with four drivers listed as co-favorites and a total of 10 drivers playing odds of less than +2000.

Favorites to Win Quaker State 400

Chase Elliott (+1000)
Denny Hamlin (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1000)
William Byron (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1200)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1400)
Kyle Busch (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1400)
Tyler Reddick (+1800)

Chase Elliott is your current Cup leader, and he’s naturally one of the co-favorites to win at Quaker State 400. He finished second on Sunday at Road America, following up his win in Nashville to close out the month of June. Elliott has never won in Atlanta in eight career starts, but he has finished top-10 in five of those races.

Denny Hamlin hasn’t been very good since the summer months started, with only one top-10 finish in his last four starts. But he does have two wins on the season, and in two of his last four starts in Atlanta, he finished top-five.

Closing out the top-10 Quaker State 400 favorites is Tyler Reddick, who is coming off the win on Sunday at Road America. The reason Reddick isn’t higher on the favorites board this week is that his win on Sunday was his first of the season, and it follows an 18th place finish at Nashville and a 35th place finish at Sonoma. In the March race in Atlanta, he finished 28th.

Value Bets to Consider

Give Kurt Busch a closer look for this race. He’s 18th on the betting board, paying +2500. The reason there is value here is because Busch is the Quaker State 400 defending champion. At the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500, also run at Atlanta, he finished third. And just two weeks ago, he was the runner-up in Nashville.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is also paying +2500, and that is also very good value for a driver who should be in the mix in the final laps of the Quaker State 400. He’s an excellent plate track driver, which is what Atlanta has become after its redesign.

He’s twice a winner on such tracks – one at Talladega and one at Daytona – and at the race in Atlanta in March, he was battling for the lead on lap 201 when he unfortunately wrecked. He led for 22 laps that Sunday.

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GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Odds to Win Cup Series Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Coke Zero Sugar 400 Betting Preview

Favorites to win Coke Zero Sugar 400

Pay Per Head Software

Geico 500 2023 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Geico 500

Best Geico 500 Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Longer Shots to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

Quaker State 400 2022 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Quaker State 400

Value Bets to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

GEICO 500 Preview

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

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