Best Bets for NFL Week 6

by WagerHome Blog on October 12, 2023

At this point in the season, there is little doubt that the San Francisco 49ers are the best team in the NFL. They are great on both sides of the ball and beating opponents by the largest margin in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles are also 5-0, and they will have something to say about the invincibility of the 49ers when the two teams meet the first week of December. Until then, we’ll see if both of them can remain perfect.

San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Cleveland Browns

Normally, when the coach of a great NFL team tries to pump up an inferior opponent before they play on Sunday, we ignore it. But 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan has a point when he looks ahead to their game in Cleveland, and calls the Browns, “the biggest challenge so far.”

The Browns’ defense is very good, and by a number of traditional and advanced metrics, they rank first or second. They do indeed present a problem for the 49ers, who have found the going pretty easy on offense through five weeks.

The problem for the Browns is their offense, which is not good. And Deshaun Watson is uncertain to play, leaving the starting quarterback job to P.J. Walker. Walker made five starts last year for the Panthers, and he was 2-3.

The 49ers offense won’t show out as much in this game, but covering the spread is still the best bet.

NFL

Philadelphia Eagles (-7) at New York Jets

The Eagles also face a really good defense as they look to stay perfect on the season. The Jets also have a suspect offense. However, Breece Hall has emerged as a true star this season, and there are no signs of the ACL tear that ended his rookie NFL season in 2022.

Because of their ability to run the ball and play good defense, the Jets will keep this game close in the beginning. But the Eagles are just too good along both the offensive and defensive lines, and they will eventually wear down the Jets and cover this spread late in the NFL game.

Dallas Cowboys (-2) at Los Angeles Chargers

The Cowboys had a bad game last week at San Francisco, but they haven’t had two bad NFL games in a row in more than two years. This defense is still very good and easily the best defense faced this year by the Chargers.

L.A. is hard to trust, with bad losses to the Titans and Dolphins and near-misses against the Vikings and Raiders. The Cowboys fans will fill up SoFi Stadium, and they will be treated to a spread–covering win.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 6

NFL Week 5 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

We saw rookie quarterbacks play for the first time in NFL Week 4, with Bailey Zappe of the Patriots getting the first rookie touchdown pass of 2022. Kenny Pickett is now the starting quarterback in Pittsburgh, putting an end to the three-game era of Mitchell Trubisky.

We still have one unbeaten, the Eagles, but our 0-3 team, the Raiders, got its first win of the NFL season. The Chiefs reinserted themselves into the Super Bowl favorites conversation, and the 49ers did, too, with a dominant defensive performance against the Rams.

More on the Niners and Rams in our best picks for this coming NFL weekend.

New York Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay Packers

We start in London, where the Green Bay Packers are playing for the first time. They are the final of the NFL’s 32 teams to make the trip to England, and for the first time in the history of the London series, we have two winning teams playing each other.

The Giants are playing good defense, and Saquon Barkley is playing like a rushing champion, and the Packers don’t look like a team ready to win a blowout. New York keeps it close, meaning you should take the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills are much better offensively than the Steelers, and they are much better defensively. But the Bills aren’t playing their best football right now, and if rookie Kenny Pickett can protect the football, the Steelers should keep this margin at less than two touchdowns.

Buffalo is banged up, and the offense is out of sequence at the moment; and this is a huge spread for a team that has averaged just 21 points per game the last two weeks. Buffalo wins, but your money should go on Pittsburgh to cover.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) at Carolina Panthers

If there is a team that deserves a 14-point spread, it’s the Niners over the Panthers.

San Francisco’s defensive line just dominated a much better offense in the Rams, and they will have a field day against Baker Mayfield. Carolina, despite having great skill players, may not score in this game. The Niners’ defense is playing that well.

NFL

Add in Deebo Samuel at the height of his powers, and the Niners giving six points feels like a no-brainer.

Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Los Angeles Rams

That Rams offensive line that was just dominated by the 49ers now has to play Micah Parsons and the Dallas defense. Sean McVay is one of the best offensive schemers in the business, but he will not have an answer for Parsons, Demarcus Lawrence, Dante Fowler, and Dorance Armstrong.

If the Rams manage to win this NFL game, it will be a low-scoring win by a field goal. Take the Cowboys and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 5 Betting Picks

NFL Week 2 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 14, 2022

You are forgiven if you aren’t yet fully recovered from a wild Week 1 in the NFL. With Seattle’s 1-point win over Denver on Monday, the NFL set a Week 1 record with seven games decided by three points or less.

The NFL is the most incredible reality show on earth, and this is what it has in store for us in Week 2.

Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-2.5)

Carson Wentz gave us the full Carson Wentz experience in Week 1, making a couple of terrible decisions and absolutely beautiful throws. It resulted in a win, but a close win against the Jaguars that would have been a loss to a better team.

In 2022 the Lions are a better team, as they showed in their near comeback against the Eagles. At home and against a quarterback who will turn the ball over, Detroit wins 24-20 and covers the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (-7) at Dallas Cowboys

Following a game with five turnovers, Joe Burrow now plays against a team that led all of football last year in forced turnovers. But none of that will matter with Cooper Rush as the Dallas quarterback.

Burrow may throw a pick or two, but the Cowboys’ offense will be terrible, and the Bengals will win this game by at least 10 points. Look for Cincinnati to cover, but not look all that great in doing so.

NFL

Seattle Seahawks (+9.5) at San Francisco 49ers

Trey Lance is a big question mark, Elijah Mitchell is gone for the next two months, and the status of George Kittle for Week 2 is unknown. Maybe he’ll play, maybe he won’t.

Add in the confidence that Geno Smith showed on Monday night and Seattle’s big win over the Broncos, and the 9.5-point spread feels like too much value to ignore. Maybe Seattle has a letdown after such an emotional win. But maybe this team is better than people think, and they keep this NFL game close.

We believe the latter. Take Seattle and the points.

Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders (-6)

Clean up the turnovers, and this Raiders offense can be good. They could have been good against the Chargers and even beaten them. And as we saw against the Chiefs, this Cardinals defense has some real problems.

Derek Carr isn’t going to replicate the five-touchdown day of Patrick Mahomes, but he and the Raiders will find the end zone multiple times against Arizona and win this NFL game by at least a touchdown. Bet on the Raiders to cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 2 Betting Picks

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

by WagerHome Blog on February 16, 2022

The NFL has become a 12-month a year league, and so has NFL betting. No matter what time of year it is, and no matter how far away the next scheduled game is (or like now when we don’t even have a schedule), there are NFL bets to play.

Right now, the big bet is, of course, the winner of the next year’s Super Bowl, scheduled to be played in Glendale, Arizona, on February 12, 2023.

Favorites to Win Super Bowl LVII

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+750)
  • Buffalo Bills (+750)
  • Los Angeles Rams (+1000)
  • Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
  • San Francisco 49ers (+1400)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)
  • Green Bay Packers (+1600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+2000)
  • Denver Broncos (+2000)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2200)
  • Tennessee Titans (+2200)

The Bills-Chiefs divisional round game in Kansas City was the best game of the 2021 postseason, and not surprisingly, with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen at the height of their powers, these are the two teams deemed most likely to win next year’s Super Bowl.

The defending champion Los Angeles Rams are next at +1000, and the top-rated team in the NFC. Question marks with Odell Beckham, Jr., Aaron Donald, Von Miller, and Sean McVay are likely the reason they aren’t higher. Plus, they play in a division with the 49ers, who are one of three teams tied for fourth-most likely to win the Super Bowl.

Joining San Francisco at +1400 is the defending AFC champion Cincinnati Bengals, as well as the Dak Prescott-led Dallas Cowboys.

One thing the Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bengals, and Cowboys all have in common is a settled franchise quarterback. The Niners are the highest-ranked team without that luxury, and it’s also where the Packers find themselves at +1600. If Jordan Love is their quarterback in 2022, those odds should go way up.

Also of note, the Ravens should be healthy next season, and +2000 might be great value. And the Titans, with a healthy Derrick Henry, might also be a great play at +2200.

Betting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

Fallen Playoff Teams

Notably off the favorites board are three teams coming off playoff appearances.

The Eagles are at +4000, which is probably a reflection of being in the Cowboys’ shadow, plus continued doubts about Jalen Hurts.

No more Ben Roethlisberger has cratered the Steelers outlook. They are paying just +5000 to win next year’s Super Bowl. It doesn’t help that they play the Bengals and Ravens twice.

And what’s happened to the Raiders? They were a play away from beating the Bengals in the AFC playoffs and don’t expect a major roster turnover, yet they too are only listed at +5000. If you’re looking for a good value bet, this is it.

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WagerHome BlogBetting Odds to Win Super Bowl LVII

Hall of Fame Game Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers

by WagerHome Blog on August 3, 2021

There was plenty of football news over the last half-year, but people are actually going to hit each other on Thursday night, and that is very exciting. It’s also a glimpse into a possibly normal season this year (fingers crossed) as all of the preseason, including the Hall of Fame Game, was canceled in 2020.

Our six long months of having no football is over.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-1.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys

It’s one of the most classic matchups in the NFL, making it extra fitting for the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio, where 19 Cowboys and 24 Steelers are currently enshrined. Each team will be adding a player to the tally when the 2021 class is enshrined on Sunday. Wide receiver Drew Pearson is in for the Dallas Cowboys, and guard Alan Faneca goes in for Pittsburgh.

As for the game on the field, the much-anticipated return of Dak Prescott will have to wait. He’s had a shoulder setback in training camp, and he will not play on Thursday. That means that Garrett Gilbert will likely start, and he’s backed up by Ben DiNucci and Cooper Rush. We also aren’t going to see Amari Cooper on a football field for at least two more weeks.

The biggest task for the Pittsburgh Steelers is figuring out their offensive line. Ben Roethlisberger won’t play, but Pittsburgh is probably going to ride with their first-string offensive line for a number of series. With so many new faces on the line, they need to develop chemistry.

Gone are offensive line mainstays David DeCastro, Ramon Foster, Maurkice Pouncey, Marcus Gilbert, and Alejandro Villanueva. In are Trae Turner, Chukwuma Okorafor, Kendrick Green, Kevin Dotson, and Zach Banner.

Hall of Fame Game Results - News | Pro Football Hall of Fame Official Site

Our six long months of having no football is over, as the NFL’s Hall of Fame Game features the Dallas Cowboys against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Betting Picks – Steelers (-1.5), Over 33

Never invest a lot of money in a preseason game because anything can happen. But it’s the first game back, and we’re all itching to make an NFL bet.

The Steelers will probably give rookie running back Najee Harris a decent amount of work, and he should have a good game. Pittsburgh also has a significantly better defense than Dallas, and that should give the Cowboys backup quarterbacks trouble. Go with the Steelers to cover.

It will be a low-scoring game, so 33 for a totals line isn’t crazy low. But with a limited time to make the team, someone will either make a big play late or make a big mistake that ends up sending the number over 33.

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WagerHome BlogHall of Fame Game Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 17 Playoff Picture Games To Watch

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2019

There are no Saturday NFL games this week, and no one plays on Monday. With playoff implications on the line, the NFL has everyone playing on Sunday for Week 17 of the regular season, so that all teams go into their games on equal footing.

It’s the best time of year to bet on football, and it’s the best opportunity for you to see just how much your bookmaking business would benefit from pay per head software. From the tech used to the available bets to the speed of changing odds, you can see how it works at WagerHome.com with a free four-week trial.

A full 11 of the 16 games on Sunday will decide NFL playoff berths and seeding, but it’s the following five games that we’re keeping our eyes on the most.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

The Texans have already clinched the AFC South and are currently the fourth seed in the playoffs. It’s possible they could move up to third, but that would require a Chiefs loss to the Chargers in Kansas City.

For the Titans, it’s simple; win, and they are in the playoffs as the sixth seed. If it was to lose to the Texans, then Tennessee needs Pittsburgh and Indianapolis to lose, and then it would still get in.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens are locked in as the AFC’s top seed. So with home-field wrapped up, they will probably rest many of their starters. That could open the door for the Steelers, who would become the sixth seed if they win and the Titans lose.

There are also a few other less likely scenarios to get the Steelers in that involve multiple other results and a strength-of-victory tiebreaker.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers and Seahawks are both in the playoffs, but the difference between a first-round bye and having to go on the road as a Wild Card is a big one, which makes this game one of the most intriguing of the weekend.

Whichever team wins gets the division. If it’s the 49ers, they will also get a first-round bye. If the Seahawks win, they get the bye if the Packers lose this week. Scenarios also exist for either team to get home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

The NFC East hasn’t exactly shown itself to be the class of the NFL this season. Only one playoff team will emerge from the division, and it’s now impossible for any team to win as many as 10 games.

That being said, the division championship is coming down to the final week, and the Eagles are in the driver’s seat. If they beat the New York Giants, they are champs of the NFC East and will be the NFC’s fourth seed.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

If the Eagles falter against the Giants, then the Cowboys can win the division. They will need to beat the Redskins at home, and their division-winning scenario only comes to fruition if the Eagles lose.

Otherwise, a Cowboys win will be a nice way to end the season, but their season will end.

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WagerHome BlogWeek 17 Playoff Picture Games To Watch

Three NFL Underdogs To Consider In Week 12

by WagerHome Blog on November 23, 2019

The NFL is hitting the home stretch, and if you currently own a pay per head bookmaking service, no doubt this has become one of the busiest times of your year. And if you aren’t yet an owner of a pay per head bookmaking service, you can sign up at WagerHome.com and get four free weeks to try it out.

With a PPH site, you can give your clients the wagering experience that they deserve, and give yourself a break from the constant struggle to keep up with the changing odds. Odds that have us looking at the three best underdog bets for Week 12 in the NFL.

Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles offense is a weekly struggle. They are in desperate need of good wide receivers, and Carson Wentz just seems a hair off in his play of late. While on the flip side, you’d be hard-pressed to find someone playing as well as Russell Wilson, who many list as the MVP frontrunner.

Seattle is 4-1 against the spread on the road this season and a perfect 5-0 straight up, and even as a West Coast team playing in the Eastern time zone, they are great. The Seahawks are 16-3 since 2013 when making a road trip to the East Coast.

Add it all together, and it equals take the Seahawks and the points.

Dallas Cowboys (+6.5) at New England Patriots

We have another home team with a struggling offense in the Patriots. And just like in the game above, where the Eagles are facing a quarterback having a great season, the Patriots are as well. Dak Prescott is on pace to break the single-season passing yardage record.

He’ll probably slow down against a good New England defense. But this team has a top running back in Ezekiel Elliott and Amari Cooper at wide receiver, and because of their big three, the Cowboys will keep scoring.

It’s hard to pick against the Patriots, especially at home. And they may still win. But a good Dallas offense keeps this one close.

Green Bay Packers (+3) at San Francisco Giants

The Green Bay Packers are 7-3 against the spread this year and 3-1 on the road. The 49ers are impressive 9-1 straight up, which ties them for tops in the NFL, but they are just 5-4-1 against the spread and 2-2-1 at home.

Those numbers, by themselves, aren’t dispositive. But consider how the 49ers have struggled over the last few games. They won by three points at Arizona. They lost at home to Seattle in overtime. And most recently, they played a tight one at home against the Cardinals and only covered the spread because of a fluke defensive touchdown on the game’s final play.

Meanwhile the Packers’ lone blip over the last month was the egg they laid at the Chargers. Otherwise, that offense has been humming and Aaron Rodgers has looked like, well, Aaron Rodgers.

This will be a great game, and very possibly, there will be a rematch in the playoffs. But for this week, I like the Packers and the points.

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WagerHome BlogThree NFL Underdogs To Consider In Week 12