Best Bets for NFL Week 3

by WagerHome Blog on September 21, 2023

Best Bets for NFL Week 3

Television ratings are up, attendance is up, and the beginning of the NFL season has seen a significant rise in wagering. There are nine teams that have yet to lose a game in 2023, and nine teams that have yet to lose a point spread bet.

Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins (-6.5)

The Broncos played an excellent first half of football last week, and a terrible second half. They are 0-2, many of the problems that plagued the Nathaniel Hackett-led Broncos, are still a problem a year later with Sean Payton as the head coach.

The Dolphins are firing on all cylinders, and have played eight good quarters of football in two road wins, and two road covers. Now they are at home in Miami for the first time this season, and they are a top bet to win by more than a touchdown.

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-7.5)

Best Bets for NFL Week 3

After a big win on the road at the Bengals, and their second cover of the season, the Ravens return home in sole possession of first place in the AFC North. Only two teams in the AFC are unbeaten, and the Ravens, with new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, are one of them.

Lamar Jackson looks more and more comfortable in the offense, and even though the Ravens are starting to be hit by injuries, the Indianapolis Colts are down to backup quarterback Gardner Minshew for this one. Minshew is a fine backup, but he limits the offense, and the Colts prospects at covering the spread. Look for the Ravens to win this game by double digits.

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (-2)

In each of his first two starts this season, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has thrown for at least three touchdown passes. Last year as the Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers had just a single three-touchdown game.

The Packers offense has been really good through two weeks on the road, and now they play at Lambeau Stadium for the first time this year, against an offense not playing as well. Alvin Kamara still has two more games on his suspension, and that will continue to handicap the Saints.

The Packers will respond to the home crowd, Love will have another big game, and Green Bay will cover.

Dallas Cowboys (-12) at Arizona Cardinals

Both the Cowboys and Cardinals have started 2-0 against the spread, but that is where the similarities end. Dallas has beaten the spread by a combined 49 points, and they have outscored their opponents 70-10.

Arizona has beat the spread by a combined five points over two losses, and just played one of the worst halves of football, ever, in losing to the Giants. The Cowboys will roll by two touchdowns or more.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 3

NFL Preseason Week 1 Kicks Off

by WagerHome Blog on August 10, 2023

Last week’s NFL Hall of Fame Game was just a teaser. An amuse-bouche, if you will. The tiniest of appetizers to get us ready for the smorgasbord of football to come, the 2023 regular season.

That makes this weekend a full trip to the salad bar with all the fixings. We get 16 NFL preseason games, which amounts to 960 minutes of actual game time over the course of the weekend.

Thursday through Sunday is not a national holiday, but it should be.

Top NFL Games of the Weekend

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

Following two games on Thursday, our Friday of preseason football begins with the Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals and Jordan Love taking the quarterback reins in Green Bay.

This will be his first start as QB1, and even though you should never get too carried away regarding preseason performances, Packers fans are going to want to be wowed.

New York Giants (-3) at Detroit Lions

There is no sneaking up on anyone this year for either of these teams. The Giants are coming off a playoff berth, and the Lions are the preseason betting favorite to win the NFC North. How will both teams respond with the higher expectations?

We also get to see how the Giants plan to use new tight end Darren Waller and how the Lions are going to feature first-round draft pick Jahmyr Gibbs. All reports out of camp say that Gibbs is the real deal, and if Detroit does make it back to the playoffs, he will be a big reason why.

NFL Preseason Week 1 Kicks Off

New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)

We’re not expected to see Aaron Rodgers on Saturday in Carolina, but we will get our first look at the No. 1 overall pick, Panthers quarterback Bryce Young.

There will be growing pains. There will be interceptions. There will be bad decisions. A lot. But head coach Frank Reich loves his new quarterback, and the growth Young experiences from this weekend through the end of the season will be worth watching.

San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

We probably won’t see much of Jimmy Garoppolo this preseason, with the Raiders expected to be cautious with a previously injured foot. But we should see plenty of Trey Lance for the 49ers as Kyle Shanahan and company try to figure out what kind of future he has in San Francisco.

We’ll also see some Sam Darnold and maybe some Brock Purdy, although that is more of a long shot. Whoever plays for San Francisco, everyone will be watching. It’s been a long time since one of the Super Bowl favorites was so unsettled at quarterback.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Preseason Week 1 Kicks Off

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2021

Welcome to our NFL Week 15 Betting Picks! The NFL has moved into its Saturday game phase, so we are now treated to a full slate of NFL games all weekend long for the remainder of the regular season. More days of football is always a good thing, as are more days of football betting.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

It’s not that we’re not believers in the one-year turnaround in New England. The Patriots deserve their top spot in the AFC playoff seedings. We’re just big believers in the Colts at home, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way.

Both teams are coming off their bye, and are well-rested and as healthy as you can expect this late in the season. New England is also rolling. Their weather game in Buffalo was close, but their previous four wins were by 18, 38, 25, and 23 points.

But Saturday night is all about Taylor and if the Patriots can stop him. New England ranks 19th against the run, and in their last three games, they’ve given up 136.3 ypg. That is the opening Taylor needs, and that is why the Colts win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

There are five teams in the AFC bunched up at 7-6, and only two of them are going to make the playoffs. These two teams would both like to be in that group, making Sunday’s game in Denver a must-win for both.

The Broncos did look good last week, but it was Detroit. The week before, when they were in Kansas City and playing for first place in the AFC West, they lost 22-9.

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

The Bengals are coming off two straight losses at home, but Joe Burrow, despite his injured finger, is playing well. And when it comes to do-or-die football in late December, go with the better quarterback. Plus, the weather in Denver will be nice this weekend, leaving the Bengals offense to do its thing and win this game outright.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

As we just said with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, go with the better quarterback. And in Baltimore this weekend, despite these being the last two NFL MVPs, Aaron Rodgers is the better quarterback. And the healthiest.

Rodgers is rolling right now. Over his last three games, he has 1,033 yards, ten touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. Lamar Jackson has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and will be playing on a sprained ankle.

The Ravens look like a team completely out of gas. Green Bay looks like a team on a mission. Packers roll and win by 10 points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 15 Betting Picks

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 3, 2021

When the dust settles on Monday night, we will officially be halfway done with the regular season. So let’s end the first half on a high note and hit on all of these bets for NFL Week 9.

New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

The Patriots had been getting close, with almost victories against both the Buccaneers and the Cowboys. But little things were getting in the way, and we weren’t quite sure if they could figure out how to fix them.

Going into Los Angeles, beating the Chargers, and making Justin Herbert look nothing more than average is an excellent start. And coming on the heels of a 41-point drubbing of the Jets isn’t bad either.

The tale of the tape is this: Mac Jones is better than Sam Darnold, and as good as Carolina’s defense has played, New England’s is playing even better. Matt Rhule is also a good head coach, but Bill Belichick is still the master.

Patriots win this game by at least a touchdown. Take the Pats and lay the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

A two-game skid sandwiched around the bye week is not how the Chargers envisioned ending the month of October. They’ve gone from first place in the AFC West to fighting for the wild card lives. But there is simply too much talent on this team to believe this kind of play continues.

The losses to the Ravens and Patriots were bad, but the Eagles are also bad – not including their demolition of the Lions last week. Prior to the skid, the Chargers had covered three consecutive point spreads. Remove the Lions from the equation, and the Eagles have covered just three of seven games.

L.A. wins at Philadelphia by at least a touchdown.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Welcome to a world in which we expect the Bengals to win football games. Such is life when you have weapons like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.

It’s because of this new world that we look at what happened to the Bengals last week against the Jets as an aberration and not a trend. The Titans lost to the Jets and have won four straight since. Cincinnati should also bounce back in a similar fashion, beginning this weekend against their Ohio rival.

Gone are the good feelings about last year’s playoff win over the Steelers. Last Sunday against Pittsburgh, it felt like the same old Browns. Cleveland is limited by injuries, and now Odell Beckham, Jr’s father, is going after Baker Mayfield on social media. It’s not going to help, either OBJ’s numbers or Mayfield’s play.

Cincinnati is simply the better team, and they will win on Sunday by at least a field goal.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 9 Betting Picks

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2021

We’ve had a change at the top of the AFC, with the Ravens now in the driver’s seat for the top seed. Meanwhile, the Cardinals keep winning in the NFC and are the unchallenged favorites.

As for the top bets that you should look at for NFL Week 7, here they are.

Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

Just as impressive as Green Bay’s five-game winning streak is the five straight games in which they have covered the spread. And in three of those games, they won by at least 10 points, which would be enough to cover this week too.

Meanwhile, Washington is an abysmal 1-5 against the spread this season and running back Antonio Gibson continues to get even more banged up.

It’s Packers all the way. They win by at least two touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens were dominant last week, but most of their games have come down to the final play or two, and most are within one score. And in spite of a 5-1 record that leads the AFC, they are just 3-3 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have had a margin of victory/defeat of exactly three points in four of their six games played – three-point losses to Chicago and Green Bay and three-point wins over Minnesota and Jacksonville.

This game will be close, and if not exactly three points, it will be less than seven. Look for Cincinnati to cover.

Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders (-3)

The Raiders avoided a three-game losing streak by easily handling their business at Denver. So to everyone who thought there would be a significant hangover following the departure of Jon Gruden, think again. Las Vegas played with freedom against the Broncos that we hadn’t seen before.

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

The Eagles played the Bucs tight and covered the spread. But Thursday games are always unpredictable. Prior to a win against Carolina the week earlier, the Eagles had failed to cover in three straight games. Raiders win this game by at least a touchdown. Take Vegas and lay the points.

Kansas City at Tennessee (Over 55)

The Chiefs did go under on Sunday against Washington, but that was because of some uncharacteristically good defense out of Kansas City. Offensively they did their part, scoring 31 points. Prior to that game, they had point totals of 58, 72, 54, 71, and 62.

They love going over, as do the Titans. Tennessee has hit three straight overs with 65, 56, and 51 points. It’s also worth noting that the two teams played twice in 2019, and they combined for 67 points in the regular season and 59 points in the AFC Championship Game.

Hammer this over.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 7 Betting Picks

NFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on October 7, 2021

As the NFL rounds the quarter pole on the season, we take a look at the best point spreads to bet in Week 5.

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Packers’ start to the season is a distant memory. From a blowout loss to New Orleans to three straight good wins and three wins in a row against the spread.

Aaron Rodgers is fine. His offseason is a non-factor. Aaron Jones, playing with his father’s ashes, looks like the star he is, and when he’s not finding running lanes, he’s catching passes. And as pass catchers go, no one is better than Davante Adams.

The Bengals are also 3-1 on the season, but injuries are becoming an issue, and they most recently played an uninspiring game against the Jaguars.

The Packers go into Cincinnati and win by a touchdown.

Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10)

The Dolphins are still a week away from getting Tua Tagovailoa back, which means it’s Jacoby Brissett under center for another game. And this time, it’s a game at the defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers.

The Bucs have failed to cover the spread for two straight weeks and are just 1-3 on the season ATS. But those three losses have come against teams proving to be better than we thought they were. The Dolphins are failing to cover the spread against the likes of the then-winless Indianapolis Colts.

NFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the WeekMiami is one of the biggest disappointments of the early season, and it will get worse this week with a loss at Tampa Bay by at least two touchdowns.

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) at Carolina Panthers

Carolina was the most unlikely of the undefeateds through three weeks, and now we’re wondering just how far the fall will be without Christian McCaffrey. Maybe not too far, but far enough that they shouldn’t be more than a field goal favorite against the Eagles.

Jalen Hurts is playing well, and the Eagles front-seven will keep Sam Darnold off-balance all afternoon. If the Panthers do manage to rebound for the win, it will be by less than three points. Take the points and the Eagles.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.5)

The Titans defense is going to be a liability all season long and against all opponents – even the bad ones. The Jaguars are definitely a bad team, but Tennessee just got torched by Zach Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence will have a big game on Sunday.

The Jags may not pull off the upset, but the bad Titans’ defense keeps this game to within three points. You may not want to do it often, but this week take the Jags.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 5 Betting Picks of the Week

Three Best NFL Bets to Make in Week 3

by WagerHome Blog on September 21, 2021

Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns (-7.5)

 

With Andy Dalton nursing a bone bruise on his knee, everyone in Chicago is getting ready for the first NFL start for Justin Fields. He came in last Sunday against the Bengals and showed everyone why he has so much potential and why he might not be ready.

 

Late in the fourth quarter, a terrible Fields interception allowed the Bengals to stay in the game. But on the next series, an excellent Fields scramble for 10 yards picked up the first down and helped seal the win.

 

He gets the Browns to pass rush in his first-ever start. On the one hand, you like having a mobile quarterback against players like Myles Garrett. On the other hand, Cleveland’s defense is good, Fields is raw, and there will be multiple rookie mistakes. That’s why the Browns win this game by 10 points and cover the spread.

 

Arizona Cardinals (-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars

 

NFL

It’s the battle of No. 1 picks, as 2019 top pick Kyler Murray leads the Cardinals against 2021 top pick Trevor Lawrence and his Jacksonville Jaguars.

 

He’s only made two NFL starts, but this is his team. Mainly because he is the only thing worth getting excited about in Jacksonville. The Jags are not a good football team, and the Cardinals should put up another huge day offensively. They scored 38 against Tennessee, 34 against Minnesota, and they will get into the mid-30s again against the Jaguars.

 

Murray looks like an MVP candidate, Lawrence looks like a rookie, and Arizona easily covers this spread.

 

Green Bay Packers (+3.5) at San Francisco 49ers 

 

After Week 1 we weren’t sure if the Packers would win a game this season. After Week 2 it looks like Aaron Rodgers wants another MVP award. So which team shows up for Week 3?

 

The Packers are much closer to the team that annihilated Detroit in the second half on Monday. Rodgers was Rodgers, throwing four touchdown passes, and Aaron Jones was electric, catching three of those touchdowns and running for a fourth.

 

San Francisco held on for dear life to beat those same Lions in Week 1, then methodically took care of business against the Eagles in Week 2. They haven’t shown the ability to keep up with Green Bay if the Packers are on.

 

The Packers will be on, and Sunday night in San Francisco, they will win in a mild upset.

 

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WagerHome BlogThree Best NFL Bets to Make in Week 3

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 21, 2021

In our 2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview, we will preview both games, include a pick, and cover how you can make the most out of the game by partnering with a pay per head service provider like WagerHome.com.

The NFL is unabashedly a quarterback league, and the NFC Championship Game is a showcase of the best quarterbacks ever to play the game. It is six-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady, the most decorated quarterback in NFL history, against two-time MVP winner Aaron Rodgers, arguably the most talented quarterback in NFL history. And Rodgers is a couple of weeks away from adding a third MVP.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Offensive Firepower

While they are two of the all-time greats, Sunday’s winner won’t solely be determined by the quarterbacks. Both teams are loaded at wide receiver. The Packers feature Davante Adams and his 18 touchdowns this year, and the Bucs counter with Mike Evans and his 13 touchdowns.

On the ground, it’s the Battle of the JonesAaron Jones for Green Bay and Ronald Jones for Tampa Bay. Both of them finished the season averaging more than five yards per carry, putting them both in the top six among running backs.

The big difference-maker in the game might be the weather. Green Bay is at home, it is going to be under 20 degrees with a good chance of snow, and that has them as the slight favorite to win.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Outlook

Brady is the face of this team, but the Buccaneers are so much more than the Hall of Fame-bound quarterback. The Tampa Bay defense is excellent, finishing the season ranked sixth in the NFL and the best defense against the run.

The Bucs did lose five games this season, but all five were to playoff teams, and two of those losses were avenged with last week’s win in New Orleans. The last Tampa Bay loss was on November 29 to the Kansas City Chiefs, the host of the AFC Championship Game.

A note on the 51.5 over/under: The Bucs have scored at least 30 points in five straight games.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Green Bay Packers Outlook

Rodgers has been the face of the Packers since he took over for Brett Favre in 2008, and for the first time in his Hall of Fame career, his team is hosting the NFC Championship Game. He has been lights out in 2020 and is the heavy favorite to win another MVP. But there was one game this season where Rodgers looked awful – against the Buccaneers on October 18.

The Packers managed to score just 10 points against the Bucs in that game, and Rodgers failed to break 200 yards. It was the only game all season in which he was unable to throw a touchdown. But since that game, Rodgers hasn’t had a quarterback rating below 90, and Green Bay is averaging 32 points scored.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: Partner with Pay Per Head Software

The Packers are 3.5-point favorites, and the over/under is 51.5. The action on both those lines is coming. Now is the time for independent bookmakers to take advantage of Championship Sunday and become partners with a pay per head software provider.

If becoming a bookie is something you’re interested in, you can get your own website, access to sports and odds from around the world, a demo of the software, and a four-week free trial at WagerHome.com.

2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview: The Pick is In

The old cliché that “Defense Wins Championships” holds true for a reason. The tipping point for this game is the Buccaneers defense. Take the Buccaneers to advance to Super Bowl LV.

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WagerHome Blog2021 NFC Championship Betting Preview

Five Favorites To Bet In Week 14 Of The NFL Season

by WagerHome Blog on December 3, 2019

With just four weeks remaining in the regular season, the NFL has hit its final stretch, and sports bettors have a final month on the calendar to find the best value and place those last bets. And if you haven’t yet signed up for your own pay per head bookmaking site and brought your business into the future, you may be missing out on those final NFL bets.

Check out WagerHome.com and its four free weeks of service to maximize your end-of-season profits.

As for the games, these are the top five favorites to bet this week.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-1)

The Carolina Panthers are in freefall and are now just playing out the string as losers of four straight games. Most recently, they lost to the Redskins after going into the game as 10-point favorites.

The Falcons have also struggled against the spread this year, but they just played a tight game against the Saints on Thanksgiving and have an extra three days to get ready for this one. The smart money is on the Falcons to prevail.

Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers (-13.5)

The Redskins have shown a little life recently against some really bad teams. That has people thinking they are better than they actually are, and we’ll see that in spades when they travel to Green Bay to face a playoff-bound Packers team.

The Packers are 8-4 against the spread, one of the highest rates of any NFL team, and showed last week just how good they are in bad weather.

The weather will be bad again this Sunday, and that translates to a big Packers win.

Tennessee Titans (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders

Apart from a garbage score in the closing minutes last week, the Raiders have gone 10 quarters without scoring a meaningful touchdown. They’ve also lost two straight games by more than 30 points, so banking on a three-point loss to a Titans team that is squarely in the playoff hunt is a good bet.

Simply put, the Titans are the better team, the hotter team, and the team with the most to play for. Take the Titans and give the points.

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-2.5)

The Saints and Drew Brees are scoring points, and as good as the 49ers have been playing, points for them are harder to come by. This will be a great game between a pair of Super Bowl contenders, and possibly an NFC Championship preview, but for this one, we’re going with the home team.

New Orleans is 8-4 ATS this season, and it will make it 9-4 on Sunday.

Denver Broncos at Houston Texans (-7)

Fresh off their win over New England, the Texans are primed to make a run through December. The AFC South leaders struggle a bit on defense, but Deshaun Watson has played great, and the Broncos defense is banged up.

Denver is also starting rookie Drew Lock at quarterback, and that adds up to a big loss on the road. Take the Texans and give the points.

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WagerHome BlogFive Favorites To Bet In Week 14 Of The NFL Season

Three NFL Underdogs To Consider In Week 12

by WagerHome Blog on November 23, 2019

The NFL is hitting the home stretch, and if you currently own a pay per head bookmaking service, no doubt this has become one of the busiest times of your year. And if you aren’t yet an owner of a pay per head bookmaking service, you can sign up at WagerHome.com and get four free weeks to try it out.

With a PPH site, you can give your clients the wagering experience that they deserve, and give yourself a break from the constant struggle to keep up with the changing odds. Odds that have us looking at the three best underdog bets for Week 12 in the NFL.

Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles offense is a weekly struggle. They are in desperate need of good wide receivers, and Carson Wentz just seems a hair off in his play of late. While on the flip side, you’d be hard-pressed to find someone playing as well as Russell Wilson, who many list as the MVP frontrunner.

Seattle is 4-1 against the spread on the road this season and a perfect 5-0 straight up, and even as a West Coast team playing in the Eastern time zone, they are great. The Seahawks are 16-3 since 2013 when making a road trip to the East Coast.

Add it all together, and it equals take the Seahawks and the points.

Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) at New England Patriots

We have another home team with a struggling offense in the Patriots. And just like in the game above, where the Eagles are facing a quarterback having a great season, the Patriots are as well. Dak Prescott is on pace to break the single-season passing yardage record.

He’ll probably slow down against a good New England defense. But this team has a top running back in Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper at wide receiver, and because of their big three, the Cowboys will keep scoring.

It’s hard to pick against the Patriots, especially at home. And they may still win. But a good Dallas offense keeps this one close.

Green Bay Packers (+3) at San Francisco Giants

The Green Bay Packers are 7-3 against the spread this year and 3-1 on the road. The 49ers are impressive 9-1 straight up, which ties them for tops in the NFL, but they are just 5-4-1 against the spread and 2-2-1 at home.

Those numbers, by themselves, aren’t dispositive. But consider how the 49ers have struggled over the last few games. They won by three points at Arizona. They lost at home to Seattle in overtime. And most recently, they played a tight one at home against the Cardinals and only covered the spread because of a fluke defensive touchdown on the game’s final play.

Meanwhile the Packers’ lone blip over the last month was the egg they laid at the Chargers. Otherwise, that offense has been humming and Aaron Rodgers has looked like, well, Aaron Rodgers.

This will be a great game, and very possibly, there will be a rematch in the playoffs. But for this week, I like the Packers and the points.

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WagerHome BlogThree NFL Underdogs To Consider In Week 12