Verizon 200 at The Brickyard 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 27, 2022

We are back with another NASCAR preview, this time for the Verizon 200 at The Brickyard.

Even when he doesn’t win, Chase Elliott is winning this season. That is how good he has been in 2022. He can finish third in a race, as he did at Pocono, and still come out on top, as he did due to two post-race disqualifications.

Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch failed their post-race inspections, and Hamlin became the first Cup race winner to be stripped of a win since 1960.

For Elliott and the rest of the drivers, hopefully, this week’s trip to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway provides cleaner racing and a less controversial finish.

Favorites to Win Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

  • Chase Elliott (+450)
  • Kyle Larson (+700)
  • Ross Chastain (+700)
  • Daniel Suarez (+1000)
  • Tyler Reddick (+1000)
  • Austin Cindric (+1400)
  • Chase Briscoe (+1600)
  • Kyle Busch (+1600)
  • A.J. Allmendinger (+1800)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+1800)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1800)

It is a road course, and if he wasn’t the hottest driver on the circuit, he still might be the heavy favorite. But with four wins on the season and a commanding lead in the series standings, this is Chase Elliott’s race to lose. Elliott has seven wins in 22 career road course races and 13 top-five finishes.

If it’s not going to be Elliott, Kyle Larson is a solid plan B. He’s not had nearly the year in 2022 that he had in 2021, but he did just finish fifth at Pocono last week, and he has a good history at Indy, finishing third at this race last year.

The other driver of the big-three Verizon 200 favorites this week is Ross Chastain. He’s been the most consistent all year, with ten top-five finishes and 14 top-10s.

He wrecked out of last week’s race, and in this event last year, he barely cracked the top 30. But considering how well he is driving in 2022, he should always be on your radar.

Top Value Plays for Verizon 200 at The Brickyard

A.J. Allmendinger (+1800) is on your favorites board, so he isn’t a long shot. But he is the defending champion at this event, and he’s paying nearly 4.5x more than the favorite Elliott.

He’s a road course specialist, and you don’t see him at too many races, but coupled with his win last year and a top-10 at Road America on July 3 of this year, give him a look.

Kevin Harvick (+2800) should also be in consideration at the Verizon 200. He won at Indy in 2020, when it was the Brickyard 400, and that was his second straight victory here. He has the history at this venue, plus he’s had a good season on road courses – finishing fourth in Sonoma and 10th at Road America.

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WagerHome BlogVerizon 200 at The Brickyard 2022 Betting Preview

Kwik Trip 250 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 29, 2022

Another week of racing, and another week of racing on a road course for the drivers of NASCAR. And another week of potential surprises at the Kwik Trip 250! The usual road course suspects, like Ryan Blainey and Martin Truex Jr, have not won on a road course this year, while Christopher Bell and Daniel Suarez have.

That’s not to say that there isn’t some predictability when it comes to road course racing anymore. The king of the road, Chase Elliott, is still the man to beat this weekend at the Kwik Trip 250.

Favorites to Win Kwik Trip 250

  • Chase Elliott (+500)
  • Kyle Larson (+600)
  • Ross Chastain (+800)
  • Kyle Busch (+900)
  • Ryan Blainey (+1200)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1200)
  • Christopher Bell (+1500)
  • Austin Cindric (+1500)
  • Joey Logano (+1500)

Elliott hasn’t won a road course race this season, finishing fourth at COTA in March and eighth at Sonoma three weeks ago. But he does have past wins at Circuit of the Americas, he has two wins this season, and he is the current Cup Series leader with a 30-point lead over Ross Chastain.

Kyle Larson hasn’t had the repeat of his dominant 2021, and he hasn’t been good on road courses in 2022. He finished 15th at Sonoma after starting the race in the first position.

He was 29th at COTA back in March. But Larson is a champion coming off a fourth-place finish in Nashville, and he is still a worthy Kwik Trip 250 second pick.

Ross Chastain already has a win at COTA this season, giving him a leg up this weekend in at least course confidence. But he also won at Talladega, and in three races in June, he has finishes of eighth, seventh, and fifth last week. Chastain has the third shortest odds this week, and an argument can be made that he should be the favorite.

Kwik Trip 250

Longer Shots to Consider at Kwik Trip 250

Tyler Reddick (+2500) was a washout at Sonoma three weeks ago, but he finished top-five at COTA in March, which was his fifth top-five finish in his previous ten road course starts. A year ago at COTA, he also finished ninth.

Kurt Busch (+3100) would like to forget the two races this season on road courses. He finished 32nd in COTA in March and 18th at Sonoma in June. But last year at Sonoma, he finished sixth, one of four top-10 finishes on road courses last season.

Chris Buescher (+3500) is only 22nd in the standings, he has just two top-five finishes this season, and he hasn’t won a race since 2016. But, and this is a big but, he nearly won at Sonoma three weeks ago, losing by less than four seconds, and coming after, he missed a week with COVID.

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WagerHome BlogKwik Trip 250 2022 Betting Preview

Save Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2022

It is time for Save Mart 350! It’s road racing for NASCAR this week in Sonoma, California, and that means only one thing – Chase Elliott is at the top of the odds board as the undisputed king of the road.

But, and this is a big but, Sonoma races more like Circuit of the Americas than any other track, and that race this year was won by underdog Ross Chastain.

So while we know Elliott will be in the mix, anything can happen on this change of pace course.

Favorites to Win Save Mart 350

  • Chase Elliott (+450)
  • Kyle Larson (+500)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
  • Ross Chastain (+1000)
  • Kyle Busch (+1000)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1400)
  • A.J. Allmendinger (+1400)
  • Austin Cindric (+1400)
  • Joey Logano (+1600)
  • Chase Briscoe (+1600)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1600)

No surprise that Chase Elliott is at the top of the board. He has seven wins on road courses since 2016, and during a stretch that went from 2019 to 2021, he won six of eight races.

It is worth noting; however, that as dominant as Elliott is on the road courses, he hasn’t been that way in Sonoma. He did have a second-place finish a year ago at Save Mart 350, but that is his career-best.

In the race that saw Elliott finish in second place at Sonoma in 2021, the man who finished first was Kyle Larson – the Cup champion last year. That was his second top-10 finish at Sonoma and only his second. He doesn’t have a long history of success at Sonoma, but following the win here in 2021, Larson also won at Watkins Glen two months later, and then he won at Charlotte Roval in October.

Ross Chastain did have that surprise win at COTA in March, but he had another top-five finish at COTA in 2021. Plus, when racing at Sonoma that same year, he came in seventh. Although in his previous race at Sonoma in 2019, he finished 33rd.

Save Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

Longer Odds to Consider

William Byron is paying +2200 to take the W at the Save Mart 350, which is a lot for a guy who currently ranks third in the overall standings and has two checkered flags on this season. His last couple of races have been rough – he hasn’t been in the top-10 since April – but overall, he has raced well this season, and he does have five career top-10 finishes on road courses.

A real longshot to consider is Michael McDowell, paying +10000. He had a pair of top-10 road course finishes in 2021, and in 15 starts this season, he has five top-five finishes.

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WagerHome BlogSave Mart 350 2022 Betting Preview

GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

  • Ryan Blaney (+1000)
  • Joey Logano (+1200)
  • Denny Hamlin (+1400)
  • Chase Elliott (+1400)
  • Brad Keselowski (+1400)
  • Bubba Wallace (+1400)
  • Austin Cindric (+1400)
  • Chase Briscoe (+1400)
  • Kyle Larson (+1600)
  • Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

GEICO 500 Preview

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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WagerHome BlogGEICO 500 Preview