Justin Thomas Archives

Ryder Cup Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on September 25, 2023

Two years ago in Wisconsin, the United States dominated the Ryder Cup, beating the Europeans 19-9. Schedule changes in 2020 because of COVID mean that we haven’t played this storied competition on European soil since 2018, but we are back.

The Europeans have won six straight times on their home continent, last losing in England in 1993. This will be the first-ever Ryder Cup to be played in Italy and just the third Ryder Cup to be played somewhere other than Great Britain, Ireland, or the United States.

Even though the competition is taking place in Europe, where traditionally, the United States has not done well, the United States is the favorite at -120. A bet on Europe is +130, and a tie score is paying +900.

There are also available spreads for the winner.

The United States +3 pays -265. Europe -3 pays +275.
Europe +3 pays -190. The United States -3 pays +200.

Ryder Cup Schedule

The Ryder Cup festivities begin on Tuesday, but the competition doesn’t begin until Friday, September 29. The day before, on Thursday, the pairings will be announced.

On Friday morning, the four foursome matches tee off. In the afternoon, there will be four fourball matches. This same schedule will be repeated on Saturday, with foursome matches in the morning and fourball matches in the afternoon (Italian time).

Sunday, all 12 golfers from each team will play in singles matches.

Foursome matches involve two teams of team golfers each, alternating shots in match play. Fourball matches also involve two teams of two golfers each, but all golfers play their own ball through the completion of the hole, with the best individual score counting for the team.

The Teams

The Europeans boast three of the top four golfers in the world, with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Viktor Hovland. The United States, however, has eight of the world’s best 15 players, compared to just six for Europe. Australian Cameron Smith is the outlier, ranked 11th in the world.

Each team has four Ryder Cup rookies, and the U.S. is without 2021 stalwarts Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau, who made the move to LIV. Justin Thomas is back from 2021, but he has been struggling this year and perhaps shouldn’t have been used for the captain’s pick.

American Scottie Scheffler is the No. 1 ranked player in the world, but the Europeans, with Hovland, have the hottest golfer in the world. Hovland ended the season with wins at the BMW and Tour Championship, winning the FedEx Cup playoffs and the $18 million prize. He also finished in the top 10 at the PGA Championship, the Masters, the U.S. Open, and the Open Championship.

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Scottish Open 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 5, 2022

The golfing world is in Scotland for the Scottish Open 2022, before the eyes of the sports world turn to St. Andrews and the 150th edition of The Open Championship.

But before golf plays its final major of the season, the Renaissance Club hosts the Scottish Open for the fourth time in the tournament’s existence. And in the previous three outings, we have seen some very good scores come from the leaderboard, including a 22-under par from Bernd Wiesberger in 2019.

Favorites to Win the Scottish Open

Jon Rahm (+1200)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
Cameron Smith (+2800)
Sam Burns (+2800)
Will Zalatoris (+2800)

This weekend’s tournament features 14 of the top 15 players in the world, and it’s one of the few co-sanctioned events between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, which contributes to being such a strong field just one week before The Open Championship.

As with most links courses in Scotland, the fairways are nice and wide, meaning that distance off the tee is more important than accuracy off the tee. The number one player in the world over his last 12 rounds in driving distance is Jon Rahm, who, not surprisingly, is the betting favorite here.

Getting close to the pins on approach, however, will prove to be difficult. Bunkers will be a factor, as will greens that feature a number of hills. And when it comes to strokes gained on approach, three of the top five golfers in the world over the last 12 rounds are on this Scottish Open favorites board.

Xander Schauffele is second in the world, Cameron Smith is third, and Sam Burns is fifth.

Recent U.S. Open champion Matt Fitzpatrick is also in the mix, and even though his best-ever Open finish was a T20 in 2019, the Englishman is back on his home island, and he has to be considered a top favorite.

Best Value Plays

A couple of DP World Tour players who you may not be familiar with highlight our best value plays of the weekend.

First is Ryan Fox, paying +4000. The New Zealander currently ranks fourth in the European Tour, and he was just the runner-up last week at the Irish Open, shooting a 64 on Sunday to take home the title.

Aaron Rai at +6600 is also someone worth a closer look. He was the winner at Scottish Open in 2020 on this course, and that was when the weather conditions were less than ideal. And when it comes to strokes gained on par 4’s between 450 and 500 yards – of which there are five on this course – Rai has been the best in the world over his last 12 rounds.

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US Open 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 14, 2022

When watching Phil Mickelson speak to the press on Monday, in the run up to the US Open 2022, last week’s words from Rory McIlroy were echoing through the room.

“Any decision that you make in your life that’s purely for money usually doesn’t end up going the right way. Money is a deciding factor in a lot of things in this world, but if it’s purely for money, it never seems to go the way you want it.”

Instead of answering questions about his quest to win the one major that has eluded him, Mickelson is answering questions about joining the Saudi Arabian-financed LIV.

And that will be the case for the dozen players who are at US Open 2022 this week, trying to win the top prize of the USGA, after spurning the PGA Tour for the lesser events of the LIV, but with bigger paydays.

Favorites to Win US Open 2022

Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Justin Thomas (+1100)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Jon Rahm (+1400)
Cameron Smith (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2200)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2200)
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Will Zalatoris (+2500)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Shane Lowry (+2500)
Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
Sam Burns (+2500)

Last year Jon Rahm was the favorite to win the US Open, and he did. So don’t shy away from Rory McIlroy because he’s the US Open 2022 favorite. He has the shortest odds, but if he wins, he wins.

And when he gets hot, he often stays hot. He was second at the Masters, eighth at the PGA, and he just won the Canadian Open.

Speaking of guys playing pretty good golf, how about Justin Thomas, the winner of the PGA Championship four weeks ago. He was also T8 at the Masters and third at last week’s Canadian Open.

Speaking of more guys playing pretty good golf, how about Scottie Scheffler, who has a commanding lead in the FedExCup Standings. The Masters champion has four wins this season, plus a second-place finish three weeks ago at the Charles Schwab, and he was T7 at last year’s US Open.

Best Value Bets

Billy Horschel is paying +4500 even though he just won the Memorial two weeks ago.

He was also a second-place finisher at the Zurich Classic in April. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March, he finished T2. His best effort in the US Open was a T4 in 2013.

Justin Rose at +5000 at the US Open 2022 and is also worth a look. He finished the Canadian Open with a final round 60, and that included three bogeys.

Imagine what could have been. Not only is coming off a near historic round, he is a past US Open winner.

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RBC Canadian Open 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on June 7, 2022

We are a week away from the U.S. Open. So to get themselves one final tuneup before the third major of the season, a large number of top golfers are meeting in Canada for the RBC Canadian Open – the first playing of this event since 2019.

The event in 2020 and 2021 was wiped out because of COVID-19.

Five of the world’s top nine players are in the field, as are both winners of the two majors already held this year – Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas.

Favorites to Win RBC Canadian Open

Scottie Scheffler (+800)
Justin Thomas (+900)
Rory McIlroy (+1000)
Cameron Smith (+1200)
Sam Burns (+1600)
Corey Conners (+2000)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)
Shane Lowry (+2000)
Tony Finau (+2500)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2800)

Scottie Scheffler is having a 2022 for the ages, winning four of his last ten starts and only losing his last time out in an extra-hole playoff. He is the best golfer in the world, and even with short odds limiting a winning payout on Scheffler, he’s still worth it.

Justin Thomas is the PGA Champion who missed the cut his next time out. We’ll forgive that misstep, coming in the post-win glow on his major championship.

He is going to be in the mix this weekend at RBC Canadian Open because this course is made for a golfer like Thomas. He makes all the shots necessary to win here.

Rory McIlroy is the defending champion at this event, but as mentioned, that came three years ago and on an entirely different course. So his defending champion status is just in name only and doesn’t really carry an extra weight when handicapping the field. Him being Rory McIlroy, however, does carry weight.

At +1600, it’s a good idea to give Sam Burns an extra look. In the aforementioned Scottie Scheffler loss in a playoff, it was to Sam Burns.

Burns is currently ranked second in the FedEx Cup standings. Along with his win at Colonial, Burns was top-20 at the PGA, top-10 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a winner at the Valspar.

Betting a Canadian

It’s worth noting that a Canadian hasn’t won the RBC Canadian Open since 1954. Still, there are some Canadians who are worth a look if you want to bet on a longer shot.

Aaron Cockerill is having a great season on the DP World Tour, and even though this week’s tournament is his PGA Tour debut, he has the game to be in the mix on Sunday. He’s paying +20000 to take the W at the RBC Canadian Open.

Looking for someone a little more likely to be there at the end, Canadian Mackenzie Hughes is also worth a look. He’s twice finished in the top-15 and was in the hunt early at last week’s tournament. Hughes is paying +5000.

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Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 24, 2022

As some of the golf world collects its breath after a thrilling end to the PGA Championship last weekend, an invitation-only field will play Colonial this week at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Last week Jordan Spieth referred to the Charles Schwab Challenge course at Southern Hills as, “Colonial, just a little bit on steroids.” So presumably, this will be a more relaxed weekend. It’s also a weekend of golf that most of the Tour is familiar with, as this is the 75th tournament at Colonial – the longest-running PGA Tour event held at the same course.

Favorites to Win Charles Schwab Challenge

Justin Thomas (+1100)
Jordan Spieth (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)
Viktor Hovland (+2200)
Max Homa (+2800)
Sam Burns (+2800)
Abraham Ancer (+3300)
Daniel Berger (+3300)
Sungjae Im (+3300)
Tony Finau (+3300)
Webb Simpson (+3300)

Apart from shooting a 58, there isn’t much Justin Thomas could do this weekend to top the weekend he just had. But if anyone can get back up and focused for a tournament as the newly minted PGA Champion, it’s a golfer like Thomas. He is the Charles Schwab Challenge favorite, and rightfully so.

Almost no one in the field knows this course better than Jordan Spieth, and no one who knows it well plays it better than him. He won Charles Schwab Challenge in 2016, and he’s been the runner-up at Colonial three other times. He’s also motivated after a disappointing weekend at Southern Hills.

It was unfortunate timing for Scottie Scheffler to show his mortality, but even after missing the cut last week, he is still the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world and a good bet to win every time he tees it up.

And yes, every tournament, we say, “Will Zalatoris is primed to get his first Tour victory this weekend,” and my how close we came to being right last weekend. He was just a playoff away from winning the PGA, and he is primed to get his first Tour victory this weekend. Really.

Best Value Bets

None of the above favorites will result in a big return for your risk, but Tommy Fleetwood would, at +4000. He’s never played Charles Schwab Challenge before, but he’s coming off a T5 at the PGA, and he was the co-leader on Sunday with a 67.

Mito Pereira is also paying +4000, and all eyes will be on him this week to see how he responds to losing the PGA Championship. His 72nd hole at the PGA wasn’t quite a Jean van de Velde-level meltdown, but losing a major tournament that you were poised to win can leave a mark.

Or, you can turn it into a positive. We shall see with Pereira.

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PGA Championship 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 17, 2022

Typically the winner of the PGA Championship isn’t a surprise. It’s generally someone playing very good golf leading into the tournament and someone who is highly ranked headed into the tournament. These are two of the reasons that what Phil Mickelson did at Kiawah Island in 2021 was so surprising. The +25000 longshot was T69 the week before his big triumph.

Even Collin Morikawa, who was only playing in his second-ever Major when he won in 2020, had a win at the Workday Charity Open just three weeks earlier.

This isn’t to say we should only focus on the favorites. Mickelson’s can happen. But the odds are good that Sunday’s eventual PGA Championship winner will be someone playing his best golf.

Favorites to win PGA Championship

Jon Rahm (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Justin Thomas (+1400)
Rory McIlroy (+1400)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Cameron Smith (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
Dustin Johnson (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)
Xander Schauffele (+2500)

If you’re looking to wager on someone playing his top golf, Scottie Scheffler is as good a bet as there is in the field. He’s playing his best golf and the best golf of anyone on the planet. The Masters champion finished T8 at the PGA last year and a career-best T4 in 2020.

Jon Rahm recently lost his No. 1 ranking to Scheffler, but the reigning U.S. Open champion has yet to drop behind Scheffler on the odds board. His best-ever finish at the PGA was a T4 in 2018. He was T8 last year.

Among this top group, we also have former PGA Championship winners Justin Thomas (2017) and Rory McIlroy (2012 and 2014). As the defending PGA Championship champion last year, Morikawa finished T8.

Best Value Picks

Remove his Masters performances the last two years, and it’s easy to think of Brooks Koepka as one of the PGA Championship favorites here. He’s paying +4200 as a two-time PGA winner (2018 and 2019), and the two-time U.S. Open winner (2017 and 2018) was great at all of the Majors a year ago except for Augusta. He was T2 at the PGA, T4 at the U.S. Open and T6 at The Open Championship.

Corey Conners is also worth a look at +4500. His lone Tour win came at the Valero Texas Open in 2019, so he’s probably well off your radar. But last year, he finished T8 at the Masters, T17 at the PGA, and T15 at the Open Championship. He also just finished T6 at the Masters last month.

Pay Per Head Software

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AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 10, 2022

We have just a week to go before the second major championship of the season, the PGA Championship. But before the best golfers in the world tee off at Southern Hills, there is one more tournament to look at – AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas.

The field isn’t as star-studded as next week’s, but seven of the best golfers in the world will be at the AT&T Byron Nelson this weekend, including the top golfer in the world, Scottie Scheffler, and there is a $9,100,000 prize purse at stake.

Favorites to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Preview

Scottie Scheffler (+700)
Justin Thomas (+900)
Will Zalatoris (+1400)
Dustin Johnson (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Jordan Spieth (+2200)
Sam Burns (+2200)
Hideki Matsuyama (+3500)
Joaquin Niemann (+3500)
Seamus Power (+3500)

The only way that Scottie Scheffler isn’t the favorite in any tournament on the schedule is if he doesn’t play. He’s won four of his last six individual tournaments, and he is taking no prisoners in this final tuneup before the PGA Championship. He’s atop the world rankings, and he’s been No. 1 in the FedExCup Standings since the first week of March.

It’s now been 14 months since Justin Thomas won a tournament, but his T8 at the Masters and T3 at the Valspar make him one of the favorites. Thomas will get into the winner’s circle again this year. It’s only a matter of time.

Will Zalatoris lives just up the road in Dallas, and at 19th in the FedExCup Standings, he is the highest-ranked player who is still in search of a first career victory. We’ve been talking about him getting that win for years now, but he’s coming off a T6 at the Masters and a T4 at the Zurich Classic, and we really mean it this time. He is going to win soon.

Best Value Bets

Jason Day is paying +5500, which are longer odds than you would expect for someone with four top-10 finishes at the Byron Nelson, including a win in 2010. He did miss the cut here last year, but his history of playing well at TPC Craig Ranch is enough to consider him a good bet.

Cameron Champ is paying +6500 for a W at AT&T Byron Nelson, which is excellent value for someone who seems to be figuring it all out at the moment. He missed five cuts early in the season, but a T10 at the Masters and a T6 at the Mexico Open makes him one to watch.

You might also want to take a flier on Sung Kang, paying +50000. He’s a member of TPC Craig Ranch and has been playing here for more than a decade. When it comes to AT&T Byron Nelson course familiarity, no one beats him.

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on March 15, 2022

The majority of the PGA Tour takes a breather this weekend after an extra-long five-day PLAYERS Championship was completed at Sawgrass over the weekend. For those in the field both last week and this, like betting favorite Justin Thomas, it’s just two off-days, then back at it at the Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida.

The field, however, isn’t completely bare. There are 20 of the top 50 golfers in the world teeing it up at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club, taking advantage of one of the final tuneups before we head to Augusta, Georgia, in three weeks.

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

Justin Thomas (+900)
Viktor Hovland (+1100)
Collin Morikawa (+1100)
Dustin Johnson (+1400)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Paul Casey (+1800)
Louis Oosthuizen (+1800)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
Shane Lowry (+2200)
Sam Burns (+2200)

Looking at the favorite, Justin Thomas, some bettors might be scared off by his T33 at the PLAYERS last weekend. But already this season, he has five finishes T8 or better, and last year at the Valspar, he was T13. He’s playing solid golf, and he’s the best overall golfer in the field.

The player right behind Thomas on the favorites board might be the hottest player in the world, Norway’s Viktor Hovland. He’s ranked third in the world, he finished T9 at Sawgrass, he was T2 the week before that at the Arnold Palmer, and he was T4 at Riviera. That’s three straight top-10 finishes for a golfer who finished third at the Valspar last year, his one and only previous time playing this event.

If you prefer to focus on course history, there are two former winners among these top-10 favorites. Sam Burns, paying +2200, is the current defending champion. He shot a -17 last year, one off the Valspar Championship record, and won by three strokes.

Paul Casey, paying +1800, won back-to-back the two years prior to Burns. He’s also coming off a third-place finish at The PLAYERS, which pairs nicely with a T15 at The Genesis.

Longer Shots Worth a Look

If you’re looking to take a flier on a good value play, give Jason Kokrak a thought. He’s paying +4000 for a tournament win, and in his last three starts at the Valspar, he has finished eighth, second, and 13th. Prior to that run, he also had a seventh-place finish in 2015.

Adam Hadwin, at +6600, is paying even longer odds, and he’s an actual winner at the Valspar Championship. He held on to win by one stroke in 2017 after entering the final round with a four-stroke lead. He’s also coming off a T9 at Sawgrass.

Pay Per Head Software

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The Genesis Invitational Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 15, 2022

This stretch of golf to begin the season is always one of the highlights of the season. You get the majesty of Torrey Pines and Pebble Beach along the Pacific coast, the incredible crowds and atmosphere of Scottsdale, and the Phoenix Open, and now this week, we get the Genesis Invitational, which features some of the best golf in the world outside of the four major championships.

This weekend at Riviera all 10 of the world’s top-10 will be on the same course, playing one of the best events of the year. It’s also the first weekend of golf in a post-NFL world, and that makes it even more appealing for sports betting. If you are craving the best at their craft in a full-scale competitive showdown, the Genesis Invitational has you covered.

Favorites to Win the Genesis Invitational

Jon Rahm (+900)
Patrick Cantlay (+1100)
Dustin Johnson (+1600)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Collin Morikawa (+1800)
Cameron Smith (+2000)
Rory McIlroy (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2200)
Victor Hovland (+2500)

Jon Rahm is the best player in the world, and he has a pair of top-10 finishes in the last three years at Riviera.

Patrick Cantlay is another obvious choice. He’s played four events in 2022, and he has four top-10 finishes and two top-fives, including a runner-up last week at the Phoenix Open. Cantlay was also a top-five finisher at Riviera in 2019.

Dustin Johnson is second all-time in money won at the Genesis, which includes a victory in 2017 and a pair of second-place finishes in 2014 and 2015. His 2022 started off rough, but a strong finish at the Saudi International last week, coupled with ten total top-10 finishes at Riviera, makes Johnson an appealing play.

Like Johnson, Justin Thomas is paying +1600, and he is also another solid play. He finished fifth at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, eighth at the Phoenix Open, and was a second-place finisher in 2019 at Riviera. He famously had a four-shot lead in that Genesis before closing with a final round 75.

Other Golfers to Watch

Adam Scott is only paying +4000, and his 38th place finish at the Phoenix Open is a big reason why. But his history at Riviera is why you should ignore what he’s done on other courses. He’s won this event twice, including in 2020, and two other times he finished as the runner-up.

Bubba Watson is another player at +4000 and another former winner at Riviera that is worth a closer look. He won this tournament in 2014, 2016, and 2018, but unlike Adam Scott, Watson is playing good golf currently. He was a runner-up at the Saudi International and finished with four sub-par rounds at the Phoenix Open, finishing tied-for-14th.

Pay Per Head Software

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Tiger Returns: Woods Set to Tee off in Orlando

by WagerHome Blog on December 14, 2021

When Tiger Woods was involved in his single-car accident last February, there was serious concern that he might never play competitive golf again. It turns out just ten months after the accident; he’s back.

Woods has announced that he will be playing as a father-son team at PNC Championship in Orlando this coming weekend.

“Although it’s been a long and challenging year, I am very excited to close it out by competing in the PNC Championship with my son, Charlie. I’m playing as a Dad and couldn’t be more excited and proud.”

Last year Tiger and Charlie, now 12-years-old, finished seventh in this tournament.

PNC Championship Qualifications

The Father/Son Challenge, now the PNC Championship, is an invitation-only event. Players must have won a major championship or The Players Championship to be eligible. The only requirement regarding the PGA player’s teammate is that they not be a touring professional golfer at the time of the event.

While it has traditionally been PGA Tour professionals teaming up with their sons, last year’s champion, Justin Thomas, played with his father. In 2005 Fuzzy Zoeller played with his daughter, as did Bernhard Langer in 2013 and 2016. And Arnold Palmer played in the tournament in 2013 with his grandson.

What’s Next for Tiger?

One of the reasons the PNC Championship is a perfect venue for a Woods return is the relaxed nature of an event that focuses on family. All eyes will be on him and his physical recovery, but the expectations will be muted.

But if Tiger is able to play this weekend, when will we see him in a regular PGA Tour event? That answer is still unknown.

“I’ll put it to you this way. As far as playing at the Tour level, I don’t know when that’s going to happen. Now, I’ll play a round here or there, a little hit-and-giggle. I can do something like that.”

What Woods means by “hit-and-giggle” is the occasional charitable event and individual tournament, like what he’s doing this weekend. He admits that he still feels pain in his leg and ankle, and now at 45-years-old, he has already ruled out a return to full-time golf.

As for the first major of 2022, the Masters, which tees off on April 7, Woods has made no commitments either way. Although he is currently on the Masters betting board, paying +3500 if he wins.

Pay Per Head Software

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Ryder Cup Schedule

The Teams

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Scottish Open

Best Value Plays

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win US Open 2022

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win RBC Canadian Open

Betting a Canadian

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Charles Schwab Challenge

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to win PGA Championship

Best Value Picks

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Preview

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Valspar Championship

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