Golf Picks Archives

Favorites, Darkhorses, and Betting Picks for the 2021 BMW Championship

by WagerHome Blog on August 24, 2021

The BMW Championship is the penultimate tournament of the 2020-21 season and the final tournament before the PGA Tour Championship. This will be the first time Tour pros will play Caves Valley Golf Club in Owning Mills, MA., and the first tournament in the Baltimore area since 1962.

Jon Rahm is the defending BMW champion after an epic playoff victory over Dustin Johnson at Olympia Fields Country Club outside of Chicago.

This will be the final opportunity for players to get inside the top-30 in the FedEx Cup standings. The tournament winner gets 2,000 FedEx Cup points and $1.71 million of a $9.5 million purse.

The tournament is a 70-man field, minus Patrick Reed, who had to withdraw due to hospitalization for double pneumonia. There is no cut for the event, much like a WGC tournament.

Caves Valley Golf Club is a par-72 track that stretches 7,542 yards. The course opened in 1991 and was designed by Tom Fazio. The course went through some changes over the last 18 months that included lengthening the course, adding and revamping bunkers, and switching the front and back nines.

We will cover the favorites to win the tournament, along with a few darkhorses that have our attention.

PGA Tour preview and tips - BMW Championship | 19th Hole Golf Blog by Your Golf Travel

The BMW Championship is the penultimate tournament of the 2020-21 season and the final tournament before the PGA Tour Championship. This will be the first time Tour pros will play Caves Valley Golf Club in Owning Mills, MA.

Betting Favorites

Jon Rahm (+550)

Rahm comes to Maryland as the heavy favorite, according to oddsmakers. The #1 player in the world has been a machine this season, finishing in the top 10 in 13 of 20 events highlighted by his first major victory at the U.S. Open in June. He was the 54-hole leader heading into Monday’s final round of the Northern Trust before a pair of late bogeys on the back nine took him out of contention.

Collin Morikawa (+1800)

This year, Collin Morikawa has a pair of victories, including his second major victory at the Open Championship last month. The 24-year old added a WGC win at the end of February and a total of eight top-10 finishes this year. Coming off a rare missed cut, the bargain for Morikawa is too good to pass up here.

Betting Darkhorses

Harris English (+3500)

A pair of victories and eight top-10 finishes have punctuated Harris English’s best season on Tour. In three of his last five starts, English has a victory, third, and fourth-place finish. The 32-year old wrapped up the first tournament of the playoffs with a T31.

Corey Conners (+8000)

A prolific ball-striker, Corey Conners is due for his second PGA Tour victory. The Candian ranks high in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee, SG: Approach the Green, and SG: Tee-to-Green. If Conners can get the putter going this week, he has a great shot to capture his second career PGA victory.

Betting Picks: Morikawa (+1800) and English (+3500)

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Wyndham Championship Betting Favorites, Underdogs and Darkhorses

by WagerHome Blog on August 10, 2021

The Wyndham Championship is the final event of the PGA Tour regular season and one final chance for each golfer to gain a berth in the FedEx Cup playoffs and to secure their status for the 2022 PGA season.

It’s a relatively easy course, and the winner of the event this weekend should shoot better than 20-below par, with only two par-fives that are easily reachable. But who exactly does this kind of course favor?

Webb Simpson.

Favorites to Win Wyndham Championship

Webb Simpson (+1200)
Hideki Matsuyama (+1400)
Louis Oosthuizen (+1800)
Patrick Reed (+2200)
Brian Harman (+2800)
Will Zalatoris (+2800)
Jason Kokrak (+2800)
Sungjae Im (+3000)
Kevin Kisner (+3300)
Russell Henley (+3500)
Tommy Fleetwood (+3500)

It’s a little simplistic to say that Webb Simpson is made for the course at Sedgefield Country Club, but he does have a pair of runner-up finishes here and a win 10 years ago. He also has been good with the putter this season, which will be key to getting your number low enough to win. He’s the deserved favorite.

Hideki Matsuyama is second, coming off his showing at the Tokyo Olympics. He missed out on a medal in his home country but was in the seven-player playoff for the bronze medal. His good play in Tokyo combined with his good season on Tour makes him an interesting play this weekend.

Underdogs and Darkhorses

Russell Henley is paying +3500, almost three times what you get for a bet on Simpson. But with a top-20 finish at the U.S. Open, the Travelers, and the John Deere, he’s played very well this summer. Ignore his struggles at The British Open. Henley is a much better putter on the Bermuda grass of Greensboro, and he will be in the mix when the weekend rolls around.

Si-Woo Kim is paying even better at +4000, and he has a win on this course, coming in 2016. He has struggled since The Memorial, which is why he is paying so well here. But this is one of the places where he thrives. Along with that win five years ago are a pair of top-5 finishes in each of the last two years. At +4000, he is simply too solid a play to ignore.

Keep an eye on Jhonattan Vegas at +5000. With the biggest names on Tour over in Japan, he has had quite the run, with four top-20 finishes in five starts and a pair of runner-ups. With most of the big names still missing and Vegas with a top-10 finish here at Sedgefield, give him a look this weekend. He has the game to match this course.

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Open Championship Betting Underdogs and Darkhorses

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2021

The Open Championship is back this week after the 2020 major tournament was canceled due to strict travel restrictions brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. The 149th playing of the tournament will be held at Royal St. George’s Golf Club in Sandwich, England, along the country’s eastern coast. This will be the 15th Open Championship and the first since 2011 teeing it up at Royal St. George’s.

Shane Lowry hoisted the Claret Jug and was named the “Champion Golfer of the World” after a six-shot victory in 2019. Lowry (+8000) was a longshot champion, and there have been four players that have won the Open Championship ranked outside the top 100 since 1996. Two of those winners came on this golf course.

We’ve covered the favorites, so now we’ll look down the board and target some underdogs and dark horses who could bring us a hefty payday with a victory this week.

Betting Underdogs

Both Darren Clarke (2011) and Ben Curtis (2003) were heavy underdogs when they won the Open Championship at this venue. That gives bettors hope that a player down the odds list could take home the Claret Jug.

Christian Bezuidenhout (+7000)

The South African golfer is a three-time winner on the European Tour. Christian Bezuidenhout missed the cut in 2019, his first Open Championship experience, but made the cut in all three majors this season. The 27-year old is the 45th ranked player in the world.

Garrick Higgo (+8000)

Another South African player, Garrick Higgo has flown up the OWGR this year to 40th in the world. Higgo is just 22 years old but already has a three European Tour and PGA Tour victory to his name. This will be his first time teeing it up in an Open Championship.

Betting Darkhorses

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+4000)

Matthew Fitzpatrick lost in a playoff last week at the Scottish Open, so he’s coming into the Open in good form. The 26-year old former U.S. Amateur champion is a six-time winner on the European Tour and logged his best finish in an Open Championship in 2019 (T20).

Lee Westwood (+4500)

Lee Westwood has had a bit of a resurgence of his career this year with a pair of back-to-back second-place finishes at the Players and Arnold Palmer. The veteran golfer has five top-5 finishes at the Open Championship, including a T4 in 2019. The 48-year old finished T35 last week at the Scottish Open.

Jason Kokrak (+8000)

Jason Kokrak has a pair of PGA Tour victories this season and three other top-10 finishes. Kokrak hasn’t had much success in majors this season, but he ranks 15th in Strokes Gained: Total and 4th in SG: Putting and those two numbers cannot be ignored this week.

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Open Championship Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 12, 2021

Golf fans have their alarms set for an early wake-up time this week as the best golfers in the world tee off in the 149th playing of the Open Championship. Royal St. George’s Golf Club in Sandwich, England, will host its 15th Open Championship and first since 2011.

Who is the player that is going to host the Claret Jug and be coined the “Champion Golfer of the World”? Shane Lowry is the defending champion after a six-stroke victory two years ago. The 2020 Open Championship was canceled due to travel restrictions in place because of the global pandemic.

The Open Championship will be a fantastic 72-hole event and test the skill of the 156-man event.

Favorites to Win the Open Championship

Jon Rahm (+700)
Jordan Spieth (+1400)
Dustin Johnson (+1800)
Rory McIlroy (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1800)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2500)
Collin Morikawa (+2500)
Bryson DeChambeau (+3000)
Viktor Hovland (+3000)

Jon Rahm was favored to win the U.S. Open and came through with the first major victory of his career. It is hard to find a golfer who has played better than Rahm this season. The 26-year old has placed T10 or better in 18 events, including T8 or better in three majors, and tallied a solo 7th place finish at the Scottish Open this past weekend.

Royal Porthcawl to host The Open Championship? | 19th Hole Golf Blog by Your Golf Travel

Royal St. George’s Golf Club will host its 15th Open Championship and first since 2011, as the best golfers in the world tee off in the 149th Open Championship.

Jordan Spieth has quietly snuck up the odds boards in recent days and emerged as the second favorite to win. The 23rd ranked player in the world and 2017 Open Champion has cashed in on all seven of his appearances across the pond with three top-10 finishes.

Three multi-major winners are at +1800, and all are solid bets this week at the Open Championship. Dustin Johnson was a runner-up on this course in 2011 and had a pair of T9s in the event.

Rory McIlroy took home a Claret Jug in 2014 but had a crushing missed cut in 2019 in his native Northern Ireland. Brooks Koepka’s best finish at the Open Championship came in 2019 when he placed T4. The four-time major champion finished T2 at the PGA Championship and T4 at the U.S. Open this year.

Shane Lowry (+800) was a betting longshot when he hoisted the Claret Jug two years ago at Royal Portrush. In 2011 when the tournament last was here, Darren Clarke was a fairy tale victor and another improbable longshot major winner.

Since the Official World Golf Rankings began in 1996, there have been four winners at the Open Championship ranked outside the top-100. Two of those winners came here at Royal St. George’s Golf Club.

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Early Betting Picks for the 2021 Open Championship

by WagerHome Blog on July 1, 2021

The 2021 Open Championship is nearing as the 2021 calendar year‘s final major. We’ve had three major champions this year, all with their own amazing storylines attached with their victories.

After the 2020 Open Championship was canceled due to travel restrictions relating to COVID-19, the players return to the United Kingdom for the first time in two years. It is never too early to dive into our favorites to hoist the Claret Jug and be named “The Champion Golfer of the Year.”

When you go to make your bets, here are a few things to keep in mind.

Can Rahm Continue the Momentum?

Jon Rahm captured his first major championship last month after clutch birdies on the 71st and 72nd hole of the US Open to propel him to victory. Rahm is now the betting favorite to take the Open Championship (+900). The 26-year old has all the momentum heading into the tournament, but he has never placed inside the top 10 in five Open starts.

Rounding out the top five favorites is Dustin Johnson (+1100), Rory McIlroy (+1100), Brooks Koepka (+1400), and Jordan Spieth (+1800). Koepka and McIlroy posted a pair of top 10 finishes at the US Open. Shane Lowry, the defending Open champion, was a massive underdog at +8000 to win.

U.S. Open 2021: Jon Rahm's gutsy 72nd-hole decision and 17 other parting thoughts from Torrey Pines | Golf News and Tour Information | GolfDigest.com

Jon Rahm is the betting favorite to take the 2021 Open Championship (+900).

Hovland a Name to Watch

Viktor Hovland became the first Norwegian to win a European Tour tournament at the BMW International Open in Germany at the end of June. Hovland has finished in the top 5 in six tournaments on the PGA Tour, including a victory at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December.

Hovland is +2500 to win the tournament and a name to closely research before placing your Open bets prior to the start of the tournament.

Stats Back Scheffler Pick

Scottie Scheffler makes his first trip to an Open Championship venue in 2021. Normally, you tend to look at players with a history of playing links golf, but Scheffler’s rise has put us on notice.

The 25-year old is still searching for his first career victory. With top 20 finishes at all three majors, including T8 or better at the PGA Championship and US Open, Scheffler is a value pick that should not be ignored even with his lack of history playing across the pond.

Westwood Rounds Out the Picks

Lee Westwood resurgence in play this season, including a pair of solo second finishes at the PLAYERS and Arnold Palmer. Westwood has made it to the weekend in each major this year, his best finish T38 at the Masters.

The 48-year old Westwood has had a lot of success in Open Championships, finishing in the top 5 in five tournaments, including T4 in 2019. As Phil Mickelson showed us by winning the PGA Championship earlier this year, age is just a number in golf.

2021 Open Championship Picks: Rahm (+900), Hovland (+2500), Scheffler (+5000), Westwood (+5000)

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Early Betting Odds for the 2021 Open Championship

by WagerHome Blog on June 23, 2021

With the early betting odds for the 2021 Open Championship out, the golf world is still marveling at the two amazing putts that Jon Rahm dropped on the final two holes to win a thrilling US Open, the first major championship of his career. But even as the dust on Torrey Pines still settles, it’s never too early to look ahead to The Open Championship, slated to take place in England next month.

The Open was the one major that didn’t take place last year, which makes 2019 Open winner Shane Lowry the defending champion. But not surprisingly, it’s Rahm on top of the odds board three weeks before the tournament tees off.

Favorites to Win The Open

Jon Rahm (+900)
Rory McIlroy (+1100)
Dustin Johnson (+1200)
Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Bryson DeChambeau (+1600)
Jordan Spieth (+1800)
Justin Thomas (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2800)
Louis Oosthuizen (+2800)
Tyrrell Hatton (+2800)

It’s hard to find a reason to pick against Rahm. He’s the new US Open champion and was the favorite heading into last weekend’s third major of the season. Why can’t he do it again as the pre-tournament favorite at Royal St. George’s? The only possible negative is that Rahm’s best ever Open finish is 11th place in 2019. He was in eighth place after three rounds but dropped out of the top-10 in the final round.

The 149th Open at Royal St George's | The Open

With the early betting odds for the 2021 Open Championship out, it’s never too early to look ahead to The Open Championship, taking place in England next month.

Still, this is a guy playing the best golf in the world, and it feels like a foregone conclusion that he will be in the mix on the final back-nine of the tournament.

Rory McIlroy was a winner in 2014 at the Royal Liverpool, and he was the last golfer to go wire-to-wire to win The Open. McIlroy was also a runner-up in 2018 at Carnoustie. But his last time out in The Open, he was playing in his home country at Royal Portrush, and he failed to make the cut.

The last of the top three favorites is Dustin Johnson, who is always in the mix. He faded at the end at Torrey Pines, and his 2021 season hasn’t quite been up to his standards. But when The Open was last at Royal St. George’s in 2011, Johnson was the runner-up. That was his best-ever finish at The Open, and it was 10 years ago. He does have two other top-10 finishes at The Open, but in 2019 he was tied for 51st.

Paying +2800 is Louis Oosthuizen, a good value play. He won The Open in 2010 and has finished as the runner-up in six other major championships, including last weekend at Torrey Pines and last year at the PGA Championship. He’s first in strokes gained this year, first in total putting, and he should be one of the first golfer’s you think about in three weeks.

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U.S. Open Betting Favorites, Darkhorses, and Underdogs

by WagerHome Blog on June 15, 2021

As the golf world descends on San Diego this weekend for the U.S. Open, the biggest question regarding the field at Torrey Pines is who deserves your bet? The favorite, and the man who was just forced to withdraw from a tournament he was leading by six strokes, or the aging local underdog who just so happens to have won the last major championship?

It should be a great 72 holes, assuming this weekend everyone makes it.

Favorites to Win U.S. Open

Jon Rahm (+900)
Dustin Johnson (+1800)
Bryson DeChambeau (+1800)
Brooks Koepka (+1800)
Rory McIlroy (+2000)
Jordan Spieth (+2000)
Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Collin Morikawa (+2200)
Justin Thomas (+2200)
Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
Patrick Reed (+2500)
Viktor Hovland (+2500)

A +900 number on Jon Rahm may feel a little short when compared to such a stacked field. But no one is locked in like Rahm. He would have won his last tournament if not for COVID-19. He was top 10 at the PGA Championship. He was tied for fifth place at the Masters — top 10 at THE PLAYERS Championship.

Add in the fact that Rahm has a win at Torrey Pines, and no one else in the field comes into this tournament without big question marks, and Rahm makes for a very compelling favorite.

Three guys sit at +1800, and all of them have a history at the U.S. Open worth considering. Dustin Johnson won in 2016, finished third in 2018, and finished tied for sixth in 2020. Bryson DeChambeau is the defending U.S. Open champion, and Brooks Koepka was the winner in 2017 and 2018.

Masters 2021: Phil Mickelson hasn't stopped believing he'll find more Augusta magic | Golf News and Tour Information | GolfDigest.com

He’s a San Diego native and the most recent major championship winner, but at +5000, Phil Mickelson is an underdog. But as an underdog playing good golf and with a number of stars aligning, could he actually win a second straight major over the age of 50?

Underdogs Worth Considering

He’s a San Diego native and the most recent major championship winner, but at +5000, Phil Mickelson is an underdog. But as an underdog playing good golf and with a number of stars aligning, could he actually win a second straight major over the age of 50? Sure. But he probably won’t. The course in South Carolina played to his strengths. Torrey Pines does that less so.

Patrick Reed is tied for 10th on the odds board, so it’s hard to call him an underdog. But at +2500, he presents great value as someone worth a wager. He won at Torrey Pines already this year, was terrific at the Memorial, finishing in fifth, and he has a good history at the U.S. Open. He’s finished inside the top 15 in four of his last six Opens and was a fourth-place finisher in 2018.

One other underdog to consider is Paul Casey at +4500. He finished fourth at the PGA Championship and fifth at THE PLAYERS Championship and at Pebble Beach.

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Palmetto Championship at Congaree Betting Favorites, Underdogs, and Darkhorses

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2021

Following the stunning developments over the weekend that saw Jon Rahm forced to withdraw from the Memorial Tournament with the third-round lead because of a positive COVID-19 test, the PGA Tour is back in South Carolina with the Palmetto Championship because the RBC Canadian Open has been canceled for the second year in a row because of COVID-19.

So as much as the PGA Tour has hummed along more than a year after the pandemic first hit, the news of the day stands as a reminder that the Tour continues to deal with COVID on a daily basis.

As for this week’s stand-in course, Congaree was more than happy to step up and fill the void as it seeks to find a hosting gig for the President’s Cup in 2022.

Favorites to Win Palmetto Championship

Dustin Johnson (+800)
Brooks Koepka (+800)
Tyrrell Hatton (+1400)
Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1800)
Sungjae Im (+2000)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)
Harris English (+2800)
Ian Poulter (+3500)
Lucas Glover (+4000)
Brandt Snedeker (+4000)

A week before the U.S. Open and one week after the Memorial would normally mean a field low on big-name talent. Not so this week at the newly contested Palmetto Championship, where local golfer Dustin Johnson, the number one player in the world, will tee it up for one final tune-up before golf’s third major of the season. He is atop the favorites board at +800.

Joining him at the top is Brooks Koepka, making his first start since the PGA Championship. For Koepka, this weekend will be more about golf since his feuding partner Bryson DeChambeau isn’t in the field. DeChambeau has openly complained about the heckling he received last week at Muirfield and Koepka egging it on with his social media posts. It will be interesting to see if there is any blowback on Koepka this week in South Carolina.

The First Look: Palmetto Championship at Congaree

The PGA Tour is back in South Carolina with the Palmetto Championship, as the RBC Canadian Open has been canceled for the second year in a row because of COVID.

Underdogs to Consider

The rest of the field is weaker, meaning the tournament is primed to see someone rise up from the ranks of the dark horses and make a run for the victory.

Alexander Noren is one such possibility, paying +4000. He had the second-best final round of the Memorial, climbing up to 13th at the tournament’s end. He also comes equipped with a strong short game and good distance off the tee, which should play well at Congaree.

Lucas Glover is another +4000 worth considering because of his familiarity with the course. While most of the field has no experience at Congaree, Glover is a Clemson product who has played the course multiple times.

Also, give a look to J.T. Poston, paying +10000. His swing coach is the Director of Golf for the Congaree Foundation, and no doubt he will have all of the pertinent course tips in his caddy’s notes.

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Betting Favorites, Dark Horses and Underdogs to win 2020 Masters

by WagerHome Blog on March 5, 2020

We are just over a month away from the 2020 Masters Tournament, which is always one of the highlights on the PGA Tour. The 2019 Masters saw Tiger Woods’ return to glory, and there will be plenty of storylines to watch heading into this year’s event as well.

With that in mind, let’s pick out some favorites, dark horses, and underdogs to bet on at the 2020 Masters.

Favorites

Rory McIlroy +850: McIlroy enters the 2020 Masters Tournament as the current betting favorite, and has also risen to the top-ranked golfer in the world. Despite having a ton of success throughout his professional golf career, McIlroy has never put on the green jacket and won the Masters. McIlroy is off to a great start in 2020, and he will be a golfer to keep your eye on.

Tiger Woods +1000: It’s a surprise that Tiger Woods is not the betting favorite to win the 2020 Masters, despite not playing great golf so far this season. Woods has actually won this tournament four times, and always plays well at Augusta National.

Brooks Koepka +1000: Brooks Koepka saves his best golf for Majors, and he should perform well at the 2020 Masters Tournament. Koepka has won four of the last eight majors he has played in and will be looking to add the Masters Tournament to the list.

Dark Horse Picks

Rickie Fowler +2800: Rickie Fowler might hold the title of “Best Player on the PGA Tour to Never Win a Major.” That is certainly something that Fowler is hoping to change before his career is over, and he would love for it to be at the 2020 Masters. Don’t be surprised to see his name on the leaderboard on the weekend.

Tony Finau +3300: Finau’s most memorable moment at Augusta was dislocating an ankle after making a hole-in-one, but he has also had some great performances in the Masters. Finau is extremely consistent, and he will keep the ball in the fairway, which will give him a chance to post a great score.

Underdogs to Watch

Matt Kuchar +5000: Kuchar is another golfer who has yet to win a Major, but he does have a history of playing well at Augusta National. Kuchar finished in a tie for third place back in 2012 and has been in contention on the weekend in a few other starts.

Jim Furyk +10000: Jim Furyk has 17 wins on the PGA Tour in his career, and he has a history of playing well in the first few days of Major Tournaments. He is well past his prime, but there is always a chance that he can put it all together for an entire weekend again.

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Betting Favorites

Jon Rahm (+550)

Collin Morikawa (+1800)

Betting Darkhorses

Harris English (+3500)

Corey Conners (+8000)

Betting Picks: Morikawa (+1800) and English (+3500)

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Wyndham Championship

Underdogs and Darkhorses

Pay Per Head Software

Betting Underdogs

Christian Bezuidenhout (+7000)

Garrick Higgo (+8000)

Betting Darkhorses

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+4000)

Lee Westwood (+4500)

Jason Kokrak (+8000)

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win the Open Championship

Pay Per Head Software

Can Rahm Continue the Momentum?

Hovland a Name to Watch

Stats Back Scheffler Pick

Westwood Rounds Out the Picks

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win The Open

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win U.S. Open

Underdogs Worth Considering

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites to Win Palmetto Championship

Underdogs to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

Favorites

Dark Horse Picks

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