Free NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2022

Perhaps 14 teams is too many. The seven seeds lost their two games by a combined 38 points, and the Patriots, one of the six seeds, lost by 37 points.

And none of those three games were even that close.

But this, the Divisional Round, now that the fat has been trimmed, is always the best weekend of the year.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans

What a way for the Divisional Round weekend to kick off. It’s Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense versus Derrick Henry’s return (fingers crossed), a top-10 defense, and the top seed in the AFC.

Sometimes it’s good to have a bye, and other times it’s good to keep rolling. The Bengals got both, resting their starters in Week 18 and now going into Tennessee on the momentum of winning their first playoff game in 31 years.

This will be a close game, decided by a field goal or less, and look for the Bengals to cover.

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-6)

Nick Bosa isn’t practicing, and we’re not sure he’s going to play. Jimmy Garoppolo has yet another injury he has to deal with. Meanwhile, the Packers are getting healthier, with both Za’Darius Smith and Jaire Alexander back at practice this week.

But even if they don’t play, this Packers team is chasing destiny. Look for the Packers to cover with the point spread at less than a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs defense seems to be getting healthy, but their offense took another hit when All-Pro tight tackle Tristan Wirfs went down on Sunday with an ankle injury. He hasn’t been ruled out, but we do know he won’t practice until at least Friday. We also saw that without Wirfs, that offensive line struggled.

Now comes Aaron Donald, who specializes in making offensive lines struggle. The Rams looked great, they are healthy, and Matthew Stafford and company are primed to pull off the Divisional Round upset.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

After Saturday night, it was apparent no one was going to beat Josh Allen and the Bills. He had 374 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

Sunday night, it was evident that no one would beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. He had 432 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

So what do we make of this Sunday’s game between the two?

It’s going to be a classic and likely come down to the end. But the game is at Arrowhead Stadium – advantage Chiefs – and Patrick Mahomes has a .777 winning percentage in the postseason, which is better than both Tom Brady and Joe Montana.

It’s going to be a great Divisional Round game, with Kansas City winning by three points in the end.

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WagerHome BlogFree NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

Betting Totals for NFL Divisional Round Matchups

by WagerHome Blog on January 14, 2021

Don’t get so focused on wins and losses and point spreads that you forget about totals wagers for this weekend’s NFL action. The four divisional round matchups this weekend provide some really great totals betting opportunities.

Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (45.5)

The first game of the weekend is in Green Bay, where the weather is expected to be fine. Cold, but only light winds and no snow.

The Rams did hit the over last week against Seattle, but it was only the fifth over for them this season, to go along with 12 unders. With both Los Angeles quarterbacks fighting injury and a Rams defense that should also help contain Aaron Rodgers, at least a little, the under looks good again.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (49.5)

When the Ravens and Bills meet on Saturday night, it will be dark, cold, and with a chance of snow, though with none of the western New York wind that hampered Philip Rivers last week.

This will be a run-heavy game that will have to work to get to 50 points. Baltimore has missed the over in each of its last three games. Buffalo has hit the over in four of its last six.

Buffalo comes into the game with a top offense, but the Ravens will hold them under 30 points, which will keep the total under 50 points.

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (55.5)

No problems with the weather in Kansas City, just like with the other games. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s with light winds and no rain.

divisional round matchups

Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes as a duo are 6-0 coming off a bye and averaging 38 points per game in each of those six wins. The Chiefs will put up points on the Browns, who have given up the over in five of their last seven games.

The Browns should also score in the mid-20s or higher, putting the total in this game much closer to 60. Definitely take the over in Kansas City.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (51.5)

The final of the divisional round matchups will be in a dome, so there will be no issues with weather.

These teams have played each other twice already this season, which usually makes for a lower scoring game the third time around because defenses have seen the offensive looks before. But Tom Brady is on fire and has hit the over in three of Tampa Bay’s last four games.

The Bucs only scored a field goal the last time out against the Saints, but they have won five in a row and averaged 36 points while doing it. New Orleans only scored 21 against Chicago but went for 52 and 33 in the two games prior to that.

This feels like a 31-27 final score, hitting the over.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Totals for NFL Divisional Round Matchups

Updated Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

by WagerHome Blog on January 12, 2021

The NFL’s first-ever Super Wild Card weekend was a raging success as the playoffs make their way to Super Bowl LV. Four of the six lower seeds won on the road, showing once again that with smaller crowds comes a reduced home-field advantage.

We also saw two teams get their first playoff wins since Bill Clinton was in his first term as president.

Welcome back to the division round, Buffalo and Cleveland. And welcome to those two plucky young kids, Tom Brady and Drew Brees, who have now combined to play in 59 playoff games (42 of those by Brady).

So, now that we are down to the final eight teams remaining, where do we stand on betting on the Super Bowl LV champion?

Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+220)
  • Green Bay Packers (+400)
  • New Orleans Saints (+550)
  • Buffalo Bills (+600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+800)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+900)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+2200)
  • Cleveland Browns (+2500)

There were no major upsets on Wild Card weekend. The Steelers and Seahawks lost after they were two of the favorites to make it to Super Bowl LV in February just a couple of months ago.

But much of that shine was gone by the time the playoffs began, and their absence only shifts things slightly.

The Chiefs remain the firm favorites to repeat. The Packers are next in line, trying to get Aaron Rodgers his second Super Bowl ring.

Drew Brees is also looking for a second ring, and a bet on the Saints is paying +550.

If you’re looking for value, a bet on the Browns has it. They won 11 games in the regular season, just beat their nemesis, the Steelers, and have a great running game.

Odds to Win AFC

  • Kansas City Chiefs (-125)
  • Buffalo Bills (+290)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+400)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1200)

It’s unusual to see a team paying negative numbers with still four playoff teams remaining, but that’s where things stand with the Chiefs. One of the reasons for that is Patrick Mahomes and his 4-1 postseason record.

When it comes to the matchup between Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, bookmakers think Allen has the better chance of making it to February.

Odds to Win NFC

super bowl lv

  • Green Bay Packers (+130)
  • New Orleans Saints (+200)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+360)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+900)

Brees and Brady meet this week in New Orleans, and odds say that the Saints will beat the Bucs for a third time this season. But when going to play the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, the outdoors is predicted to be unkind to Brees.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LV

Get to Pay Per Head Bookies for NFL Week 17 Betting

by WagerHome Blog on December 31, 2020

If you are an independent bookmaker, or you place bets with an independent bookie, make sure to get connected to a pay per head service provider before NFL Week 17 begins on Sunday. There are so many great games to bet and so many playoff positions still to be settled, you don’t want to short change your action by failing to act by Sunday.

Important AFC Games in NFL Week 17

There are five games in the AFC that will help decide the rest of the postseason field. They are:

  • Miami at Buffalo (-3)
  • Baltimore (-12) at Cincinnati
  • Pittsburgh at Cleveland (-9.5)
  • Jacksonville at Indianapolis (-14.5)
  • Tennessee (-7) at Houston

If Miami beats Buffalo, then it clinches a Wild Card berth. But even if the Bills win, the Dolphins can still make the playoffs if the Ravens, Browns, or Colts lose. It does not need to be all three.

A loss by one of those teams sends Miami to the postseason. As for Buffalo, the No. 2 seed in the AFC is still in play.

The Ravens also get into the playoffs if they win, or the Browns or Colts lose. The Steelers are resting their starters, including Ben Roethlisberger, and if the Browns can beat the Pittsburgh backups, then Cleveland ends its 18-year playoff drought.

If the Titans win, they are in, though they can still get in with a loss. By losing last week, Indianapolis is the only team not in control of its own destiny.

If Indianapolis wins and either the Titans, Ravens, Browns, or Dolphins lose, the Colts are in the playoffs.

Important NFC Games in NFL Week 17

  • Dallas (-3) at New York Giants
  • Green Bay (-5) at Chicago
  • Arizona at Los Angeles Rams (-1.5)
  • Seattle (-5) at San Francisco
  • New Orleans (-6) at Carolina
  • Washington (-1) at Philadelphia

Six of the eight NFC games could impact the playoff bracket, and the NFC East still has three teams that could win it.

nfl week 17

A Dallas win and a Washington loss gives the division to the Cowboys. The Giants win the division if they beat Dallas and Washington loses.

Washington, with Taylor Heinicke starting at quarterback, is in control of its own destiny and only needs to beat the Eagles.

The Packers, Saints, and Seahawks all still have a chance at the top seed and the first-round bye. A Green Bay win and the Packers get it.

The Saints get the bye if they win, Green Bay loses, and Seattle wins. The Seahawks get the bye if they win and both Green Bay and New Orleans lose.

The last game of importance is Arizona at the Rams, as an Arizona win puts it in the playoffs. If the Cardinals lose, the Rams are in, as are the Bears. What happens to the Bears in their game against Green Bay does not matter.

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WagerHome BlogGet to Pay Per Head Bookies for NFL Week 17 Betting

Updated NFL Playoff Picture After Week 13

by WagerHome Blog on December 8, 2020

It’s December in the NFL, which means that we are officially in the final quarter of the season. And that means it’s time to check in on the current NFL playoff picture and see who’s in, who’s out, and who is still in the hunt.

NFC Division Leaders

  • NFC South – New Orleans (10-2)
  • NFC North – Green Bay (9-3)
  • NFC West – Los Angeles Rams (8-4)
  • NFC East – New York Giants (5-7)

New Orleans has a three-game lead in the NFC South and is clearly in command of the division. They’re also on top of the conference thanks to a nine-game winning streak.

The Saints still have a game against the Kansas City Chiefs, and if they slip, the Packers own the head-to-head tiebreaker.

The NFC East has been a punchline all season, but the Giants now have four straight wins and are in position to host a playoff game.

NFC Wild Card

  • Seattle (fifth seed)
  • Tampa Bay (sixth seed)
  • Minnesota (seventh seed)

Seattle is actually tied with the Rams but is relegated to the Wild Card because of a tiebreaker. But the NFC West is far from settled.

Although winning the division sets up a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while the top Wild Card will play the NFC East champion. So losing the division does come with perks.

Arizona is currently tied with Minnesota for the seventh seed but drops out of the playoffs because of a tiebreaker. However, the Vikings still play the Buccaneers and Saints, giving the Cardinals the easier schedule down the stretch.

Amazingly, as we enter Week 14, not a single NFC team has been eliminated from playoff contention.

AFC Division Leaders

  • AFC North – Pittsburgh (11-1)
  • AFC West – Kansas City (11-1)
  • AFC East – Buffalo (9-3)
  • AFC South – Tennessee (8-4)

The top seed is down to two teams – Pittsburgh and Kansas City. The Chiefs can only catch the Steelers if Pittsburgh loses a game inside the AFC.

Losing to Washington on Monday did not hurt the Steelers too badly. Kansas City has two difficult games remaining, with trips to Miami and New Orleans. The Steelers still have to play the Bills, Browns, and Colts.

nfl playoff picture

AFC Wild Card

  • Cleveland (fifth seed)
  • Miami (sixth seed)
  • Indianapolis (seventh seed)

Before the season ends, we can expect to see a number of moves among the Wild Card teams. Both Miami and Indianapolis are in range of winning their divisions, but be sure to circle Week 17 on your calendar.

The Bills and Dolphins play in the final week of the season, possibly to decide who wins the division and who settles for the Wild Card.

The Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets have all been eliminated from playoff contention.

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WagerHome BlogUpdated NFL Playoff Picture After Week 13

Picking Winners In NFL Conference Championship Games

by WagerHome Blog on January 18, 2020

The divisional round of the NFL playoffs is often called the best weekend of football since you have eight great teams all squaring off for more than 12 hours of live action. But conference championship weekend, while coming with fewer games, does come with much bigger stakes.

Win, and you are on to the Super Bowl. Lose, and you’re watching it on television.

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AFC Championship Game

In the early game on Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs are hosting their second consecutive AFC Championship Game. One year ago, they lost in overtime to the New England Patriots after a late Tom Brady interception was wiped away by an offsides penalty.

The Chiefs played a slow first half last year as they were a little overwhelmed by the moment. Returning to the game for a second straight season, that will not happen this time around.

They also got their terrible start out of the way last week against the Texans before scoring touchdowns on an amazing seven straight possessions and winning 51-31.

The Tennessee Titans counter with Derrick Henry, who has been all-world in these playoffs. But even as good as he’s been, the Titans’ point totals have been just average – 20 against the Patriots and 28 against the Ravens.

Henry will get his yards and maybe a couple of scores. But they will not get to 35 points, and that is what they’ll need to get close to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

The Chiefs win 38-20, and Andy Reid gets to his second Super Bowl as a head coach.

NFC Championship Game

Each of the four remaining teams lost games this year that they shouldn’t have. But no one suffered worse losses than the Green Bay Packers.

conference championship


The Packers dropped an early home game to an average Eagles team, then twice on road trips to the West Coast, they laid massive eggs, losing 26-11 to the Chargers and 38-7 to the 49ers.

They get an opportunity to seek revenge against that Niners team this Sunday, but San Francisco’s defense has gotten healthy the last couple of weeks, and it showed in the divisional round with a suffocating 27-10 win over the Vikings.

The quarterback edge in this game, of course, goes to Aaron Rodgers, who is trying to get back to the Super Bowl for the first time in nine years. But overall, the 49ers at home will prove to be too much.

They have the better defense, a great run game, and a weapon in George Kittle unlike anything the Packers have as a counter.

The 49ers win 27-17 and will play in their first Super Bowl in 24 years.

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WagerHome BlogPicking Winners In NFL Conference Championship Games

3 Players To Watch During The NFL Divisional Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on January 11, 2020

The NFL is a league of turnover, and nowhere is that more clear than in the eight teams that are playing on divisional playoff weekend. Of those eight teams, seven of them failed to make it this far a year ago, with only the Kansas City Chiefs making it to the divisional round in each of the last two seasons.

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Teams rise, and teams fall, and new players enter the big stage of the NFL playoffs, where they hope to cement their legacy. For this weekend, as the eight teams battle it out to see which four will advance to the championship games, these are the three players that are worth watching.

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

Following Tennessee’s upset win at New England, the football world can’t stop raving about the play of Derrick Henry. Add us to the list of those heaping on the praise, because he has been outstanding.

Just how good was Henry last weekend? Quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw for just 72 yards, and the Titans still won because the steamroller that is Henry ran for 182 yards. He now has 393 yards over his last two games.

Up next is a trip to Baltimore against the top-seeded Ravens, another team that is pretty great at running the football. If Henry can keep it going, and he can get just a little more help from Tannehill, it’s possible we could see another upset.

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson looked like an absolute magician in Houston’s come-from-behind win against the Buffalo Bills on Wild Card weekend. Watson was running for touchdowns, bouncing off would-be tacklers, and throwing darts to his receivers.

His college coach Dabo Swinney called Watson another Michael Jordan, and no one was arguing against that comparison at the end of the game.

NFL divisional

The Texans’ defense is not good, so the Chiefs are expected to put up a lot of points in their matchup in Kansas City. But if Watson can keep pace and have another magical performance, Houston could move on.

Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are the top seed in the NFC and are the odds-on favorite to make it to the Super Bowl. But their quarterback, Jimmy Garappolo, is making his first-ever playoff start.

If the 49ers are to fulfill their lofty expectations, they will need Jimmy G to play like a guy who’s been there before. He’s had a terrific season, and there’s no reason to think that won’t continue.

But the Vikings did just make Drew Brees look rather ordinary, and they will look to do the same to Garoppolo.

It’s simple, if he plays well, so will the Niners. If he doesn’t, it might be a very short postseason.

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WagerHome Blog3 Players To Watch During The NFL Divisional Weekend

Week 17 Playoff Picture Games To Watch

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2019

There are no Saturday NFL games this week, and no one plays on Monday. With playoff implications on the line, the NFL has everyone playing on Sunday for Week 17 of the regular season, so that all teams go into their games on equal footing.

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A full 11 of the 16 games on Sunday will decide NFL playoff berths and seeding, but it’s the following five games that we’re keeping our eyes on the most.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans have already clinched the AFC South and are currently the fourth seed in the playoffs. It’s possible they could move up to third, but that would require a Chiefs loss to the Chargers in Kansas City.

For the Titans, it’s simple; win, and they are in the playoffs as the sixth seed. If it was to lose to the Texans, then Tennessee needs Pittsburgh and Indianapolis to lose, and then it would still get in.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are locked in as the AFC’s top seed. So with home-field wrapped up, they will probably rest many of their starters. That could open the door for the Steelers, who would become the sixth seed if they win and the Titans lose.

There are also a few other less likely scenarios to get the Steelers in that involve multiple other results and a strength-of-victory tiebreaker.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers and Seahawks are both in the playoffs, but the difference between a first-round bye and having to go on the road as a Wild Card is a big one, which makes this game one of the most intriguing of the weekend.

Whichever team wins gets the division. If it’s the 49ers, they will also get a first-round bye. If the Seahawks win, they get the bye if the Packers lose this week. Scenarios also exist for either team to get home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

The NFC East hasn’t exactly shown itself to be the class of the NFL this season. Only one playoff team will emerge from the division, and it’s now impossible for any team to win as many as 10 games.

That being said, the division championship is coming down to the final week, and the Eagles are in the driver’s seat. If they beat the New York Giants, they are champs of the NFC East and will be the NFC’s fourth seed.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

If the Eagles falter against the Giants, then the Cowboys can win the division. They will need to beat the Redskins at home, and their division-winning scenario only comes to fruition if the Eagles lose.

Otherwise, a Cowboys win will be a nice way to end the season, but their season will end.

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WagerHome BlogWeek 17 Playoff Picture Games To Watch