PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 16, 2023

The PGA Championship was at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, in 2013. And a number of golfers in the field this week played in that event a decade ago. But not one data point from that event, and those golfers, is valuable in 2023.

“Basically, the only thing that’s the same is that it’s a par-70,” said Jason Ballad, Oak Hill’s head golf professional. “We’ve redone pretty much the whole golf course. All of the green complexes have been rebuilt. Every single bunker has been rebuilt.“

“We’re excited to debut the golf course to the world.”

Note his use of the word “debut” when talking about a course that has been around for more than a century and has hosted the PGA Championship three times, the U.S. Open three times, and the Ryder Cup in 1995.

This old golf course is brand new.

Favorites to Win PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+750)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+750)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1300)
  • Xander Schauffele (+1700)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
  • Brooks Koepka (+2100)
  • Tony Finau (+2100)
  • Dustin Johnson (+2400)
  • Justin Thomas (+2900)
  • Jason Day (+2900)

It’s not a fun or sexy pick to go with Jon Rahm, but it is probably the smartest pick. He has four wins in 12 events this year, and eight times he has finished in the top 10. He wins on tough courses like Oak Hill, and he wins in majors, as he just did at the Masters.

PGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

All of the hyperbole around Rahm is true of Scottie Scheffler, the world’s No. 2 ranked player. He also wins on tough courses, and he wins at majors. He won the PGA Championship in 2020, The Open Championship in 2021, and both the Masters and U.S. Open in 2022. He won The Players Championship in March, and he’s a good bet to win at least one major for a fourth straight year.

Rory McIlroy was at the previous PGA Championship at Oak Hill, finishing T8 at 3-under par. He was the PGA’s defending champion in 2013, he won it again in 2014, and he also won The Open Championship that year. But that was the last time that McIlroy tasted victory at a major. He finished 2022 as the world’s No. 1 ranked golfer, but he missed the cut at Augusta in April.

Outside of the big three are a number of other solid betting choices. Justin Thomas is the defending champion at the event, staging a seven-stroke comeback to win it in 2022. But he hasn’t won on the PGA Tour since then.

Brooks Koepka nearly won the Masters a month ago, he’s won two of the last five PGA Championships, and he would undoubtedly be ranked in the top five in the world if he hadn’t moved to the LIV Tour.

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship 2023 Betting Preview

Early Look at the PGA Championship

by WagerHome Blog on April 27, 2023

We are just three weeks from golf’s second major of the season, the PGA Championship. It will be played this year at Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York, the site of this same tournament ten years ago.

The winner on the East Course in 2013 was Jason Dufner. Followed by Jim Furyk, Henrik Stenson, and Jonas Blixt. Of the golfers who finished in the top 10 at that event, only Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, and Adam Scott are still in the top 100 of the World Golf Rankings 10 years later.

The biggest news since the Masters earlier this month was the surgery that Tiger Woods had on his ankle. It was to address post-traumatic arthritis that is a result of his car accident in 2021. There is no official word from Woods’ camp, but this kind of surgery typically comes with a 12-week recovery at a minimum, meaning that we have likely seen the last of Woods in 2023.

However, as you can see from the early odds board, the PGA Championship will not be lacking in star power or great golf.

Favorites to Win the PGA Championship

  • Jon Rahm (+900)
  • Rory McIlroy (+1000)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+1000)
  • Justin Thomas (+1400)
  • Jordan Spieth (+1800)
  • Brooks Koepka (+1900)
  • Xander Schauffele (+2000)
  • Cameron Smith (+2000)
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
  • Collin Morikawa (+2200)

For the foreseeable future, the big three, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Scottie Scheffler, are going to be bunched at the top of any tournament hosting all three. Rahm is, of course, the Masters champion, McIlroy is a four-time major champion, and he has twice won the PGA, and Scheffler is the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year.

Early Look at the PGA Championship

There are plenty of other great golfers on the Tour and a lot of potential winners for next month at Oak Hill. But Rahm, McIlroy, and Scheffler are a cut above the rest at the PGA Championship!

If you’re looking to wager on someone outside of the big three, Justin Thomas is a good choice. He is the defending champion at this event, beating Will Zalatoris at Southern Hills in a playoff.

Of you could wager on two-time PGA champion Brooks Koepka, who also just finished T2 at the Masters. At +1900, he’s paying more than twice what you get on a bet on Rahm, making Koepka a great value play.

Another golfer with great value is Collin Morikawa at +2200. He was the PGA Champion in 2020, and he’s coming off a T10 earlier this month at the Masters.

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WagerHome BlogEarly Look at the PGA Championship

PGA Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 4, 2020

It’s finally here – the first major championship of the PGA season, this weekend’s PGA Championship. By this time in 2019, we’d already crowned the champion of all four majors.

Instead, a COVID-19 postponement of The Masters and the U.S. Open, and the cancellation of The Open Championship has the PGA Championship giving out the first major hardware of 2020, and golf fans and bettors could not be more ready.

Odds to Win Outright

We’ve seen some wonderfully packed fields over the last several weeks of play, so it’s not that the play will be much different this weekend. But the major tournament stakes are something we haven’t seen in golf in more than 55 weeks – the longest absence of major golf since 1944.

Your favorites to win this weekend at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco are:

  • Rory McIlroy +800
  • Brooks Koepka +1000
  • Bryson Dechambeau +1100
  • Dustin Johnson +1200
  • Justin Thomas +1200
  • Jon Rahm +1300
  • Tiger Woods +1600
  • Xander Schauffele +2200
  • Patrick Cantlay +2500
  • Webb Simpson +2500
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2800
  • Collin Morikawa +2800
  • Justin Rose +3000

Rory McIlroy remains the consensus best player in the world, so it’s not surprising that he’s the favorite in most fields. But Brooks Koepka was the winner in both 2018 and 2019, and he just finished in second at the St. Jude Invitational in Memphis over the weekend.

In the history of golf, dating back to 1860, only six times has a major championship been won by the same golfer three consecutive years. The last was Peter Thomsen at The Open in 1956. Will Koepka become the seventh?

Golfers to Watch

Justin Thomas (+1200) was the winner at WGC St. Jude last weekend and has returned to the top of the world golf rankings.

pga championship

Tiger Woods (+1600) is a four-time winner of the PGA but finished tied for 40th in the only tournament he’s played since the season restarted. A bet on him at +1600 is on reputation alone, and not on actual golf.

In terms of value plays, Webb Simpson (+2500) and Collin Morikawa (+2800) make for better bets than Woods. Simpson won the RBC Heritage and is the fourth-ranked golfer in the world. Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open three weeks ago and is currently ranked 12th in the world.

At +800, McIlroy has far less value. However, it is worth noting that the 2015 WGC Match Play was held at this same course in San Francisco, and McIlroy won.

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WagerHome BlogPGA Championship Betting Preview