Wednesday night’s draw with the Netherlands was a rare miss for the United States. It was the first time in nine World Cup matches against European opponents that they didn’t win.
It also ended their streak of never trailing in 18 straight World Cup matches. The Netherlands were up 1-0 before the U.S. battled back in the second half to get the draw.
The Netherlands are a good side, having made it to the finals in 2019. But consider that the United States in the group stage in 2019 never conceded a goal. They blazed through all three of their matches, winning by a combined score of 18-0.
This is setting up to be a far less dominant performance, but is the U.S. still the favorite to ultimately win the World Cup trophy next month in Sydney?
Favorites to Win FIFA Women’s World Cup
- United States (+250)
- Spain (+320)
- Germany (+550)
- England (+600)
- Brazil (+1300)
- Netherlands (+1600)
- Japan (+1800)
- France (+2000)
When the World Cup began, the U.S. was at +250 to win it, and that is where they remain after two lackluster matches. So far, the betting public doesn’t see any reason to jump off the American bandwagon. Up next is a game on August 1 against Portugal, a team that they are a perfect 10-0 against and with a perfect scoreline of 39 goals for and zero goals against.
At the moment, the U.S. is on top of their group with a superior goal differential. But should the Netherlands beat Vietnam by enough, they could pass the U.S., leaving the Americans as a second-place qualifier for the next round.
The winner of Group E, which is where the United States leads, is scheduled to play the runner-up of Group G, which was Italy, as of Thursday. If the United States were to finish as the runner-up in Group E, they would instead play the winner of Group G, which is currently Sweden.
Neither Italy nor Sweden is among the favorites to win the tournament, so whichever team the United States plays, it should win. But while the U.S. has stayed stable atop the favorites board, we have seen some changes.
England was second at +400 when the World Cup began, but they have dropped to the fourth position. Spain was at +650 last week before their first game, but they sit on top of Group C after two impressive wins and are now playing at +320. Germany is the leader of Group H, and they have also improved their odds.
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