Betting the NFL Divisional Round

by WagerHome Blog on January 17, 2023

Annually it is the best weekend of the year. The fringe playoff teams have been removed from the mix, and only the eight best teams remain, all with the ability to win the NFL Super Bowl.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

The Jacksonville Jaguars spent the first 30 minutes of their Wild Card game against the Chargers looking like a team that had picked No. 1 overall in the last two NFL drafts. They spent the final 30 minutes looking like a team that can pull off an upset in Kansas City. Who shows up this Saturday?

Probably a team that is in-between. We will see a Jacksonville that definitely belongs, and is definitely on the rise, but they simply don’t yet have the consistency of the Chiefs. And especially at Arrowhead. The rested Chiefs get a big NFL day from Patrick Mahomes and win this game by 10 points.

New York Giants (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

We’re not going to take it as far as predicting a Giants win, but Daniel Jones has been on a tear since he and the Giants were beaten badly by the Eagles in NFL Week 14, and Jalen Hurts isn’t 100 percent. Just how much pain Hurts’ shoulder is still causing is unclear, but in Week 18 he admitted that he was causing him issues.

The rest of the Eagles team is better than the Giants, and that will be enough to get Philly to the NFC Championship. But look for New York to make it a closer game than expected.

Cincinnati Bengals (+5) at Buffalo Bills

NFL

When the Bengals and Bills were stopped in Week 17, Cincinnati was up 7-3 and Joe Burrow was looking on point. But since then the Bengals have lost two more offensive lineman, and they head into Buffalo more short-handed than in the Monday game that was canceled.

Both NFL teams struggled to put away backup quarterbacks in the Wild Card round, but Josh Allen’s turnovers are becoming a problem. Even with the offensive line issues Burrow will take advantage of that, just like Miami, and Cincinnati will make this a very close game.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

Will the real Dallas Cowboys please stand up? Are they the team that struggled against the Commanders and got beat in Week 18, or the team that blew out the Bucs? They are both, and that is the problem for them in this matchup.

San Francisco has been the most consistent NFL team over the final two months of the season, and on both sides of the ball. Even if the good Cowboys show up, it won’t matter. The 49ers are a machine, and they will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogBetting the NFL Divisional Round

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on September 6, 2021

The second full Saturday of the college football season offers us a number of great betting options.

Georgia (-26.5) vs. UAB

It was a great start to the season for Georgia, as they knocked off Clemson with a suffocating defense. The offense only put up 10 points, but that will not be the case this week against UAB.

The Blazers also got off the good start, beating Jackson State, 31-0. But their great game through the air will not materialize against the Bulldogs. Georgia is a big winner in this one, and they cover the spread by winning by four touchdowns.

Colorado (+17) vs. Texas A&M

As good as Texas A&M is, if not for a pair of missed fields by Kent State in the fourth quarter on Saturday, they would have failed to cover the spread. Still, the nearly 600 yards of offense was impressive from the Aggies.

Colorado is a much tougher test than Kent State, as one of the surprise teams in the Pac-12 last season and as an easy winner over Northern Colorado last weekend.

Last year the Buffaloes were 4-2 against the spread, and with this week’s game being played at Empower Field in Denver, the extra energy from the bigger crowd will have CU covering this 17-spread.

Best College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

Missouri (+5) vs. Kentucky

In a somewhat uninspired effort, Missouri won its first game, 34-24, and failed to cover the spread. The Tigers, however, are better than that and are expected to battle it out with Kentucky for third place in the SEC East.

Kentucky did cover the spread in its first win of the season, 45-10 over Louisiana Monroe. They get the Tigers at home, which helps account for the five-point spread. Last season Kentucky was also favored in this matchup, but it was Mizzou winning by 10 points.

The Tigers may not pull off the outright win as they did in 2020, but look for them to keep it inside the five-point spread.

Michigan (-6) vs. Washington

Michigan may have its quarterback. Cade McNamara was the highest-graded Power Five quarterback in the country last week by Pro Football Focus, as he led the Wolverines to an easy 47-14 win, which covered the 16.5-point spread.

Washington began the season in an opposite fashion, losing a stunner at home to FCS Montana, 13-7. Huskies quarterback Dyan Morris threw three interceptions in the losing effort.

This point spread actually opened at only five before rising up to its current six points. Washington isn’t nearly as bad as they looked against Montana, but that game shows they aren’t nearly as good as Michigan.

The Wolverines roll and cover the six points easily at home.

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WagerHome BlogBest College Football Week 2 Bets of the Week

NCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 24, 2020

The college football season rolls into what is officially week 4, but for many teams, this will be our first chance to see them on the field.

The players and coaches aren’t sure what to expect after the long layoff, which adds an extra layer of intrigue as we pick the games and point spreads that provide the most value for your betting dollar.

Florida (-14.5) at Ole Miss

Continuity is the key, as Florida returns quarterback Kyle Trask. He gives the Gators a major leg up on Ole Miss, which has a new quarterback learning a new system from new head coach Lane Kiffin.

Ole Miss had the worst pass defense in the SEC a year ago, and it has done almost nothing to improve it. Florida will have its way with the Rebels on the offensive side of the ball and win this game going away. Give the points. Florida covers easily.

Missouri (+28.5) vs. Alabama

Alabama kicks off its campaign with a trip to Columbia, Mo., to face Missouri and its new head coach, Eli Drinkwitz. Missouri is missing almost its entire passing attack from a year ago, but it does still have running back Larry Roundtree, and Drinkwitz wants to run the ball.

Alabama will look every bit the No. 2 team in the nation on offense and will win by at least three touchdowns. But the Crimson Tide’s defense is young, Mizzou’s run game is solid, and the Tigers will manage to cover against Alabama’s backups in the fourth quarter. Go with Missouri and the points.

Louisville (+2.5) at Pittsburgh

In one of the best matchups of the weekend, Louisville looks to rebound from its loss to Miami with a trip to Pittsburgh. Pitt is the higher-ranked team (No. 21 to No. 24) and is 2-0, but those wins came against Austin Peay and Syracuse. And it’s worth noting that against Syracuse, the Panthers didn’t come close to covering the spread.

football

Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham tightens up the turnovers and leads the Cardinals to victory. Put your money on Louisville.

Kansas State (+27) at Oklahoma

No. 3 Oklahoma is a big favorite at home, as it should be after crushing Missouri State last week. But Kansas State is better than the team that lost at home to Arkansas State.

The Wildcats are being undersold here. Four times last season, Kansas State was a road underdog, and three times it ended up covering the spread.

Oklahoma will win this game easily, but the Wildcats will cover.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

Looking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season

by WagerHome Blog on August 27, 2020

This is going to be a strange NCAA football season.

The NFL has been locked in on its opening night since the AFC playoff rematch between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs was first announced. But in the college football world, with some conferences opting out and other conferences going forward, it’s been a little harder to keep track of when exactly we can start betting on the NCAA.

The good news is, assuming the schedules go off as planned, there will be plenty of good college football to enjoy. The bad news – this was supposed to be the opening weekend of the season, and that’s no longer happening.

NCAA Football Season Kickoff

It’s not exactly the kickoff weekend that the television networks and college football bettors dreamed about, but the season will finally begin on Sept. 3 with two Conference USA out-of-conference games:

  • South Alabama at Southern Miss
  • Central Arkansas at UAB

UAB did win nine games last year and made the New Orleans Bowl. Southern Miss lost to Tulane in the Armed Forces Bowl last season.

On Sept. 5, there are seven games being played out of the original 51 games that were on the schedule. The best games are:

  • Arkansas State at Memphis
  • SMU at Texas State

Both of those games will have limited fans in attendance.

Top 25 Kickoff

For Top 25 action, we’re all going to have to wait a little longer. The first game involving a ranked team that hasn’t been canceled or postponed is Sept. 12. With seven such games that Saturday, that is when it will truly feel like the college football season is here.

  • No. 1 Clemson at Wake Forest
  • Missouri State at No. 5 Oklahoma
  • Duke at No. 10 Notre Dame
  • UTEP at No. 14 Texas
  • Tulsa at No. 15 Oklahoma State
  • Syracuse at No. 18 North Carolina
  • Louisiana at No. 23 Iowa State

Power 5 Conference Kickoffs

With the Big Ten and Pac-12 suspending play this fall, we only have three of the Power 5 conferences in play.

ncaa

The SEC is only playing in-conference this season and begins its season with a full slate of games on Sept. 26. Defending national champion LSU starts at home against Mississippi State, while Alabama kicks off its season at Missouri.

The Big 12 has everyone playing a single non-conference game the week of Sept. 12 before kicking off its conference schedule on Sept. 26.

The ACC is far less structured, with non-conference games going on all season, and wherever a matchup could be cobbled together. The first time all 14 regular members are playing is Sept. 19. Notre Dame is in the conference this season only, making it a total of 15 teams.

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WagerHome BlogLooking Ahead To The 2020 NCAA Football Season