Three Best NFL Bets to Make in Week 4

by WagerHome Blog on September 30, 2021

Washington Football Team (-1) at Atlanta Falcons

This may not be the most desirable game to watch. Washington is starting Taylor Heinicke at quarterback, and they just got hammered by Buffalo. Atlanta is coming off a win, but against the Giants, it hardly qualifies as a turning point in the season.

The Falcons did cover the spread with their three-point win in New York, but in their previous two games, they missed the cover by 31.5 and 10 points. That’s not close to good. Washington has been equally bad against the spread, but they’ve actually played good teams, and they came close to beating the Chargers.

WFT has a better team, better running game, and much better defense. Look for them to win on the road by at least three points.

Tennessee Titans (-7.5) at New York Jets

The Jets have scored a grand total of 20 points in three games. The Titans scored 21 in the second half of their comeback win at Seattle.

NFL Bets

Sep 26, 2021; Denver, Colorado, USA; New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson (2) prepares to pass in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Titans’ defense is not good, and it’s unlikely the Jets will be shut out again. In fact, they could double their season points in this one game. But Derrick Henry is back, and Tennessee is getting Julio Jones more involved each week.

There is simply no reason to think the Jets will cover the spread this week, or maybe any week this season. They are that bad, and Tennessee seems to have fully righted the ship after their rocky start.

The Titans win this one on the road by at least 10 points.

Bonus bet: Over 46

The Jets will have their highest-scoring day of the season but still, lose by double-digits. That pushes this game over 46 total points.

Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

The Broncos are 3-0 on the season and 3-0 against the spread, but they’ve also played teams that are a combined 0-9 on the season and just 1-8 against the spread. Denver is good, but we have really no idea if they are undefeated good. Probably not.

In come the Ravens, fresh off another last-second victory. This team has been tested in all three games this season, and in the last two, they emerged victorious. And that is without any of the running backs they were relying on in the preseason to carry the load this season.

As a team used to winning, Baltimore knows how to finish close games, and they will win this game outright in Denver. Take the Ravens and the points.

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WagerHome BlogThree Best NFL Bets to Make in Week 4

NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Picks to Consider

by WagerHome Blog on August 17, 2021

Some people think you should never bet on the NFL preseason. We think those people either:

a) don’t like fun
b) don’t like football
c) don’t like betting, or
d) all of the above

It is tough to bet in Week 1 when you’re not sure who is going to play, what rookies are going to see significant snaps, or what kind of offense each team is going to run. But now that we’ve seen everyone play at least one game, we can go into Week 2 preseason action with good intel to help guide our picks.

On Tap Bets – NFL Week 3 Edition - On Tap Sports Net

We love to bet all year round, even if it’s preseason football. That’s why for me, those fans who think you should never bet on the NFL preseason either don’t like fun, don’t like football, don’t like betting, or all of the above.

New England Patriots (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The New England Patriots failed to cover last week against Washington, but quarterback Mac Jones looked good against a really solid Washington offense. The expectation is that he will play even more against the Philadelphia Eagles and look better against a lesser defense.

Jalen Hurts needs more work for Philly after only completing three passes against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and that gives the edge to the Patriots.

Pick: New England (-1.5)

Detroit Lions (+6) at Pittsburgh Steelers

If this was the regular season, you would take the Pittsburgh Steelers and lay the points. But they are going to continue to keep Ben Roethlisberger safe on the sidelines, while the Detroit Lions are going to keep working on growing the chemistry between Jared Goff and his new collection of wide receivers.

Six points is just too big of a spread for a game that will mostly be played with backups. You may not get to do this all season, so this week, take the Lions.

Pick: Detroit (+6)

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)

Neither starting quarterback saw significant Week 1 action, and neither one will this Friday either. But the Arizona Cardinals have more to play for. The Kansas City Chiefs are working on some depth and getting their O-line up to speed. The Cardinals are trying to push their offense to the next level.

Kansas City puts this game into cruise control first, and that’s why we like the Cardinals.

Pick: Arizona (+2.5)

Tennessee Titans (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Last week, the Tennessee Titans were getting 2.5 points against the Atlanta Falcons. They won by 20, holding Atlanta to just three points. Be a believer in this Titans team. They have a good deep offense, and because defensive improvement is such an important thing for them, they are taking the preseason seriously.

You won’t see much of Tom Brady after he finished Week 1 with just nine yards passing. And with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers having 22 incumbent starters returning in 2021, their backups will play a much greater role than Tennessee’s. For that reason, we like the Titans to cover.

Pick: Titans (+3)

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WagerHome BlogNFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Picks to Consider

What to Look for Betting NFL Preseason Week 1

by WagerHome Blog on August 9, 2021

Thursday night’s Hall of Fame Game was just a little taste of the return of football. In the first NFL preseason game of 2021, we saw the start of running back Najee Harris’s career with the Pittsburgh Steelers, linebacker Micah Parson’s career with the Dallas Cowboys, and the Steelers covering the 1.5-point spread.

With a full slate of games kicking off on Thursday and going on through Sunday, there are dozens of more storylines to follow and 16 new point spreads to wager.

Week 1 Preseason Schedule

  • Steelers at Eagles (-1)
  • Washington (-2) at Patriots
  • Bills (-2) at Lions
  • Titans (-1) at Falcons
  • Cowboys at Cardinals (-1)
  • Dolphins at Bears (-3.5)
  • Broncos (-1.5) at Vikings
  • Browns at Jaguars (-1.5)
  • Saints at Ravens (-2.5)
  • Bengals at Buccaneers (-6)
  • Jets at Giants (-1.5)
  • Texans at Packers (-3)
  • Chiefs at 49ers (-2.5)
  • Seahawks at Raiders (-1.5)
  • Chargers (-3.5) at Rams
  • Panthers at Colts (-1.5)

It’s the preseason, so everything should be wagered in moderation because you never really know who is going to play and what is going to happen, but there are some intriguing games to keep an eye on.

We have a number of regional battles this week. The fans care, and some of the players care too, so give an extra look to Steelers-Eagles, Jets-Giants, and Chargers-Rams. Zach Wilson does not want to be embarrassed by the team the New York Jets share their stadium with. And the new head coach of the Los Angeles Chargers takes on his old head coach with the LA Rams, in a stadium they also share.

New Quarterbacks

The other games to watch involve new quarterbacks. It’s the Miami Dolphins against the Chicago Bears, and Tua Tagovailoa vs. Justin Fields. They actually played against each other once in the 2018 SEC Championship Game. But that was before Fields was a starting quarterback and at Ohio State. We may not see them in the lineup at the same time, but it’s still worth a watch.

Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars hosting the Cleveland Browns will be interesting. Don’t tell the fans in Florida that it doesn’t matter in the standings. And if Lawrence completes a pass to Tim Tebow, Jacksonville might collectively pass out.

We won’t see much of Patrick Mahomes in San Francisco, but the real interest is how much of Trey Lance will we see as compared to Jimmy Garoppolo and what that might mean for the regular season.

It’s the same scenario with the New England Patriots. Cam Newton appears to still be the starter, but if Mac Jones looks good against that Washington defense, how quickly will that change?

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WagerHome BlogWhat to Look for Betting NFL Preseason Week 1

Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl LVI

by WagerHome Blog on July 20, 2021

The winner of the upcoming Super Bowl LVI has always been one of the most popular futures bets to place. Last July, the Kansas City Chiefs were the favorite to win, paying +650. The eventual champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers were paying +1200 when training camps began, and Tom Brady took his first snaps in Tampa Bay.

No surprise that as we begin training camps this week for the 2021 season, both Kansas City and Tampa Bay are at the top of the favorite’s board.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LVI

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+700)
  • Buffalo Bills (+1300)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+1400)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+1400)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+1400)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1600)
  • Green Bay Packers (+1600)
  • Indianapolis Colts (+2200)
  • Seattle Seahawks (+2500)
Tom Brady and Buccaneers dominate Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl LV – Orange  County Register

The winner of Super Bowl LVI has always been one of the most popular futures bets to place. Last July, the Kansas City Chiefs were the favorite to win at +650.

Kansas City Chiefs

The last time we saw the Chiefs, their offensive line was being abused by the Buccaneers front-seven. The next time we see the Chiefs, they will have at least four different offensive linemen in the starting lineup and possibly five. Orlando Brown, Joe Thuney, Creed Humphrey, Kyle Long, and Trey Smith are new additions expected to keep Patrick Mahomes upright and leading Andy Reid’s top offense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay spent its offseason ignoring other team’s free agents in pursuit of signing its own. They re-signed Shaq Barrett, Lavonte David, and Antonio Brown, returning all 22 starters from their Super Bowl win. At some point, Tom Brady will get old. It hasn’t happened yet, however, and bookmakers don’t think it’s going to happen to any significant degree this year either.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills and Josh Allen got within a game of the Super Bowl last year before losing at Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game. There isn’t much more room for Allen to improve, but the Buffalo pass rush needs to be better in 2021. If rookies Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham can fill the Bills’ needs on the EDGE, they will once again be in the Super Bowl mix.

Ravens, Rams, and 49ers

The three teams tied for fourth on the favorites list will live and die by the play of their quarterback.

Baltimore has a former MVP under center, and if he returns to his 2019 form, watch out for the Ravens. The Rams are hoping that new quarterback Matthew Stafford can breathe life back into their offense and put them back into the Super Bowl after two disappointing postseasons. And the 49ers, the NFC Champions in 2019, will either ride with a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo or turn the offense over to rookie Trey Lance.

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WagerHome BlogPreseason Odds to Win Super Bowl LVI

Top Three NFL Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 29, 2020

Week 7 in the NFL saw some amazing finishes, like the Arizona Cardinals coming back to beat Seattle in overtime, handing the Seahawks their first loss. And the Titans missing a late field goal against the unbeaten Steelers to suffer their first loss.

And how about a missed extra-point attempt at the end of the Browns-Bengals game that didn’t change the outcome on the field but most certainly changed things if you bet the three-point spread.

So what surprises does Week 8 have in store for the NFL fan? But more importantly, which games are the best NFL bets for Week 8 we can wager that have the fewest surprises?

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) at Baltimore Ravens

For the second straight week, the Steelers are involved in the game of the week. Last Sunday, they hung on to beat the Titans, and this Sunday, they have their first of two meetings with the Ravens.

With Ben Roethlisberger back, the Steelers (5-1 ATS) are back, and they sit as the NFL’s last remaining unbeaten team. The Ravens (3-3 ATS) are the defending AFC North champs and have taken a step back on offense this season, but only have a lone loss to Kansas City.

This is going to be a great game that comes down to the final possession, and no more than a field goal will separate the two at the end. Take Pittsburgh and the points.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns (Over 52.5)

Scoring around the NFL is up this season, and a big part of that is how these two teams play. Both of them love to score, and both of them hate playing defense.

For the Raiders, their point totals allowed this season are 30, 24, 36, 30, 32, and 45, with the average total points per game coming in at 63. Not once have they failed to break 52.

Cleveland has been just as bad (or good if you’re betting the over), giving up 38, 30, 20, 38, 23, 38, and 34. Their average total points per game is 61.

Two really bad defenses and two offenses that love to score. This over is ripe for the picking.

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) at Denver Broncos

These two teams have identical 2-4 records, but when watching the Chargers, you see a team on the rise. When watching the Broncos, especially last week at home, you can see a team still trying to find itself.

nfl bets for week 8

The Chargers are 5-1 ATS, playing with confidence in their young quarterback and coming off a 10-point win. In Denver, Drew Lock continues to struggle, and the Broncos are coming off a 27-point loss.

Los Angeles wins this by a touchdown. Take the Chargers and lay the points.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NFL Bets for Week 8

NFL Best Bets for Week 6

by WagerHome Blog on October 15, 2020

Week 5 of the NFL season extended its way through Tuesday for just the second time in 70 years. We’re down to five unbeaten teams, while only three teams remain winless.

And we got one quarterback who heroically worked his way back to the field in Washington’s Alex Smith, while another in Dallas’ Dak Prescott is starting his journey on the same road to recovery after a Week 5 injury.

What does Week 6 have in store for NFL fans, and where should the smart bettor put their money? Let’s take a look at our NFL best bets.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

These are not your father’s Cleveland Browns, but they are your grandfather’s. For the first time since Bill Belichick was their head coach, the Browns are 4-1, and it’s a solid 4-1. They have legitimate playmakers on both sides of the ball and are right to be thinking playoffs.

They haven’t won in Pittsburgh since the stone age, and they may not win here – the Steelers are one of those remaining unbeatens. But look for Cleveland to keep the final margin to within a field goal.

Cincinnati Bengals (+8) at Indianapolis Colts

Rookie growing pains aside, Joe Burrow is showing himself to be a capable quarterback in Cincinnati. And while the record doesn’t show it, with just one win in five games, the competitiveness of each game does.

The Bengals lost by three, lost by five, tied, and won by eight. (We don’t count the big loss to Baltimore because the Ravens do that to everyone.)

Philip Rivers is good for a turnover, and the Colts have been too up and down to justify such a big spread. Look for the Bengals to keep this within a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

If not for a pair of games against the two winless teams from New Jersey, the 49ers would be winless themselves. Along with the other injuries they’ve suffered, suddenly they don’t have a reliable quarterback, with Jimmy Garoppolo getting benched in last week’s embarrassment against the Dolphins.

The Rams have scored 30 points in three of their last four games. They’ll do it again this week and will easily cover against their division rivals.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys (Over 54.5)

A good backup quarterback can save a season, and it just might do that in Dallas. Prescott is done for the year, but Andy Dalton is very good when he has weapons, and he definitely has them in Dallas.

nfl best bets

The problem in Big D is the lack of any meaningful defense, which is giving up an average of 40 points per game in the last four weeks. The Cardinals will score, and score often, and score again.

Anything could happen with who wins this game, but offense is guaranteed. This game will go over 54.5 with plenty of room to spare.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Best Bets for Week 6

NFL Week 4 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 1, 2020

The NFL is in full swing, so we’re taking a look at some of the Week 4 best bets for you to make.

Scoring is up around the league. We just had our first big showdown of the season when the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens played on Monday.

We’re getting MVP and record-breaking performances out of Russell Wilson each week. Josh Allen has been a revelation in Buffalo. The Chicago Bears are undefeated, as are the Pittsburgh Steelers with the return of Ben Roethlisberger.

So many great stories in this young NFL season. And so many great opportunities to cash in on wagers in Week 4.

Baltimore Ravens (-12.5) at Washington Football Team

The Ravens still fancy themselves the best team in the AFC, and they are going to be angry when they take the short trip to Washington. Lamar Jackson was completely bottled up by Kansas City, but that will not happen two weeks in a row.

Add in the fact that Dwayne Haskins is coming off a three-interception performance, and now he’ll face one of the best secondaries in football, and this has the makings of a blowout. Baltimore will win by more than two touchdowns, covering the spread.

Buffalo Bills (-3) at Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have struggled to stop anyone with their defense, and now the Bills come to town with Josh Allen playing like a quarterback reborn. The Raiders are giving up 30 points per game, and Allen and company will easily eclipse that number in Las Vegas.

The Raiders and Derek Carr simply don’t have enough to keep up. Buffalo pulls away in the end, winning by at least a touchdown and covering the three-point spread.

Cleveland Browns (+5.5) at Dallas Cowboys

Break up the Cleveland Browns, who are over .500 for the first time since 2014. And they are doing it with the best backfield in the entire NFL, with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. The Dallas defense is an absolute mess right now, even with the play of Aldon Smith.

week 4 best bets

The Cowboys will score plenty in his game, but Cleveland will keep pace. In the end, only a field goal will separate these two teams, and the Browns will cover.

Miami Dolphins (+6.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson is playing out of his mind through three weeks, and the Seahawks are a good bet to once again hit the 35-point mark. This season they’ve scored 38, 35, and 38 points. But as good as their offense has been, their defense has been equally bad, giving up 25, 30, and 31 points.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing great, and after a near-miss against Buffalo, he helped Miami score 31 in a win over Jacksonville. The Dolphins have had a few extra days of preparation for this one, which will help them keep the margin under a touchdown and cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 4 Best Bets

NFL Week 3 Betting Predictions

by WagerHome Blog on September 22, 2020

The traditional overreactions to Week 1 in the NFL were set right with Week 2. The Buccaneers offense is good, as we thought in August.

The Colts could still be a playoff team, despite that early loss to Jacksonville. And the Cowboys are definitely the class of the NFC East.

As we head into Week 3, it’s now injuries that are driving the major narratives, with teams all over the league facing life without many of their star players. And of course, that injury report informs our betting choices for this weekend’s slate of games.

Arizona Cardinals (-6) vs. Detroit Lions

The Cardinals are not only a relatively healthy team; they look fantastic. There isn’t much that Kyler Murray can’t do, and or much of a chance that the Lions defense is going to slow him down. Detroit just made Mitchell Trubisky look competent, so they’re going to make Murray feel like an MVP candidate.

The Cardinals look like a playoff team. The Lions look to be headed toward a coaching change. Take Arizona and give the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) vs. Houston Texans

Another healthy team is the Steelers, and Ben Roethlisberger looks completely healthy after missing all of last year. He has a host of stud wide receivers to throw to and is backed up by one of the best defenses in the league.

On the other side, the Texans aren’t stopping anyone on defense, and on offense, they’re still waiting for someone to step into the playmaker role that was vacated by DeAndre Hopkins.

It’s a tough start to the season, facing Kansas City and Baltimore out of the gate. It doesn’t get much easier against the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh to cover.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7) at Denver Broncos

The Broncos are now without quarterback Drew Lock and top wide receiver Courtland Sutton and are fading fast in the AFC West. They will fall to 0-3 this week, and the continually improving offense of Tom Brady and the Buccaneers will make this one a blowout.

In August, Denver looked like a possible contender. Ravaged by injuries a month later, Tampa Bay covers this one easily.

Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) at Buffalo Bills

When you watch the Rams of 2020, it’s easy to remember how this team made it to the Super Bowl following the 2018 season. The offense looks smooth, Jared Goff once again looks like a No. 1 overall pick, and Aaron Donald makes everything more difficult for opponents.

nfl

The Bills have looked solid but against terrible competition. Josh Allen will struggle more than he has this year, and the Rams will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 3 Betting Predictions

NFL is Back! Five Teams to Bet to Get off to a Great Start

by WagerHome Blog on September 8, 2020

After seven long months of no NFL, starting this weekend, we get all the NFL we could possibly want. Great catches, crunching hits, questionable play calls, and, of course, the best sports betting anywhere on planet Earth!

With no OTAs, no preseason, and a truncated training camp, we’ve never entered a new season knowing so little. But what we do know can be used to our advantage.

Top Five Teams to Bet

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5) at New York Giants

The Giants have perhaps the worst roster in the league and a new head coach. The Steelers have a great defense, Ben Roethlisberger, and continuity at head coach.

That will be the theme here in the early going. New coaches, new players, and new systems take time to gel.

We are going to see a larger number of blowouts here in the early going because of the weird offseason, and this will be one of them. Take the Steelers, lay the points.

Detroit Lions (-3) vs. Chicago Bears

Before Matthew Stafford got hurt last year, he was having a great season. The Bears, on the other hand, are still rolling out Mitchell Trubisky after Nick Foles failed to beat him out for the starting job. That’s not good.

Detroit had the better offseason and has the much better quarterback. The Lions are a sleeper to challenge for a playoff spot, and you should take them to cover here.

Indianapolis Colts (-7.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The roster purge in Jacksonville has left the cupboard bare. Meanwhile, the Colts have a new gunslinger under center, one of the best offensive lines in football, and a defense more than capable against Gardner Minshew and whoever else is left in Jacksonville.

Take the Colts and Philip Rivers to win this in a blowout and easily cover the 7.5 points.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Two teams with two new quarterbacks. There will be growing pains for Joe Burrow in Cincinnati, but with no Derwin James to face in the Chargers secondary, he’ll have fewer pains to start.

On the other sideline, Tyrod Taylor has Keenan Allen, but the health of Mike Williams is a big question mark headed into Sunday.

This feels like a field goal win for the Chargers, which is why the Bengals at home getting the points are the better bet.

Cleveland Browns (+7.5) at Baltimore Ravens

nfl

The Ravens are still an AFC favorite and expect them to win here. But the Browns offense is now under the direction of Kevin Stefanski, and the offensive line is much better.

They will stick with the Ravens in this one and score against a Baltimore secondary now without Earl Thomas. Baltimore wins, but take the points and the Browns.

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WagerHome BlogNFL is Back! Five Teams to Bet to Get off to a Great Start