NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 15, 2022

Our top four teams in college football remain the same, as everyone took care of business in Week 11. We are now rolling through the last of the regular season weeks and preparing for the conference championship showdowns and we’ve got our top four NCAA Football week 12 betting picks.

No. 1 Georgia knows it will play LSU for the SEC title. TCU moved on to the Big 12 Championship following last week’s win over Texas. And we are a week away from Michigan and Ohio State, and the winner moving on to the Big Ten title game.

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Pick #1 – No.1 Georgia at No. 24 Kentucky (+22.5)

The bloom is a little off the Kentucky rose after losing last week to Vanderbilt, but they do get a Georgia team that could be looking past the Wildcats. For the top-ranked Bulldogs, their future is set. This game, of course, means everything in the national standings, but their SEC fate will be decided the first weekend of December.

Georgia won’t really have a letdown. Instead, the Wildcats will play well, control offensive drives, and keep this final score to within three touchdowns.

NCAA Football Betting Picks Week 12

The Michigan Wolverines are one of the teams featured in our week 12 NCAA football betting picks.

 

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Pick #2 – No. 21 Illinois (+18) at No. 3 Michigan

Michigan will not get caught looking past the Illini and their trip to Columbus. This game is at home, they are too experienced and focused, and Illinois has been struggling. But will the Wolverines cover the large spread against one of the conference’s preseason favorites?

Illinois’ defense is very good, ignoring the last two weeks, and they will keep this from being a high-scoring game, which will keep the Michigan victory to around 14 points. Take the points.

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Pick #3 – No. 8 USC (-2) at No. 12 UCLA

There are a lot of storylines heading into the battle of Los Angeles. It’s the championship of the city, which is always a fun game, but for the Bruins, they must rebound after last week’s bad loss to Arizona.

For USC, they are trying to stake its claim as the best team in the Pac-12, which was helped by Oregon’s loss last week. The UCLA offense is very good, but the Trojans overall are better, and they will win and cover at the Rose Bowl, clinching their spot in the Pac-12 Championship.

NCAA Football Week 12 Betting Pick #4 – No. 13 Utah at No. 6 Oregon (-3)

Because of Oregon’s loss to Washington last week, they are likely out of the College Football Playoff, and they now need a win over Utah to get into the Pac-12 Championship. If Oregon wins out, they go to Las Vegas. But if Utah wins out, they will play for the conference title.

It’s hard to see Oregon losing a second straight game at home. Utah’s offense is great but not enough to get past the Ducks. Go with Oregon and give the points.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 12 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 1, 2022

The first NCAA Football Playoff Top-25 came out on Tuesday, but between now and when the CFP actually kicks off, we’re going to see plenty of great games that could completely change the landscape.

Georgia gets Tennessee this week, and Kentucky will be tough. Ohio State and Michigan still loom on Thanksgiving weekend. And even though they are trailing in the standings, you can never count out Nick Saban and Alabama.

No. 2 Tennessee at No. 1 Georgia (O 65.5)

The game of the week, the game of the year, as the Tennessee Volunteers are back, now tied for the second ranking in the nation as they go to Georgia to face the No. 1 ranked Bulldogs.

The Tennessee resume is more impressive than Georgia’s, with wins over Alabama and LSU. The Bulldogs beat Oregon back in NCAA Week 1, but so much has happened since that Saturday, and there has been so much great offense from both of these NCAA teams.

It’s a tough call on Georgia as 8-point favorites, but the Over/Under feels like an obvious call. Take the over at 65.5 and sit back and enjoy the fireworks.

No. 6 Alabama at No. 15 LSU (+13)

The Alabama defense overwhelmed Mississippi State last week in their 30-6 win. The hangover of their near loss to Texas A&M and the actual loss to Tennessee still hangs over the Crimson Tide.

NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

It’s why they are on the outside of the College Football Playoff top-four and now facing must-wins each week, beginning with this Saturday’s trip to Baton Rouge. Alabama is better, and Alabama will probably win, but LSU is playing well enough to cover the 13-point spread.

No. 5 Clemson at Notre Dame (+4.5)

After a pair of one-score wins for the ACC’s first-place Clemson Tigers, now they face the Jekyll and Hyde Notre Dame Fighting Irish. They have really bad losses this season to Marshall and Stanford, and really good wins, like last week at Syracuse.

The last time we saw Clemson was two weeks ago; they were changing quarterbacks in the middle of a tight win over Syracuse. With an unsettled quarterback position and a very good Notre Dame defense, take the points in South Bend.

No. 8 Oregon (-31.5) at Colorado

It doesn’t get much worse than the Colorado Buffaloes in NCAA football. They are bottom-10 in the nation in both offense and defense, and they are light years away from the current Pac-12 leader Oregon.

The Ducks only have one win of over 31 points this season, but Colorado has three losses by at least that much, and Oregon is the best team they will face all season. Give the points and take Oregon.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 13, 2022

It has been a tumultuous first couple of weeks in NCAA football, and storylines abound. Like Notre Dame, who looked like a legitimate contender at Ohio State, then promptly lost to Marshall.

It’s only mid-September, and we already have a coaching change in Nebraska, with Scott Frost out after a 1-2 start. We also might already have our best NCAA game of the year, with Alabama surviving in the end at Texas.

What is in store for us in NCAA Week 3, and which games deserve our betting dollars?

No. 6 Oklahoma (-11.5) at Nebraska

There was a time when this was the biggest game of the year, and not just in Oklahoma and Nebraska, but across the country. From 1971 until 1997, when the creation of the Big XII ended the annual rivalry, 20 times they played when both teams were ranked.

There was a stretch in the 90s when Nebraska was up, and Oklahoma was down, and now it’s Oklahoma that is up and Nebraska that is down. Way down. They now have an interim head coach and are coming off a home loss to Georgia Southern.

Oklahoma feasts.

NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

No. 1 Georgia at South Carolina (+24.5)

Georgia has outscored its two opponents 82-3. And these weren’t just scrubs. The most impressive win in all of college football this season was their total dismantling of Oregon, 49-3. Wiping the floor with Samford is a yawner. Crushing one of the best teams in another Power-5 Conference makes you notice.

South Carolina is good, and there is no shame in losing to Arkansas last week. And there won’t be any shame in losing to the top-ranked Bulldogs this week because South Carolina will cover the spread.

No. 22 Penn State (-3) at Auburn

Freshman Nick Singleton looks like the next great Penn State running back, rushing for 179 yards on just ten carries against Ohio last week. The game before, at Purdue, it was Nittany Lions quarterback Sean Clifford who was the star, throwing for 282 yards and four touchdowns.

Auburn is also 2-0, but they have failed to cover the spread in both weeks, while Penn State is 2-0 against the spread. They will make it three straight wins this weekend at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

No. 11 Michigan State (+3.5) at Washington

A great matchup on the West Coast has a pair of undefeated teams in Michigan State at Washington.

The Spartans have a great defense, and Washington has a great quarterback in Michael Penix Jr., but overall the Huskies just aren’t physical enough to compete with Michigan State. Getting more than a field goal on the road makes them a very enticing play.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 3 Betting Picks

College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2021

It has been an unusual bowl season to be sure, with teams pulling out, replacement teams being found, and some bowls just outright canceled.

However, two games this Friday that we know will be played are the College Football Playoff Semifinals, taking place in Dallas and Miami.

Cotton Bowl – No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Cincinnati (+13.5)

Alabama was an eyelash away from losing its final regular season game and not even making it to this point. But they won that game in the closing seconds, and then by virtue of their win over Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, they are the No. 1 ranked team heading into the CFP.

They certainly look like the better team when compared to the Bearcats, but are they two touchdowns better?

Cincinnati finished hot, beating the spread in its final three games. But before that, they went four straight without covering and only beat Navy and Tulsa by one score. Their overall strength of schedule ranks 45th; Alabama’s is first.

Bryce Young is fantastic, and if the Heisman winner duplicates his play from the SEC title game, Alabama cruises. But the Bearcats are physical up front, and Desmond Ridder is also a talented quarterback.

College Football playoffs

Heisman winning quarterback Bryce Young and the Alabama Crimson Tide take on Cincinnati in the Collège Football playoffs.

Alabama wins, but Cincinnati keeps it under 10 points.

Orange Bowl – No 2. Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5)

 

Instead of pining for the game they could have had against Cincinnati, had Michigan not been passed over by Alabama, they are preparing to take on the team that was No. 1 in the nation for most of the season, Georgia.

The Bulldogs are the favorite because of just how great they looked from September through November, beating FBS teams by an average margin of victory of 32 points.

They did get run out of the building by Alabama, but Michigan doesn’t have an offense nearly as potent as what Georgia just faced, and that’s why the Bulldogs are favored to win by more than a touchdown.

The Wolverines counter their own great defense that hammered both Ohio State and Iowa to win the Big Ten. But the Michigan defense, while great, is a tick below that of Georgia. 

Michigan has two great running backs in Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum, but just how good can they be against Georgia? Quarterback Cade McNamara has been solid down the stretch, but he can’t take over games.

Georgia will simply be too much for Michigan, and they will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogCollege Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 6, 2021

Hello darkness, my old friend…

For those of you (us) that thought finally we were going to avoid having to watch Alabama in the College Football Playoff, not so fast. ‘Bama is back in the CFP for the seventh time in eight seasons on the strength of a dominating win over Georgia to win the SEC.

The win was good enough, and Nick Saban’s history is decorated enough for the Crimson Tide to be the favorite to win the National Championship.

  • Alabama (+120)
  • Georgia (+140)
  • Michigan (+700)
  • Cincinnati (+1600)

Alabama has the best coach in the country, regularly the best roster in the country, and has quarterback Bryce Young, who is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Even though this was a disappointing season by Tuscaloosa standards, they are the favorite, and it’s easy to see why.

No. 1 Alabama (-14) vs. No. 4 Cincinnati – Cotton Bowl

The four teams that made it in did it without controversy. But the seeding of the four teams is not without argument. As good as Cincinnati has been this season, everyone wanted to be seeded first so they could play the Bearcats.

Alabama gets that honor, jumping from No. 3 to No. 1 because of their win over Georgia. As selection committee chair Gary Barta explained, “Not only did Alabama beat Georgia – the way they beat them. They controlled the game, pretty much from start to finish.”

Couldn’t Barta say the same thing about Michigan, who Alabama leapfrogged? In fact, you could say it, but without the “pretty much,” because Michigan’s 42-3 was every bit start to finish dominating win.

Saying that Alabama’s one win was more impressive than Michigan’s last two wins is questionable, but that’s what the committee did, and the Tide gets Cincinnati in the semifinal. However, they will have to do it without star wide receiver John Metchie III, who is out with a significant ACL injury.

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5) – Orange Bowl

If there was one knock on Georgia, it was wins over quality teams. They played lots of great football this season, but their schedule was without any top-10 teams. Until they faced No. 3 Alabama, and that didn’t go so well.

Now they get a team that has dominating wins over a pair of top-10 teams, Wisconsin and Ohio State. And Michigan just won the Big Ten with a blowout over Iowa, 42-3.

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

But we know that Georgia is still really good. Michigan still has Jim Harbaugh as its head coach, and his ability to win big games is still in doubt. And being runner-up in the SEC is still considered just as good as winning most other conferences.

And for all of those reasons, Georgia is more than a touchdown favorite to win their semifinal and set up a rematch with Alabama in the Championship Game.

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WagerHome BlogEarly College Football Playoff Betting Picks