NFL Playoffs: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Pick

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2024

The Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs are set to begin this weekend, but the biggest game is taking place on Sunday night. That is when the Kansas City Chiefs will visit the Buffalo Bills in what should be a terrific battle. 

There is going to be plenty of betting action throughout the rest of the NFL Playoffs, and that will be the case in this game as well. Instead of just trying to come up with your own top bets for this game, it’s time to start setting up your own PPH site. 

You are in complete control when setting up a Pay Per Head site, and that means that you will be the one that is making all of the money. will provide you with plenty of tools to set up your own PPH site, and now is when you should get that set up.

Here is a quick look at this massive NFL Playoff game in which the Bills are slim 2.5-point betting favorites. 

Chiefs Looking for Upset

The Chiefs and Bills have been two of the best teams in the NFL for the last few seasons, and it’s no surprise that they are meeting up in the postseason again. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are also two of the best players in the sport, and each team can carry their teams. 

It was a strange season for the Chiefs as Mahomes and that offense failed to get things going throughout the season. Travis Kelce was still near 1,000 rushing yards, but much of the Kansas City attack came on the ground. 

Buffalo got off to a terrible start this season, but Josh Allen really turned things around to end the season. Allen had a long rushing touchdown in the Wild Card Round, and he can also make plays through the air. 

The weather could end up impacting this game a bit, but there will still be a chance to score some points in this matchup. Kansas City will have to prove that they can keep pace on the road, but the Chiefs also have a big weapon in their defense. 

This game is going to come down to the final few minutes, but you simply can’t go against Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs. Kansas City is going to pick up a big win over the Buffalo Bills in this matchup. 

Be Your Own Bookie

The NFL Playoffs will always be a popular betting option, and everything will really ramp up ahead of the Super Bowl. With the big game less than a month away, now is when you need to start setting up your PPH site. 

Don’t try to take on this task on your own, but instead use the tools provided from to make things easier. has a ton of experience in this space, and the website will also provide you guidance throughout the entire journey.

This is not a long process to get your PPH site up and running, and you will want to have things in place for the Super Bowl. Don’t delay and get your PPH site ready to go and start accepting bets on the rest of the NFL Playoffs. 

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WagerHome BlogNFL Playoffs: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Pick

With No Unbeatens Left, NFL Super Bowl Odds Shift

by WagerHome Blog on October 17, 2023

It’s not just that the NFL’s last two remaining unbeaten teams lost on Sunday. It’s how they lost, and who they lost to.

The San Francisco 49ers were seen as the class of the league this NFL season, steamrolling their opponents, including their biggest NFL game of the year, a 42-10 Week 5 win over the Cowboys. But this week, facing a backup quarterback in P.J. Walker, the Niners lost 19-17 and managed just 215 total yards.

The Eagles hadn’t been winning by the same margins as the 49ers, but they were winning with the same frequency. But then, on Sunday, they turned the ball over four times, including three interceptions by Jalen Hurts, and they lost to the Jets, 20-14.

Who remains worthy of your Super Bowl bet?

Current Odds to Win NFL Super Bowl LVIII

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+450)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+450)
  • Philadelphia Eagles (+750)
  • Buffalo Bills (+800)
  • Miami Dolphins (+1000)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+1100)
  • Detroit Lions (+1400)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+1600)

The Kansas City Chiefs now have the longest winning streak in the NFL at five games. They aren’t blowing people out offensively, but they are playing much better defense than in years past, and their margin for victory is actually higher than last year.

The 49ers are still a great team, and a bad game against really good defense doesn’t change that. And one bad game from Brock Purdy doesn’t undo all of the good games he’s played in San Francisco.

The Buffalo Bills remain as the fourth betting favorite, but they were just one yard away from losing to the hapless Giants at home, following up on their poor performance in London. This feels like an overpay, considering how poorly they have played the last two weeks.


The Dolphins have the best offense in the NFL, and even as they begin to take some nicks – rookie running back De’Von Achane is on IR – their explosiveness hasn’t changed. They scored the final 42 points in their blowout win over the Panthers this week.

The Detroit Lions at +1400 should feel disrespected. They beat the Chiefs straight up, albeit against a Chiefs team missing two All-Pros. But all of their other wins have come by double-digits, including this week’s 20-6 easy victory on the road at Tampa Bay. Detroit’s lone loss came in overtime against a good Seattle team.

The Lions have seen improving odds each week, thanks to their 5-1 record, but both the Bills and Cowboys have more losses than the Lions and really bad losses at that.

Pay Per Head Software

This week, there is a full schedule of NFL games, with no one of the bye. There are also four games this weekend between teams in the top-25 in college football. Twenty-one of the top-25 is in action overall. Plus, we have the Major League Baseball Championship Series.

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WagerHome BlogWith No Unbeatens Left, NFL Super Bowl Odds Shift

Best Bets for NFL Week 4

by WagerHome Blog on September 28, 2023

In NFL Week 3, survivor pools were left in tatters after the Dallas Cowboys lost to the Arizona Cardinals and the Baltimore Ravens lost to the Indianapolis Colts. And how on earth could the Minnesota Vikings get inside the Chargers six-yard line twice in the final three minutes and not score any points?

Thus are the fates when you wager on the NFL.

Miami Dolphins (+2.5) at Buffalo Bills

There is no greater example of the week-to-week nature of the NFL than the fact that one week after winning 70-20, the Dolphins are road underdogs.

Sure, Miami has a bad history in Buffalo. They’ve lost seven in a row when visiting the Bills. But they nearly won in the playoffs in January with Skylar Thompson at quarterback, and this year’s Miami team just feels different.

When the best offense is getting points, you take them.

Washington Commanders (+8) at Philadelphia Eagles

You will be forgiven for not taking the Commanders in this one, considering how bad things got last week against the Bills. But this is a divisional game (always close), and don’t forget that last year, an undefeated Eagles team dropped their first game of the year to a lesser version of the Commanders.

Washington has the defense and the running game to keep this NFL game close, and until Jalen Hurts irons out his inconsistencies in the passing game, Philadelphia will get more tight wins than blowouts. Washington knows how to play the Eagles tight, and they will do it again on Sunday.


Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (-3)

Even with a bad Deshaun Watson last season, the Browns and Ravens split, with Cleveland winning at home. The year before that, with a bad Baker Mayfield, the teams also split, each winning on their home field.

Now the Browns are getting average play from Watson and otherworldly play from their defense – Cleveland has the best scoring defense in the NFL, giving up just 10 points per game.

The Nick Chubb loss looks to be big, as the Browns mustered almost no running game last week against the Titans. But Baltimore is dealing with multiple injuries at multiple positions, and that will make it too hard for them to overcome the defense or the crowd in Cleveland.

Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) at New York Jets

This is Patrick Mahomes’ first career start in New York. Hall of Famer Joe Namath is hoping this is Zach Wilson’s final start in New York.

Yes, the Jets have a great defense. But so do the Chiefs, and they have Mahomes and Travis Kelce. Word is that Taylor Swift will also be in attendance, and Kansas City is 1-0 against the spread when she is in the building.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 4

NFL 2023 Kickoff Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 5, 2023

Give yourself a round of applause. You have survived another NFL offseason. On Thursday, the new 2023 season kicks off in Kansas City, as the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs hang their banner with the Detroit Lions in town.

The NFL moved to a single-game Thursday kickoff in 2002, and since 2004, it has been a tradition to have that game hosted by the defending Super Bowl champions. There will be concerts, a larger-than-normal tailgate at Arrowhead Stadium, and a full celebration of the 272 games of the regular season to come.

Amid all the pomp and circumstance, there will be a football game. A pretty good football game at that. And there will be NFL betting.

NFL Week 1: Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

If there is one team that is impossible to hate, it is the Detroit Lions. Their starting quarterback, Jared Goff, is engaged to a Sports Illustrated swimsuit model. Their head coach is ranked No. 1 on everyone’s list of “want to have a beer with.” Their fans have been battered by bad teams since the 1950s, yet they remain loyal.

There is something about the city of Detroit and something about the Lions that you want to root for.

And to top it off, they are actually a good team. They are favored to win the NFC North because they have one of the best offenses in the NFL. We won’t see Jameson Williams to begin the season, but in the age of diminishing running back returns, rookie Jahmyr Gibbs is an exciting one to watch.


The Kansas City Chiefs are also a pretty good team. For each of the five years that Partick Mahomes has been the quarterback, they have hosted the AFC Championship Game. Twice, they have won the Super Bowl with Mahomes, and they are the preseason betting favorite to win a third.

Chris Jones remains a holdout, which will hurt the Chiefs pass rush. Can the Lions take advantage of that? Maybe, on offense. But the Chiefs offense should have its way with a suspect Lions defense.

Game Pick: Chiefs (-7)

Andy Reid is 9-1 in Week 1 as the head coach of the Chiefs, 5-0 with Mahomes as the starting quarterback, and Mahomes has 18 Week 1 touchdown passes and no interceptions.

In these five season-openers, the Chiefs have won them all by an average of 13 points, and four of the five wins were by at least 10 points. Go with the Chiefs at home.

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WagerHome BlogNFL 2023 Kickoff Betting Preview

NFL Week 3 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 20, 2022

The NFL loves its parity, and after two weeks of football, we are down to just six undefeated teams – the Bills, Dolphins, and Chiefs in the AFC, and the Eagles, Giants, and Buccaneers in the NFC.

That is the fewest 2-0 teams in the NFL since divisions realigned in 2002. It’s also worth noting that there are only five teams that are 0-2, and that’s a magic number because last season, we had seven 0-2 teams, and not one of them made the playoffs. Three of the five teams at 0-2 this year were playoff teams in 2021.

It’s the best league, anything can happen, and anything can happen when you place your bets.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) at New England Patriots

It is a week for road favorites, and the first of these is the Baltimore Ravens visiting the New England Patriots.

Lamar Jackson isn’t likely to have another perfect week, but he is clearly playing at the top of his game, and he should have another big week. The Ravens’ defense also won’t collapse, as it did against the Dolphins. Instead of trying to contain Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, a challenge for a banged-up secondary, the Patriots have Jakobi Meyers and Nelson Agholor.

Advantages to the Ravens in all three phases of the game have them covering the field goal spread.


Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Indianapolis Colts

No team has started this season worse than the Indianapolis Colts, and Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense is just fine without Tyreek Hill.

Kansas City had some problems with the Chargers’ wide receivers, but that is a weakness of the Colts, as is their offensive tackle situation. Shutting down Indy isn’t hard to do right now (see: Week 2 at Jacksonville), and the Chiefs will find the end zone at least four times.

Kansas City rolls to a big win in Indianapolis.

Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at Miami Dolphins

Good on the Miami Dolphins for their comeback win over the Ravens. But don’t forget, they were down 35-14, and against a better NFL team, that comeback never happens, and Miami loses big.

Buffalo is that better team. The best team in the NFL at this stage, coming off two giant wins over two of the best teams in 2021. Super Bowl champion Rams, no problem. They beat them by 21. The No. 1 playoff seed in the AFC in the Titans, they barely break a sweat. The Bills beat them by 34.

Buffalo is scary good, and they go into Miami and win by well over a touchdown.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 3 Betting Picks

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

by WagerHome Blog on February 16, 2022

The NFL has become a 12-month a year league, and so has NFL betting. No matter what time of year it is, and no matter how far away the next scheduled game is (or like now when we don’t even have a schedule), there are NFL bets to play.

Right now, the big bet is, of course, the winner of the next year’s Super Bowl, scheduled to be played in Glendale, Arizona, on February 12, 2023.

Favorites to Win Super Bowl LVII

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+750)
  • Buffalo Bills (+750)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+1000)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+1400)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)
  • Green Bay Packers (+1600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+2000)
  • Denver Broncos (+2000)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2200)
  • Tennessee Titans (+2200)

The Bills-Chiefs divisional round game in Kansas City was the best game of the 2021 postseason, and not surprisingly, with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen at the height of their powers, these are the two teams deemed most likely to win next year’s Super Bowl.

The defending champion Los Angeles Rams are next at +1000, and the top-rated team in the NFC. Question marks with Odell Beckham, Jr., Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Sean McVay are likely the reason they aren’t higher. Plus, they play in a division with the 49ers, who are one of three teams tied for fourth-most likely to win the Super Bowl.

Joining San Francisco at +1400 is the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, as well as the Dak Prescott-led Dallas Cowboys.

One thing the Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bengals, and Cowboys all have in common is a settled franchise quarterback. The Niners are the highest-ranked team without that luxury, and it’s also where the Packers find themselves at +1600. If Jordan Love is their quarterback in 2022, those odds should go way up.

Also of note, the Ravens should be healthy next season, and +2000 might be great value. And the Titans, with a healthy Derrick Henry, might also be a great play at +2200.

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

Fallen Playoff Teams

Notably off the favorites board are three teams coming off playoff appearances.

The Eagles are at +4000, which is probably a reflection of being in the Cowboys’ shadow, plus continued doubts about Jalen Hurts.

No more Ben Roethlisberger has cratered the Steelers outlook. They are paying just +5000 to win next year’s Super Bowl. It doesn’t help that they play the Bengals and Ravens twice.

And what’s happened to the Raiders? They were a play away from beating the Bengals in the AFC playoffs and don’t expect a major roster turnover, yet they too are only listed at +5000. If you’re looking for a good value bet, this is it.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

AFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2022

We are back with another NFL betting preview! There is absolutely no way that this weekend can match the excitement of the Divisional Round. Every single one of the four games ended with a walk-off win.

But as a consolation to not being the best weekend of football, this is the most important weekend of the season, with the winners on Sunday headed to Super Bowl LVI. Check out our AFC and NFC Championship betting previews below!

AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Both of these quarterbacks need the week off. Joe Burrow, in his last-second win over the Titans, was sacked nine times. He needs a week in a hot tub before he plays the Chiefs.

For Patrick Mahomes, he needs the week to return his heart rate back to normal. In the final two minutes and overtime of his last-second win over the Bills, there were 31 points scored, four lead changes, and Mahomes himself threw for 177 yards after the two-minute warning.

So can the Bengals, who have scored a total of 47 points in their two playoff games, keep up with the Chiefs, who have scored a total of 84 points in their two playoff games?

Fortunately, we don’t have to wonder. These teams played one another less than four weeks ago, and the Bengals did keep pace with Kansas City, actually winning 34-31 on a final-play field goal. You might remember that Ja’Marr Chase was incredible, going for 266 yards, and he has gone over 100 yards in each round of the playoffs.

Yes, the Bengals can keep pace with the Chiefs, and with a large seven-point spread, they will cover.

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

This is another rematch from the regular season and another one where the visiting underdog was the winner the first time around. For the 49ers, it was actually two wins against the Rams this season, and if you want to go back even further, they’ve now won six-straight games against their Southern California rivals.

Because of that Week 18 win in Los Angeles that put San Francisco into the postseason, they have a longer winning streak. But heading into the NFC Championship, at least on the offensive side of the ball, they have the most question marks.

Jimmy Garoppolo did not play well against the Cowboys, and he did not play well against the Packers. Jimmy G has 303 yards passing, no touchdowns, and two interceptions in the playoffs, but amazingly the 49ers have been winning.

Matthew Stafford is playing great in L.A., with 568 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and the Rams offense is clicking in a way that will make it very tough for the 49ers on Sunday. Not only does L.A. win the game, but they also win it by at least a touchdown and cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogAFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

Free NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2022

Perhaps 14 teams is too many. The seven seeds lost their two games by a combined 38 points, and the Patriots, one of the six seeds, lost by 37 points.

And none of those three games were even that close.

But this, the Divisional Round, now that the fat has been trimmed, is always the best weekend of the year.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans

What a way for the Divisional Round weekend to kick off. It’s Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense versus Derrick Henry’s return (fingers crossed), a top-10 defense, and the top seed in the AFC.

Sometimes it’s good to have a bye, and other times it’s good to keep rolling. The Bengals got both, resting their starters in Week 18 and now going into Tennessee on the momentum of winning their first playoff game in 31 years.

This will be a close game, decided by a field goal or less, and look for the Bengals to cover.

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-6)

Nick Bosa isn’t practicing, and we’re not sure he’s going to play. Jimmy Garoppolo has yet another injury he has to deal with. Meanwhile, the Packers are getting healthier, with both Za’Darius Smith and Jaire Alexander back at practice this week.

But even if they don’t play, this Packers team is chasing destiny. Look for the Packers to cover with the point spread at less than a touchdown.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs defense seems to be getting healthy, but their offense took another hit when All-Pro tight tackle Tristan Wirfs went down on Sunday with an ankle injury. He hasn’t been ruled out, but we do know he won’t practice until at least Friday. We also saw that without Wirfs, that offensive line struggled.

Now comes Aaron Donald, who specializes in making offensive lines struggle. The Rams looked great, they are healthy, and Matthew Stafford and company are primed to pull off the Divisional Round upset.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-2)

After Saturday night, it was apparent no one was going to beat Josh Allen and the Bills. He had 374 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

Sunday night, it was evident that no one would beat Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. He had 432 yards of offense and five touchdown passes.

So what do we make of this Sunday’s game between the two?

It’s going to be a classic and likely come down to the end. But the game is at Arrowhead Stadium – advantage Chiefs – and Patrick Mahomes has a .777 winning percentage in the postseason, which is better than both Tom Brady and Joe Montana.

It’s going to be a great Divisional Round game, with Kansas City winning by three points in the end.

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WagerHome BlogFree NFL Divisional Round Betting Previews

NFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 13, 2022

NFL Wild card weekend is here, and the only thing as good as the football from Saturday through Monday night, is the betting.

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

The Bengals haven’t won a playoff game in 31 years, losing eight straight playoff games since beating the Houston Oilers 41-14. That eight-game losing streak began with a 20-10 loss to the Raiders, and the streak will end with a win over the Raiders by at least a touchdown.

For the Raiders, this will be their third straight postseason loss.

New England Patriots (+4) at Buffalo Bills

For the third time in just over a month, the Patriots and Bills meet, and that kind of familiarity favors the experience of Bill Belichick.

The Bills offense has struggled since they played the Patriots in Week 16. Josh Allen threw three interceptions in Week 17 and completed just 53 percent of his passes in Week 18.

The Bills may still win, but the Patriots’ defense keeps it to within a field goal.

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Except for two games with the Panthers, the Bucs haven’t looked great this last month. There was the near-miss against the Jets, a shut out to the Saints, and a trainer’s room full of injuries.

NFL Opening Round Playoff PicksTom Brady is still Tom Brady, but the 109 yards given up on the ground to Josh Allen in Week 14 is a sign that the top rusher among NFL quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts, and the top-ranked rushing team, the Eagles, will keep this game close.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

A month ago, it was said that if the Cowboys re-discovered their offense, they were going to be really tough to beat in the postseason. Two 50-burgers in the last three weeks, and this offense, coupled with a defense that ranks seventh in points allowed, should roll at home.

The Niners earned their way into the playoffs, but they will be bounced by more than a touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-13.5)

In 19 playoff games, we have seen a point spread as high as 13 points. The favored team is 18-1 overall (the one loss was by the Rams to the Patriots in the Super Bowl), and against the spread, the favored team is 11-7-1.

The Steelers lost to Kansas City, 36-10, three weeks ago, and that was without Travis Kelce. He’s playing, and the Chiefs win this game easily.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-4)

The Cardinals did get the win in Dallas in Week 17, but they’ve lost the other four of their final fives games and too bad teams in Detroit and Seattle. The Rams backed into the division championship with their own loss in Week 18 but have enough firepower to win this game by a touchdown.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Opening Round Playoff Picks

NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2021

We are nearing the halfway point of the NFL season, and the action around the league is heating up. There are some big games on the schedule in Week 8, but more importantly, there are some great NFL Week 8 betting opportunities to be had.

Arizona Cardinals -6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers

The 7-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 6-1 Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 8. These are two of the best teams in the NFL this season, but the Packers are coming into this game shorthanded.

Green Bay could be without their top three wide receivers due to injuries and COVID-19, and that is going to have a big impact on this game. Arizona is scoring over 32 points per game, and the Packers will need to score to keep this game close.

This would be a great game if both teams were at full strength, but that won’t be the case in this one. Take the Arizona Cardinals -6.5 as they win this game by a touchdown at least.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.0 at New Orleans Saints

The New Orleans Saints pose the biggest challenge to Tampa Bay in the NFC South, but it’s not a very big threat. Tampa Bay has been rolling over opponents this season, and they will be looking to make a statement in New Orleans.

The Saints are allowing less than 17 points per game this season, but they haven’t faced an offense this good yet. Tom Brady has already thrown for 21 touchdowns this season, and this should be another huge day for the Tampa Bay offense.

NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

New Orleans can make this a competitive game, but they just don’t have enough weapons to win the game. Take the Buccaneers -5.0 as they move to 7-1.

Kansas City Chiefs -10.0 vs. New York Giants

The Kansas City Chiefs are an absolute mess, and their 3-4 start has to be one of the biggest surprises in football. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown nine interceptions this season, and that defense has been a disaster.

The Chiefs host the 2-5 New York Giants on Monday night, and this feels like the perfect time to turn things around. Kansas City is too talented to continue to lose games, and they should feast on a bad Giants team in this one.

New York is dealing with a number of injuries to key players, and this could get out of hand in a hurry. Take the Chiefs -10.0 as the Monday Night Football Game turns into a blowout.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 8 Betting Picks